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Bastia v Red Star FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 5th Dec, 19:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Friday evening sees Benoit Tavenot’s Bastia and Grégory Poirier’s Red Star FC go head to head in a Ligue 2 clash at the Stade Armand-Cesari. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head history, will change as you explore each of the 17 major markets via the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our predictions will too.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Red Star coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
22%
2/1-
Draw
26%
2/1-
Red Star
52%
13/10-
Red Star 1-0
14%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1-
Red Star 2-0
11%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1-
Red Star 2-1
9%
9/1-
Bastia 1-0
8%
13/2-
Red Star 3-0
5%
22/1-
Bastia 2-1
5%
11/1-
Red Star 3-1
5%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Bastia 2-0
4%
14/1-
Red Star 4-0
2%
50/1-
Red Star 3-2
2%
40/1-
Red Star 4-1
2%
50/1-
Bastia 3-1
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
40%
5/4-
Away 1st Goal
54%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
45%
1/1-
BTTS - No
55%
8/11-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
13/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/1-
Home/draw
48%
8/15-
Away/draw
78%
1/3-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1-
Home DNB
40%
11/10-
Away DNB
70%
4/6-
Bastia win to nil
13%
7/2-
Red Star win to nil
33%
5/2-
Bastia / Bastia
16%
4/1-
Bastia / Red Star
3%
28/1-
Bastia / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Bastia
13%
11/2-
Draw / Red Star
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Red Star / Bastia
2%
33/1-
Red Star / Red Star
21%
3/1-
Red Star / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Bastia have conceded 20 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 7 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 12 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Red Star lay in 3rd place on 28 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Red Star have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Red Star have played 8 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Red Star
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes159421331 
Feb 13
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3F
Jan 3
2
St Etienne159241129 
Apr 17
Dec 13
w
 
2-1F
Mar 6
3
Red Star15843628 
Dec 5
Apr 10
-
-
4
Reims15744825 
l
 
1-3F
Feb 6
Dec 13
Apr 17
5
Le Mans15663324 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
Feb 27
d
 
0-00-0
6
Montpellier15735324 
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
May 9
d
 
1-1F
7
Guingamp15654-123 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
Apr 24
w
 
0-4F
8
Pau15654-223 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
Feb 6
w
 
0-3F
9
Dunkerque15564821 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
Mar 13
l
 
3-0A
10
Annecy15546119 
Feb 27
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 20
11
Clermont15465-418 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
d
 
2-2F
Mar 20
12
Grenoble15456-317 
Jan 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
13
Rodez15456-617 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
d
 
1-1A
Jan 30
14
Lavallois15366-415 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 16
Apr 3
w
 
0-1F
15
Amiens15438-515 
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3A
May 2
16
Boulogne15438-715 
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
Jan 24
w
 
1-2F
17
Nancy15438-715 
Jan 30
l
 
2-0A
Feb 13
w
 
0-1F
18
Bastia151410-147 
-
-
Apr 10
Dec 5
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
Red Star 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Bastia fans, as should a 7 Ligue 2 matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bastia 18th Red Star 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Red Star will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Bastia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+2
Red Star’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Red Star
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
BAS
RED
61%
better
view stats
Games scored5
13
Failed to score10
2
Scored first4
11
Goals scored6
21
Avg. goals scored0.4
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal21
6
Conversion rate for5
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
BAS
RED
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first8
3
Goals conceded20
15
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+30%

Bastia v Red Star Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15215
Z. ArissA BoutrahZ. ArissD Guidi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z. Ariss DEF151
4
-
F Tomi MID15
2
-
T. Meynadier DEF14
3
-
D Guidi DEF141
5
-
A Roncaglia DEF131
2
1
I Karamoko FWD13
2
-
M. Ble FWD13
1
-
J Placide GLK12
-
A Aiki FWD12
-
J Sebas FWD121
2
1
C Vincent MID11
2
-
A Boutrah FWD1121
1
-
J. Guevara DEF101
3
-
J Janneh MID10
-
T Ducrocq MID101
2
1
A. Bi Zaouai MID10
-
F Bohnert DEF8
1
-
L Etoga MID81
1
-
N. Parravicini FWD6
3
-
L. Olmeta GLK3
1
-
G Akueson DEF2
1
-
Red Star Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15843
D DurivauxD. DurandS KhaouiD Sylla
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Durivaux DEF1512
2
-
S Khaoui MID1514
2
-
R. Hachem MID1511
2
-
D. Durand FWD158
-
D Sylla MID143
3
-
J. Ikanga FWD143
2
-
K. Cissé FWD1413
1
-
G Poussin GLK13
1
-
P Lemonnier  DEF131
1
-
B Danger DEF131
3
-
M Huard DEF121
3
-
G Haag MID111
3
-
H. Benali FWD112
1
-
J Eickmayer MID101
-
K Cabral FWD10
1
-
A. Hachem FWD9
1
-
G Trani MID81
-
J. Kayi Sanda DEF6
-
S Renel MID5
-
Q Beunardeau GLK2
-
V. Kany MID2
-
J Escartin DEF1
1
-