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West Bromwich Albion v Derby County : League Cup match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 12th Aug, 19:45 BST, The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

West Bromwich Albion and Derby County take on one another at The Hawthorns on Tuesday evening, with both Ryan Lowe and John Coleman hoping for success in the League Cup. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to League Cup match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that West Brom and Derby will score a minimum of 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think West Brom are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
West Brom
48%
1.952.05
Draw
25%
3.603.25
Derby
27%
3.703.80
Draw 1-1
12%
7.006.00
West Brom 1-0
11%
7.507.00
West Brom 2-1
9%
9.008.00
West Brom 2-0
8%
9.509.00
Derby 1-0
8%
10.009.50
Draw 0-0
7%
10.008.00
Derby 2-1
7%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
West Brom 3-1
5%
17.0013.00
West Brom 3-0
4%
17.0015.00
Derby 2-0
4%
19.0015.00
West Brom 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Derby 3-1
2%
29.0023.00
Derby 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
West Brom 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.951.95
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.851.80
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.671.73
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.382.45
No 1st Goal
4%
10.008.00
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.801.80
BTTS - No
47%
1.951.95
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4.334.00
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.20
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7.006.50
Home/draw
73%
1.291.25
Away/draw
52%
1.801.75
Home/away
75%
1.291.33
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.301.30
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.403.20
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.403.25
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.301.30
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
7.006.00
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.101.10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.0012.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.061.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.008.00
Home DNB
65%
1.441.44
Away DNB
45%
2.632.62
West Brom win to nil
26%
3.40-
Derby win to nil
14%
6.00-
West Brom / West Brom
25%
3.103.20
West Brom / Derby
3%
34.0026.00
West Brom / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / West Brom
16%
5.004.80
Draw / Derby
10%
8.007.50
Draw / Draw
17%
5.004.40
Derby / West Brom
4%
23.0019.00
Derby / Derby
13%
6.506.00
Derby / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win form
West Brom
20 games
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Derby
20 games
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at West Brom since 2000
West Brom
Derby
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
DER
2
Games at Derby since 2000
Derby
West Brom
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
WBA
1
DER
2
Goal Statistics
West Brom Derby
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that West Brom will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Cup - 2025/2025 season
West Brom
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
21%
better
WBA
DER
view stats
Games scored14
9
Failed to score6
11
Scored first9
7
Goals scored25
17
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
WBA
DER
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
14
Clean sheets3
6
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded26
21
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%

The line-ups for the League Cup match between West Brom v Derby will show here when available.

West Brom League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Wildsmith GLK
-
J Griffiths GLK
-
C Styles DEF
-
G Frabotta DEF
-
D Furlong DEF
-
G Campbell DEF
-
N Phillips DEF
-
C Taylor DEF
-
K Bartley DEF
-
T Heggem DEF
-
A Mowatt MID
-
O Diakité MID
-
J Molumby MID
-
T Fellows MID
-
I Price MID
-
K Grant FWD
-
D Cole FWD
-
J Maja FWD
-
D Dike FWD
-
J Wallace FWD
-
T. Bany FWD
-
A Heggebø FWD
-
M Johnston FWD
-
Derby League Cup squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vickers GLK
-
J Zetterström GLK
-
R O'Donnell GLK
-
O Beck DEF
-
S Langas DEF
-
M Clarke DEF
-
R Nyambe DEF
-
C Nelson DEF
-
C Elder DEF
-
K Wilson DEF
-
C Forsyth DEF
-
J Rooney DEF
-
D Batth DEF
-
D Ozoh MID
-
J Ward MID
-
K Goudmijn MID
-
E Adams MID
-
L Thompson MID
-
B Osborn MID
-
P. Agyemang FWD
-
C Morris FWD
-
D Brown FWD
-
K Jackson FWD
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD
-
L Salvesen FWD
-
A Weimann  FWD
-