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Troyes v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Oct, 19:00 BST, Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes

Bastia, led by manager Benoit Tavenot, visit Stephane Dumont and his Troyes side at the Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas on Friday evening in the Ligue 2. Ligue 2 stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with graphics and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Troyes to win

As the stadium fills and the Troyes players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Stade de l'Aube hasn't been an easy place to go for Bastia in the past, and we expect more of the same come Friday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Troyes
65%
3/4
9%
3/4
5%
Draw
23%
5/2
6%
23/10
3%
Bastia
12%
7/2
19%
16/5
12%
Troyes 1-0
17%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Troyes 2-0
15%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Draw 0-0
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
Troyes 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Troyes 3-0
8%
14/111/1
8%
Bastia 1-0
6%
9/117/2
6%
Troyes 3-1
5%
16/112/1
Troyes 4-0
4%
33/120/1
9%
Bastia 2-1
3%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/112/1
Troyes 4-1
2%
33/120/1
9%
Bastia 2-0
2%
20/116/1
13%
Troyes 3-2
1%
28/120/1
Troyes 5-0
1%
66/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
11/10
2%
21/20
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
7/10
2%
13/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
61%
8/13
6%
3/5
4%
Away 1st Goal
33%
7/4
10%
7/4
6%
No 1st Goal
7%
15/27/1
7%
BTTS - Yes
36%
1/1
5%
1/1
3%
BTTS - No
64%
8/11
4%
3/4
BTTS - Home Win
19%
10/3
4%
3/1
5%
BTTS - Draw
13%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
4%
9/1
18%
15/2
13%
Home/draw
88%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
35%
1/1
7%
19/20
7%
Home/away
77%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/31/3
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
9/49/5
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/45/2
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/42/9
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
11%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
1/16
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/500
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1
18%
13/2
7%
Home DNB
81%
3/10
4%
3/10
7%
Away DNB
28%
12/5
13%
11/5
14%
Troyes win to nil
46%
13/8
12%
-
Bastia win to nil
8%
6/1
8%
-
Troyes / Troyes
29%
7/4
11%
7/4
8%
Troyes / Bastia
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
Troyes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Troyes
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
8%
Draw / Bastia
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
2%
Bastia / Troyes
4%
22/1
12%
20/1
Bastia / Bastia
11%
7/1
14%
6/1
17%
Bastia / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Troyes have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 2 league table. Troyes have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Troyes have outscored their opponents by 19 goals to 4 goals.

Home League Performance

Troyes have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Bastia are in 18th position in the Ligue 2 on 4 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Bastia are winless in the 9 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 6 of those games. Bastia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 0 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Bastia have conceded 11 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Troyes
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes96211020 
-
-
Feb 13
Oct 17
2
St Etienne9621920 
Nov 8
Apr 24
Apr 17
Dec 13
3
Pau9621820 
Feb 20
Nov 3
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
4
Red Star9522617 
Jan 2
w
 
1-3A
Dec 5
Apr 10
5
Reims9423114 
Jan 16
Oct 24
Nov 7
Feb 6
6
Guingamp9423-314 
w
 
5-2A
Jan 23
l
 
1-3A
May 1
7
Nancy9333-112 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 6
Jan 30
Oct 28
8
Rodez9333-312 
Dec 6
Apr 10
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
9
Montpellier9324-211 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
Jan 23
l
 
2-0A
10
Dunkerque9243210 
Mar 20
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
11
Le Mans9243-110 
Jan 30
d
 
2-2A
May 8
l
 
1-0A
12
Clermont9243-410 
Mar 6
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 31
Apr 24
13
Amiens9234-29 
Oct 28
Feb 27
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
14
Grenoble9234-29 
w
 
2-1F
May 8
Jan 2
d
 
0-00-0
15
Annecy9234-39 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 13
Feb 27
Nov 21
16
Boulogne9306-49 
Apr 17
Dec 12
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
17
Lavallois9153-48 
Apr 30
Nov 21
Oct 24
Jan 16
18
Bastia9045-74 
Oct 17
Feb 13
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
7
Troyes have won 7 consecutive home league games
9
Troyes have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
11
Bastia have not won in 11 consecutive away league games
5
Bastia have failed to score in 5 consecutive away league games
Troyes 1ST
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Troyes3 - 1Annecy
Troyes5 - 2Guingamp
Troyes3 - 0Nancy
Troyes1 - 0Montpellier
Troyes2 - 1Grenoble
Troyes1 - 0Amiens
Troyes1 - 0Dunkerque
Troyes0 - 0Ajaccio
Troyes2 - 2Red Star
Troyes0 - 1Guingamp
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Troyes0 - 1Lorient
Troyes3 - 0Caen
Troyes0 - 1Annecy
Troyes4 - 0Martigues
Troyes0 - 0Grenoble
Troyes0 - 0Lavallois
Troyes3 - 0Pau
Troyes0 - 3Paris FC
Troyes2 - 1Metz
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATroyes2 - 2Le Mans
HTroyes3 - 1Annecy
ATroyes3 - 1Red Star
HTroyes5 - 2Guingamp
HTroyes3 - 0Nancy
ATroyes0 - 2Dunkerque
HTroyes1 - 0Montpellier
ATroyes0 - 0Clermont
HTroyes2 - 1Grenoble
HTroyes1 - 0Amiens
ATroyes1 - 3Grenoble
HTroyes1 - 0Dunkerque
ATroyes2 - 0Clermont
HTroyes0 - 0Ajaccio
HTroyes2 - 2Red Star
ATroyes1 - 2Metz
HTroyes0 - 1Guingamp
ATroyes2 - 0Pau
HTroyes2 - 0Bastia
ATroyes0 - 1Paris FC
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Away
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
1
Draw
9
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grenoble0 - 0Bastia
Montpellier2 - 0Bastia
Boulogne1 - 0Bastia
Amiens0 - 0Bastia
Le Mans1 - 0Bastia
Guingamp2 - 2Bastia
Paris FC1 - 0Bastia
Annecy1 - 1Bastia
Lorient4 - 0Bastia
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Clermont1 - 1Bastia
Rodez0 - 2Bastia
Amiens1 - 0Bastia
Grenoble3 - 2Bastia
Red Star0 - 0Bastia
Ajaccio0 - 0Bastia
Lavallois2 - 2Bastia
Caen2 - 0Bastia
Pau1 - 1Bastia
Dunkerque2 - 1Bastia
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia0 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 0Grenoble
HBastia2 - 3Rodez
ABastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia0 - 1Boulogne
ABastia0 - 0Amiens
HBastia1 - 3Guingamp
ABastia0 - 1Le Mans
HBastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia2 - 1Caen
ABastia2 - 2Guingamp
HBastia2 - 3Grenoble
ABastia0 - 1Paris FC
HBastia5 - 2Lavallois
ABastia1 - 1Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 4Lorient
HBastia1 - 0Martigues
ABastia0 - 2Troyes
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Troyes have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Bastia
League games at Troyes since 2015
Troyes
Bastia
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
TRO
2
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Troyes
Troyes2 - 0
Troyes2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Bastia since 2016
Bastia
Troyes
Goals: Scored
5
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
D
1
BAS
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bastia3 - 2
Bastia2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Troyes have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Ligue 2 games. Their PG of 1.7 against Bastia on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Troyes 1st Bastia 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
There is a 82% probability that Troyes will score 1 or more goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Bastia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Troyes have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
-46
Bastia have scored 46% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Troyes
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.7
0.6
Attack rating
61%
better
TRO
BAS
view stats
Games scored7
3
Failed to score2
6
Scored first4
2
Goals scored19
4
Avg. goals scored2.1
0.4
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal6
19
Conversion rate for18
5
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
10%
better
TRO
BAS
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded9
11
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+10%

Troyes v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Troyes Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9533
N LemaîtreT. BentayebM AdelineN Lemaître
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Lemaître GLK9
3
-
I Boura DEF912
1
-
P Gozzi DEF9
2
-
A Monfray DEF9
1
-
A. Mille MID912
1
-
M Diop MID912
-
M Adeline MID933
2
-
M. Detourbet FWD9
1
-
K. Assoumou FWD941
2
-
M Idrissy FWD921
2
-
M. Ifnaoui MID82
-
Y. Titi DEF61
-
T. Bentayeb FWD551
-
H Gambor DEF4
-
L Maronnier DEF4
-
E. Odede FWD31
-
A Phliponeau  MID2
1
-
A. Diakité FWD2
1
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9213
J PlacideA BoutrahZ. ArissT Ducrocq
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK9
-
Z. Ariss DEF91
2
-
F Tomi MID9
-
A Boutrah FWD921
1
-
T. Meynadier DEF8
1
-
A Roncaglia DEF8
-
D Guidi DEF8
1
-
I Karamoko FWD8
2
-
M. Ble FWD8
1
-
T Ducrocq MID71
2
1
A Aiki FWD7
-
J Sebas FWD71
1
1
F Bohnert DEF6
1
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID6
-
J Janneh MID6
-
J. Guevara DEF5
2
-
C Vincent MID5
2
-
L Etoga MID51
1
-
G Akueson DEF2
1
-
N. Parravicini FWD2
2
-