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Libertad v Orense : Liga Pro match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga Pro, and Geovanny Patricio Cumbicus Castillo’s Libertad will have the blessing of it on Saturday night. Nicolás Alejandro Chietino’s Orense are their visitors to the Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga Pro Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Libertad's next match is v Aucas at 19:00 on Sunday 5th May
Orense's next match is v El Nacional at 01:00 on Saturday 4th May

The last Ecuadorian Liga Pro meeting between Libertad and Orense was on Saturday 27th April 2024

Ecuadorian Liga Pro

April 27th 2024

Libertad 1	1 Orense

L. Disanto 79'	83' P. Velasco Arboleda


Shots On	2 7
Shots Off	4 8
Corners	3 2
Possession	62% 38%
Fouls	17 9
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Libertad	Orense

J. Bolado B. Caicedo Jurado M. Hernández Porozo J. Alvacete J. Bolaños Cervantes L. Angulo Quiñonez (D. Ávila Murillo 46') P. Larrea Arellano (A. Ávila Tavera 67') I. Zambrano Vera L. Disanto T. Donsanti (L. Bazán 67') J. Uchuari Pintado (R. Borja Suárez 67')	R. Silva G. Achilier Zurita M. Quiñones Mendoza Y. Erique Villigua P. Velasco Arboleda S. Kubiszyn B. Viñán Rodríguez (R. Calderón Llori 88') E. Pluas Vera (J. Andrade de la Torre 58') D. Coronel Ocampo (C. Barros Mirabal 89') M. Eggel W. Herrera

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Libertad and Orense during the regulation 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. With no obvious winner in sight, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Libertad are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Libertad 38%	31/20 2%	-	-	-
Draw 29%	9/5 7%	-	-	-
Orense 33%	21/10 7%	-	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2 8%	-	-	-
Libertad 1-0 13%	11/2 13%	-	-	-
Orense 1-0 11%	13/2 12%	-	-	-
Draw 0-0 11%	5/1 20%	-	-	-
Libertad 2-1 8%	10/1 10%	-	-	-
Libertad 2-0 7%	10/1	-	-	-
Orense 2-1 7%	11/1 9%	-	-	-
Orense 2-0 6%	12/1	-	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 13%	-	-	-
Libertad 3-1 3%	25/1 24%	-	-	-
Libertad 3-0 3%	25/1 13%	-	-	-
Orense 3-1 3%	28/1 12%	-	-	-
Orense 3-0 2%	33/1 17%	-	-	-
Libertad 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	-	-	-
Orense 3-2 1%	40/1	-	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	8/5 16%	-	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	19/40 9%	-	-	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	10/11 4%	-	-	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	11/8 6%	-	-	-
No 1st Goal 7%	5/1 20%	-	-	-
BTTS - Yes 45%	11/10 15%	-	-	-
BTTS - No 55%	4/6 9%	-	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	11/2 18%	-	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2 4%	-	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7/1 23%	-	-	-
Home/draw 67%	4/11 3%	-	-	-
Away/draw 62%	1/2	-	-	-
Home/away 71%	2/5 3%	-	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 65%	1/2 10%	-	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 35%	6/4 17%	-	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	9/2 38%	-	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/7 7%	-	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	12/1 44%	-	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/25 3%	-	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	25/1 37%	-	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80 1%	-	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/8 4%	-	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	5/1 20%	-	-	-
Home DNB 59%	8/11	-	-	-
Away DNB 53%	1/1	-	-	-
Libertad win to nil 24%	11/4 6%	-	-	-
Orense win to nil 20%	7/2	-	-	-
Libertad / Libertad 19%	10/3 8%	-	-	-
Libertad / Orense 2%	33/1 17%	-	-	-
Libertad / Draw 6%	14/1	-	-	-
Draw / Libertad 15%	9/2	-	-	-
Draw / Orense 13%	11/2	-	-	-
Draw / Draw 21%	3/1 11%	-	-	-
Orense / Libertad 2%	33/1 17%	-	-	-
Orense / Orense 17%	4/1 5%	-	-	-
Orense / Draw 6%	14/1	-	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 18

Conceded

11 / 18

Clean sheets

7 / 18

Failed to score

8 / 18

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Libertad	0 - 3	Guayaquil
Libertad	1 - 0	Tecnico
Libertad	0 - 1	Catolica
Libertad	3 - 1	Cumbaya
Libertad	0 - 2	LDU Quito
Libertad	3 - 0	Gualaceo
Libertad	1 - 0	G. City
Libertad	0 - 1	El Nacional
Libertad	0 - 1	Mushuc
Libertad	1 - 3	Delfin
Libertad	0 - 0	Emelec
Libertad	1 - 0	Tecnico
Libertad	2 - 2	Catolica
Libertad	2 - 2	Guayaquil
Libertad	0 - 0	Orense
Libertad	0 - 0	I. Valle
Libertad	2 - 2	Aucas
Libertad	3 - 1	Cuenca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Libertad	0 - 0	Cumbaya
H	Libertad	0 - 3	Guayaquil
A	Libertad	0 - 3	I. Valle
H	Libertad	1 - 0	Tecnico
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Delfin
A	Libertad	0 - 3	Macara
H	Libertad	0 - 1	Catolica
A	Libertad	1 - 2	Mushuc
H	Libertad	3 - 1	Cumbaya
A	Libertad	1 - 1	Tecnico
H	Libertad	0 - 2	LDU Quito
A	Libertad	0 - 0	Catolica
H	Libertad	3 - 0	Gualaceo
A	Libertad	0 - 1	Guayaquil
H	Libertad	1 - 0	G. City
A	Libertad	0 - 3	Orense
H	Libertad	0 - 1	El Nacional
A	Libertad	0 - 2	I. Valle
H	Libertad	0 - 1	Mushuc
A	Libertad	2 - 1	Aucas

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Macara	0 - 0	Orense
Catolica	5 - 1	Orense
Guayaquil	0 - 0	Orense
Aucas	2 - 0	Orense
I. Valle	2 - 2	Orense
Cumbaya	0 - 1	Orense
Tecnico	2 - 1	Orense
LDU Quito	1 - 0	Orense
Cuenca	1 - 0	Orense
G. City	1 - 0	Orense
Emelec	0 - 0	Orense
Aucas	2 - 0	Orense
Mushuc	3 - 1	Orense
Guayaquil	2 - 0	Orense
El Nacional	3 - 1	Orense
Libertad	0 - 0	Orense
Catolica	1 - 1	Orense
Gualaceo	2 - 1	Orense
Delfin	1 - 1	Orense
G. City	1 - 1	Orense

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Orense	1 - 0	LDU Quito
A	Orense	0 - 0	Macara
H	Orense	2 - 2	Mushuc
A	Orense	1 - 5	Catolica
H	Orense	1 - 1	Emelec
H	Orense	1 - 2	Imbabura
A	Orense	0 - 0	Guayaquil
H	Orense	1 - 1	Cuenca
A	Orense	0 - 2	Aucas
H	Orense	1 - 2	Aucas
A	Orense	2 - 2	I. Valle
H	Orense	1 - 0	Mushuc
A	Orense	1 - 0	Cumbaya
H	Orense	2 - 3	Guayaquil
H	Orense	1 - 1	El Nacional
A	Orense	1 - 2	Tecnico
H	Orense	3 - 0	Libertad
A	Orense	0 - 1	LDU Quito
H	Orense	1 - 2	Catolica
A	Orense	0 - 1	Cuenca

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Libertad of late. It has been 8 Liga Pro games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Orense.

	Libertad 16th	Orense 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Libertad will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Orense will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
18 home / away league games	-35 Libertad have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted	-32 Orense have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.5 conceded

Statistics Liga Pro - 2024/2024 Season

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		7
Failed to score	5		3
Scored first	4		2
Goals scored	6		8
Avg. goals scored	0.6		0.8
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate	0%		0%
KickOff rating		+11%

12%

better

view stats

Games conceded	8		7
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	5		6
Goals conceded	17		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate	0%		0%
KickOff rating		+12%

Libertad v Orense Liga Pro lLine ups will show here when available.

Libertad Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	1	1	3
D Bolaños	L. Disanto	J Pintado	L. Disanto

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Bolado GLK	4			-
D Bolaños DEF	7			2 -
B Caicedo DEF	5			-
P Larrea DEF	6			-
J Hernández DEF	5			1 -
L. Disanto MID	7	1		3 -
J. Alvacete MID	6			2 -
I Zambrano MID	7	1		1 -
J Pintado MID	4		1	2 -
L. Angulo Quiñonez MID	2			-
T Donsanti FWD	4		1	1 -
Subs
E Bores GLK	3			1 -
F Carabalí DEF				-
R Farías DEF	3			-
C Enciso DEF	5			1 -
A Ávila DEF	7	1		-
G. Valenzuela MID	1			-
J. Caicedo Cortez MID	5			-
J. Huilca Lara MID	3			1 -
R. Borja Suárez FWD	2			-
L Basan FWD	7		1	3 -
D Ávila FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	6	1	2
L. Disanto	L Basan	J Pintado	L Basan

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L. Disanto MID	1	2
I Zambrano MID	1	1		1
B Caicedo DEF		1
J Hernández DEF				1
J. Alvacete MID		1
J Pintado MID		1	1	1
L. Angulo Quiñonez MID		1
T Donsanti FWD		5	1	1
Subs
A Ávila DEF	1	1		1
L Basan FWD		6	1	2
D Ávila FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
190	20	42
A Ávila	D Bolaños	I Zambrano

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L. Disanto MID	183	13	20
J. Alvacete MID	166	8	23
D Bolaños DEF	144	20	35
I Zambrano MID	141	9	42
B Caicedo DEF	112	7	17
J Hernández DEF	112	11	23
J Bolado GLK	94		2
P Larrea DEF	84	6	11
T Donsanti FWD	49	1	12
J Pintado MID	48		11
L. Angulo Quiñonez MID	16		5
Subs
A Ávila DEF	190	13	25
C Enciso DEF	99	3	12
L Basan FWD	81	1	20
E Bores GLK	75		4
J. Caicedo Cortez MID	53	1	12
R Farías DEF	47	3	6
J. Huilca Lara MID	28	1	4
D Ávila FWD	25	2	6
R. Borja Suárez FWD	14	2	8
G. Valenzuela MID	7

Orense Liga Pro squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	1	4
R Silva	W. Herrera	P Velasco	M. Eggel

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Silva GLK	8			-
P Velasco DEF	8		1	-
S Quiñónez DEF	2			-
G Achilier DEF	8	1		2 -
Y Villigua DEF	6		1	3 -
S. Kubiszyn MID	3			-
E Plúas MID	8			1 -
W. Herrera MID	7	3		1 -
M. Eggel MID	8		1	4 -
B Rodriguez MID	5			1 -
D Coronel FWD	7	1		-
Subs
J Cárdenas GLK				-
N Grecco DEF	3			-
E Viera MID	6			1 -
C Barros MID	6			-
R Calderón MID	7			2 -
J Andrade MID	4			-
J Monaga MID	2			-
S Cabrera MID				-
B Quinonez MID	4			1 1
M. Ortiz Solorzano MID				-
E. Mélendres MID				-
A. Suarez Calderon FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	1	2
W. Herrera	W. Herrera	P Velasco	M. Eggel

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W. Herrera MID	3	8
G Achilier DEF	1	1
D Coronel FWD	1	5
P Velasco DEF		1	1	1
S Quiñónez DEF		1
Y Villigua DEF			1	1
M. Eggel MID		5	1	2
B Rodriguez MID		1		1
Subs
C Barros MID		1
R Calderón MID		3		1
J Andrade MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
370	16	40
G Achilier	E Plúas	G Achilier

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
G Achilier DEF	370	5	40
E Plúas MID	352	16	36
R Silva GLK	239		3
P Velasco DEF	238	5	21
Y Villigua DEF	185	14	27
M. Eggel MID	168	6	22
W. Herrera MID	124	7	40
B Rodriguez MID	90	4	12
S Quiñónez DEF	66	3	12
D Coronel FWD	52	3	15
S. Kubiszyn MID	50	4	8
Subs
B Quinonez MID	188	3	20
E Viera MID	177	4	14
R Calderón MID	153	4	17
N Grecco DEF	97	1	13
C Barros MID	59	4	12
J Monaga MID	32	1	3
J Andrade MID	29	4	8
A. Suarez Calderon FWD	7