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Gnistan v Mariehamn : Veikkausliiga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 13:00 BST, Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

Jussi Leppälahti's Gnistan side are on home soil in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday afternoon, as Gary Williams's Mariehamn travel to the Mustapekka Areena. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.


Best Tip: Gnistan to win

After looking at the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Veikkausliiga match, a bet on win / draw / win for Gnistan to win and delight their home supporters is our recommendation. We predict they'll overpower Mariehamn, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Gnistan to win is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gnistan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gnistan
62%
3/5
2%
-
Draw
21%
29/10
5%
-
Mariehamn
17%
17/4
5%
-
Gnistan 2-0
10%
7/1-
Gnistan 1-0
10%
13/2
6%
-
Gnistan 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
6%
-
Gnistan 3-0
7%
11/1-
Gnistan 3-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
-
Mariehamn 1-0
5%
14/1-
Mariehamn 2-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Gnistan 4-0
3%
22/1-
Gnistan 4-1
3%
22/1-
Gnistan 3-2
3%
22/1-
Mariehamn 2-0
2%
28/1-
Gnistan 4-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40
1%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
2/5-
Away 1st Goal
40%
21/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5
3%
-
BTTS - No
47%
19/20
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
9/4-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2
6%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/6-
Away/draw
38%
13/10-
Home/away
79%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
76%
2/9
2%
-
Away DNB
32%
3/1
7%
-
Gnistan win to nil
33%
7/4-
Mariehamn win to nil
8%
9/1-
Gnistan / Gnistan
35%
7/5-
Gnistan / Mariehamn
2%
33/1-
Gnistan / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Gnistan
19%
7/2-
Draw / Mariehamn
8%
10/1-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Mariehamn / Gnistan
4%
20/1-
Mariehamn / Mariehamn
9%
8/1-
Mariehamn / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win form
Gnistan 11TH
15 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 15
Conceded
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
Failed to score
4 / 15
Won
7
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gnistan1 - 2Kuopio PS
Gnistan2 - 2Lahti
Gnistan1 - 0Oulu
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
Gnistan1 - 1ILVES
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
Gnistan2 - 0Oulu
Gnistan3 - 0Vaasan
Gnistan1 - 2EIF
Gnistan0 - 4HJK Helsinki
Gnistan2 - 1Lahti
Gnistan0 - 0Kuopio PS
Gnistan0 - 3FC Haka
Gnistan0 - 1Seinäjoki
Gnistan2 - 1Inter Turku
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGnistan1 - 2Kuopio PS
AGnistan1 - 0HJK Helsinki
AGnistan0 - 3Inter Turku
AGnistan2 - 3FC Haka
AGnistan2 - 2FC Haka
AGnistan1 - 0Vaasan
AGnistan2 - 3Inter Turku
HGnistan2 - 2Lahti
HGnistan1 - 0Oulu
AGnistan1 - 3EIF
HGnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
HGnistan1 - 1ILVES
AGnistan1 - 0Seinäjoki
HGnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
HGnistan2 - 0Oulu
HGnistan3 - 0Vaasan
AGnistan2 - 1FC Haka
AGnistan2 - 2Inter Turku
AGnistan1 - 3Kuopio PS
HGnistan1 - 2EIF
Mariehamn 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
1
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kuopio PS4 - 1Mariehamn
FC Haka0 - 1Mariehamn
Oulu1 - 2Mariehamn
Lahti2 - 1Mariehamn
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
Kuopio PS3 - 0Mariehamn
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
ILVES2 - 0Mariehamn
Inter Turku3 - 0Mariehamn
Vaasan2 - 1Mariehamn
EIF1 - 2Mariehamn
FC Haka2 - 0Mariehamn
Seinäjoki0 - 2Mariehamn
Oulu1 - 1Mariehamn
Lahti3 - 0Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki2 - 1Mariehamn
KTP0 - 2Mariehamn
ILVES2 - 1Mariehamn
Oulu3 - 2Mariehamn
Seinäjoki3 - 2Mariehamn
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
1
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMariehamn3 - 2ILVES
AMariehamn1 - 4Kuopio PS
HMariehamn1 - 2Seinäjoki
AMariehamn1 - 0FC Haka
HMariehamn0 - 2Jaro
AMariehamn2 - 1Oulu
HMariehamn0 - 1Inter Turku
HMariehamn3 - 0EIF
AMariehamn1 - 2Lahti
AMariehamn1 - 2Gnistan
HMariehamn2 - 1Oulu
AMariehamn0 - 3Kuopio PS
AMariehamn1 - 2Gnistan
HMariehamn0 - 0Lahti
AMariehamn0 - 2ILVES
AMariehamn0 - 3Inter Turku
AMariehamn1 - 2Vaasan
HMariehamn0 - 4Seinäjoki
HMariehamn0 - 3FC Haka
HMariehamn1 - 2HJK Helsinki
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Gnistan in their meeting with Mariehamn, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive Veikkausliiga games.

Gnistan 11th Mariehamn 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 59% probability that Gnistan will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Mariehamn scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
15 home / away league games
-12
Gnistan have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-3
Mariehamn’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Veikkausliiga - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/292582/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Gnistan
PG (predicted goals)
Mariehamn
2
1
Attack rating
MAR
16%
better
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first2
3
Goals scored4
6
Avg. goals scored1
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
5%
better
MAR
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded8
10
Avg. goals conceded2
2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+5%

Gnistan v Mariehamn Veikkausliiga lLine ups will show here when available.

Gnistan Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4222
Álex CraninxJ LatonenS HeiskanenC John
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Craninx GLK4
-
J Ojala DEF4
1
-
S Heiskanen DEF42
-
V Hänninen MID4
-
E Bashkirov MID4
-
D Hafstad FWD4
-
J Latonen FWD42
-
E Arko-Mensah FWD4
1
-
T Väyrynen FWD41
-
G. Europaeus MID31
-
C John DEF2
2
-
O Pettersson DEF2
-
A Kabashi MID2
2
-
E. Vauhkonen MID2
-
P. Gnanou DEF1
-
Mariehamn Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5221
M RiikonenM OlawaleH. Santos CardosoP Lindgren
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Riikonen GLK5
-
P Lindgren DEF5
1
-
E Patut MID511
1
-
S Dahlström MID51
-
A Huttunen MID51
-
N Kujasalo MID51
1
-
H. Santos Cardoso FWD52
1
-
D Enqvist DEF4
-
C. Okereke DEF41
-
L Andersson MID4
-
J Nissinen DEF31
1
-
A Lundberg FWD3
-
M Olawale FWD32
-
M Fonsell DEF2
-
A Muskwe FWD2
-
W. Nuñez FWD1
-