FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Estonia v Italy : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Oct, 19:45 BST, A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

the A. Le Coq Arena is the stage on Saturday evening, as Jurgen Henn's Estonia are visited by Giacomo Gattuso's Italy in the World Cup Qualifying Europe. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on World Cup Qualifying Europe match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Italy to win

Winning away from home in World Cup Qualifying Europe is always worth celebrating, and we're predicting that Giacomo Gattuso and his Italy team will end the game jubilant at A. Le Coq Arena on Saturday evening. The stats below, including historical head-to-head (H2H) records, show they're more than capable of delivering, and the bookies are expecting exactly that. You can get best odds of 1.10 on Italy to win. It's a bet we think is well worth taking.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 87% chance of Italy coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estonia 4%	-	25/1
Draw 9%	-	15/2 23%
Italy 87%	-	1/8 2%
Italy 3-0 13%	-	19/4 5%
Italy 2-0 12%	-	9/2 5%
Italy 4-0 10%	-	13/2 7%
Italy 1-0 8%	-	6/1
Italy 3-1 7%	-	10/1
Italy 2-1 7%	-	9/1 9%
Italy 5-0 6%	-	10/1 10%
Italy 4-1 6%	-	12/1 13%
Draw 1-1 4%	-	14/1 12%
Italy 5-1 4%	-	18/1 10%
Italy 6-0 3%	-	16/1
Draw 0-0 2%	-	14/1 12%
Italy 3-2 2%	-	28/1 15%
Draw 2-2 2%	-	33/1
Italy 6-1 2%	-	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 72%	-	10/21 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%	-	6/4 5%
Home 1st Goal 31%	-	6/1
Away 1st Goal 68%	-	2/15 1%
No 1st Goal 1%	-	14/1 21%
BTTS - Yes 42%	-	9/5 3%
BTTS - No 58%	-	2/5 3%
BTTS - Home Win 2%	-	40/1
BTTS - Draw 7%	-	11/1 8%
BTTS - Away Win 33%	-	12/5 3%
Home/draw 13%	-	11/2 13%
Away/draw 96%	-	1/200 1%
Home/away 91%	-	1/14 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%	-	2/13 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 11%	-	4/1 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%	-	23/20 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 49%	-	13/20 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%	-	12/5
Under 4.5 Goals 68%	-	2/7
Over 5.5 Goals 17%	-	5/1
Under 5.5 Goals 82%	-	1/9
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	-	1/66 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	-	14/1 12%
Home DNB 10%	-	20/1 11%
Away DNB 93%	-	1/80
Estonia win to nil 2%	-	-
Italy win to nil 54%	-	-
Estonia / Estonia 2%	-	33/1
Estonia / Italy 3%	-	25/1
Estonia / Draw 2%	-	33/1
Draw / Estonia 2%	-	33/1
Draw / Italy 21%	-	29/10 3%
Draw / Draw 8%	-	9/1 23%
Italy / Estonia 1%	-	100/1
Italy / Italy 56%	-	10/21 3%
Italy / Draw 3%	-	28/1 15%

Group I table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Estonia Italy
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Norway	5	5	0	21	15	l 0-1A	Nov 16
2	Italy	4	3	1	5	9	Oct 11	-
3	Israel	5	3	2	4	9	l 1-3F	Oct 14
4	Estonia	5	1	4	-8	3	-	w 5-0F
5	Moldova	5	0	5	-22	0	Oct 14	w 2-0F

Win / draw / win form

Estonia have lost 3 consecutive games

Italy have won 3 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

2 / 6

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
Estonia	1 - 3	Israel
Estonia	0 - 1	Wales
Estonia	2 - 0	Belarus
Estonia	2 - 5	Belgium
Estonia	2 - 6	Czech Rep

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 13

Conceded

11 / 13

Clean sheets

2 / 13

Failed to score

5 / 13

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Estonia	0 - 5	Italy
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
H	Estonia	1 - 3	Israel
A	Estonia	3 - 2	Moldova
A	Estonia	1 - 2	Israel
A	Estonia	0 - 2	Czech Rep
A	Estonia	1 - 3	Belgium
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Wales
H	Estonia	2 - 0	Belarus
A	Estonia	0 - 0	Wales
H	Estonia	2 - 5	Belgium
A	Estonia	2 - 4	Belarus
H	Estonia	2 - 6	Czech Rep

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 6

Conceded

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

Failed to score

3 / 6

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Israel	4 - 5	Italy
Norway	3 - 0	Italy
N Ireland	0 - 0	Italy
Switzerland	0 - 0	Italy
Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy
Bulgaria	0 - 2	Italy

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 13

Conceded

5 / 13

Clean sheets

8 / 13

Failed to score

4 / 13

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Italy	5 - 4	Israel
H	Italy	5 - 0	Estonia
H	Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Italy	0 - 3	Norway
H	Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
A	Italy	0 - 0	N Ireland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
H	Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	0 - 0	Switzerland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Italy	2 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	2 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Goal Statistics

	Estonia	Italy
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.6 goals	3.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 57% 1 32% 2 3 4+ There is a 57% probability that Estonia will fail to score	1 13% 2 21% 3 22% 4 18% 5+ 25% There is a 26% probability that Italy will score 5 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Estonia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Italy’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	2.7 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

EST

ITA

50%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		16
Failed to score	12		4
Scored first	6		10
Goals scored	12		37
Avg. goals scored	0.6		1.9
Avg. shots per game	5		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		6
Conversion rate for	11		18
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.6
KickOff rating		+50%

EST

ITA

33%

better

view stats

Games conceded	19		14
Clean sheets	1		6
Conceded first	13		9
Goals conceded	47		26
Avg. goals conceded	2.4		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	14		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		16%
Avg. XG against	2.7		1.2
KickOff rating		+33%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Estonia v Italy will show here when available.

Estonia World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	1	2
M Kuusk	M Käit	M Schjönning-Larsen	K Palumets

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Kuusk DEF	5			-
V Sinyavskiy DEF	5			-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	5		1	-
M Paskotsi DEF	5	1		1 -
M Käit MID	5	2		1 -
K Hein GLK	4			1 -
J Saliste DEF	4			-
A Tamm FWD	4			-
R Saarma FWD	4			-
R Shein MID	3			-
K Palumets MID	3		1	1 1
P Kristal MID	3			1 -
M Soomets MID	3			1 1
I Yakovlev FWD	3		1	-
R Sappinen FWD	3	1		1 -
M Igonen GLK	2			-
J Tamm DEF	2			-
R Peetson DEF	2	1		2 -
M Poom MID	2			-
M Miller MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	1	1
M Käit	M Käit	M Schjönning-Larsen	M Kuusk

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Käit MID	2	4
M Paskotsi DEF	1	1
R Sappinen FWD	1	4
R Peetson DEF	1	2
M Kuusk DEF				1
V Sinyavskiy DEF		1
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF		1	1	1
A Tamm FWD		1
K Palumets MID			1	1
I Yakovlev FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
219	9	26
M Kuusk	J Saliste	M Kuusk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Kuusk DEF	219	8	26
M Paskotsi DEF	208	3	13
K Hein GLK	164
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	153	4	12
M Käit MID	129	8	24
R Shein MID	106	5	14
V Sinyavskiy DEF	100	3	13
J Saliste DEF	96	9	14
K Palumets MID	92	3	10
M Soomets MID	48	3	5
M Igonen GLK	44		1
R Sappinen FWD	37	1	12
I Yakovlev FWD	37	4	9
P Kristal MID	32	1	7
R Peetson DEF	29	6	12
A Tamm FWD	28	2	12
M Poom MID	23	3	3
R Saarma FWD	15	2	2
M Miller MID	9	1	2
J Tamm DEF	8		3

Italy World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	4	1
G Donnarumma	G Raspadori	M Retegui	A Bastoni

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Donnarumma GLK	4			-
G Lorenzo DEF	4			-
F Dimarco DEF	4			-
A Bastoni DEF	4	1		1 -
N Barella MID	4			-
S Tonali MID	4	1		-
G Raspadori FWD	4	3	2	-
R Orsolini FWD	4			-
M Retegui FWD	4	2	4	-
D Frattesi MID	3		2	1 -
A Cambiaso MID	3	1	2	-
D Coppola DEF	2			-
M Locatelli MID	2			-
M Politano FWD	2	1	1	-
M Kean FWD	2	3		-
G Mancini DEF	1			-
R Calafiori DEF	1			-
D Udogie DEF	1			-
F. Esposito FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	4	4
G Raspadori	M Kean	M Retegui	M Retegui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Raspadori FWD	3	3	2	1
M Kean FWD	3	5
M Retegui FWD	2	4	4	4
A Bastoni DEF	1	1		2
S Tonali MID	1	4
A Cambiaso MID	1	1	2	2
M Politano FWD	1	1	1	1
F Dimarco DEF		3		2
R Orsolini FWD		1
D Frattesi MID		2	2	1
G Mancini DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
318	6	18
A Bastoni	S Tonali	S Tonali

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bastoni DEF	318	4	16
N Barella MID	246	4	9
G Lorenzo DEF	240	3	11
S Tonali MID	212	6	18
F Dimarco DEF	138	1	2
R Calafiori DEF	103	1	4
G Raspadori FWD	95		5
G Donnarumma GLK	94		2
D Coppola DEF	91	2	5
M Retegui FWD	67	3	18
M Politano FWD	66		4
M Locatelli MID	64	1	2
A Cambiaso MID	63	1	5
G Mancini DEF	39	1	2
D Frattesi MID	34	3	6
R Orsolini FWD	32	2	8
D Udogie DEF	27	2	5
M Kean FWD	24	2	12
F. Esposito FWD	1