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Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus : Superligaen match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 17:00 BST, SAS Arena, Herning

Thomas Thomasberg welcomes Uwe Rösler to the SAS Arena on Sunday evening, as their Midtjylland and AGF Aarhus troops go head to head in the Superligaen. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Superligaen matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Superligaen fixture, with Midtjylland and AGF Aarhus going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used over market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having analysed the relevant statistics and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Midtjylland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Midtjylland 55%	3/4 8%	-
Draw 22%	3/1 7%	-
AGF Aarhus 23%	16/5 17%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2 7%	-
Midtjylland 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Midtjylland 1-0 8%	7/1	-
Midtjylland 2-0 8%	8/1 5%	-
Midtjylland 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	-
AGF Aarhus 2-1 6%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	-
Midtjylland 3-0 5%	14/1 12%	-
AGF Aarhus 1-0 5%	12/1 8%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	12/1 8%	-
Midtjylland 3-2 4%	22/1	-
Midtjylland 4-1 3%	25/1 10%	-
AGF Aarhus 2-0 3%	20/1 11%	-
Midtjylland 4-0 3%	28/1 15%	-
AGF Aarhus 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	8/11 4%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	43/40 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	1/2 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	13/8 5%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 8%	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	7/10	-
BTTS - No 40%	21/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 29%	5/2 7%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	13/2 15%	-
Home/draw 77%	2/9 5%	-
Away/draw 45%	1/1 9%	-
Home/away 78%	2/9 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	2/9 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	3/1 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	7/4 8%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	2/5 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	9/2 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1/7 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	10/1 15%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	12/1 8%	-
Home DNB 70%	1/3 8%	-
Away DNB 38%	9/4 24%	-
Midtjylland win to nil 26%	9/4 7%	-
AGF Aarhus win to nil 10%	7/1 23%	-
Midtjylland / Midtjylland 30%	7/4 11%	-
Midtjylland / AGF Aarhus 2%	33/1 17%	-
Midtjylland / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Midtjylland 17%	15/4 5%	-
Draw / AGF Aarhus 9%	8/1 13%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-
AGF Aarhus / Midtjylland 4%	20/1	-
AGF Aarhus / AGF Aarhus 12%	6/1 17%	-
AGF Aarhus / Draw 5%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Superligaen table

Midtjylland have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Superligaen league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 4 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Midtjylland have outscored their opponents by 55 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Midtjylland have played 14 games at home winning 12, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

AGF Aarhus are in 6th position in the Superligaen on 40 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 2. AGF Aarhus have conceded 23 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Midtjylland AGF Aarhus
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kobenhavn	22	11	8	3	14	41	w 2-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 3-2F
2	Midtjylland H	28	16	4	8	18	52	-	-	d 1-1F	l 2-0A
3	Randers	28	11	9	8	9	42	w 4-2F	d 2-2A	d 2-2F	d 1-1F
4	Nordsjaelland	28	12	6	10	-1	42	w 2-1F	d 2-2F	w 4-2F	l 1-0A
5	Brondby	22	8	9	5	10	33	l 1-5A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
6	AGF Aarhus Away	28	10	10	8	14	40	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	-	-
7	Silkeborg	22	8	9	5	9	33	w 1-0F	w 1-3F	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
8	Viborg	22	7	7	8	-1	28	w 3-1A	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	d 1-1A
9	Aalborg	22	5	6	11	-18	21	w 2-0F	w 1-4F	w 4-0F	w 0-4F
10	Lyngby	22	3	9	10	-11	18	w 1-0F	w 1-2F	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
11	Sonderjyske	22	4	5	13	-25	17	w 3-2A	l 3-2A	w 4-0F	w 1-4F
12	Vejle	22	3	4	15	-26	13	w 2-0F	w 0-3F	w 5-1F	l 3-2F

	Championship Round
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Conference League Play Offs
	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

AGF Aarhus have lost 4 consecutive away league games

AGF Aarhus have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Midtjylland	5 - 0	Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland	4 - 2	Kobenhavn
Midtjylland	0 - 2	Brondby
Midtjylland	4 - 2	Randers
Midtjylland	2 - 1	Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland	1 - 0	Lyngby
Midtjylland	1 - 0	Silkeborg
Midtjylland	1 - 5	Brondby
Midtjylland	2 - 0	AGF Aarhus
Midtjylland	3 - 1	Viborg
Midtjylland	2 - 1	Kobenhavn
Midtjylland	3 - 2	Sonderjyske
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Vejle
Midtjylland	2 - 0	Aalborg
Midtjylland	3 - 3	Silkeborg
Midtjylland	2 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Midtjylland	3 - 2	Brondby
Midtjylland	2 - 2	Kobenhavn
Midtjylland	2 - 3	Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland	3 - 0	Vejle

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Midtjylland	5 - 0	Nordsjaelland
A	Midtjylland	2 - 3	Nordsjaelland
H	Midtjylland	4 - 2	Kobenhavn
A	Midtjylland	1 - 1	AGF Aarhus
A	Midtjylland	1 - 2	Randers
H	Midtjylland	0 - 2	Brondby
H	Midtjylland	4 - 2	Randers
A	Midtjylland	4 - 1	Aalborg
H	Midtjylland	2 - 1	Nordsjaelland
A	Midtjylland	0 - 1	Kobenhavn
H	Midtjylland	1 - 0	Lyngby
A	Midtjylland	3 - 0	Vejle
H	Midtjylland	1 - 0	Silkeborg
A	Midtjylland	0 - 1	Viborg
H	Midtjylland	1 - 5	Brondby
H	Midtjylland	2 - 0	AGF Aarhus
A	Midtjylland	2 - 3	Sonderjyske
A	Midtjylland	0 - 2	Brondby
H	Midtjylland	3 - 1	Viborg
A	Midtjylland	2 - 2	Randers

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kobenhavn	3 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Randers	3 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Brondby	2 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Vejle	3 - 2	AGF Aarhus
Randers	1 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Sonderjyske	1 - 4	AGF Aarhus
Silkeborg	1 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Nordsjaelland	1 - 0	AGF Aarhus
Midtjylland	2 - 0	AGF Aarhus
Viborg	1 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Lyngby	0 - 0	AGF Aarhus
Aalborg	0 - 4	AGF Aarhus
Brondby	0 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Kobenhavn	3 - 2	AGF Aarhus
Brondby	2 - 3	AGF Aarhus
Midtjylland	2 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Kobenhavn	3 - 2	AGF Aarhus
Nordsjaelland	7 - 2	AGF Aarhus
Silkeborg	2 - 2	AGF Aarhus
Silkeborg	0 - 1	AGF Aarhus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	AGF Aarhus	1 - 3	Kobenhavn
A	AGF Aarhus	1 - 3	Kobenhavn
A	AGF Aarhus	1 - 3	Randers
H	AGF Aarhus	1 - 1	Midtjylland
A	AGF Aarhus	1 - 2	Brondby
H	AGF Aarhus	2 - 0	Nordsjaelland
A	AGF Aarhus	2 - 3	Vejle
H	AGF Aarhus	1 - 1	Viborg
A	AGF Aarhus	1 - 1	Randers
H	AGF Aarhus	4 - 0	Aalborg
A	AGF Aarhus	4 - 1	Sonderjyske
A	AGF Aarhus	1 - 1	Silkeborg
A	AGF Aarhus	0 - 1	Nordsjaelland
H	AGF Aarhus	1 - 1	Kobenhavn
H	AGF Aarhus	2 - 1	Lyngby
A	AGF Aarhus	0 - 2	Midtjylland
H	AGF Aarhus	1 - 0	Brondby
A	AGF Aarhus	1 - 1	Viborg
H	AGF Aarhus	2 - 2	Randers
A	AGF Aarhus	0 - 0	Lyngby

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Midtjylland have not lost to AGF Aarhus in 8 consecutive league meetings

Midtjylland

AGF Aarhus

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 14

8 / 14

Clean sheets

6 / 14

4 / 14

FCM

AGF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Midtjylland
Midtjylland	2 - 0
Midtjylland	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	AGF Aarhus
Midtjylland	4 - 0
Midtjylland	4 - 0
	0 - 1	AGF Aarhus
	3 - 4	AGF Aarhus
	1 - 3	AGF Aarhus
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Midtjylland	4 - 0
	0 - 1	AGF Aarhus
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Midtjylland	2 - 0

AGF Aarhus

Midtjylland

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 14

12 / 14

Clean sheets

2 / 14

4 / 14

FCM

AGF

FIXTURE HISTORY AT AGF Aarhus
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Midtjylland
	2 - 3	Midtjylland
	0 - 1	Midtjylland
AGF Aarhus	3 - 0
	1 - 4	Midtjylland
	1 - 2	Midtjylland
AGF Aarhus	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Midtjylland
	1 - 2	Midtjylland
	0 - 3	Midtjylland
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
AGF Aarhus	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Midtjylland in their meeting with AGF Aarhus, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 72 consecutive Superligaen outings.

	Midtjylland 1st	AGF Aarhus 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Midtjylland will score 1 or more goals	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that AGF Aarhus will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+32 Midtjylland have scored 32% more goals at home than predicted	+16 AGF Aarhus have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
	2.4 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Superligaen - 2024/2025 season

FCM

AGF

better

view stats

Games scored	24		25
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	14		16
Goals scored	55		49
Avg. goals scored	2		1.8
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		18
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.7
KickOff rating		+3%

FCM

AGF

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		21
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	14		11
Goals conceded	37		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+1%

Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus Superligaen lLine ups will show here when available.

Midtjylland Superligaen squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	11	6	8
M Sörensen	A Buksa	A Şimşir	O. Diao

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Sörensen DEF	27	1	1	1 -
O. Diao DEF	24	4	1	6 2
J Andersson DEF	24	1	3	2 -
O Sørensen MID	24	7	2	1 -
F Djú FWD	24	10	2	3 -
E Ólafsson GLK	22			-
A Buksa FWD	21	11	1	4 -
A Şimşir FWD	21	3	6	-
V Andreasen MID	20	2	2	-
D Castillo MID	20			3 -
D Osorio MID	20	2	1	3 1
K Mbabu DEF	19	1	1	5 -
P Bravo MID	19	1	2	3 -
E Chilufya FWD	18	1	5	1 -
V Jensen DEF	17	1	3	-
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen FWD	17	3	3	-
K Askildsen MID	12			1 -
D Silva MID	11	1		2 -
A Gabriel DEF	9	1	2	-
Juninho DEF	9	1		1 -
Paulinho DEF	8			-
L Han-Beom DEF	7			-
J Lössl GLK	6			-
C Sörensen DEF	6		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	27	6	16
A Buksa	F Djú	A Şimşir	A Şimşir

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Buksa FWD	11	23	1	5
F Djú FWD	10	27	2	4
O Sørensen MID	7	14	2	9
O. Diao DEF	4	6	1	4
A Şimşir FWD	3	12	6	16
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen FWD	3	7	3	9
V Andreasen MID	2	8	2	9
D Osorio MID	2	16	1	4
M Sörensen DEF	1	1	1	11
V Jensen DEF	1	5	3	7
Juninho DEF	1	3		1
A Gabriel DEF	1	3	2	2
D Silva MID	1	4		1
P Bravo MID	1	2	2	2
E Chilufya FWD	1	5	5	5
K Mbabu DEF	1	3	1	9
J Andersson DEF	1	2	3	10
K Askildsen MID		1
D Castillo MID		4
Paulinho DEF				2
L Han-Beom DEF		1		1
C Sörensen DEF		1	1	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1448	47	119
M Sörensen	O. Diao	A Buksa

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Sörensen DEF	1448	25	92
O. Diao DEF	1271	47	112
J Andersson DEF	824	27	51
O Sørensen MID	748	26	68
A Şimşir FWD	585	8	117
K Mbabu DEF	573	36	96
V Jensen DEF	568	39	66
E Ólafsson GLK	504		9
D Silva MID	429	12	40
D Osorio MID	421	36	100
P Bravo MID	399	46	89
V Andreasen MID	370	19	45
F Djú FWD	325	17	63
K Askildsen MID	275	13	35
A Buksa FWD	274	12	119
D Castillo MID	243	12	55
M. Gogorza Krüger-Johnsen FWD	235	7	41
L Han-Beom DEF	235	6	23
A Gabriel DEF	216	7	20
Juninho DEF	201	5	29
J Lössl GLK	195		5
C Sörensen DEF	184	2	6
Paulinho DEF	145	8	20
E Chilufya FWD	111	6	22

AGF Aarhus Superligaen squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	19	5	6
P Mortensen	P Mortensen	M Anderson	N Poulsen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Kristensen FWD	28	8	2	4 -
P Mortensen FWD	28	19		2 -
J Hansen GLK	27			-
F Tingager DEF	27	2		-
F Beijmo DEF	27	2	4	3 1
M Madsen MID	27	5	3	4 1
M Anderson FWD	26	5	5	5 -
E Kahl DEF	25		2	4 -
G Links MID	25	2	3	2 -
N Poulsen MID	24	1	2	6 -
H Dalsgaard DEF	22	1		2 -
K Arnstad MID	20		1	5 -
F Brandhof MID	18			2 -
J Andersen DEF	16		1	4 -
Y Badji FWD	15	1	3	-
J Jensen-Abbew DEF	14			1
M Power MID	14			1 -
T Mölgaard DEF	12			2 -
T. Bach MID	12			1 -
M Akoto DEF	7			-
M Duelund MID	4			-
L Wahlstedt GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	34	5	13
P Mortensen	P Mortensen	M Anderson	M Anderson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Mortensen FWD	19	34		6
T Kristensen FWD	8	22	2	12
M Madsen MID	5	18	3	10
M Anderson FWD	5	24	5	13
F Tingager DEF	2	8		2
F Beijmo DEF	2	12	4	10
G Links MID	2	13	3	8
N Poulsen MID	1	5	2	7
H Dalsgaard DEF	1	3		2
Y Badji FWD	1	3	3	3
M Power MID				2
M Duelund MID		1
M Akoto DEF		1
K Arnstad MID		5	1	4
J Jensen-Abbew DEF				2
J Andersen DEF		1	1	3
F Brandhof MID		1		1
E Kahl DEF		2	2	10

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1973	53	137
F Tingager	M Madsen	F Tingager

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Tingager DEF	1973	36	137
E Kahl DEF	1392	32	81
F Beijmo DEF	1084	30	63
M Madsen MID	1031	53	135
H Dalsgaard DEF	1006	22	72
N Poulsen MID	1002	44	78
J Hansen GLK	911	1	13
G Links MID	729	40	105
M Anderson FWD	688	25	122
K Arnstad MID	567	29	65
J Jensen-Abbew DEF	464	6	23
T Kristensen FWD	447	11	63
T Mölgaard DEF	406	18	38
P Mortensen FWD	348	8	93
F Brandhof MID	223	14	39
M Power MID	169	9	17
J Andersen DEF	145	6	26
Y Badji FWD	97	7	42
M Akoto DEF	94	5	14
L Wahlstedt GLK	38
T. Bach MID	20	3	4
M Duelund MID	9		2

Danish Superligaen match betting previews, predictions and odds

Randers v Nordsjaelland

Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus

Sun 4th May, 17:00

Sonderjyske v Aalborg

Mon 5th May, 18:00

Silkeborg v Sonderjyske

Sun 11th May, 13:00

Nordsjaelland v Brondby

Kobenhavn v Midtjylland

Sun 11th May, 19:00

Vejle v Lyngby

Mon 12th May, 18:00

Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus : Superligaen match betting preview, prediction and odds

Midtjylland have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Superligaen league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

AGF Aarhus are in 6th position in the Superligaen on 40 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Midtjylland v AGF Aarhus Superligaen lLine ups will show here when available.

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