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Bahia v Cruzeiro : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Adenor Leonardo Bacchi will be hoping for a precious away win in the Serie A on Sunday morning, as he takes his Cruzeiro side to the Arena Fonte Nova to visit Bahia and Rogério Mücke Ceni. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

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Bahia's next match is v Gremio at 20:00 on Sunday 17th May
Cruzeiro's next match is v Palmeiras at 01:00 on Sunday 17th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Bahia and Cruzeiro was on Sunday 10th May 2026
Brazillian Serie A
May 10th 2026
Bahia 1
2 Cruzeiro
 
Luciano 27'41' K. Moraes Silva
86' K. Takamura Correa
 
BAH
CRU
Shots On
3
7
Shots Off
3
10
Corners
6
8
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
14
16
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
BahiaCruzeiro
 
L. da Silva Vieira
N. Acevedo Tabárez
J. de Souza Oliveira (M. Araújo Villar 72')
É. de Barros Ribeiro (R. Bertalia 61')
E. Conrado Carvalho
W. da Silva (E. Stum 34')
E. da Costa Farias (C. Olivera Ibarra 72')
S. Ramos Mingo
D. de Duarte Macedo
Lucianofootball icon
M. Sanabria (A. da Silva Santos Junior 46')
 (L. Villalba 72') football iconK. Moraes Silva
F. Soares de Faria
F. Conserva Lemos
(K. Takamura Correa 46') M. de Souza
M. Costa Pereira
(L. Silva Borges 78') G. Santos da Silva
(W. Maciel Sousa Campos 72') L. Sinisterra Lucumí
(K. Pinto Ramos 62') N. Villareal
O. Rezende Costa
J. de Jesus Alves
L. Romero

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Bahia and Cruzeiro will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Rogério Mücke Ceni or Adenor Leonardo Bacchi has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.33 equating to approximately a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bahia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bahia
57%
11/1023/20
Draw
23%
23/1012/5
Cruzeiro
20%
12/512/5
Bahia 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Draw 1-1
11%
5/15/1
Bahia 2-0
10%
9/18/1
Bahia 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Bahia 3-0
6%
18/114/1
Bahia 3-1
6%
16/114/1
Draw 0-0
6%
17/215/2
Cruzeiro 1-0
6%
9/115/2
Cruzeiro 2-1
5%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/112/1
Bahia 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Cruzeiro 2-0
3%
16/112/1
Bahia 4-0
3%
40/125/1
Bahia 4-1
3%
40/125/1
Cruzeiro 3-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/11/1
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/54/5
Away 1st Goal
41%
5/413/10
No 1st Goal
3%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/55/6
BTTS - No
47%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
26%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
10%
6/15/1
Home/draw
80%
3/103/10
Away/draw
43%
4/67/10
Home/away
77%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/31/3
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/511/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/25/2
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/102/7
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/111/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/101/11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/115/2
Home DNB
73%
1/28/15
Away DNB
36%
6/411/8
Bahia win to nil
31%
11/4-
Cruzeiro win to nil
10%
5/1-
Bahia / Bahia
24%
5/223/10
Bahia / Cruzeiro
3%
28/122/1
Bahia / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Bahia
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Cruzeiro
11%
13/213/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/119/5
Cruzeiro / Bahia
4%
25/118/1
Cruzeiro / Cruzeiro
15%
9/217/4
Cruzeiro / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Bahia 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bahia2 - 2Santos
Bahia1 - 2Palmeiras
Bahia3 - 0Athletico PR
Bahia2 - 0Bragantino
Bahia1 - 1Vitoria
Bahia1 - 1Fluminense
Bahia2 - 0S. Recife
Bahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
Bahia2 - 3Fortaleza
Bahia2 - 1Bragantino
Bahia1 - 0Internacional
Bahia4 - 0Gremio
Bahia1 - 0Flamengo
Bahia1 - 0Palmeiras
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia2 - 0Santos
Bahia3 - 3Fluminense
Bahia3 - 0Juventude
Bahia2 - 1A Mineiro
Bahia2 - 1Sao Paulo
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABahia2 - 2Sao Paulo
HBahia2 - 2Santos
ABahia0 - 2Flamengo
ABahia2 - 1Mirassol
HBahia1 - 2Palmeiras
HBahia3 - 0Athletico PR
ABahia1 - 4Remo
HBahia2 - 0Bragantino
ABahia1 - 0Internacional
HBahia1 - 1Vitoria
ABahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia1 - 1Fluminense
ABahia2 - 1Corinthians
ABahia0 - 2Fluminense
HBahia2 - 0S. Recife
ABahia1 - 1Juventude
HBahia1 - 0Vasco d Gama
HBahia2 - 3Fortaleza
ABahia2 - 2Internacional
ABahia0 - 3A Mineiro
Cruzeiro 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Remo0 - 1Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo4 - 1Cruzeiro
Athletico PR2 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo2 - 0Cruzeiro
Mirassol2 - 2Cruzeiro
Botafogo4 - 0Cruzeiro
Santos3 - 0Cruzeiro
Ceara1 - 1Cruzeiro
Juventude3 - 3Cruzeiro
Gremio0 - 1Cruzeiro
Palmeiras0 - 0Cruzeiro
A Mineiro1 - 1Cruzeiro
Flamengo0 - 0Cruzeiro
Vasco d Gama2 - 0Cruzeiro
Bahia1 - 2Cruzeiro
Mirassol1 - 1Cruzeiro
Botafogo0 - 2Cruzeiro
Corinthians0 - 0Cruzeiro
Fluminense0 - 2Cruzeiro
Vitoria0 - 0Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCruzeiro1 - 3A Mineiro
ACruzeiro1 - 0Remo
HCruzeiro2 - 0Gremio
HCruzeiro2 - 1Bragantino
ACruzeiro1 - 4Sao Paulo
HCruzeiro3 - 0Vitoria
HCruzeiro0 - 0Santos
ACruzeiro1 - 2Athletico PR
HCruzeiro3 - 3Vasco d Gama
ACruzeiro0 - 2Flamengo
HCruzeiro1 - 1Corinthians
ACruzeiro2 - 2Mirassol
HCruzeiro1 - 2Cortiba
ACruzeiro0 - 4Botafogo
ACruzeiro0 - 3Santos
HCruzeiro2 - 2Botafogo
ACruzeiro1 - 1Ceara
HCruzeiro3 - 0Corinthians
ACruzeiro3 - 3Juventude
HCruzeiro0 - 0Fluminense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bahia since 2018
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Goals: Scored
9
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
BAH
2
D
3
CRU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bahia
1 - 2Cruzeiro
Bahia4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Bahia2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Cruzeiro since 2018
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
D
3
CRU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cruzeiro3 - 0
Cruzeiro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Bahia 6th Cruzeiro 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Bahia will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Cruzeiro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Bahia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Cruzeiro have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Bahia
PG (predicted goals)
Cruzeiro
1.8
1
Attack rating
10%
better
BAH
CRU
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score1
3
Scored first5
7
Goals scored19
18
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
11%
better
BAH
CRU
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded16
24
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against12%
21%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+11%

Bahia v Cruzeiro Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Bahia Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14734
S MingoL JubaS SuayN Acevedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vieira GLK7
-
N Acevedo DEF13
4
-
D Duarte DEF81
1
-
S Mingo DEF14
3
-
L Juba DEF1471
2
-
S Suay MID103
1
-
Erick MID122
2
-
J Lucas MID1422
2
-
M Sanabria FWD811
1
-
W José FWD1331
-
E Pulga FWD141
2
-
Subs
J Paulo GLK1
1
-
Iago DEF1
-
R. Gómez DEF2
-
L. Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos DEF
-
Gilberto DEF51
-
G Xavier DEF6
1
-
R Nestor MID8
1
-
M Araújo MID11
1
1
Everaldo FWD113
2
-
W. Wanderley Santos de Melo FWD4
1
C Olivera FWD1411
1
-
Ademir FWD14
-
Cruzeiro Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14536
F BrunoChristianL RomeroM Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Otávio GLK2
1
-
Fagner DEF91
1
-
F Bruno DEF14
4
-
J Alves DEF7
-
K. Moraes Silva DEF821
2
-
L Romero MID913
2
-
M Henrique MID15
1
-
Gerson MID141
2
-
M Pereira MID1322
6
-
L Sinisterra  MID3
-
N. Villareal FWD931
-
Subs
M Cunha GLK91
1
-
L Villalba DEF9
1
-
J Marcelo DEF5
-
B. Ferreira Alves DEF
-
L Silva MID12
3
-
J. de Oliveira MID31
-
Christian MID1451
1
-
Marquinhos FWD
-
K Jorge FWD103
-
K. Takamura Correa FWD41
1
-
Chico FWD61
-
Wanderson FWD141
-