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Fluminense v Vitória : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Apr, 22:30 BST, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, Rio de Janeiro

Vitória, led by manager Thiago Carpini Barbosa, visit Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes and his Fluminense side at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho on Sunday night in the Serie A. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Best Tip: Fluminense to win

A Serie A home win for Luiz Antônio Venker de Menezes's Fluminense team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Fluminense win is the bet we'd suggest, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Fluminense are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Fluminense
60%
4/7
8%
-
Draw
23%
13/5
9%
-
Vitoria
16%
11/2
18%
-
Fluminense 1-0
14%
9/2
21%
-
Fluminense 2-0
12%
11/2
19%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
-
Fluminense 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
20%
-
Fluminense 3-0
7%
10/1
15%
-
Vitoria 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Fluminense 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Vitoria 2-1
4%
20/1
24%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
40%
-
Fluminense 4-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
Vitoria 2-0
2%
33/1
31%
-
Fluminense 4-1
2%
28/1
12%
-
Fluminense 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
-
Vitoria 3-1
1%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
23/20
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/6
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
11/4
21%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
11/10
17%
-
BTTS - No
56%
4/6
14%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
10/3
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
9/2
22%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
14/1
50%
-
Home/draw
84%
1/9
3%
-
Away/draw
40%
13/10
10%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
4/11
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/5
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/1
25%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/4
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/12
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
20%
-
Home DNB
77%
2/11
6%
-
Away DNB
33%
7/2
20%
-
Fluminense win to nil
38%
5/4
18%
-
Vitoria win to nil
9%
9/1-
Fluminense / Fluminense
33%
6/4
9%
-
Fluminense / Vitoria
2%
40/1-
Fluminense / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Fluminense
21%
3/1
8%
-
Draw / Vitoria
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1
9%
-
Vitoria / Fluminense
4%
22/1
10%
-
Vitoria / Vitoria
7%
10/1
29%
-
Vitoria / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
3
Fluminense have won 3 consecutive league games
8
Fluminense have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
Fluminense 3RD
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Vitoria 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Fluminense's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Vitória have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.7 for L. Venker de Menezes's side suggests that run should continue.

Fluminense 3rd Vitoria 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Fluminense will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Vitoria scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Fluminense have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+24
Vitoria have scored 24% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294492/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Fluminense
PG (predicted goals)
Vitoria
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
2%
better
FLU
VIT
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored5
5
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
17
Avg. XG for1.2
0.7
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
52%
better
FLU
VIT
view stats
Games conceded2
4
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded3
7
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
15%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+52%

Fluminense v Vitoria Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Fluminense Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
F FábioLimaA CanobbioH Hércules
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fábio GLK2
-
T Silva DEF2
-
Renê DEF2
-
Guga DEF2
-
J Freytes DEF2
-
Lima MID21
-
H Hércules MID2
1
-
Martinelli MID21
-
J Arias MID2
-
Everaldo FWD2
-
G Cano FWD2
-
A Canobbio FWD21
-
Keno FWD2
-
S Xavier DEF1
-
Ganso MID1
-
F Cruz MID1
-
K Serna FWD1
-
J Lavega FWD1
-
Vitoria Serie A squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2101
ClaudinhoW RatoL Halter
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Claudinho DEF2
-
Z Marcos DEF2
-
Jamerson DEF2
-
L Halter DEF2
1
-
R Ryller MID2
1
-
W Oliveira MID2
-
W Rato MID21
-
J Costa FWD2
-
F Fabrício FWD2
-
Gabriel GLK1
-
L Arcanjo GLK1
-
Neris DEF1
1
-
Matheuzinho MID1
-
G Baralhas MID1
-
Ronald MID1
1
-
G Mosquito  FWD1
-
Osvaldo FWD1
-