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Birmingham City v Port Vale : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 26th Aug, 16:00 BST, Bramall Lane, Sheffield

Darren Moore pays counterpart Chris Davies a visit on Tuesday afternoon in the League Cup, as their Port Vale and Birmingham City charges go head to head at the Bramall Lane. Stats for our tip of Birmingham to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Best Tip: Birmingham to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Birmingham. Their recent form statistics show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Port Vale too. The odds point towards Chris Davies's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Tuesday afternoon too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Birmingham are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Birmingham 69%	19/50	2/5
Draw 19%	15/4	4/1
Port Vale 12%	6/1	13/2
Birmingham 2-0 12%	11/2	11/2
Birmingham 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Birmingham 2-1 10%	8/1	13/2
Draw 1-1 9%	17/2	15/2
Birmingham 3-0 9%	8/1	7/1
Birmingham 3-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1	10/1
Birmingham 4-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Port Vale 1-0 4%	16/1	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1	16/1
Birmingham 4-1 4%	20/1	14/1
Port Vale 2-1 4%	20/1	16/1
Birmingham 3-2 3%	28/1	18/1
Birmingham 5-0 2%	28/1	22/1
Birmingham 5-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	8/11	4/6
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	43/40	11/10
Home 1st Goal 60%	4/11	7/20
Away 1st Goal 37%	9/4	13/5
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 48%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - No 52%	3/4	3/4
BTTS - Home Win 29%	9/4	21/10
BTTS - Draw 13%	11/2	5/1
BTTS - Away Win 6%	12/1	11/1
Home/draw 88%	1/10	1/12
Away/draw 31%	2/1	19/10
Home/away 81%	2/11	1/6
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	3/1	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	7/4	17/10
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	2/5	4/9
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	9/2	19/5
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/7	1/6
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1	11/1
Home DNB 82%	1/8	1/9
Away DNB 25%	5/1	9/2
Birmingham win to nil 40%	6/5	-
Port Vale win to nil 6%	12/1	-
Birmingham / Birmingham 40%	1/1	1/1
Birmingham / Port Vale 2%	40/1	40/1
Birmingham / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1
Draw / Birmingham 20%	3/1	3/1
Draw / Port Vale 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
Port Vale / Birmingham 4%	20/1	16/1
Port Vale / Port Vale 6%	14/1	10/1
Port Vale / Draw 4%	18/1	16/1

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Blackburn
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Birmingham	1 - 1	Ipswich
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Cambridge
A	Birmingham	2 - 0	Blackpool
H	Birmingham	4 - 0	Mansfield
A	Birmingham	1 - 0	Stevenage
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Burton
H	Birmingham	0 - 0	Crawley
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Peterborough
H	Birmingham	6 - 2	Barnsley
A	Birmingham	2 - 1	Bristol R
H	Birmingham	4 - 1	Shrewsbury
A	Birmingham	1 - 1	Northampton
H	Birmingham	2 - 1	Stevenage
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Lincoln
A	Birmingham	1 - 3	Bolton
H	Birmingham	1 - 0	Wycombe
H	Birmingham	2 - 0	L Orient
A	Birmingham	0 - 0	Reading

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Port Vale	1 - 2	Stevenage
A	Port Vale	0 - 0	Burton
A	Port Vale	1 - 0	Blackpool
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Cardiff
A	Port Vale	1 - 2	Rotherham
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Gillingham
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Port Vale	2 - 2	Grimsby
A	Port Vale	2 - 3	Carlisle
H	Port Vale	5 - 0	Bromley
A	Port Vale	3 - 2	Walsall
H	Port Vale	2 - 0	Bradford
A	Port Vale	1 - 0	Crewe
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Barrow
H	Port Vale	1 - 0	Morecambe
H	Port Vale	3 - 0	MK Dons
A	Port Vale	1 - 2	Colchester
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Fleetwood
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Harrogate
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Tranmere

Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Port Vale fans, as should a 5 League Cup matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Birmingham	Port Vale
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.2 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 11% 1 25% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 17% There is a 64% probability that Birmingham will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of Port Vale scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	2.1 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season

30%

better

BIR

PTV

view stats

Games scored	18		14
Failed to score	2		4
Scored first	16		8
Goals scored	38		26
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	19		16
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.5
KickOff rating		+30%

better

BIR

PTV

view stats

Games conceded	12		9
Clean sheets	8		9
Conceded first	2		8
Goals conceded	15		15
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	14%		12%
Avg. XG against	0.7		0.9
KickOff rating		+2%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Birmingham v Port Vale will show here when available.

Birmingham League Cup squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	1	1	1
J Beadle	K Furuhashi	W Willumsson	C Klarer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Beadle GLK	1			-
E Cashin DEF	1			-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	1			-
E Laird DEF	1			-
C Klarer DEF	1			1 -
A Cochrane DEF	1			-
T Doyle MID	1			-
S Paik MID	1			-
T Iwata MID	1			-
M Leonard MID	1			-
W Willumsson MID	1		1	-
K Furuhashi FWD	1	1		-
D Gray FWD	1		1	-
L Dykes FWD	1			-
J Stansfield FWD	1	1		1 -
K Anderson FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	1	1	1
K Furuhashi	A Cochrane	W Willumsson	T Doyle

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Furuhashi FWD	1	1
J Stansfield FWD	1	1
A Cochrane DEF		1
T Doyle MID		1		1
W Willumsson MID			1
D Gray FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
58	4	10
C Klarer	A Cochrane	E Laird

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Klarer DEF	58	3	10
E Cashin DEF	57	1	4
J Beadle GLK	54
T Iwata MID	52	4	6
W Willumsson MID	35	1	4
M Leonard MID	34	1	4
A Cochrane DEF	32	4	8
T Doyle MID	26		4
E Laird DEF	24		10
S Paik MID	18		1
B Osayi-Samuel DEF	10		1
D Gray FWD	10	3	4
K Anderson FWD	10	1	4
L Dykes FWD	6
J Stansfield FWD	4		2
K Furuhashi FWD	3	1	2

Port Vale League Cup squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	0	1	1
B Heneghan		J Shipley	K John

Players	Appserances	Assists	cards
B Heneghan DEF	1		-
C Humphreys DEF	1		-
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	1		-
L Gordon DEF	1		-
K John DEF	1		1 -
J Debrah DEF	1		-
J Shipley MID	1	1	-
R Richards MID	1		-
R. Walters MID	1		-
R Croasdale MID	1		-
J Shorrock MID	1		-
J Stockley FWD	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	1	1	1
	B Heneghan	J Shipley	R Richards

Players	shots on	Assists	big chances
B Heneghan DEF	1
J Shipley MID		1
R Richards MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
64	4	11
C Humphreys	C Humphreys	J Stockley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Humphreys DEF	64	4	6
B Heneghan DEF	56	1	8
J Shipley MID	34	1	2
K John DEF	26	1	1
J Stockley FWD	24	1	11
R. Walters MID	20	2	5
J Shorrock MID	17	2	4
R Richards MID	14	3	6
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	12		2
J Debrah DEF	12		1
R Croasdale MID	10
L Gordon DEF	9