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Gnistan v Ilves : Veikkausliiga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 15:00 BST, Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

the Mustapekka Areena crowd welcome Ilves's fans on Saturday afternoon, as Mikke Salonen's Gnistan go head to head with Joonas Rantanen's charges in the Veikkausliiga. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Veikkausliiga matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Gnistan 24%	-	-
Draw 22%	-	-
ILVES 54%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
ILVES 2-1 10%	-	-
ILVES 1-0 8%	-	-
ILVES 2-0 8%	-	-
ILVES 3-1 6%	-	-
Gnistan 2-1 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Gnistan 1-0 5%	-	-
ILVES 3-0 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	-	-
ILVES 3-2 4%	-	-
Gnistan 2-0 3%	-	-
ILVES 4-1 3%	-	-
Gnistan 3-1 3%	-	-
Gnistan 3-2 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 44%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 53%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	-	-
BTTS - No 39%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 29%	-	-
Home/draw 46%	-	-
Away/draw 76%	-	-
Home/away 78%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Home DNB 40%	-	-
Away DNB 69%	-	-
Gnistan win to nil 10%	-	-
ILVES win to nil 24%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gnistan	0 - 4	Kuopio PS
Gnistan	0 - 2	Inter Turku
Gnistan	1 - 2	Jaro
Gnistan	3 - 2	Oulu
Gnistan	0 - 0	Vaasan
Gnistan	2 - 4	HJK Helsinki
Gnistan	2 - 0	FC Haka
Gnistan	2 - 2	Inter Turku
Gnistan	2 - 1	KTP
Gnistan	0 - 2	ILVES
Gnistan	2 - 2	Seinäjoki
Gnistan	2 - 0	Mariehamn
Gnistan	1 - 2	Kuopio PS
Gnistan	2 - 2	Lahti
Gnistan	1 - 0	Oulu
Gnistan	2 - 1	Mariehamn
Gnistan	1 - 1	ILVES
Gnistan	2 - 1	Mariehamn
Gnistan	2 - 0	Oulu
Gnistan	3 - 0	Vaasan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Gnistan	3 - 2	HJK Helsinki
H	Gnistan	0 - 4	Kuopio PS
A	Gnistan	2 - 3	ILVES
H	Gnistan	0 - 2	Inter Turku
H	Gnistan	1 - 2	Jaro
H	Gnistan	3 - 2	Oulu
H	Gnistan	0 - 0	Vaasan
A	Gnistan	5 - 2	Mariehamn
A	Gnistan	2 - 2	ILVES
H	Gnistan	2 - 4	HJK Helsinki
A	Gnistan	1 - 3	Seinäjoki
H	Gnistan	2 - 0	FC Haka
A	Gnistan	0 - 0	KTP
A	Gnistan	2 - 6	Kuopio PS
H	Gnistan	2 - 2	Inter Turku
A	Gnistan	0 - 0	Vaasan
H	Gnistan	2 - 1	KTP
H	Gnistan	0 - 2	ILVES
A	Gnistan	1 - 1	Jaro
H	Gnistan	2 - 2	Seinäjoki

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Seinäjoki	2 - 1	ILVES
HJK Helsinki	2 - 2	ILVES
Kuopio PS	2 - 4	ILVES
Oulu	0 - 4	ILVES
HJK Helsinki	5 - 1	ILVES
Jaro	0 - 1	ILVES
Seinäjoki	1 - 1	ILVES
FC Haka	0 - 4	ILVES
Kuopio PS	0 - 3	ILVES
Gnistan	0 - 2	ILVES
Inter Turku	3 - 1	ILVES
Vaasan	1 - 0	ILVES
Mariehamn	3 - 2	ILVES
KTP	0 - 5	ILVES
Vaasan	0 - 2	ILVES
HJK Helsinki	0 - 1	ILVES
Gnistan	1 - 1	ILVES
Kuopio PS	1 - 0	ILVES
Oulu	0 - 1	ILVES
FC Haka	4 - 3	ILVES

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	ILVES	1 - 1	Kuopio PS
A	ILVES	1 - 2	Seinäjoki
A	ILVES	2 - 2	HJK Helsinki
H	ILVES	3 - 2	Gnistan
A	ILVES	4 - 2	Kuopio PS
H	ILVES	2 - 1	Mariehamn
H	ILVES	1 - 0	Inter Turku
A	ILVES	4 - 0	Oulu
A	ILVES	1 - 5	HJK Helsinki
H	ILVES	2 - 2	Gnistan
A	ILVES	1 - 0	Jaro
H	ILVES	3 - 2	Vaasan
A	ILVES	1 - 1	Seinäjoki
H	ILVES	2 - 1	KTP
A	ILVES	4 - 0	FC Haka
H	ILVES	2 - 3	Seinäjoki
A	ILVES	3 - 0	Kuopio PS
A	ILVES	2 - 0	Gnistan
H	ILVES	0 - 0	Oulu
H	ILVES	3 - 0	Kuopio PS

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Gnistan

ILVES

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

1 / 2

ILV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Gnistan
		0 - 2		ILVES
Draw		1 - 1		Draw

ILVES

Gnistan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

ILV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT ILVES
ILVES	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	4 - 6	Gnistan

Goal Statistics

Gnistan have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 6 consecutive Veikkausliiga games. This run could continue, with Ilves's PG an impressive 2.0.

	Gnistan 6th	ILVES 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Gnistan will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that ILVES will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Gnistan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+13 ILVES have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	2.0 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Veikkausliiga - 2025/2025 season

ILV

28%

better

view stats

Games scored	19		24
Failed to score	7		2
Scored first	11		17
Goals scored	39		57
Avg. goals scored	1.5		2.1
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	19		22
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+28%

ILV

20%

better

view stats

Games conceded	20		17
Clean sheets	6		9
Conceded first	12		8
Goals conceded	50		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		5
Conversion rate against	20%		20%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+20%

Gnistan v ILVES Veikkausliiga lLine ups will show here when available.

Gnistan Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	6	9	7
S Heiskanen	J Latonen	S Heiskanen	E Arko-Mensah

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Heiskanen DEF	22	1	9	3 -
J Latonen MID	22	6	1	3 -
Álex Craninx GLK	20			1 1
J Ojala DEF	20	2		3 -
E Bashkirov MID	20	1	1	2 1
T Väyrynen FWD	20	3	4	2 -
D Hafstad FWD	19	3	1	1 -
E Arko-Mensah DEF	18	3	2	6 1
P. Gnanou DEF	18	4		4 -
G. Europaeus MID	18	2		3 -
A Kabashi MID	16			6 -
C John DEF	15		1	4 -
O Pettersson DEF	15	1		1 -
A. Atarah FWD	13	2	1	2 -
R Eremenko MID	11	1	3	4 -
V Hänninen MID	9	3	1	1 -
O Günes MID	8			-
O. Olufunwa DEF	7			1 -
M Ritari MID	7	1	3	1 -
A Oura FWD	5		1	-
O. Lyberopoulos GLK	3			-
H Woivalin MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	18	9	7
J Latonen	J Latonen	S Heiskanen	S Heiskanen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Latonen MID	6	18	1
P. Gnanou DEF	4	4
T Väyrynen FWD	3	10	4	5
D Hafstad FWD	3	12	1	1
E Arko-Mensah DEF	3	9	2	2
V Hänninen MID	3	4	1
J Ojala DEF	2	5
G. Europaeus MID	2	2		1
A. Atarah FWD	2	7	1	1
S Heiskanen DEF	1	8	9	7
E Bashkirov MID	1	3	1
O Pettersson DEF	1	2		1
R Eremenko MID	1	6	3	2
M Ritari MID	1	2	3	1
A Kabashi MID		2
C John DEF			1	1
O. Olufunwa DEF				1
A Oura FWD		4	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
695	36	179
E Bashkirov	E Bashkirov	T Väyrynen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Bashkirov MID	695	36	70
J Ojala DEF	659	17	133
P. Gnanou DEF	638	22	116
S Heiskanen DEF	542	27	93
E Arko-Mensah DEF	534	33	101
Álex Craninx GLK	481	1	12
J Latonen MID	449	27	104
R Eremenko MID	436	14	41
C John DEF	425	20	47
A Kabashi MID	407	20	58
T Väyrynen FWD	401	4	179
O Pettersson DEF	318	19	50
G. Europaeus MID	292	22	48
M Ritari MID	220	10	23
D Hafstad FWD	175	12	66
V Hänninen MID	150	8	29
O. Olufunwa DEF	126	3	11
A Oura FWD	111	6	52
O. Lyberopoulos GLK	86		2
A. Atarah FWD	82	3	41
O Günes MID	51	4	5
H Woivalin MID	3		1

ILVES Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	10	5	8
M Rale	R Riski	J. Kanga	S Väisänen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Rale DEF	27	3		2 -
M. Söderbäck MID	27	7	4	1 -
J Veteli MID	27	6	3	2 1
R Riski FWD	26	10	3	2 -
S Väisänen DEF	25		1	8 -
M Stjopin MID	25	3	3	4 -
A Popovitch MID	25	1	1	4 -
O Jukkola FWD	23	6	4	6 -
A Mäenpää DEF	22	1	3	2 -
J. Kanga MID	22	4	5	4 -
T Hytönen FWD	22	5		1 -
O Virtanen GLK	20			2 1
T Miettunen DEF	20	1	1	1 -
L Ala-Myllymäki MID	19	2	1	2 -
A Akinyemi FWD	18	2	2	1 -
K. Wallius DEF	15		2	-
V Ulundu FWD	12	1	1	-
F Krkalic GLK	9			-
O. Tiitinen MID	8	1		-
A Raymond DEF	5		1	-
J. Kilo MID	5	1		-
V. Kumpu DEF	2			-
J Moisio DEF	2		1	-
J Viitala GLK	1			-
L Väyrynen GLK	1			-
V Bakic DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	19	5	9
R Riski	M. Söderbäck	J. Kanga	M. Söderbäck

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Riski FWD	10	19	3	6
M. Söderbäck MID	7	19	4	9
J Veteli MID	6	15	3	6
O Jukkola FWD	6	16	4	5
T Hytönen FWD	5	10		1
J. Kanga MID	4	8	5	7
M Rale DEF	3	5		1
M Stjopin MID	3	11	3	1
L Ala-Myllymäki MID	2	11	1	1
A Akinyemi FWD	2	9	2	1
A Popovitch MID	1	10	1	1
A Mäenpää DEF	1	6	3	2
T Miettunen DEF	1	1	1
V Ulundu FWD	1	5	1
O. Tiitinen MID	1	2
J. Kilo MID	1	1		1
S Väisänen DEF		4	1	1
K. Wallius DEF		4	2	2
A Raymond DEF			1	1
J Moisio DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1840	44	174
S Väisänen	O Jukkola	M. Söderbäck

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Väisänen DEF	1840	28	127
M Rale DEF	1726	30	135
J Veteli MID	1399	35	133
A Popovitch MID	1393	22	101
T Miettunen DEF	1122	19	66
A Mäenpää DEF	1038	31	87
O Jukkola FWD	829	44	167
M. Söderbäck MID	780	31	174
M Stjopin MID	631	19	114
O Virtanen GLK	498	2	16
J. Kanga MID	428	15	54
K. Wallius DEF	279	17	33
O. Tiitinen MID	234	4	11
R Riski FWD	222	1	30
F Krkalic GLK	221		6
L Ala-Myllymäki MID	209	13	52
V Ulundu FWD	150	10	50
T Hytönen FWD	148	11	46
A Raymond DEF	85	10	12
J. Kilo MID	61	2	9
A Akinyemi FWD	60	4	32
V. Kumpu DEF	49	4	7
J Moisio DEF	7
V Bakic DEF	5		1