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Leeds United v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

Saturday lunch time sees Daniel Farke’s Leeds United and Russell Martin’s Southampton go head to head in a Championship battle at the Elland Road. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Leeds United's next match is v Norwich at 20:00 on Thursday 16th May
Southampton's next match is v West Brom at 20:00 on Friday 17th May
The last English Championship meeting between Leeds and Southampton was on Saturday 4th May 2024
English Championship
May 4th 2024
Leeds 1
2 Southampton
 
J. Piroe 21'18' A. Armstrong
35' W. Smallbone
 
LEE
SOU
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
5
2
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
16
19
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
LeedsSouthampton
 
I. Meslier
J. Rodon
S. Byram (C. Roberts 78')
H. Firpo Adames
G. Kamara (A. Gray 62')
E. Ampadu
I. Gruev (J. Gelhardt 82')
C. Summerville
J. Piroefootball icon
G. Rutter (M. Joseph Fernández Regatillo 62')
D. Gnonto (J. Anthony 62')
A. McCarthy
J. Bednarek
T. Harwood-Bellis
(J. Bree 83') K. Walker-Peters
(R. Fraser 46') R. Manning
J. Stephens
J. Aribo
football iconW. Smallbone
(J. Rothwell 68') F. Downes
(R. Stewart 83') football iconA. Armstrong
(K. Sulemana 61') C. Adams
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of Leeds and Southampton serving up at least 2 goals in this Championship clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leeds
57%
13/20
5%
4/6
3%
Draw
22%
10/3
20%
10/3
11%
Southampton
21%
15/417/5
22%
Draw 1-1
10%
8/1
29%
7/1
Leeds 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
Leeds 1-0
9%
11/1
50%
9/1
9%
Leeds 2-0
9%
10/1
22%
17/2
14%
Leeds 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Leeds 3-0
6%
14/111/1
20%
Southampton 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
8%
10/1
Southampton 1-0
5%
20/1
40%
14/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/1
75%
14/1
12%
Leeds 3-2
4%
16/1
26%
12/1
13%
Leeds 4-1
3%
20/1
19%
14/1
12%
Southampton 2-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Leeds 4-0
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
17%
Southampton 3-1
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/9
17%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
7/4
31%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/9
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
20/1
75%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/9
14%
10/21
3%
BTTS - No
43%
13/8
25%
6/4
4%
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/4
19%
17/10
4%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
13%
5/1
9%
Home/draw
79%
2/111/5
4%
Away/draw
43%
6/5
7%
23/20
8%
Home/away
78%
1/5
7%
1/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/8
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5/1
39%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
11/10
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
8/11
20%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5/2
30%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
3/10
11%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
5/1
40%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/8
6%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/66
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/1
75%
-
Home DNB
72%
2/72/7
5%
Away DNB
36%
5/223/10
15%
Leeds win to nil
29%
5/2
8%
-
Southampton win to nil
10%
10/1
22%
-
Leeds / Leeds
32%
6/4
9%
6/4
7%
Leeds / Southampton
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Leeds / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw / Leeds
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
8%
Draw / Southampton
8%
10/1
16%
8/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
25%
11/2
7%
Southampton / Leeds
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Southampton / Southampton
11%
13/211/2
8%
Southampton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 41 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 9 and lost 9 matches. They have kept 17 clean sheets and have failed to score in 9 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 85 goals to 80 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 22 games at home winning 16, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 44 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Southampton are in 4th position in the Championship on 84 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 31 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Southampton have conceded 14 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Leeds
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Southampton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Leicester46314114897 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4A
 Ipswich46281263596 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
-
-
 Leeds Home46279103890 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
 Southampton A46269112487 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 West Brom462112132375 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
 Norwich462110151573 
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Hull46191314870 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
3-4A
 M'Boro4620917969 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Coventry461713161164 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
 Preston4618919-1163 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Bristol C46171118262 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
 Cardiff4619522-1762 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Millwall46161119-1059 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-4F
 Swansea46151219-657 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Watford46131716056 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Sunderland4616822-256 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Stoke46151120-1156 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-0A
 QPR46151120-1156 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Blackburn46141121-1453 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
 Sheff Wed4615823-2453 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
 Plymouth46131221-1151 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Birmingham46131122-1550 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Huddersfield4691819-2945 
w
 
5-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Rotherham4651229-5227 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Leeds 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Southampton 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leeds since 1993
Leeds
Southampton
Goals: Scored
20
9
Games: Scored
12 / 19
7 / 19
Clean sheets
12 / 19
7 / 19
LEE
10
D
6
SOU
3
All league games since 1992
Leeds
Southampton
Goals: Scored
48
35
Games: Scored
27 / 39
21 / 39
Clean sheets
18 / 39
12 / 39
LEE
18
D
9
SOU
12
Goal Statistics
Leeds 3rd Southampton 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Southampton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Leeds’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Southampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260076/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leeds
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
LEE
SOU
14%
better
view stats
Games scored37
41
Failed to score10
6
Scored first22
32
Goals scored81
87
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate17%
17%
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
15%
better
LEE
SOU
view stats
Games conceded27
34
Clean sheets20
13
Conceded first21
13
Goals conceded43
63
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+15%

Leeds v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4719169
E AmpaduC SummervilleG RutterE Ampadu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Meslier GLK45
4
1
S Byram DEF3421
3
-
E Ampadu DEF471
9
-
J Rodon DEF44
6
-
J Firpo DEF277
6
-
I Gruev MID301
7
-
G Kamara MID383
3
-
W Gnonto MID3782
5
-
G Rutter MID46616
6
-
C Summerville MID44199
7
-
J Piroe FWD43133
2
-
Subs
K Darlow GLK2
-
L Cooper DEF151
-
C Roberts DEF1211
1
-
C Cresswell DEF5
-
J Shackleton MID111
2
-
A Gray MID4512
2
-
J Anthony FWD321
-
J Gelhardt FWD10
1
-
M Joseph FWD201
1
-
Southampton Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
45211312
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McCarthy GLK6
-
K Walker-Peters DEF4433
4
-
J Bednarek DEF432
12
-
J Stephens DEF241
6
-
R Manning DEF382
9
-
T Harwood-Bellis MID4123
4
-
F Downes MID3422
10
-
W Smallbone MID4463
8
-
J Aribo FWD3641
5
-
C Adams FWD40154
4
-
A Armstrong FWD472113
5
-
Subs
J Lumley GLK
-
J Bree DEF191
1
J Rothwell MID164
2
-
K Sulemana MID253
4
1
S Edozie MID3263
2
-
S Charles MID32
6
-
R Fraser MID4062
5
-
D Brooks  MID1825
2
-
R Stewart FWD4
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds