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Arsenal v Manchester City : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 22nd Mar, 16:30 BST, Emirates Stadium, London

Mikel Arteta Amatriain and Josep Guardiola i Sala pit their wits in the League Cup on Sunday afternoon, as Arsenal face Manchester City at the Emirates Stadium. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Arsenal and Man City will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Arsenal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arsenal
41%
27/2011/8
Draw
25%
11/512/5
Man City
34%
2/119/10
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Arsenal 1-0
9%
8/17/1
Arsenal 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Man City 1-0
8%
10/18/1
Man City 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Arsenal 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Man City 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Arsenal 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Man City 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Arsenal 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/120/1
Man City 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Man City 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17/205/6
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
19/2010/11
Home 1st Goal
49%
5/617/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/1011/10
No 1st Goal
4%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
43%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/116/5
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/24/1
Home/draw
66%
4/112/5
Away/draw
59%
4/74/7
Home/away
75%
4/113/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/413/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4
8%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
2%
7/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
59%
4/64/6
Away DNB
51%
11/1021/20
Arsenal win to nil
21%
10/3-
Man City win to nil
17%
9/2-
Arsenal / Arsenal
22%
11/413/5
Arsenal / Man City
3%
28/120/1
Arsenal / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Arsenal
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Man City
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Man City / Arsenal
4%
22/118/1
Man City / Man City
17%
15/417/5
Man City / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win form
Arsenal
20 games
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Arsenal since 2011
Arsenal
Man City
Goals: Scored
5
9
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
ARS
2
MCI
3
Games at Man City since 2004
Man City
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
ARS
1
MCI
2
Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive League Cup outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester City on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Arsenal Man City
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Man City will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season
Arsenal
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
6%
better
ARS
MCI
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score2
2
Scored first16
15
Goals scored48
44
Avg. goals scored2.4
2.2
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for24
20
Avg. XG for2
2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
ARS
MCI
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
12
Clean sheets7
8
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded19
17
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+4%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Arsenal v Man City will show here when available.

Arsenal League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Man City League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
English League Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds