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Middlesbrough v Watford : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Watford pay Championship counterparts Middlesbrough a visit on Saturday lunch time, as Tom Cleverley leads his side into an away clash with Michael Carrick & co. at the Riverside Stadium. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last English Championship meeting between M'Boro and Watford was on Saturday 4th May 2024
English Championship
May 4th 2024
M'Boro 3
1 Watford
 
E. Latte Lath 28'73' W. Hoedt
A. Bangura 78'
I. Jones 84'
 
MID
WAT
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
5
8
Corners
3
3
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
9
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
M'BoroWatford
 
S. Dieng
M. Clarke
L. Thomas (A. Bangura 66')
L. Ayling (J. Wilson 90')
R. van den Berg
L. McCabe (L. O'Brien 72')
F. Azaz
J. Howson (D. Barlaser 66')
I. Jonesfootball icon
A. Gilbert (S. Greenwood 72')
E. Latte Lathfootball icon
D. Bachmann
football iconW. Hoedt
(A. Eames 90') R. Andrews
(J. Grieves 79') M. Pollock
F. Sierralta Carvallo
I. Koné
(Z. Massiah-Edwards 90') Y. Asprilla Martínez
E. Kayembe
V. Bayo
(J. Morris 46') K. Sema
(M. Martins Silva dos Santos 55') M. Rajovic
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that M'Boro and Watford will score at least 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookies have it available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think M'Boro are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
M'Boro
44%
3/4
8%
3/4
4%
Draw
25%
16/5
24%
16/5
8%
Watford
31%
16/5
5%
3/1
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1
23%
13/2
7%
M'Boro 1-0
9%
10/1
47%
8/1
13%
M'Boro 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Watford 1-0
7%
18/1
58%
12/1
8%
Watford 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
M'Boro 2-0
7%
10/1
22%
17/2
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
18/1
90%
14/1
36%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
20%
10/1
Watford 2-0
5%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
M'Boro 3-1
5%
11/1
20%
10/1
M'Boro 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Watford 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
M'Boro 3-2
3%
18/1
27%
14/1
12%
Watford 3-2
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
9%
Watford 3-0
2%
40/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1/2
21%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
13/8
37%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
90%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/2
13%
1/2
7%
BTTS - No
43%
6/4
25%
7/5
12%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
2/1
25%
15/8
11%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/218/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/2
19%
19/4
4%
Home/draw
69%
2/92/9
2%
Away/draw
56%
1/1
9%
21/20
5%
Home/away
75%
2/9
6%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/7
12%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
9/2
47%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
6/5
35%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/6
26%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/4
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
2/7
15%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11/2
50%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/9
7%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/1
70%
-
Home DNB
61%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Away DNB
49%
9/4
8%
2/1
3%
M'Boro win to nil
22%
11/4
10%
-
Watford win to nil
15%
9/1
43%
-
M'Boro / M'Boro
30%
7/4
11%
13/8
5%
M'Boro / Watford
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
M'Boro / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / M'Boro
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
4%
Draw / Watford
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
27%
11/2
13%
Watford / M'Boro
5%
18/1
17%
14/1
12%
Watford / Watford
13%
11/25/1
Watford / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Championship table

M'Boro have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 6 and lost 12 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. M'Boro have outscored their opponents by 68 goals to 60 goals.

Home League Performance

M'Boro have played 22 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 9 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Watford are in 14th position in the Championship on 56 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 30 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 11 and won 4. Watford have conceded 43 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

M'Boro
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Watford
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Leicester46314114897 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Ipswich46281263596 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-4F
l
 
3-2F
 Leeds46279103890 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Southampton46269112487 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2A
 West Brom462112132375 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Norwich462110151573 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
 Hull46191314870 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
-
-
 M'Boro Home4620917969 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-3F
l
 
3-0A
 Coventry461713161164 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Preston4618919-1163 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-5A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-2A
 Bristol C46171118262 
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
 Cardiff4619522-1762 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3A
 Millwall46161119-1059 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Swansea46151219-657 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Watford Away46131716056 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Sunderland4616822-256 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Stoke46151120-1156 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
 QPR46151120-1156 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
 Blackburn46141121-1453 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Sheff Wed4615823-2453 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3F
 Plymouth46131221-1151 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Birmingham46131122-1550 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Huddersfield4691819-2945 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Rotherham4651229-5227 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
M'Boro 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Watford 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at M'Boro since 1994
M'Boro
Watford
Goals: Scored
18
12
Games: Scored
11 / 13
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
2 / 13
MID
5
D
5
WAT
3
All league games since 1993
M'Boro
Watford
Goals: Scored
31
33
Games: Scored
19 / 27
23 / 27
Clean sheets
4 / 27
8 / 27
MID
8
D
8
WAT
11
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Watford on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

M'Boro 8th Watford 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that M'Boro will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Watford will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
M'Boro have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Watford’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260078/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
M'Boro
PG (predicted goals)
Watford
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
14%
better
MID
WAT
view stats
Games scored37
33
Failed to score9
13
Scored first25
21
Goals scored71
61
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
MID
WAT
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded35
32
Clean sheets11
14
Conceded first20
19
Goals conceded62
61
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate15%
14%
KickOff rating
+8%

M'Boro v Watford Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321258
S DiengE LathL AylingL Ayling
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dieng GLK32
2
-
L Ayling DEF175
8
-
R Berg DEF311
2
-
M Clarke DEF213
2
-
L Thomas DEF9
-
J Howson MID3522
8
-
L. McCabe MID1
-
I Jones MID3263
7
-
F Azaz MID1732
1
-
A Gilbert MID91
-
E Lath FWD2712
5
-
Subs
S. Connor GLK
-
A Dijksteel DEF18
1
-
A Bangura DEF1211
1
-
D Barlaser MID292
2
-
J. Wilson MID
-
L O'Brien MID211
1
-
S Greenwood MID3653
7
-
S Silvera FWD3542
-
J Coburn FWD2151
2
-
Watford Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4110611
W HoedtM RajovicY AsprillaW Hoedt
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Bachmann GLK24
4
-
F Carvallo DEF231
3
-
M Pollock DEF17
2
-
W Hoedt DEF4122
11
-
K Sema MID2614
1
-
I Koné MID3942
3
-
E Kayembe MID3252
6
-
R Andrews MID3722
6
1
V Bayo FWD3663
2
1
M Rajovic FWD3810
1
-
Y Asprilla FWD4166
7
-
Subs
B Hamer GLK19
3
-
J Morris DEF11
2
-
A. Eames DEF
-
Z. Massiah-Edwards MID
-
L. Ramirez-Espain MID
-
J Livermore MID2931
9
-
M Martins FWD3652
3
-
J Grieves FWD
-
A. Nabizada FWD
-
English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds