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Fluminense v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Saturday night at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Vitória. Luis Francisco Zubeldía and Jair Zaksauskas Ribeiro Ventura going all-out to claim the win. Serie A stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. You can view it all, with graphics and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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Fluminense's next match is v Sao Paulo at 00:30 on Sunday 17th May
Vitória's next match is v Bragantino at 22:30 on Sunday 17th May
The last Brazillian Serie A meeting between Fluminense and Vitoria was on Saturday 9th May 2026
Brazillian Serie A
May 9th 2026
Fluminense 2
2 Vitoria
 
J. Kennedy Batista de Souza 36'63' R. de Souza
K. Serna Jaramillo 90'67' C. de Sousa Ferreira
 
FLU
VIT
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
6
3
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
15
7
Yellow/red cards
5/0
2/0
 
FluminenseVitoria
 
F. Lopes Maciel
S. Brito (C. Rodrigues Gomes 83')
I. da Silva Oliveira
R. Rodrigues Martins
J. Savarino Quintero (R. Silva de Almeida 83')
G. Santana (R. Castillo 74')
Y. Soteldo Martínez (K. Serna Jaramillo 73')
J. Kennedy Batista de Souzafootball icon
A. de Freitas Castro (H. Pereira do Nascimento 73')
J. Millán Díaz
L. Acosta
L. Assis Arcanjo
R. Ramos Lima
L. Martínez
E. Santos Nascimento Filho
L. Candido de Almeida
(H. dos Santos Neris 88') N. de Souza Mendes
(R. dos Santos Lopes 88') G. Baralhas dos Santos
J. Silva Neves
(J. Silva Costa 82') C. de Jesus Gonçalves
(D. Tarzia 75') football iconR. de Souza
(R. López Patrón 82') football iconC. de Sousa Ferreira

Best Tip: Fluminense to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this Serie A match, a bet on win / draw / win for Fluminense to win and delight their home supporters is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will overpower Vitoria, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. There could be some bumps along the way, but Fluminense claiming victory is the bet come Saturday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
66%
49/1005/1
Draw
20%
10/32/11
Vitoria
14%
5/114/1
Fluminense 2-0
12%
6/113/5
Fluminense 1-0
11%
6/111/8
Fluminense 2-1
10%
15/212/5
Draw 1-1
9%
7/111/10
Fluminense 3-0
8%
10/18/1
Fluminense 3-1
7%
12/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/14/1
Vitoria 1-0
4%
14/115/2
Fluminense 4-0
4%
20/125/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/12/13
Vitoria 2-1
4%
18/14/11
Fluminense 4-1
4%
22/128/1
Fluminense 3-2
3%
25/15/1
Vitoria 2-0
2%
28/122/1
Fluminense 5-0
2%
40/160/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/513/20
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/123/20
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/94/7
Away 1st Goal
38%
15/813/5
No 1st Goal
3%
11/14/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/2021/10
BTTS - No
50%
4/51/3
BTTS - Home Win
29%
12/519/4
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/22/13
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/114/1
Home/draw
86%
1/81/66
Away/draw
34%
11/81/9
Home/away
80%
1/517/5
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/48/15
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/111/8
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/119/10
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/210/3
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/72/11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/300
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/252/13
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/14/1
Home DNB
80%
2/111/5
Away DNB
28%
7/216/5
Fluminense win to nil
38%
6/4-
Vitoria win to nil
7%
10/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
35%
13/101/5
Fluminense / Vitoria
2%
40/118/1
Fluminense / Draw
5%
14/111/2
Draw / Fluminense
19%
10/318/1
Draw / Vitoria
7%
11/133/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/120/1
Vitoria / Fluminense
4%
20/1125/1
Vitoria / Vitoria
8%
9/170/1
Vitoria / Draw
5%
16/190/1
Win / draw / win form
7
Vitoria have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
L
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Vitoria 9TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Fluminense since 2018
Fluminense
Vitoria
Goals: Scored
1
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
D
2
VIT
1
League games at Vitoria since 2018
Vitoria
Fluminense
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
FLU
2
VIT
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Fluminense in their meeting with Vitória, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 17 consecutive Serie A matches.

Fluminense 3rd Vitoria 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Fluminense will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Fluminense have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-17
Vitoria have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2026 season
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
17%
better
FLU
VIT
view stats
Games scored13
10
Failed to score1
3
Scored first8
7
Goals scored23
16
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
FLU
VIT
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded18
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Fluminense v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15733
F FábioJ KennedyL AcostaAlisson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK15
1
-
S Xavier DEF10
2
-
Ignacio DEF61
1
-
J Millán DEF2
-
Renê DEF92
1
-
Nonato MID411
2
-
Alisson MID81
3
-
J Savarino MID1332
1
-
L Acosta MID1133
3
-
Y Soteldo MID9
-
J Kennedy FWD1471
-
Subs
V Eudes GLK
-
G Arana DEF101
2
-
I Rabello  DEF
-
J Freytes DEF13
2
-
Guga DEF92
1
-
F Cruz MID7
1
-
H Hércules MID133
1
-
O Otávio MID5
1
-
R Castillo FWD1131
1
-
R. Silva de Almeida FWD2
1
-
K Serna FWD1511
1
-
A Canobbio FWD1031
2
1
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14334
RamonR KayzerG BaralhasG Baralhas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Arcanjo GLK11
1
-
N Mendes DEF121
3
-
E. Santos Nascimento Filho DEF6
1
1
L Cândido DEF81
-
Ramon DEF142
3
-
J. Silva Neves MID71
2
-
Caique MID12
1
-
G Baralhas MID1123
4
-
E Martínez  MID11
4
-
R Kayzer MID1031
3
-
C. de Sousa Ferreira FWD731
1
-
Subs
Y Sena GLK
-
D. Tarzia DEF91
1
-
Neris DEF3
-
Jamerson DEF
-
Ronald MID7
1
-
J. Silva Costa MID1
-
P. Santos de Alcantara MID
-
Marinho FWD5
-
Osvaldo FWD1
-
L Silva FWD3
1
-
F Fabrício FWD71
-
R López FWD5
-