Manchester City's team badge Newcastle United's team badge

Manchester City v Newcastle United : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 4th Feb, 20:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Josep Guardiola i Sala welcomes Eddie Howe to the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday night, as their Manchester City and Newcastle United troops do battle in the League Cup. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Man City or Newcastle are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 82% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
53%
4/5
6%
4/5
Draw
23%
31/10
17%
3/1
3%
Newcastle
25%
14/5
5%
3/1
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
23%
6/1
Man City 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Man City 1-0
8%
8/1
13%
15/2
6%
Man City 2-0
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Newcastle 2-1
6%
12/111/1
9%
Man City 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
Newcastle 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Man City 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
36%
12/1
8%
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Newcastle 2-0
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
Man City 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
16/1
11%
Newcastle 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Newcastle 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
13/20
11%
4/7
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5
13%
13/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13
3%
3/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/10
3%
6/4
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
36%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
5%
3/5
1%
BTTS - No
40%
6/5
7%
5/4
2%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
12/5
9%
21/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
11%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
11/2
13%
5/1
Home/draw
75%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Away/draw
47%
19/20
7%
1/1
Home/away
77%
2/9
5%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
4%
2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
10/3
15%
7/2
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
12%
7/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/9
6%
8/15
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
25%
16/5
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/11
4%
1/5
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
23%
13/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
2%
1/14
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
2%
1/40
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
36%
12/1
8%
Home DNB
68%
2/57/20
Away DNB
41%
7/419/10
3%
Man City win to nil
25%
5/2
3%
-
Newcastle win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
Man City / Man City
30%
7/4
8%
8/5
1%
Man City / Newcastle
3%
28/122/1
12%
Man City / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / Man City
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Newcastle
9%
8/1
6%
8/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
18%
5/1
4%
Newcastle / Man City
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Newcastle / Newcastle
13%
11/219/4
4%
Newcastle / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City2 - 2Spurs
HMan City2 - 0Galatasaray
HMan City2 - 0Wolves
AMan City1 - 3Bodø
AMan City0 - 2Man Utd
AMan City2 - 0Newcastle
HMan City10 - 1Exeter
HMan City1 - 1Brighton
HMan City1 - 1Chelsea
AMan City0 - 0Sunderland
AMan City2 - 1Nottm Forest
HMan City3 - 0West Ham
HMan City2 - 0Brentford
AMan City3 - 0C Palace
AMan City2 - 1Real Madrid
HMan City3 - 0Sunderland
AMan City5 - 4Fulham
HMan City3 - 2Leeds
HMan City0 - 2Leverkusen
AMan City1 - 2Newcastle
Newcastle
20 games
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
ANewcastle1 - 1PSG
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
HNewcastle3 - 0PSV
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle0 - 2Man City
HNewcastle2 - 2Bournemouth
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Fulham
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
ANewcastle2 - 2Leverkusen
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Marseille
HNewcastle2 - 1Man City
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Man City since 2014
Man City
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
MCI
1
NEW
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City2 - 0
0 - 2Newcastle
Games at Newcastle since 1995
Newcastle
Man City
Goals: Scored
4
7
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
MCI
3
NEW
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
0 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 0
0 - 2Man City
0 - 2Man City
Newcastle3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Man City Newcastle
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Newcastle will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
2.7
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.9
1.2
Attack rating
20%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first14
12
Goals scored45
33
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
16
Avg. XG for1.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
23%
better
MCI
NEW
view stats
Games conceded12
17
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded22
29
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between Man City v Newcastle will show here when available.

Man City League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Newcastle League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
English League Cup match betting previews, predictions and odds
Arsenal v Chelsea
Tue 3rd Feb, 20:00
Man City v Newcastle
Wed 4th Feb, 20:00