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Azerbaijan v Iceland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 13th Nov, 17:00 BST, Türk Hava Yolları Futbol Mərkəzi IV meydança, Bakı

Iceland, led by manager Arnar Gunnlaugsson, visit Fernando Santos and his Azerbaijan side at the Bakcell Arena (Bakı (Baku)) on Thursday evening in the World Cup Qualifying Europe. All of the important stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Best Tip: Iceland to win

The turnout should be good at Bakcell Arena (Bakı (Baku)) on Thursday evening but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be coming away disappointed. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Iceland getting the better of hosts Azerbaijan. It could be a bruising afternoon for home manager Fernando Manuel Fernandes da Costa Santos but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookie odds of 1.57 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Azerbaijan
17%
-5.75
Draw
20%
-4.20
5%
Iceland
63%
-1.53
3%
Iceland 2-1
10%
-7.50
Iceland 2-0
9%
-7.00
Draw 1-1
9%
-7.50
7%
Iceland 1-0
9%
-6.50
Iceland 3-1
7%
-11.00
Iceland 3-0
7%
-9.50
Draw 2-2
5%
-15.00
Azerbaijan 2-1
5%
-15.00
Azerbaijan 1-0
4%
-12.00
Iceland 4-1
4%
-17.00
Draw 0-0
4%
-10.00
5%
Iceland 3-2
4%
-19.00
Iceland 4-0
4%
-15.00
12%
Azerbaijan 2-0
2%
-23.00
Iceland 4-2
2%
-29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
-1.75
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
-2.00
3%
Home 1st Goal
41%
-3.10
Away 1st Goal
57%
-1.44
3%
No 1st Goal
2%
-10.00
5%
BTTS - Yes
58%
-1.91
3%
BTTS - No
42%
-1.83
1%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
-9.50
BTTS - Draw
16%
-5.25
BTTS - Away Win
32%
-3.20
2%
Home/draw
37%
-2.45
3%
Away/draw
83%
-1.13
Home/away
80%
-1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
-1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
-3.70
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
-2.88
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
-1.36
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
-5.25
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
-1.14
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
-10.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
-1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1.04
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-10.00
Home DNB
31%
-4.33
3%
Away DNB
77%
-1.18
2%
Azerbaijan win to nil
7%
--
Iceland win to nil
31%
--
Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan
9%
-8.50
Azerbaijan / Iceland
5%
-17.00
11%
Azerbaijan / Draw
5%
-15.00
Draw / Azerbaijan
7%
-11.00
Draw / Iceland
19%
-4.20
Draw / Draw
14%
-5.75
5%
Iceland / Azerbaijan
2%
-34.00
Iceland / Iceland
34%
-2.30
3%
Iceland / Draw
5%
-15.00
Group D table
Won
Draw
Lost
Azerbaijan
Iceland
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS Date Date
1
France4310610 
Nov 16
d
 
2-2F
2
Ukraine421117 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-5A
3
Iceland411224 
Nov 13
-
4
Azerbaijan4013-91 
-
w
 
5-0F
Win / draw / win form
Azerbaijan 5TH
2022 WC Quals.
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
3
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
3 / 5
Conceded
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
Failed to score
2 / 5
D
1
Lost
4
Goals: Scored
7
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
7 / 12
Conceded
12 / 12
Clean sheets
0 / 12
Failed to score
5 / 12
D
2
Lost
10
Iceland
2022 WC Quals.
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
3 / 6
Conceded
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
Failed to score
3 / 6
W
1
D
1
Lost
4
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 14
Conceded
11 / 14
Clean sheets
3 / 14
Failed to score
5 / 14
Won
3
Draw
4
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Azerbaijan's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because Iceland have conceded in each of their last 14 World Cup Qualifying Europe outings. A PG of 1.5 for Fernando Santos's side suggests that run should continue.

Azerbaijan's defensive record is very strong, Fernando Santos's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Iceland makes sense in this context.

Azerbaijan 5th Iceland st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Azerbaijan will score no more than 1 goal
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Iceland will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
5 home / away league games
=0
Azerbaijan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Iceland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
2.4
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Azerbaijan
PG (predicted goals)
Iceland
1
2.2
Attack rating
AZE
ISL
52%
better
view stats
Games scored11
18
Failed to score9
2
Scored first2
13
Goals scored15
35
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.8
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal10
4
Conversion rate for10
23
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
AZE
ISL
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
14
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first16
7
Goals conceded46
36
Avg. goals conceded2.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded13
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against2.3
1.6
KickOff rating
+21%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Azerbaijan v Iceland will show here when available.

Azerbaijan World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4102
S Mahammadaliyev E MahmudovS Mahammadaliyev 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Mahammadaliyev  GLK4
2
-
Q Aliyev  DEF4
-
E Bədəlov DEF4
-
E Cafarquliyev DEF4
-
B Mustafazada DEF4
-
E Mahmudov MID41
1
-
M Emreli FWD4
-
A Kryvotsyuk DEF3
-
A Hüseynov  DEF3
1
-
N Akhundzade FWD3
-
M Qurbanly FWD3
-
R Dashdamirov DEF2
1
-
A Nuriev MID2
-
S Abdullazada MID2
-
J Huseynov DEF1
-
J. Nuriyev MID1
-
I Ibrahimli MID1
-
O Kökcü FWD1
-
R Dadashov FWD1
1
-
Iceland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4322
E ÓlafssonA GudmundssonH HaraldssonA Gudjohnsen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Ólafsson GLK4
-
D Grétarsson DEF4
-
V Pálsson DEF42
-
S Ingason DEF4
-
K Hlynsson MID41
-
M Anderson MID4
1
-
H Haraldsson MID42
-
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID421
-
M Ellertsson MID41
1
-
J Thorsteinsson FWD41
-
S Thórdarson MID3
-
D Gudjohnsen FWD3
-
A Gudjohnsen FWD311
2
-
B Willumsson FWD3
-
A Gudmundsson FWD332
-
S Magnússon FWD3
-
L Tómasson DEF2
1
-
B Bjarkason MID2
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID1
-
G Thórdarson MID1
-