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Swansea City v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Luke Williams and Neil Harris take on one another in the Championship on Saturday lunch time, as Swansea City face Millwall at the Liberty Stadium. All of the important statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

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The last English Championship meeting between Swansea and Millwall was on Saturday 4th May 2024

English Championship

May 4th 2024

Swansea 0	1 Millwall

	72' C. De Norre

	SWA MIL
Shots On	2 4
Shots Off	3 2
Corners	4 5
Possession	69% 31%
Fouls	3 5
Yellow/red cards	1/1 2/1

Swansea	Millwall

C. Rushworth J. Tymon B. Humphreys J. Key B. Cabango J. Paterson (J. Yates 74') C. Patino (L. Walsh 61') M. Grimes O. Cooper (J. Lowe 61') R. Pereira Martins (A. Abdulai 73') L. Cullen	M. Šarkić D. McNamara J. Tanganga J. Cooper (S. Hutchinson 87') Z. Flemming (G. Saville 77') B. Mitchell C. De Norre (D. Watmore 58') R. Esse (B. Norton-Cuffy 58') R. Leonard R. Longman (G. Honeyman 77') T. Bradshaw

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Swansea and Millwall combined during 90 minutes. Up to date form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swansea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Swansea 43%	1/1 9%	21/20 5%
Draw 28%	13/5 11%	5/2 3%
Millwall 29%	13/5 11%	5/2 6%
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	11/2 8%
Swansea 1-0 13%	13/2 7%	13/2 15%
Millwall 1-0 10%	10/1 22%	9/1 18%
Draw 0-0 10%	10/1 22%	17/2 19%
Swansea 2-1 9%	15/2 11%	7/1
Swansea 2-0 8%	17/2 5%	8/1
Millwall 2-1 7%	12/1 8%	10/1 10%
Millwall 2-0 5%	18/1 27%	14/1 15%
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	11/1 8%
Swansea 3-1 4%	14/1 21%	12/1 13%
Swansea 3-0 4%	16/1 19%	14/1
Millwall 3-1 2%	28/1	20/1
Swansea 3-2 2%	25/1 10%	18/1 10%
Millwall 3-0 2%	40/1 21%	28/1 12%
Millwall 3-2 1%	33/1 17%	22/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	4/5 14%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	1/1 16%	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	8/13 6%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/4 4%	-
No 1st Goal 6%	10/1 22%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	8/11 5%	7/10 8%
BTTS - No 54%	1/1 9%	21/20 11%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	3/1 16%	11/4 13%
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 71%	2/7 3%	2/7 1%
Away/draw 57%	4/5 8%	3/4 5%
Home/away 72%	2/7 3%	2/7 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	2/7 5%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	11/4 17%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	11/5 20%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	4/11 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	9/2 31%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/7 6%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	12/1 24%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/25 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/20 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	10/1 22%	-
Home DNB 63%	4/9 8%	10/21 3%
Away DNB 48%	13/8 16%	6/4 5%
Swansea win to nil 26%	5/2	-
Millwall win to nil 17%	11/2 18%	-
Swansea / Swansea 25%	11/5 11%	21/10 9%
Swansea / Millwall 3%	33/1	22/1 12%
Swansea / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	11/1
Draw / Swansea 16%	4/1 9%	19/5 4%
Draw / Millwall 10%	7/1 14%	13/2 7%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 16%	4/1 9%
Millwall / Swansea 4%	22/1 12%	18/1 10%
Millwall / Millwall 14%	5/1 9%	9/2 5%
Millwall / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 8 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Swansea have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

Swansea have played 22 games at home winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 9 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 27 goals at home.

Millwall are in 16th position in the Championship on 56 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 26 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 8. Millwall have conceded 43 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Swansea

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Millwall

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 1-3F	l 3-1A	Leicester	46	31	4	11	48	97	w 1-0F	l 3-2F
l 1-2A	l 3-2F	Ipswich	46	28	12	6	35	96	l 0-4A	l 3-1A
l 0-4A	l 3-1F	Leeds	46	27	9	10	38	90	l 0-3A	l 2-0A
l 1-3A	l 5-0A	Southampton	46	26	9	11	24	87	l 0-1A	w 1-2F
w 1-0F	l 3-2A	West Brom	46	21	12	13	23	75	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
w 2-1F	d 2-2F	Norwich	46	21	10	15	15	73	w 1-0F	l 3-1A
d 2-2F	w 0-1F	Hull	46	19	13	14	8	70	d 2-2F	l 1-0A
l 1-2A	l 2-0A	M'Boro	46	20	9	17	9	69	l 1-3F	w 0-1F
d 1-1A	d 2-2F	Coventry	46	17	13	16	11	64	l 0-3A	l 2-1F
w 2-1F	l 2-1F	Preston	46	18	9	19	-11	63	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Bristol C	46	17	11	18	2	62	l 0-1A	w 0-1F
w 2-0F	l 2-0A	Cardiff	46	19	5	22	-17	62	w 3-1F	l 1-0A
l 0-1A	w 0-3F	Millwall Away	46	16	11	19	-10	59	-	-
-	-	Swansea Home	46	15	12	19	-6	57	l 0-3A	w 0-1F
l 0-1A	d 1-1F	Watford	46	13	17	16	0	56	w 1-0F	d 2-2A
d 0-00-0	w 1-2F	Sunderland	46	16	8	22	-2	56	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
w 3-0F	d 1-1A	Stoke	46	15	11	20	-11	56	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
l 0-1A	d 1-1F	QPR	46	15	11	20	-11	56	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
w 2-1F	w 0-1F	Blackburn	46	14	11	21	-14	53	l 1-2F	d 1-1F
w 3-0F	d 1-1A	Sheff Wed	46	15	8	23	-24	53	l 0-2A	w 0-4F
l 0-1A	w 1-3A	Plymouth	46	13	12	21	-11	51	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
d 1-1A	d 2-2F	Birmingham	46	13	11	22	-15	50	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
d 1-1A	w 0-4F	Huddersfield	46	9	18	19	-29	45	d 1-1F	l 1-0A
w 1-0F	w 1-2F	Rotherham	46	5	12	29	-52	27	w 3-0F	l 2-1A

Win / draw / win form

Millwall have won 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM
Swansea	1 - 0	Rotherham
Swansea	3 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	0 - 1	QPR
Swansea	2 - 0	Cardiff
Swansea	2 - 1	Blackburn
Swansea	1 - 2	Ipswich
Swansea	0 - 4	Leeds
Swansea	0 - 1	Plymouth
Swansea	1 - 3	Southampton
Swansea	1 - 0	West Brom
Swansea	2 - 1	Preston
Swansea	1 - 2	M'Boro
Swansea	1 - 1	Huddersfield
Swansea	2 - 2	Hull
Swansea	0 - 0	Sunderland
Swansea	0 - 1	Watford
Swansea	1 - 3	Leicester
Swansea	2 - 1	Norwich
Swansea	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
Swansea	1 - 2	Bristol C

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Swansea	2 - 2	Norwich
A	Swansea	4 - 0	Huddersfield
H	Swansea	1 - 0	Rotherham
H	Swansea	3 - 0	Stoke
A	Swansea	0 - 2	M'Boro
H	Swansea	0 - 1	QPR
A	Swansea	1 - 1	Sheff Wed
H	Swansea	2 - 0	Cardiff
A	Swansea	0 - 1	Bristol C
A	Swansea	1 - 1	Watford
H	Swansea	2 - 1	Blackburn
A	Swansea	2 - 1	Sunderland
H	Swansea	1 - 2	Ipswich
H	Swansea	0 - 4	Leeds
A	Swansea	1 - 0	Hull
H	Swansea	0 - 1	Plymouth
A	Swansea	1 - 3	Leicester
H	Swansea	1 - 3	Southampton
A	Swansea	2 - 2	Birmingham
H	Swansea	1 - 0	West Brom

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Sunderland	0 - 1	Millwall
Huddersfield	1 - 0	Millwall
Rotherham	2 - 1	Millwall
Leeds	2 - 0	Millwall
Blackburn	1 - 1	Millwall
Southampton	1 - 2	Millwall
Coventry	2 - 1	Millwall
Hull	1 - 0	Millwall
QPR	2 - 0	Millwall
Bristol C	0 - 1	Millwall
Stoke	0 - 0	Millwall
Leicester	3 - 2	Millwall
Cardiff	1 - 0	Millwall
Ipswich	3 - 1	Millwall
Sheff Wed	0 - 4	Millwall
Watford	2 - 2	Millwall
Preston	1 - 1	Millwall
Plymouth	0 - 2	Millwall
West Brom	0 - 0	Millwall
Birmingham	1 - 1	Millwall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Plymouth
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Sunderland
H	Millwall	3 - 1	Cardiff
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Leicester
A	Millwall	0 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Millwall	1 - 2	Rotherham
H	Millwall	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Millwall	0 - 2	Leeds
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Birmingham
A	Millwall	1 - 1	Blackburn
H	Millwall	1 - 0	Watford
A	Millwall	2 - 1	Southampton
H	Millwall	0 - 2	Sheff Wed
H	Millwall	0 - 4	Ipswich
A	Millwall	1 - 2	Coventry
A	Millwall	0 - 1	Hull
H	Millwall	1 - 1	Preston
A	Millwall	0 - 2	QPR
H	Millwall	1 - 3	M'Boro
A	Millwall	1 - 0	Bristol C

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Swansea

Millwall

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

2 / 8

SWA

MIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Swansea	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Millwall
Swansea	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Millwall
Swansea	2 - 0

Swansea

Millwall

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

14 / 17

10 / 17

Clean sheets

7 / 17

3 / 17

SWA

MIL

FIXTURE HISTORY
	0 - 3	Swansea
Millwall	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Swansea
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Swansea
Swansea	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Millwall
Swansea	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Swansea
	0 - 2	Swansea
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Millwall
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Millwall	2 - 0
Swansea	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Millwall's defensive record is very strong, Neil Harris's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Swansea City makes sense in this context.

	Swansea 14th	Millwall 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Millwall will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-16 Swansea have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted	-6 Millwall’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.2 conceded

Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season

13%

better

SWA

MIL

view stats

Games scored	36		32
Failed to score	10		14
Scored first	25		27
Goals scored	59		45
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate	15%		13%
KickOff rating		+13%

SWA

MIL

13%

better

view stats

Games conceded	36		30
Clean sheets	10		16
Conceded first	20		17
Goals conceded	65		55
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate	15%		14%
KickOff rating		+13%

Swansea v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
43	8	5	9
C Rushworth	J Lowe	J Tymon	J Tymon

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Rushworth GLK	43			1 -
J Key DEF	26	2	1	1 -
B Cabango DEF	32		1	8 -
B Humphreys DEF	23	1		2 -
J Tymon DEF	38		5	9 -
C Patino MID	31	3	4	2 -
M Grimes MID	43	3	5	5 -
Ronald MID	15	2		-
O Cooper MID	31	1	2	6 -
J Paterson MID	41	6	5	6 -
L Cullen FWD	42	7	4	8 -
Subs
A Fisher GLK				-
N Wood DEF	25	1		6 -
F. Lissah DEF				-
L Walsh MID	17	1		3 -
A Abdulai MID	5			-
D. Govea Merlín FWD	5			-
J Yates FWD	40	7	1	2 -
J Lowe FWD	32	8	3	6 -
M Kukharevych FWD	10	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	22	5	13
J Lowe	J Lowe	J Tymon	J Paterson

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Cullen FWD	7	19	4	4
J Paterson MID	6	17	5	13
M Grimes MID	3	8	5	4
C Patino MID	3	4	4	4
J Key DEF	2	2	1	5
Ronald MID	2	8		4
B Humphreys DEF	1	2		1
O Cooper MID	1	4	2	1
B Cabango DEF		3	1	2
J Tymon DEF		5	5	5
Subs
J Lowe FWD	8	22	3	5
J Yates FWD	7	16	1	3
N Wood DEF	1	5
L Walsh MID	1	3		1
M Kukharevych FWD	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3402	77	173
M Grimes	M Grimes	M Grimes

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Grimes MID	3402	77	173
B Cabango DEF	1906	46	143
C Rushworth GLK	1831	1	17
J Tymon DEF	1626	58	124
B Humphreys DEF	1231	22	72
J Paterson MID	1000	60	142
J Key DEF	948	47	119
C Patino MID	679	20	83
L Cullen FWD	505	34	104
Ronald MID	315	32	96
O Cooper MID	281	41	97
Subs
N Wood DEF	1549	25	97
J Lowe FWD	414	28	100
J Yates FWD	276	15	71
L Walsh MID	265	11	31
A Abdulai MID	63	5	15
M Kukharevych FWD	43	5	15
D. Govea Merlín FWD	13		3

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
41	7	5	12
J Cooper	Z Flemming	Z Flemming	G Saville

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Sarkic GLK	29			2 -
R Leonard DEF	32			9 -
J Tanganga DEF	15	2		3 -
J Cooper DEF	41	1		9 -
D McNamara DEF	30			7 -
R Longman MID	32	3	2	5 -
B Mitchell MID	32		2	4 -
C Norre MID	29		1	3 -
R Esse MID	23	2		1 -
T Bradshaw FWD	31	4	3	1 -
Z Flemming FWD	43	7	5	6 -
Subs
C Trueman GLK				-
S Hutchinson DEF	11	1		2 -
B Norton-Cuffy DEF	38	2	4	4 -
W Harding DEF	24	3		4 -
G Saville MID	37	2	4	11 1
G Honeyman MID	28		2	9 -
A Mayor FWD	4			-
D Watmore FWD	31	3	1	3 -
A Emakhu FWD	21	1	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	27	5	6
Z Flemming	Z Flemming	Z Flemming	G Saville

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Z Flemming FWD	7	27	5	4
T Bradshaw FWD	4	14	3	4
R Longman MID	3	10	2	2
J Tanganga DEF	2	3
R Esse MID	2	4		1
J Cooper DEF	1	9		5
R Leonard DEF		6		3
B Mitchell MID		3	2	1
C Norre MID		3	1	1
Subs
W Harding DEF	3	8
D Watmore FWD	3	12	1	4
B Norton-Cuffy DEF	2	10	4	4
G Saville MID	2	8	4	6
S Hutchinson DEF	1	1
A Emakhu FWD	1	7	1
G Honeyman MID		3	2	5

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1815	82	229
J Cooper	G Saville	J Cooper

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Cooper DEF	1815	28	229
R Leonard DEF	1093	78	171
C Norre MID	1071	50	90
B Mitchell MID	1035	36	95
Z Flemming FWD	1010	51	219
M Sarkic GLK	761		5
D McNamara DEF	621	43	98
J Tanganga DEF	501	22	73
R Longman MID	412	35	96
R Esse MID	277	22	54
T Bradshaw FWD	264	9	78
Subs
G Saville MID	983	82	200
W Harding DEF	922	31	84
G Honeyman MID	766	63	106
B Norton-Cuffy DEF	674	61	175
S Hutchinson DEF	371	20	56
D Watmore FWD	356	28	69
A Emakhu FWD	114	19	57
A Mayor FWD	7	1	3

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Leeds v Norwich

Thu 16th May, 20:00

Southampton v West Brom

Fri 17th May, 20:00

Swansea City v Millwall : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Swansea have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Millwall are in 16th position in the Championship on 56 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Swansea v Millwall Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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