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Montpellier v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 13:00 BST, Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

Pau FC, led by manager Nicolas Usaï, visit Zoumana Camara and his Montpellier side at the Stade de la Mosson on Saturday afternoon in the Ligue 2. All of the key statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Montpellier or Pau are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montpellier are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Montpellier
49%
7/10-
Draw
24%
5/2-
Pau
27%
16/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Montpellier 2-1
10%
15/2-
Montpellier 1-0
9%
13/2-
Montpellier 2-0
8%
15/2-
Pau 2-1
7%
14/1-
Pau 1-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Montpellier 3-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1-
Montpellier 3-0
5%
14/1-
Pau 2-0
4%
22/1-
Montpellier 3-2
3%
22/1-
Pau 3-1
3%
33/1-
Montpellier 4-1
2%
28/1-
Pau 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
17/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
19/20-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/5-
BTTS - No
42%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
13/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7/1-
Home/draw
73%
1/5-
Away/draw
51%
1/1-
Home/away
76%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1-
Home DNB
66%
3/10-
Away DNB
44%
12/5-
Montpellier win to nil
24%
2/1-
Pau win to nil
13%
7/1-
Montpellier / Montpellier
31%
7/4-
Montpellier / Pau
2%
33/1-
Montpellier / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Montpellier
18%
15/4-
Draw / Pau
9%
17/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Pau / Montpellier
4%
20/1-
Pau / Pau
11%
13/2-
Pau / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Montpellier have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 21 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Montpellier have played 8 games at home winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Pau are in 8th position in the Ligue 2 on 23 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Pau have conceded 14 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Montpellier
Pau
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes159421331 
Apr 3
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
Feb 20
2
St Etienne159241129 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 6
Feb 27
l
 
6-0A
3
Red Star15843628 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
l
 
0-3A
Feb 6
4
Reims15744825 
Feb 27
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 9
5
Le Mans15663324 
Feb 13
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
Apr 3
6
Montpellier15735324 
-
-
Mar 20
Dec 6
7
Guingamp15654-123 
Jan 30
l
 
1-0A
Apr 17
d
 
2-2A
8
Pau15654-223 
Dec 6
Mar 20
-
-
9
Dunkerque15564821 
Jan 5
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
Jan 16
10
Annecy15546119 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 10
w
 
2-0F
Apr 24
11
Clermont15465-418 
May 2
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
12
Grenoble15456-317 
Apr 17
Dec 13
Jan 23
d
 
1-1A
13
Rodez15456-617 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 20
Jan 3
w
 
1-2F
14
Lavallois15366-415 
Mar 13
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Jan 30
15
Amiens15438-515 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 24
Dec 12
Apr 10
16
Boulogne15438-715 
l
 
1-3A
Jan 16
Feb 13
w
 
0-3F
17
Nancy15438-715 
w
 
4-1A
Mar 6
May 2
d
 
2-2A
18
Bastia151410-147 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 23
Mar 6
d
 
1-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Montpellier have won 3 consecutive home league games
6
Pau have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Montpellier 6TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montpellier1 - 0Annecy
Montpellier2 - 0Rodez
Montpellier4 - 1Nancy
Montpellier0 - 2St Etienne
Montpellier1 - 3Boulogne
Montpellier2 - 0Bastia
Montpellier1 - 1Amiens
Montpellier1 - 1Red Star
Montpellier1 - 4PSG
Montpellier0 - 0Reims
Montpellier0 - 2Le Havre
Montpellier0 - 2St Etienne
Montpellier0 - 4Rennes
Montpellier1 - 4Lyon
Montpellier0 - 2Lens
Montpellier2 - 1Monaco
Montpellier1 - 3Angers
Montpellier2 - 2Nice
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontpellier0 - 2Reims
HMontpellier1 - 0Annecy
HMontpellier2 - 0Rodez
AMontpellier1 - 1Clermont
HMontpellier4 - 1Nancy
AMontpellier1 - 0Dunkerque
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier1 - 0Lavallois
HMontpellier1 - 3Boulogne
HMontpellier2 - 0Bastia
AMontpellier0 - 1Guingamp
HMontpellier1 - 1Amiens
AMontpellier0 - 1Troyes
AMontpellier2 - 1Le Mans
HMontpellier1 - 1Red Star
AMontpellier0 - 3Nantes
HMontpellier1 - 4PSG
AMontpellier0 - 1Brest
HMontpellier0 - 0Reims
AMontpellier1 - 5Marseille
Pau 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guingamp2 - 2Pau
St Etienne6 - 0Pau
Grenoble1 - 1Pau
Rodez1 - 2Pau
Boulogne0 - 3Pau
Nancy2 - 2Pau
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Amiens4 - 2Pau
Ajaccio1 - 1Pau
Lorient5 - 0Pau
Martigues2 - 2Pau
Caen2 - 2Pau
Paris FC3 - 1Pau
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Red Star1 - 3Pau
Metz0 - 0Pau
Rodez1 - 0Pau
Annecy2 - 0Pau
Troyes3 - 0Pau
Guingamp0 - 1Pau
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPau1 - 2Le Mans
APau2 - 2Guingamp
HPau1 - 1Troyes
APau0 - 6St Etienne
HPau0 - 3Dunkerque
APau1 - 1Grenoble
HPau3 - 1Clermont
APau2 - 1Rodez
HPau1 - 0Lavallois
APau3 - 0Boulogne
HPau0 - 3Red Star
APau2 - 2Nancy
HPau2 - 0Reims
APau1 - 1Bastia
HPau2 - 0Annecy
HPau1 - 3Guingamp
APau2 - 4Amiens
HPau2 - 1Metz
APau1 - 1Ajaccio
HPau2 - 2Clermont
Goal Statistics

Montpellier have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 games. Their PG of 1.7 against Pau FC on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Montpellier's defensive record is very strong, Z. Camara's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Pau FC makes sense in this context.

Montpellier 6th Pau 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Montpellier will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Pau will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Montpellier have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
Pau’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Montpellier
PG (predicted goals)
Pau
1.7
1.2
Attack rating
MTP
PAU
13%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score4
3
Scored first7
8
Goals scored17
21
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
20%
better
MTP
PAU
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded14
23
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
5
Conversion rate against11%
20%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Montpellier v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Montpellier Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15424
B OmeragicA MendyT SavanierB Omeragic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Omeragic DEF152
4
-
A Mendy FWD1541
2
-
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK14
3
-
T. Chennahi MID141
4
-
N Mbuku FWD1421
1
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF13
2
-
J Laporte DEF13
1
1
T Savanier MID1342
2
-
C Jullien DEF1211
2
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF121
1
1
N. Pays MID111
3
-
V. Orakpo FWD101
2
-
Y. Mouanga DEF8
1
-
K Fayad MID811
1
-
A. Sishuba MID5
1
-
J. Ndiaye FWD41
-
V. Džodić GLK1
-
Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14327
J. Kalulu KyatengwaG VersiniR. TouzgharD Meddah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Touzghar MID1512
1
-
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF141
1
1
A Bobichon MID1421
-
N Raveyre GLK13
-
N. Glossoa DEF132
-
A Briançon DEF13
2
-
T. Pouilly DEF1311
3
1
D Meddah MID1312
6
1
G Versini FWD1331
1
-
S Karamoko DEF11
2
1
J Ruiz DEF111
1
-
E Zuliani MID11
2
-
K Dong FWD111
1
-
S Beusnard MID1011
1
-
O. Sissoko FWD102
2
-
O. Sadik FWD103
2
-
R. Messi Tanfouri FWD92
-
K. Gasnier MID8
1
-
C. Fall MID71
2
-
O Kanté DEF6
2
1
E Salles GLK3
-