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Crystal Palace v Aston Villa : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wembley Stadium, London

Oliver Glasner welcomes Unai Emery to the Wembley Stadium on Saturday evening, as their Crystal Palace and Aston Villa troops go head to head in the FA Cup. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

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Crystal Palace's next match is v Nottm Forest at 20:00 on Monday 5th May
Aston Villa's next match is v Fulham at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last English FA Cup meeting between C Palace and A Villa was on Saturday 26th April 2025
English FA Cup
April 26th 2025
C Palace 3
0 A Villa
 
E. Eze 31'
I. Sarr 58'
I. Sarr 90'
 
CRY
AVL
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
5
9
Corners
1
12
Possession
30%
70%
Fouls
9
5
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
C PalaceA Villa
 
D. Henderson
T. Mitchell (B. Chilwell 84')
M. Lacroix
M. Guehi
C. Richards
D. Muñoz Mejía
A. Wharton (W. Hughes 88')
D. Kamada
E. Ezefootball icon (J. Lerma Solís 88')
I. Sarrfootball iconfootball icon
J. Mateta (E. Nketiah 79')
D. Martínez
M. Cash
(I. Maatsen 60') L. Digne
P. Francisco Torres
E. Konsa Ngoyo
(D. Malen 79') M. Rogers
(R. Barkley 70') B. Kamara
Y. Tielemans
(L. Bailey Butler 60') J. McGinn
(J. Ramsey 69') M. Asensio Willemsen
O. Watkins

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that C Palace and A Villa will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. This is based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
C Palace
31%
9/4
22%
-
Draw
25%
23/10
3%
-
A Villa
44%
6/5
16%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
A Villa 1-0
10%
15/2
5%
-
A Villa 2-1
9%
8/1
10%
-
C Palace 1-0
8%
10/1
16%
-
A Villa 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
-
C Palace 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
C Palace 2-0
5%
16/1
31%
-
A Villa 3-1
5%
16/1
19%
-
A Villa 3-0
4%
20/1
19%
-
C Palace 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
-
A Villa 3-2
3%
25/1
12%
-
C Palace 3-2
2%
33/1-
C Palace 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/11
9%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
7/10-
BTTS - No
45%
21/20-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
10/3
16%
-
Home/draw
56%
4/6
11%
-
Away/draw
70%
1/3
8%
-
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
48%
5/4
23%
-
Away DNB
62%
4/7
14%
-
C Palace win to nil
15%
5/1
20%
-
A Villa win to nil
23%
3/1
11%
-
C Palace / C Palace
15%
4/1
27%
-
C Palace / A Villa
4%
22/1
12%
-
C Palace / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / C Palace
11%
13/2
15%
-
Draw / A Villa
15%
9/2
8%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
9/2
10%
-
A Villa / C Palace
3%
28/1
12%
-
A Villa / A Villa
23%
5/2
19%
-
A Villa / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
C Palace
20 games
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AC Palace2 - 2Arsenal
HC Palace0 - 0Bournemouth
AC Palace0 - 5Newcastle
AC Palace2 - 5Man City
HC Palace2 - 1Brighton
AC Palace1 - 1Southampton
AC Palace3 - 0Fulham
HC Palace1 - 0Ipswich
HC Palace3 - 1Millwall
HC Palace4 - 1A Villa
AC Palace2 - 0Fulham
HC Palace1 - 2Everton
AC Palace2 - 0Doncaster
AC Palace2 - 0Man Utd
HC Palace1 - 2Brentford
AC Palace2 - 0West Ham
AC Palace2 - 0Leicester
HC Palace1 - 0Stockport
HC Palace1 - 1Chelsea
HC Palace2 - 1Southampton
A Villa
20 games
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa1 - 2Man City
HA Villa4 - 1Newcastle
HA Villa3 - 2PSG
AA Villa3 - 0Southampton
AA Villa1 - 3PSG
HA Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa3 - 0Brighton
AA Villa3 - 0Preston
HA Villa3 - 0Brugge
AA Villa1 - 0Brentford
AA Villa3 - 1Brugge
HA Villa2 - 0Cardiff
AA Villa1 - 4C Palace
HA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 1Ipswich
HA Villa2 - 1Spurs
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa4 - 2Celtic
HA Villa1 - 1West Ham
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive FA Cup matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Crystal Palace on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

C Palace A Villa
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that C Palace will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/295868/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
C Palace
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
CRY
AVL
14%
better
view stats
Games scored18
19
Failed to score2
1
Scored first12
13
Goals scored34
42
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
13%
better
CRY
AVL
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded22
24
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+13%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between C Palace v A Villa will show here when available.

C Palace FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5312
C RichardsI SarrC RichardsC Richards
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Henderson GLK2
-
C Richards DEF51
2
-
M Lacroix DEF4
1
-
M Guéhi DEF5
-
D Muñoz MID52
1
-
A Wharton MID4
1
-
D Kamada MID41
1
-
T Mitchell MID31
1
-
I Sarr FWD431
-
E Eze FWD431
-
J Mateta FWD41
-
Subs
M Turner GLK3
-
J Ward DEF
-
N Clyne DEF3
1
-
B Chilwell  DEF3
-
J Lerma MID5
-
W Hughes MID31
-
R Esse MID2
-
J Devenny MID41
-
E Nketiah FWD421
-
A Villa FA Cup squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5221
E KonsaM RogersL DigneB Kamara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK4
-
M Cash DEF3
-
E Konsa DEF5
-
P Torres DEF1
-
L Digne DEF42
-
J McGinn MID4
-
B Kamara MID4
1
-
M Rogers MID521
1
-
Y Tielemans MID5
-
M Asensio MID42
-
O Watkins FWD42
-
Subs
R Olsen GLK1
-
A García DEF3
-
I Maatsen DEF4
-
T Mings DEF2
-
L Bailey MID41
-
A Onana MID21
-
J Ramsey MID52
-
R Barkley MID2
-
D Malen FWD31
-
English FA Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds