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Bastia v Guingamp : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Bastia and Guingamp meet at the Stade Armand-Cesari on Saturday afternoon, with both Benoit Tavenot and Sylvain Ripoll seeking a win in the Ligue 2. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ligue 2 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Bastia's next match is v Amiens at 19:00 on Friday 12th September
Guingamp's next match is v Montpellier at 16:00 on Friday 12th September
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Guingamp was on Saturday 30th August 2025
French Ligue 2
August 30th 2025
Bastia 1
3 Guingamp
 
A. Boutrah 63'5' D. Nlandu
11' J. Hatchi
55' L. Mafouta
 
BAS
GUI
Shots On
2
6
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
6
3
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
27
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
BastiaGuingamp
 
Z. Ariss
D. Guidi
T. Meynadier (F. Bohnert 46')
G. Akueson
C. Vincent
C. Onana Etoga
I. Karamoko (F. Tomi 46')
A. Boutrahfootball icon
N. Parravicini (A. Roncaglia 75')
J. Placide
J. Sebas (A. Aiki 62')
E. Koffi
D. Gomis
D. Louiserre
(T. Ahile 70') football iconD. Nlandu
A. Hemia
football iconL. Mafouta
(S. Kielt 88') A. Ortolá Vañó
(D. Ourega 56') A. Abdallah
A. Demouchy
(J. Matumona Makanga 71') football iconJ. Hatchi
G. Ott

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% chance of Bastia and Guingamp delivering at least a couple of goals in this Ligue 2 tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bastia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
56%
8/11750/1
Draw
24%
13/580/1
Guingamp
21%
10/31/1000
Bastia 1-0
12%
6/15/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/19/2
Bastia 2-0
10%
7/113/2
Bastia 2-1
10%
15/211/2
Draw 0-0
7%
9/115/2
Guingamp 1-0
6%
11/115/2
Bastia 3-0
6%
12/110/1
Bastia 3-1
6%
14/19/1
Guingamp 2-1
5%
14/114/5
Draw 2-2
5%
16/16/1
Guingamp 2-0
3%
22/113/5
Bastia 3-2
3%
25/116/1
Bastia 4-0
3%
28/120/1
Bastia 4-1
2%
28/118/1
Guingamp 3-1
2%
40/11/4
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1/11/4
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
4/55/2
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/74/7
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/89/5
No 1st Goal
4%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
51%
5/65/6
BTTS - No
49%
5/617/20
BTTS - Home Win
24%
11/490/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/128/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/11/200
Home/draw
79%
1/545/1
Away/draw
44%
21/201/1000
Home/away
76%
2/71/500
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/101/25
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
12/515/2
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5/22/5
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/717/10
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6/117/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/101/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/128/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/401/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/17/1
Home DNB
72%
3/103/10
Away DNB
37%
12/521/10
Bastia win to nil
31%
7/4-
Guingamp win to nil
11%
7/1-
Bastia / Bastia
30%
7/4125/1
Bastia / Guingamp
3%
33/1150/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Draw / Bastia
18%
15/455/1
Draw / Guingamp
9%
17/280/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/260/1
Guingamp / Bastia
4%
22/19/1
Guingamp / Guingamp
11%
13/22/9
Guingamp / Draw
5%
14/19/2
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Guingamp
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St Etienne422058 
Apr 17
Dec 12
Feb 13
Sep 27
2
Pau422048 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
Nov 7
Apr 17
3
Nancy422038 
Jan 30
Oct 28
Oct 3
Jan 16
4
Red Star421137 
Dec 5
Apr 10
l
 
0-4A
Apr 24
5
Reims421107 
Nov 7
Feb 6
Mar 20
l
 
1-0A
6
Troyes421107 
Feb 13
Oct 17
Jan 23
Sep 20
7
Clermont413016 
Oct 31
Apr 24
Oct 24
May 8
8
Amiens412115 
Apr 3
Sep 12
Mar 13
Nov 21
9
Dunkerque412105 
Oct 3
Feb 20
Sep 23
Feb 6
10
Montpellier412105 
Jan 23
Sep 20
Sep 12
Jan 30
11
Rodez4121-35 
Sep 23
Mar 20
Feb 27
Dec 12
12
Lavallois404004 
Oct 24
Jan 16
Oct 31
Mar 6
13
Le Mans4112-14 
May 8
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
Feb 20
14
Annecy4112-24 
Feb 27
Nov 21
Dec 5
Apr 3
15
Guingamp4112-34 
l
 
1-3A
May 1
-
-
16
Grenoble4022-22 
Jan 2
Sep 26
Apr 10
Oct 28
17
Bastia3012-31 
-
-
May 1
w
 
1-3F
18
Boulogne3003-30 
Mar 13
Sep 16
Jan 2
Oct 17
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Bastia1 - 0Red Star
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia0 - 1Le Mans
HBastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia2 - 1Caen
ABastia2 - 2Guingamp
HBastia2 - 3Grenoble
ABastia0 - 1Paris FC
HBastia5 - 2Lavallois
ABastia1 - 1Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 4Lorient
HBastia1 - 0Martigues
ABastia0 - 2Troyes
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
ABastia2 - 0Rodez
HBastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Pau
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
Guingamp 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Reims1 - 0Guingamp
Dunkerque1 - 0Guingamp
Pau1 - 3Guingamp
Amiens3 - 2Guingamp
Dunkerque3 - 1Guingamp
Troyes0 - 1Guingamp
Red Star3 - 1Guingamp
Grenoble1 - 1Guingamp
Ajaccio0 - 3Guingamp
Caen0 - 1Guingamp
Annecy1 - 4Guingamp
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Martigues0 - 1Guingamp
Lorient3 - 1Guingamp
Metz1 - 0Guingamp
Clermont4 - 1Guingamp
Paris FC2 - 0Guingamp
Rodez1 - 2Guingamp
Lavallois0 - 1Guingamp
Paris FC2 - 1Guingamp
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGuingamp0 - 4Red Star
AGuingamp0 - 1Reims
HGuingamp3 - 3Le Mans
AGuingamp0 - 1Dunkerque
AGuingamp3 - 1Pau
HGuingamp2 - 2Bastia
HGuingamp2 - 1Martigues
AGuingamp2 - 3Amiens
HGuingamp1 - 2Lorient
AGuingamp1 - 3Dunkerque
HGuingamp2 - 0Lavallois
AGuingamp1 - 0Troyes
HGuingamp3 - 1Clermont
AGuingamp1 - 3Red Star
AGuingamp1 - 1Grenoble
HGuingamp0 - 3Metz
AGuingamp3 - 0Ajaccio
HGuingamp0 - 1Paris FC
AGuingamp1 - 0Caen
HGuingamp3 - 0Rodez
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Bastia have not lost to Guingamp in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Guingamp
Goals: Scored
9
4
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
BAS
3
D
3
GUI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Bastia3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Guingamp
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Guingamp since 2013
Guingamp
Bastia
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
BAS
2
D
3
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guingamp
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Bastia
Guingamp5 - 0
Guingamp1 - 0
Guingamp1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Bastia's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Guingamp have conceded in each of their last 10 Ligue 2 outings. A PG of 1.7 for B. Tavenot's side suggests that run should continue.

Bastia 17th Guingamp 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Bastia will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Guingamp scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Bastia have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+2
Guingamp’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Guingamp
1.7
1
Attack rating
BAS
GUI
3%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score1
2
Scored first1
0
Goals scored1
3
Avg. goals scored0.5
1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal19
9
Conversion rate for5
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
42%
better
BAS
GUI
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
3
Goals conceded2
8
Avg. goals conceded1
2.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
4
Conversion rate against13%
29%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+42%

Bastia v Guingamp Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
J PlacideJ SebasL EtogaN. Parravicini
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK3
-
T. Meynadier DEF3
-
G Akueson DEF1
1
-
D Guidi DEF3
1
-
Z. Ariss DEF3
1
-
C Vincent MID3
1
-
L Etoga MID31
-
J Sebas MID31
1
-
A Boutrah MID311
-
I Karamoko MID3
-
N. Parravicini FWD2
2
-
Subs
L. Olmeta GLK
-
A Roncaglia DEF3
-
F Bohnert DEF3
1
-
F Tomi MID3
-
J Janneh MID2
-
A Aiki FWD
-
M. Ble FWD3
-
Guingamp Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4221
A OrtoláL MafoutaJ. HatchiD Louiserre
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Ortolá GLK4
-
E Koffi DEF3
-
D Gomis DEF41
-
A Demouchy DEF41
-
A Abdallah DEF4
-
J. Hatchi MID412
-
D N'Landu MID411
-
D Louiserre MID4
1
-
A. Hemia MID41
1
-
G Ott MID42
-
L Mafouta FWD
-
Subs
T Bartouche GLK1
-
J. Matumona Makanga DEF2
1
-
D. Ourega DEF4
1
-
T. Ahile MID2
-
S. Kielt MID1
-
E. Gassama MID
-