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Germany v Luxembourg : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 10th Oct, 19:45 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Friday evening at the Signal Iduna Park, and it’s a World Cup Qualifying Europe clash between Germany and Luxembourg. Julian Nagelsmann and Jeff Saibene will be doing all they can to claim victory. We've analysed both sides' last 20 World Cup Qualifying Europe matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Germany to win

After looking at the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this World Cup Qualifying Europe game, a bet on win / draw / win for Germany to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they'll have too much for Luxembourg, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. There could be some bumps along the way, but Germany to win is the bet come Friday evening.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Germany are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 92% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.06.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Germany 92%	-	1/16 1%
Draw 5%	-	14/1 15%
Luxembourg 2%	-	45/1 59%
Germany 3-0 14%	-	17/4
Germany 4-0 13%	-	5/1 8%
Germany 2-0 11%	-	19/4 5%
Germany 5-0 9%	-	7/1 11%
Germany 1-0 6%	-	7/1 7%
Germany 3-1 6%	-	12/1 8%
Germany 6-0 6%	-	11/1 8%
Germany 4-1 5%	-	14/1 15%
Germany 2-1 5%	-	12/1 8%
Germany 5-1 4%	-	18/1
Germany 7-0 3%	-	18/1 17%
Draw 1-1 3%	-	20/1 11%
Germany 6-1 2%	-	25/1 10%
Draw 0-0 2%	-	18/1 10%
Germany 8-0 1%	-	28/1 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%	-	1/3 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%	-	21/10 7%
Home 1st Goal 73%	-	1/14 2%
Away 1st Goal 26%	-	17/2 27%
No 1st Goal 1%	-	18/1 10%
BTTS - Yes 34%	-	23/10 6%
BTTS - No 66%	-	2/7 3%
BTTS - Home Win 29%	-	11/4 7%
BTTS - Draw 4%	-	16/1 13%
BTTS - Away Win 1%	-	50/1 50%
Home/draw 98%	-	1/1000
Away/draw 7%	-	9/1 18%
Home/away 94%	-	1/40 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%	-	1/10 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 8%	-	11/2 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%	-	4/5 8%
Under 3.5 Goals 41%	-	10/11 6%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%	-	17/10 10%
Under 4.5 Goals 61%	-	2/5 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 23%	-	17/5 16%
Under 5.5 Goals 77%	-	2/11 4%
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	-	1/300
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	-	18/1 10%
Home DNB 96%	-	1/1000
Away DNB 6%	-	28/1 38%
Germany win to nil 63%	-	-
Luxembourg win to nil 1%	-	-
Germany / Germany 62%	-	1/3
Germany / Luxembourg 1%	-	90/1 12%
Germany / Draw 2%	-	33/1
Draw / Germany 21%	-	3/1 9%
Draw / Luxembourg 2%	-	40/1 21%
Draw / Draw 5%	-	14/1
Luxembourg / Germany 3%	-	25/1 13%
Luxembourg / Luxembourg 2%	-	45/1 59%
Luxembourg / Draw 2%	-	40/1 21%

Group A table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Germany Luxembourg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Slovakia	2	2	0	3	6	Nov 17	l 0-1A
2	Germany	2	1	1	0	3	-	Nov 14
3	N Ireland	2	1	1	0	3	w 3-1F	l 1-3A
4	Luxembourg	2	0	2	-3	0	Oct 10	-

Win / draw / win form

Luxembourg have lost 3 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
Germany	9 - 0	Liechtenstein
Germany	2 - 1	Romania
Germany	6 - 0	Armenia
Germany	1 - 2	Macedonia
Germany	3 - 0	Iceland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 12

Conceded

5 / 12

Clean sheets

7 / 12

Failed to score

1 / 12

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
A	Germany	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Germany	4 - 1	Armenia
H	Germany	9 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Germany	4 - 0	Macedonia
H	Germany	2 - 1	Romania
A	Germany	4 - 0	Iceland
H	Germany	6 - 0	Armenia
A	Germany	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Germany	1 - 2	Macedonia
A	Germany	1 - 0	Romania
H	Germany	3 - 0	Iceland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Conceded

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

Failed to score

1 / 4

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Luxembourg
Portugal	5 - 0	Luxembourg
Serbia	4 - 1	Luxembourg
Ireland	0 - 1	Luxembourg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 10

Conceded

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

Failed to score

4 / 10

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
H	Luxembourg	1 - 3	N Ireland
H	Luxembourg	0 - 3	Ireland
A	Luxembourg	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
A	Luxembourg	0 - 5	Portugal
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Serbia
A	Luxembourg	1 - 4	Serbia
H	Luxembourg	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
H	Luxembourg	1 - 3	Portugal
A	Luxembourg	1 - 0	Ireland

Goal Statistics

	Germany 3rd	Luxembourg 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	3.7 goals	0.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 2 17% 3 21% 4 19% 5+ 33% There is a 34% probability that Germany will score 5 or more goals in this match	0 65% 1 28% 2 3 4+ There is a 65% probability that Luxembourg will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Germany’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Luxembourg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	4.0 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	2.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

49%

better

GER

LUX

view stats

Games scored	17		10
Failed to score	2		10
Scored first	11		4
Goals scored	43		17
Avg. goals scored	2.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	12		7
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	18		12
Avg. XG for	2.3		0.8
KickOff rating		+49%

42%

better

GER

LUX

view stats

Games conceded	12		17
Clean sheets	7		3
Conceded first	7		15
Goals conceded	16		36
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		5
Conversion rate against	12%		19%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+42%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Germany v Luxembourg will show here when available.

Germany World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
O Baumann	N Amiri	D Raum	K Adeyemi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Baumann GLK	2			-
D Raum DEF	2		1	-
J Tah DEF	2			-
N Amiri MID	2	1		-
L Goretzka MID	2			-
J Kimmich MID	2			-
F Wirtz MID	2	1		-
N Woltemade FWD	2		1	-
S Gnabry FWD	2	1		-
R Koch DEF	1			-
W Anton DEF	1			-
A Stiller MID	1			-
K Adeyemi FWD	1			1 -
J Leweling FWD	1			-
M Beier FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	2
N Amiri	F Wirtz	D Raum	D Raum

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Amiri MID	1	1
F Wirtz MID	1	3		1
S Gnabry FWD	1	1
D Raum DEF		1	1	2
L Goretzka MID		1
J Kimmich MID		1		1
N Woltemade FWD			1	1
A Stiller MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
186	3	10
J Kimmich	J Tah	F Wirtz

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	186	2	7
W Anton DEF	135		3
J Tah DEF	120	3	4
R Koch DEF	105	1	3
D Raum DEF	82	2	8
F Wirtz MID	81	1	10
O Baumann GLK	76		1
J Leweling FWD	56	1	7
A Stiller MID	52	1	2
S Gnabry FWD	50	1	4
N Amiri MID	35	1	5
L Goretzka MID	32	1	6
N Woltemade FWD	22	1	9
M Beier FWD	12		1
K Adeyemi FWD	7	1	2

Luxembourg World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	2
A Moris	A. Dardari	D Sinani	D Sinani

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Moris GLK	2			-
L Jans DEF	2			1 -
F Bohnert DEF	2			1 -
E Mahmutovic DEF	2			1 -
D Carlson DEF	2			-
D Sinani MID	2		1	2 -
M Olesen MID	2			-
L Barreiro MID	2			-
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	2			-
A. Dardari FWD	2	1		-
Y Sanches FWD	2			-
E Muratovic FWD	2			-
S Korac DEF	1			1 1
V Thill MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
A. Dardari	E Muratovic	D Sinani	D Sinani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A. Dardari FWD	1	1		1
D Sinani MID		1	1	1
M Olesen MID		1
Y Sanches FWD		1
E Muratovic FWD		2
V Thill MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
121	3	13
E Mahmutovic	E Mahmutovic	L Barreiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Mahmutovic DEF	121	3	7
A Moris GLK	113		2
D Carlson DEF	110	2	9
L Jans DEF	80	2	6
L Barreiro MID	67		13
D Sinani MID	60	2	7
M Olesen MID	58		5
S Korac DEF	53	1	1
F Bohnert DEF	50	2	9
A. Dardari FWD	35	2	6
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	24		3
Y Sanches FWD	10		2
V Thill MID	8	1	2
E Muratovic FWD	5