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Finland v Lithuania : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 9th Oct, 17:00 BST, Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors

Edgaras Jankauskas pays counterpart Lars Friis a visit on Thursday evening in the World Cup Qualifying Europe, as their Lithuania and Finland teams face each other at the Helsingin olympiastadion. All of the key statistics for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Best Tip: Finland to win

We are predicting Finland will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Helsingin olympiastadion.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Finland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Finland 65%	-	1.50 7%
Draw 20%	-	4.20 13%
Lithuania 14%	-	6.50 24%
Finland 2-0 12%	-	5.75 5%
Finland 1-0 12%	-	5.25
Finland 2-1 10%	-	8.00
Draw 1-1 10%	-	7.50 12%
Finland 3-0 8%	-	9.00 20%
Finland 3-1 7%	-	12.00 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	-	8.50 6%
Lithuania 1-0 5%	-	12.00 8%
Draw 2-2 4%	-	19.00 10%
Lithuania 2-1 4%	-	17.00 11%
Finland 4-0 4%	-	15.00 15%
Finland 4-1 3%	-	21.00 11%
Finland 3-2 3%	-	26.00
Lithuania 2-0 2%	-	23.00 21%
Finland 5-0 2%	-	29.00 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	-	2.05 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	-	1.70 6%
Home 1st Goal 59%	-	1.40 5%
Away 1st Goal 38%	-	3.50 13%
No 1st Goal 3%	-	8.50 6%
BTTS - Yes 49%	-	2.25 5%
BTTS - No 51%	-	1.57 3%
BTTS - Home Win 27%	-	3.80 3%
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	6.00 8%
BTTS - Away Win 7%	-	12.00 20%
Home/draw 86%	-	1.10 3%
Away/draw 35%	-	2.60 13%
Home/away 80%	-	1.22 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	-	1.35 4%
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	-	3.00 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	-	3.60 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	-	1.25 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	-	7.00 8%
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	-	1.08 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	15.00 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1.06 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	8.50 6%
Home DNB 79%	-	1.15 5%
Away DNB 29%	-	4.80 20%
Finland win to nil 38%	-	-
Lithuania win to nil 7%	-	-
Finland / Finland 35%	-	2.25 13%
Finland / Lithuania 2%	-	41.00
Finland / Draw 5%	-	15.00 12%
Draw / Finland 20%	-	3.90 3%
Draw / Lithuania 7%	-	12.00 8%
Draw / Draw 14%	-	5.50 8%
Lithuania / Finland 4%	-	19.00
Lithuania / Lithuania 8%	-	10.00 17%
Lithuania / Draw 5%	-	15.00 12%

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Finland Lithuania
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Netherlands	4	3	1	0	11	10	l 0-2A	l 2-3A
2	Poland	5	3	1	1	4	10	w 2-1F	Oct 12
3	Finland	5	2	1	2	-2	7	-	d 2-2A
4	Lithuania	5	0	3	2	-2	3	Oct 9	-
5	Malta	5	0	2	3	-11	2	Nov 14	d 1-1A

Win / draw / win form

Lithuania have not won in 11 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

2 / 6

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Finland	2 - 1	Poland
Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
Finland	0 - 2	France
Finland	1 - 2	Ukraine
Finland	1 - 0	Kazakhstan
Finland	2 - 2	Bosnia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 13

Conceded

10 / 13

Clean sheets

3 / 13

Failed to score

3 / 13

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Finland	1 - 3	Poland
H	Finland	2 - 1	Poland
H	Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
A	Finland	2 - 2	Lithuania
A	Finland	1 - 0	Malta
H	Finland	0 - 2	France
A	Finland	3 - 1	Bosnia
A	Finland	2 - 0	Kazakhstan
H	Finland	1 - 2	Ukraine
A	Finland	0 - 2	France
H	Finland	1 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Finland	1 - 1	Ukraine
H	Finland	2 - 2	Bosnia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

0 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

6 / 6

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malta	0 - 0	Lithuania
Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
N Ireland	1 - 0	Lithuania
Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
Bulgaria	1 - 0	Lithuania
Switzerland	1 - 0	Lithuania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 13

Conceded

12 / 13

Clean sheets

1 / 13

Failed to score

8 / 13

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
H	Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
A	Lithuania	0 - 0	Malta
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Poland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
H	Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Lithuania	0 - 5	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Bulgaria
H	Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Switzerland

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Finland in their meeting with Lithuania, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe outings.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Lithuania fans, as should a 6 World Cup Qualifying Europe games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Finland	Lithuania
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 60% probability that Finland will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Lithuania scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Finland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Lithuania’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	0.0 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

15%

better

FIN

LTU

view stats

Games scored	13		13
Failed to score	7		7
Scored first	8		6
Goals scored	22		18
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	19		10
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+15%

FIN

LTU

14%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		16
Clean sheets	2		4
Conceded first	12		13
Goals conceded	39		30
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.3
KickOff rating		+14%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Finland v Lithuania will show here when available.

Finland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	1	1
M Tenho	J Pohjanpalo	N Alho	M Peltola

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Peltola DEF	5			1 -
M Tenho DEF	5			1 -
J Uronen DEF	5			-
N Alho DEF	5		1	-
R Ivanov DEF	5			1 -
R Lod MID	5			-
K Kairinen MID	5	1		1 -
O Antman FWD	5	1	1	-
J Pohjanpalo FWD	5	2		-
B Källman FWD	5	2	1	1 -
T Pukki FWD	3			-
A Suhonen MID	2			-
J Joronen GLK	1			-
V Koski DEF	1			-
A Stahl DEF	1			-
S Väänänen MID	1			-
A Markhiyev MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	2
J Pohjanpalo	O Antman	N Alho	O Antman

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pohjanpalo FWD	2	3
B Källman FWD	2	5	1
K Kairinen MID	1	1
O Antman FWD	1	5	1	2
M Tenho DEF		1
N Alho DEF		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
258	9	22
K Kairinen	M Peltola	M Peltola

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Kairinen MID	258	8	14
R Ivanov DEF	238	5	10
J Uronen DEF	186	5	15
N Alho DEF	170	4	10
M Tenho DEF	166	4	9
M Peltola DEF	141	9	22
R Lod MID	119	9	19
O Antman FWD	101	3	10
J Pohjanpalo FWD	76	1	15
V Koski DEF	71		1
B Källman FWD	34		11
A Markhiyev MID	34	2	2
J Joronen GLK	30		1
A Suhonen MID	22	3	8
A Stahl DEF	16	1	2
S Väänänen MID	10	1	1
T Pukki FWD	6	1	1

Lithuania World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	1	3
E Gertmonas	G Gineitis	J Lasickas	E Utkus

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Gertmonas GLK	5			-
J Lasickas DEF	5		1	1 -
G Gineitis MID	5	3	1	1 -
P Golubickas MID	5		1	1 -
A Dolznikov FWD	5		1	1 -
E Utkus DEF	4			2 1
G Paulauskas FWD	4			-
K Upstas DEF	3			-
A Tutyškinas DEF	3			2 -
E Girdvainis DEF	3	1		1 -
G Sirgėdas MID	3			-
M Vorobjovas MID	3			1 -
F Černych FWD	3			-
P Sirvys DEF	2			-
D Antanavicius MID	2			-
V Armalas DEF	1			-
M Beneta DEF	1			-
R Lekiatas DEF	1			-
V Slivka MID	1			-
E Jankauskas FWD	1			-
T Kalinauskas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	1	3
G Gineitis	G Gineitis	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Gineitis MID	3	8	1
E Girdvainis DEF	1	1
J Lasickas DEF			1	3
P Golubickas MID			1
A Dolznikov FWD		1	1
E Utkus DEF		1
G Paulauskas FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
161	13	40
E Utkus	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Utkus DEF	161	7	26
J Lasickas DEF	144	13	40
G Gineitis MID	138	7	19
E Gertmonas GLK	138		3
E Girdvainis DEF	123		4
A Tutyškinas DEF	109	5	17
P Sirvys DEF	81	7	8
M Vorobjovas MID	60	2	4
P Golubickas MID	54	2	7
K Upstas DEF	51	4	12
A Dolznikov FWD	50	4	12
G Paulauskas FWD	44	1	31
G Sirgėdas MID	43	2	6
D Antanavicius MID	41	1	3
V Slivka MID	34		6
R Lekiatas DEF	32	3	6
F Černych FWD	28		4
V Armalas DEF	19	5	6
M Beneta DEF	16		1
E Jankauskas FWD	11	2	7
T Kalinauskas FWD	4		1