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VPS v Mariehamn : Veikkausliiga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 1st Aug, 16:00 BST, Elisa Stadion, Vaasa

Jussi Nuorela welcomes Gary Williams to the Elisa Stadion on Friday afternoon, as their VPS and Mariehamn teams do battle in the Veikkausliiga. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Vaasan
45%
--
Draw
26%
--
Mariehamn
29%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Vaasan 1-0
11%
--
Vaasan 2-1
9%
--
Mariehamn 1-0
9%
--
Vaasan 2-0
8%
--
Draw 0-0
8%
--
Mariehamn 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Mariehamn 2-0
5%
--
Vaasan 3-1
4%
--
Vaasan 3-0
4%
--
Mariehamn 3-1
3%
--
Vaasan 3-2
2%
--
Mariehamn 3-2
2%
--
Mariehamn 3-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
52%
--
BTTS - No
48%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
13%
--
Home/draw
71%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
--
Home DNB
63%
--
Away DNB
48%
--
Vaasan win to nil
25%
--
Mariehamn win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win form
5
Mariehamn have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Vaasan 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Vaasan0 - 2HJK Helsinki
Vaasan1 - 2FC Haka
Vaasan0 - 0Gnistan
Vaasan0 - 0Jaro
Vaasan1 - 0ILVES
Vaasan0 - 2Inter Turku
Vaasan4 - 3Oulu
Vaasan0 - 1Gnistan
Vaasan0 - 2ILVES
Vaasan1 - 1HJK Helsinki
Vaasan1 - 3HJK Helsinki
Vaasan3 - 2FC Haka
Vaasan2 - 1Mariehamn
Vaasan2 - 3EIF
Vaasan1 - 1Oulu
Vaasan1 - 1ILVES
Vaasan3 - 1Inter Turku
Vaasan1 - 3Kuopio PS
Vaasan3 - 0Lahti
Vaasan3 - 2Gnistan
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVaasan2 - 3ILVES
HVaasan0 - 2HJK Helsinki
HVaasan1 - 2FC Haka
AVaasan1 - 2Oulu
HVaasan0 - 0Gnistan
AVaasan5 - 1Mariehamn
AVaasan1 - 2FC Haka
AVaasan2 - 0Kuopio PS
HVaasan0 - 0Jaro
AVaasan3 - 2Seinäjoki
HVaasan1 - 0ILVES
AVaasan1 - 3HJK Helsinki
HVaasan0 - 2Inter Turku
AVaasan2 - 2KTP
HVaasan4 - 3Oulu
HVaasan0 - 1Gnistan
AVaasan3 - 2FC Haka
HVaasan0 - 2ILVES
AVaasan4 - 1Seinäjoki
HVaasan1 - 1HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn 8TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Jaro1 - 1Mariehamn
Inter Turku0 - 0Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki4 - 1Mariehamn
Seinäjoki4 - 1Mariehamn
KTP2 - 2Mariehamn
Oulu0 - 1Mariehamn
Gnistan2 - 0Mariehamn
Kuopio PS4 - 1Mariehamn
FC Haka0 - 1Mariehamn
Oulu1 - 2Mariehamn
Lahti2 - 1Mariehamn
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
Kuopio PS3 - 0Mariehamn
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
ILVES2 - 0Mariehamn
Inter Turku3 - 0Mariehamn
Vaasan2 - 1Mariehamn
EIF1 - 2Mariehamn
FC Haka2 - 0Mariehamn
Seinäjoki0 - 2Mariehamn
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMariehamn1 - 1Jaro
AMariehamn0 - 0Inter Turku
AMariehamn1 - 4HJK Helsinki
AMariehamn1 - 4Seinäjoki
HMariehamn1 - 0Kuopio PS
HMariehamn1 - 5Vaasan
AMariehamn2 - 2KTP
HMariehamn0 - 4HJK Helsinki
AMariehamn1 - 0Oulu
HMariehamn2 - 2Inter Turku
AMariehamn0 - 2Gnistan
HMariehamn3 - 2ILVES
AMariehamn1 - 4Kuopio PS
HMariehamn1 - 2Seinäjoki
AMariehamn1 - 0FC Haka
HMariehamn0 - 2Jaro
AMariehamn2 - 1Oulu
HMariehamn0 - 1Inter Turku
HMariehamn3 - 0EIF
AMariehamn1 - 2Lahti
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Vaasan have not lost to Mariehamn in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Vaasan since 2018
Vaasan
Mariehamn
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
VPS
4
D
1
MAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Vaasan
Vaasan2 - 1
Vaasan2 - 1
1 - 3Mariehamn
Vaasan2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Vaasan4 - 1
League games at Mariehamn since 2018
Mariehamn
Vaasan
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
VPS
3
D
3
MAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mariehamn
1 - 5Vaasan
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Vaasan
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Vaasan
Mariehamn1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Mariehamn of late. It has been 6 Veikkausliiga matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday afternoon against VPS.

Vaasan 7th Mariehamn 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Vaasan will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Mariehamn will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Vaasan have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-14
Mariehamn have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Veikkausliiga - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/292642/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Vaasan
PG (predicted goals)
Mariehamn
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
8%
better
VPS
MAR
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score4
4
Scored first6
8
Goals scored23
16
Avg. goals scored1.5
1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
11%
better
VPS
MAR
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded24
34
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+11%

Vaasan v Mariehamn Veikkausliiga lLine ups will show here when available.

Vaasan Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15744
M HaukiojaM. FallY OuatkiP Ahiabu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Haukioja DEF15
2
-
M. Fall MID157
3
-
Y Ouatki MID1514
3
-
A. Cicale MID1512
-
P Ahiabu MID1413
3
1
A Räisänen MID141
1
-
N. Fleuriau Chateau FWD1432
-
T Dekker DEF12
3
-
R Leislahti GLK11
-
O Jakonen FWD1131
1
-
T Reid DEF101
1
-
M Niemi DEF10
1
-
J Engström DEF10
-
P Justiniano  DEF7
1
1
J Vahtera MID7
1
-
V Ronnberg DEF6
-
J. Lakkamäki DEF61
-
T Marttinen GLK4
-
A Almen MID4
1
-
S Lindeman DEF2
-
Y Daoussi DEF1
1
-
L. Smyth FWD1
-
Mariehamn Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16334
N KujasaloS DahlströmE PatutE Patut
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Patut MID1613
4
-
S Dahlström MID163
-
N Kujasalo MID1611
1
-
A Huttunen MID152
-
C. Okereke DEF143
-
H. Santos Cardoso FWD143
1
-
P Lindgren DEF13
3
-
J Nissinen DEF131
1
-
D Enqvist DEF131
2
-
L Andersson MID13
-
J Viitala GLK10
-
E. Toivonen DEF101
3
-
M Fonsell DEF10
1
-
M Olawale FWD103
1
-
K Adedoyin FWD931
1
-
A Lundberg FWD9
-
J Reid  FWD81
1
-
J. van der Heyden MID7
2
-
M Riikonen GLK5
-
W. Nuñez FWD5
-
A Muskwe FWD5
-
M. Jansson MID3
-