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Iceland v Azerbaijan : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 5th Sep, 19:45 BST, Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

the Laugardalsvöllur crowd welcome Azerbaijan's travelling contingent on Friday evening, as Åge Fridtjof Hareide's Iceland face Fernando Santos's troops in the World Cup Qualifying Europe. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Iceland to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this game, and it's Iceland. Their recent form statistics show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Azerbaijan too. The odds point towards Åge Fridtjof Hareide's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Friday evening too.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Iceland 64%	-	1.53
Draw 20%	-	4.20
Azerbaijan 16%	-	6.00
Iceland 2-0 10%	-	6.50
Iceland 2-1 10%	-	7.50
Iceland 1-0 10%	-	6.00
Draw 1-1 9%	-	7.50
Iceland 3-0 7%	-	9.50
Iceland 3-1 7%	-	11.00
Draw 2-2 5%	-	15.00
Draw 0-0 5%	-	9.50
Azerbaijan 2-1 5%	-	15.00
Azerbaijan 1-0 4%	-	12.00
Iceland 4-0 4%	-	15.00
Iceland 4-1 4%	-	19.00
Iceland 3-2 3%	-	21.00
Azerbaijan 2-0 2%	-	23.00
Iceland 4-2 2%	-	34.00
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	-	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	-	1.91
Home 1st Goal 57%	-	1.44
Away 1st Goal 40%	-	3.20
No 1st Goal 3%	-	9.50
BTTS - Yes 54%	-	2.00
BTTS - No 46%	-	1.75
BTTS - Home Win 30%	-	3.40
BTTS - Draw 15%	-	5.50
BTTS - Away Win 9%	-	10.00
Home/draw 84%	-	1.12
Away/draw 36%	-	2.45
Home/away 80%	-	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	-	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	-	3.50
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	-	3.00
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	-	1.33
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	-	5.50
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	-	1.12
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	-	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	-	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	9.50
Home DNB 78%	-	1.17
Away DNB 30%	-	4.50
Iceland win to nil 34%	-	-
Azerbaijan win to nil 8%	-	-
Iceland / Iceland 35%	-	2.25
Iceland / Azerbaijan 2%	-	34.00
Iceland / Draw 5%	-	15.00
Draw / Iceland 19%	-	4.00
Draw / Azerbaijan 7%	-	11.00
Draw / Draw 14%	-	5.75
Azerbaijan / Iceland 4%	-	19.00
Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan 9%	-	9.00
Azerbaijan / Draw 5%	-	15.00

Group D table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Iceland Azerbaijan
Results by League Table

	TEAM	Date	Date
1	Azerbaijan	Sep 5	-
2	Ukraine	Oct 10	Sep 9
3	Iceland	-	Nov 13
4	France	Oct 13	Nov 16

Win to nil form

Iceland have lost 3 consecutive games

Azerbaijan have lost 3 consecutive games

Azerbaijan have failed to score in 4 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Conceded

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

Failed to score

2 / 5

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win To Nil
Iceland	4 - 0	Liechtenstein
Iceland	1 - 1	Armenia
Iceland	0 - 4	Germany
Iceland	2 - 2	Macedonia
Iceland	0 - 2	Romania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 10

Conceded

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

Failed to score

5 / 10

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win To Nil
A	Iceland	1 - 3	Macedonia
A	Iceland	0 - 0	Romania
H	Iceland	4 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Iceland	1 - 1	Armenia
H	Iceland	0 - 4	Germany
H	Iceland	2 - 2	Macedonia
H	Iceland	0 - 2	Romania
A	Iceland	4 - 1	Liechtenstein
A	Iceland	0 - 2	Armenia
A	Iceland	0 - 3	Germany

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Conceded

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

Failed to score

1 / 4

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win To Nil
Serbia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
Ireland	1 - 1	Azerbaijan
Luxembourg	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
Portugal	1 - 0	Azerbaijan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 8

Conceded

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

Failed to score

3 / 8

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win To Nil
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Luxembourg
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Serbia
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Ireland
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Portugal
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ireland
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Luxembourg
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Serbia
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Portugal

Goal Statistics

Azerbaijan have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe games. This run could continue, with Iceland's PG an impressive 2.1.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Azerbaijan of late. It has been 8 World Cup Qualifying Europe matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against Iceland.

	Iceland	Azerbaijan
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Iceland will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Azerbaijan scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
5 home / away league games	=0 Iceland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Azerbaijan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

47%

better

ISL

AZE

view stats

Games scored	18		11
Failed to score	2		9
Scored first	13		4
Goals scored	30		17
Avg. goals scored	1.5		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		10
Conversion rate for	20		10
Avg. XG for	1		1.6
KickOff rating		+47%

23%

better

ISL

AZE

view stats

Games conceded	13		16
Clean sheets	7		4
Conceded first	7		15
Goals conceded	35		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.6		2.4
KickOff rating		+23%