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Burnley v Derby County : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Turf Moor, Burnley

It's an away trip for John Eustace's Derby County side on Tuesday evening, as they visit the Turf Moor for a League Cup meeting with Scott Parker's Burnley. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Burnley's next match is v Liverpool at 14:00 on Sunday 14th September
Derby County's next match is v West Brom at 15:00 on Saturday 13th September
The last English League Cup meeting between Burnley and Derby was on Tuesday 26th August 2025
English League Cup
August 26th 2025
Burnley 2
1 Derby
 
A. Ramsey 4'35' B. Clark
O. Sonne 90'
 
BRN
DER
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
5
3
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
5
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
BurnleyDerby
 
M. Weiß
J. Worrall
B. Humphreys (A. Tuanzebe 46')
O. Sonnefootball icon
A. Ramseyfootball icon
M. Edwards
L. Tchaouna (J. Banel 62')
Z. Flemming (M. Ndayishimiye 78')
L. Pires Silva
J. Laurent
A. Broja (A. Barnes 63')
C. Forsyth
(L. Thompson 62') B. Osborn
(A. Weimann 62') R. Brewster
K. Jackson
(M. Clarke 46') C. Elder
J. Vickers
J. Rooney
D. Sanderson
(K. Wilson 71') J. Ward
E. Adams
(D. Brown 62') football iconB. Clark

Best Tip: Burnley to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this match, and it's Burnley. Their latest form stats show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Derby too. The odds point towards Scott Parker's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Tuesday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Burnley are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Burnley
67%
9/201/1000
Draw
20%
10/333/1
Derby
13%
6/1750/1
Burnley 2-0
12%
11/219/5
Burnley 1-0
12%
11/29/2
Burnley 2-1
10%
15/211/2
Draw 1-1
9%
15/21/5
Burnley 3-0
9%
17/26/1
Burnley 3-1
7%
12/140/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/19/1
Derby 1-0
5%
14/112/1
Burnley 4-0
4%
18/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
20/140/1
Derby 2-1
4%
20/19/1
Burnley 4-1
3%
22/1150/1
Burnley 3-2
3%
28/1125/1
Burnley 5-0
2%
40/128/1
Derby 2-0
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/203/1
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/201/5
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/52/5
Away 1st Goal
37%
21/1012/5
No 1st Goal
3%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
21/205/6
BTTS - No
53%
7/1010/11
BTTS - Home Win
27%
5/25/1
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/11/5
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/19/1
Home/draw
87%
1/101/25
Away/draw
33%
13/81/10
Home/away
80%
1/516/5
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/41/8
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/49/2
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
9/420/1
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/31/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/170/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/300
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Home DNB
81%
1/74/9
Away DNB
27%
9/213/8
Burnley win to nil
40%
5/4-
Derby win to nil
7%
10/1-
Burnley / Burnley
38%
6/57/1
Burnley / Derby
2%
40/145/1
Burnley / Draw
5%
14/122/1
Draw / Burnley
20%
3/16/4
Draw / Derby
6%
14/14/1
Draw / Draw
13%
5/119/10
Derby / Burnley
4%
20/133/1
Derby / Derby
7%
12/114/1
Derby / Draw
5%
18/125/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Burnley
20 games
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBurnley2 - 0Sunderland
ABurnley0 - 3Spurs
HBurnley3 - 1Millwall
ABurnley5 - 0QPR
HBurnley2 - 1Sheff Utd
ABurnley2 - 1Watford
HBurnley2 - 1Norwich
ABurnley0 - 0Derby
ABurnley2 - 1Coventry
HBurnley1 - 0Bristol C
ABurnley2 - 0Swansea
HBurnley1 - 1West Brom
HBurnley4 - 0Luton
ABurnley2 - 1Cardiff
ABurnley0 - 3Preston
HBurnley4 - 0Sheff Wed
ABurnley0 - 0Preston
HBurnley2 - 0Hull
ABurnley1 - 0Southampton
HBurnley1 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby
20 games
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby1 - 1Bristol C
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 1West Brom
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
ADerby1 - 0Hull
ADerby3 - 1West Brom
HDerby0 - 1Luton
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 0Preston
ADerby3 - 2Plymouth
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Norwich
Goal Statistics
Burnley Derby
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Burnley will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season
Burnley
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
26%
better
BRN
DER
view stats
Games scored16
12
Failed to score4
8
Scored first12
8
Goals scored36
22
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
20
Avg. XG for1.5
1
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
38%
better
BRN
DER
view stats
Games conceded9
14
Clean sheets11
6
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded13
25
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+38%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Burnley v Derby will show here when available.

Burnley League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
M WeißO SonneA Broja A Ramsey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Weiß GLK1
-
O Sonne DEF11
-
J Worrall DEF1
-
B Humphreys DEF1
-
L Pires DEF1
-
M Edwards MID1
-
J Laurent MID1
-
A Ramsey MID11
1
-
L Tchaouna MID1
-
Z Flemming FWD1
-
A Broja  FWD11
-
Subs
V Hladky GLK
-
A Tuanzebe  DEF1
-
H Delcroix  DEF
-
M. Leuluai MID
-
M Trésor FWD11
-
J Banel FWD1
-
A Barnes FWD1
-
T. Tweedy FWD
-
O. Pimlott FWD
-
Derby League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
J VickersJ WardC ElderE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vickers GLK2
1
-
J Rooney DEF2
-
D Sanderson DEF2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-
J Ward MID21
-
B Osborn MID2
-
B Clark MID21
-
E Adams MID2
2
-
C Elder MID21
1
-
K Jackson FWD2
-
R Brewster FWD1
-
Subs
R O'Donnell GLK
-
K Wilson DEF1
-
M Clarke DEF1
-
R Nyambe DEF
-
L Thompson MID1
-
K Goudmijn MID1
-
A Weimann  FWD2
1
-
D Brown FWD
-
L. Wheeldon FWD1
-
English League Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds