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West Ham United v Leeds United : FA Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Apr, 16:30 BST, London Stadium, London

Leeds United pay FA Cup competitors West Ham United a visit on Sunday afternoon, as Daniel Farke guides his team into an away clash with Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo & co. at the London Stadium. We've analysed both sides' last 20 FA Cup matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our top tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both West Ham and Leeds's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think West Ham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
West Ham
40%
29/20
11%
7/5
1%
Draw
25%
13/513/5
3%
Leeds
35%
7/4
11%
17/10
6%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
West Ham 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
West Ham 1-0
8%
17/2
6%
7/1
Leeds 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Leeds 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
West Ham 2-0
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/110/1
10%
Leeds 2-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
West Ham 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
14/1
Leeds 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
West Ham 3-0
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
West Ham 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Leeds 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
Leeds 3-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/6
2%
10/11
3%
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/1
5%
21/20
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/110/1
10%
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/64/6
1%
BTTS - No
42%
11/1011/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/2
4%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/1
9%
18/5
4%
Home/draw
65%
2/5
3%
4/9
3%
Away/draw
60%
8/15
8%
11/20
1%
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
7%
11/4
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/119/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2
8%
17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7
1%
2/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/110/1
10%
Home DNB
57%
8/11
7%
3/4
3%
Away DNB
53%
1/1
9%
19/20
5%
West Ham win to nil
19%
7/2
13%
-
Leeds win to nil
17%
4/1
17%
-
West Ham / West Ham
21%
3/1
14%
13/5
West Ham / Leeds
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
West Ham / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / West Ham
13%
5/1
9%
5/1
4%
Draw / Leeds
12%
11/2
13%
11/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
5%
Leeds / West Ham
4%
22/118/1
Leeds / Leeds
18%
7/2
10%
16/5
3%
Leeds / Draw
6%
12/111/1
9%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
West Ham
20 games
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWest Ham0 - 2A Villa
HWest Ham1 - 1Man City
HWest Ham2 - 2Brentford
AWest Ham1 - 0Fulham
AWest Ham2 - 5Liverpool
HWest Ham0 - 0Bournemouth
AWest Ham0 - 0Burton
HWest Ham1 - 1Man Utd
AWest Ham2 - 0Burnley
AWest Ham2 - 3Chelsea
HWest Ham3 - 1Sunderland
AWest Ham2 - 1Spurs
HWest Ham1 - 1QPR
HWest Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
AWest Ham0 - 3Wolves
HWest Ham2 - 2Brighton
HWest Ham0 - 1Fulham
AWest Ham0 - 3Man City
HWest Ham2 - 3A Villa
AWest Ham1 - 1Brighton
Leeds
20 games
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds3 - 0Norwich
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds1 - 1Birmingham
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 1Derby
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
ALeeds0 - 0Liverpool
ALeeds1 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds4 - 1C Palace
ALeeds1 - 1Brentford
HLeeds3 - 3Liverpool
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Leeds United of late. It has been 5 FA Cup matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against West Ham United.

West Ham Leeds
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that West Ham will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
West Ham
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
0%
better
WHU
LEE
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score6
6
Scored first13
9
Goals scored23
28
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.8
1.8
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
WHU
LEE
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded32
24
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against2
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the FA Cup match between West Ham v Leeds will show here when available.

West Ham FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Leeds FA Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE