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Ajaccio v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

the Stade François-Coty crowd welcome Bastia's travelling contingent on Tuesday evening, as Mathieu Chabert's Ajaccio go head to head with Benoit Tavenot's charges in the Ligue 2. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Ajaccio and Bastia was on Tuesday 3rd December 2024
French Ligue 2
December 3rd 2024
Ajaccio 0
0 Bastia
 
AJC
BAS
Shots On
2
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
2
5
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
23
17
Yellow/red cards
5/1
1/0
 
AjaccioBastia
 
F. Sollacaro
A. Bamba
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze (C. Vidal 42')
T. Strata
M. Huard (M. Youssouf 42')
E. Pereira da Silva
J. Anziani
T. Jabol Folcarelli (M. Barreto 81')
M. Soumano
B. Touré
C. Ibayi (A. Kanté 90')
J. Placide
Z. Ariss
D. Guidi
(A. Roncaglia 42') G. Akueson
T. Meynadier
J. Maggiotti
T. Ducrocq
J. Janneh
L. Cisse
L. Tramoni
A. Boutrah

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may be an over exaggeration to say that we expect Mathieu Chabert and Benoit Tavenot to got all-out defensive here, but we're certainly not expecting a flood of goals as Ajaccio and Bastia go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we reckon that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.50 available on under 2.5 goals and no obvious match winner in sight, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajaccio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajaccio
41%
23/10
38%
11/5
39%
Draw
31%
15/8
7%
7/4
5%
Bastia
28%
7/5
20%
13/10
20%
Ajaccio 1-0
15%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Draw 0-0
14%
9/2
21%
17/4
19%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
4%
Bastia 1-0
12%
9/2
21%
17/4
19%
Ajaccio 2-0
8%
14/1
50%
12/1
37%
Ajaccio 2-1
7%
12/1
30%
10/1
22%
Bastia 2-1
6%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Bastia 2-0
5%
9/1
23%
8/1
18%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Ajaccio 3-0
3%
40/1
78%
25/1
53%
Ajaccio 3-1
3%
33/1
48%
25/1
53%
Bastia 3-1
2%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Bastia 3-0
2%
22/1
32%
16/1
26%
Ajaccio 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
31%
Bastia 3-2
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
15/8
15%
17/10
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
2/5
7%
4/11
8%
Home 1st Goal
49%
6/4
37%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
5/6
23%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
9/2
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
11/8
13%
13/10
10%
BTTS - No
61%
8/15
8%
11/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
8/1
50%
7/1
45%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
Home/draw
72%
8/15
13%
11/20
14%
Away/draw
59%
1/3
13%
3/10
15%
Home/away
69%
2/5
3%
2/5
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
8/13
8%
4/7
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
6/5
12%
23/20
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
11/2
30%
17/4
19%
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
1/9
5%
1/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
14/1
36%
10/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/33
2%
1/80
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
33/1
31%
20/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/200
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/7
4%
1/8
4%
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
9/2
21%
4/1
17%
Home DNB
62%
6/5
32%
5/4
35%
Away DNB
50%
8/13
23%
4/7
25%
Ajaccio win to nil
28%
7/2
29%
-
Bastia win to nil
19%
12/5
21%
-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio
14%
9/2
38%
9/2
41%
Ajaccio / Bastia
3%
33/125/1
Ajaccio / Draw
5%
14/112/1
Draw / Ajaccio
11%
11/2
18%
11/2
24%
Draw / Bastia
16%
9/2
15%
4/1
17%
Draw / Draw
22%
11/4
13%
13/5
10%
Bastia / Ajaccio
2%
40/1
41%
28/1
26%
Bastia / Bastia
21%
3/1
20%
29/10
19%
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 9 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league. Ajaccio are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Ajaccio have conceded 7 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 4 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 2 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Bastia lay in 10th place on 14 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 9 matches. Bastia are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 3 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 1 goal and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bastia have conceded 0 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Bastia have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajaccio
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient1610331533 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
2
Paris FC169431131 
l
 
0-2A
May 10
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
3
Metz168531129 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 22
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
4
Dunkerque15915328 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
5
Annecy16763527 
Jan 3
Apr 26
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
6
Lavallois16745825 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
7
Guingamp16817425 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
May 3
8
Amiens16727-123 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
9
Bastia Away164102222 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 10
-
-
10
Pau16646-122 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
11
Rodez16556320 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
12
Grenoble16538-218 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
Apr 26
Jan 3
13
Troyes16538-418 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
14
Red Star16538-1218 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
15
Clermont16457-517 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
16
Caen15438-415 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
May 10
l
 
2-0A
17
Ajaccio Home16439-715 
-
-
Jan 10
d
 
0-00-0
18
Martigues162311-269 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajaccio 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajaccio2 - 0Clermont
Ajaccio0 - 1Metz
Ajaccio1 - 1Martigues
Ajaccio2 - 0Grenoble
Ajaccio2 - 1Troyes
Ajaccio1 - 0Rodez
Ajaccio1 - 2Grenoble
Ajaccio1 - 1Quevillaise.
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Ajaccio2 - 0St Etienne
Ajaccio0 - 1Auxerre
Ajaccio1 - 3Annecy
Ajaccio0 - 0Amiens
Ajaccio3 - 0Guingamp
Ajaccio1 - 0Concarneau
Ajaccio2 - 1Valenciennes
Ajaccio2 - 0Lavallois
Ajaccio1 - 1Angers
Ajaccio1 - 0Troyes
Ajaccio2 - 0Pau
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjaccio0 - 1Dunkerque
HAjaccio2 - 0Clermont
HAjaccio0 - 1Metz
AAjaccio0 - 1Guingamp
AAjaccio1 - 3Amiens
HAjaccio1 - 1Martigues
AAjaccio0 - 3Lorient
HAjaccio2 - 0Grenoble
AAjaccio0 - 1Caen
AAjaccio1 - 1Lavallois
HAjaccio2 - 1Troyes
AAjaccio0 - 1Red Star
HAjaccio1 - 0Rodez
AAjaccio0 - 2Rodez
HAjaccio1 - 2Grenoble
AAjaccio0 - 4Bordeaux
HAjaccio1 - 1Quevillaise.
AAjaccio0 - 1Valenciennes
HAjaccio2 - 1Caen
HAjaccio2 - 0St Etienne
Bastia 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lavallois2 - 2Bastia
Caen2 - 0Bastia
Pau1 - 1Bastia
Dunkerque2 - 1Bastia
Martigues0 - 1Bastia
Metz1 - 1Bastia
Pau1 - 2Bastia
Annecy3 - 2Bastia
Guingamp0 - 1Bastia
Bordeaux2 - 3Bastia
Lavallois1 - 2Bastia
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Auxerre1 - 1Bastia
Quevillaise.0 - 1Bastia
Valenciennes3 - 1Bastia
St Etienne3 - 2Bastia
Dunkerque0 - 5Bastia
Caen1 - 0Bastia
Paris FC1 - 0Bastia
Rodez1 - 1Bastia
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 2Dunkerque
HBastia2 - 1Paris FC
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia1 - 0Martigues
HBastia1 - 0Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Paris FC
ABastia2 - 1Pau
HBastia1 - 2Amiens
ABastia2 - 3Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Concarneau
ABastia1 - 0Guingamp
ABastia3 - 2Bordeaux
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Ajaccio since 2022
Ajaccio
Bastia
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
AJC
1
BAS
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajaccio
Ajaccio2 - 0
0 - 1Bastia
League games at Bastia since 2014
Bastia
Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
BAS
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia2 - 0
Bastia2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Ajaccio 17th Bastia 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Ajaccio will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Bastia have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279801/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajaccio
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
AJC
BAS
6%
better
view stats
Games scored6
7
Failed to score3
2
Scored first4
4
Goals scored8
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for13
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
AJC
BAS
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
5
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded11
7
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+29%

Ajaccio v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15315
F SollacaroM SoumanoT StrataC. Ibayi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Sollacaro GLK15
3
-
T Strata DEF1311
1
-
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF15
3
-
A Bamba  DEF13
3
-
M Huard DEF71
1
1
T Folcarelli MID111
2
1
E. Pereira da Silva MID6
1
-
J Anziani MID161
2
-
M Soumano MID153
2
-
C. Ibayi FWD1621
5
-
B Touré FWD9
2
-
Subs
G Quilichini GLK1
-
M Youssouf DEF13
4
-
C Vidal DEF11
3
-
M Puchherrantz MID11
-
R. Coutinho da Silva MID2
-
M Barreto MID101
2
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16424
J PlacideA BoutrahZ. ArissZ. Ariss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK16
-
T. Meynadier DEF12
1
-
G Akueson DEF14
3
-
D Guidi DEF6
2
-
Z. Ariss DEF142
4
-
T Ducrocq MID161
3
-
J Janneh MID10
1
1
L Tramoni MID151
2
-
J Maggiotti  MID151
2
-
A Boutrah MID164
-
L Cissé FWD134
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
F Bohnert DEF14
1
-
A Roncaglia MID10
1
F Tomi MID142
1
-
L Etoga MID91
3
-
C Rodrigues FWD143
2
-
French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds
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