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Iceland v Ukraine : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 10th Oct, 19:45 BST, Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

Iceland are in World Cup Qualifying Europe action on Friday evening, as Arnar Gunnlaugsson attempts to outsmart Sergiy Rebrov and his Ukraine side at the Laugardalsvöllur. We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% probability of Iceland and Ukraine scoring at least a couple of goals in this World Cup Qualifying Europe tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.40.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Ukraine coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Iceland 35%	-	19/10
Draw 25%	-	23/10 3%
Ukraine 41%	-	7/5 1%
Draw 1-1 12%	-	5/1
Ukraine 2-1 9%	-	15/2
Ukraine 1-0 8%	-	6/1 8%
Iceland 2-1 8%	-	17/2
Iceland 1-0 8%	-	7/1 7%
Ukraine 2-0 6%	-	9/1 5%
Draw 2-2 6%	-	11/1 8%
Draw 0-0 5%	-	7/1 7%
Iceland 2-0 5%	-	11/1
Ukraine 3-1 4%	-	14/1 12%
Iceland 3-1 4%	-	18/1
Ukraine 3-0 3%	-	16/1
Ukraine 3-2 3%	-	22/1
Iceland 3-2 3%	-	22/1 12%
Iceland 3-0 2%	-	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	-	1/1 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	-	8/11 5%
Home 1st Goal 47%	-	23/20
Away 1st Goal 50%	-	10/11
No 1st Goal 3%	-	7/1 7%
BTTS - Yes 59%	-	5/6 6%
BTTS - No 41%	-	10/11 6%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	9/2 4%
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	17/5 4%
BTTS - Away Win 21%	-	18/5 8%
Home/draw 59%	-	11/20 1%
Away/draw 65%	-	2/5
Home/away 75%	-	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	-	1/3 5%
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	-	21/10 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	-	5/2 10%
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	-	2/7 6%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	-	11/2 13%
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	-	1/11 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	-	12/1 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	1/50 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	1/16 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	7/1
Home DNB 52%	-	21/20
Away DNB 58%	-	7/10 2%
Iceland win to nil 16%	-	-
Ukraine win to nil 20%	-	-
Iceland / Iceland 17%	-	18/5 2%
Iceland / Ukraine 4%	-	20/1
Iceland / Draw 6%	-	11/1 8%
Draw / Iceland 13%	-	5/1 8%
Draw / Ukraine 14%	-	9/2
Draw / Draw 17%	-	18/5
Ukraine / Iceland 3%	-	22/1
Ukraine / Ukraine 20%	-	11/4 1%
Ukraine / Draw 6%	-	11/1 8%

Group D table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Iceland Ukraine
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	France	2	2	0	0	3	6	Oct 13	l 0-2A
2	Iceland	2	1	0	1	4	3	-	Nov 16
3	Ukraine	2	0	1	1	-2	1	Oct 10	-
4	Azerbaijan	2	0	1	1	-5	1	w 5-0F	Oct 13

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Conceded

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

Failed to score

2 / 6

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Iceland	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
Iceland	4 - 0	Liechtenstein
Iceland	1 - 1	Armenia
Iceland	0 - 4	Germany
Iceland	2 - 2	Macedonia
Iceland	0 - 2	Romania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 12

Conceded

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

Failed to score

5 / 12

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Iceland	1 - 2	France
H	Iceland	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
A	Iceland	1 - 3	Macedonia
A	Iceland	0 - 0	Romania
H	Iceland	4 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Iceland	1 - 1	Armenia
H	Iceland	0 - 4	Germany
H	Iceland	2 - 2	Macedonia
H	Iceland	0 - 2	Romania
A	Iceland	4 - 1	Liechtenstein
A	Iceland	0 - 2	Armenia
A	Iceland	0 - 3	Germany

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Conceded

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

Failed to score

1 / 7

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ukraine
Wales	1 - 0	Ukraine
Scotland	1 - 3	Ukraine
Bosnia	0 - 2	Ukraine
Finland	1 - 2	Ukraine
Kazakhstan	2 - 2	Ukraine
France	1 - 1	Ukraine

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 12

Conceded

11 / 12

Clean sheets

1 / 12

Failed to score

2 / 12

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Ukraine	1 - 1	Azerbaijan
H	Ukraine	0 - 2	France
A	Ukraine	0 - 1	Wales
A	Ukraine	3 - 1	Scotland
A	Ukraine	2 - 0	Bosnia
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	Bosnia
A	Ukraine	2 - 1	Finland
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	France
A	Ukraine	2 - 2	Kazakhstan
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	Kazakhstan
H	Ukraine	1 - 1	Finland
A	Ukraine	1 - 1	France

Goal Statistics

Ukraine's fans will be hoping for goals on Friday evening, not least because Iceland have conceded in each of their last 14 World Cup Qualifying Europe matches. A PG of 1.5 for Sergiy Rebrov's side suggests that run should continue.

	Iceland	Ukraine
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Iceland will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Ukraine will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Iceland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Ukraine’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

30%

better

ISL

UKR

view stats

Games scored	18		14
Failed to score	2		6
Scored first	14		6
Goals scored	34		26
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	21		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+30%

better

ISL

UKR

view stats

Games conceded	13		15
Clean sheets	7		5
Conceded first	6		11
Goals conceded	34		25
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		8
Conversion rate against	15%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.4
KickOff rating		+2%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Iceland v Ukraine will show here when available.

Iceland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	2	1	1
E Ólafsson	Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	H Haraldsson	M Anderson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Ólafsson GLK	2			-
D Grétarsson DEF	2			-
V Pálsson DEF	2	1		-
S Ingason DEF	2			-
K Hlynsson MID	2	1		-
M Anderson MID	2			1 -
H Haraldsson MID	2		1	-
B Bjarkason MID	2			-
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	2	2		-
M Ellertsson MID	2			1 -
S Thórdarson MID	2			-
D Gudjohnsen FWD	2			-
A Gudjohnsen FWD	2	1		1 -
J Thorsteinsson FWD	2		1	-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	1			-
B Willumsson FWD	1			-
A Gudmundsson FWD	1	1	1	-
S Magnússon FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	1	2
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson	H Haraldsson	A Gudmundsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	2	3
V Pálsson DEF	1	1
K Hlynsson MID	1	1
A Gudjohnsen FWD	1	2
A Gudmundsson FWD	1	1	1	2
M Anderson MID		1
H Haraldsson MID			1	1
J Thorsteinsson FWD		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
152	5	10
S Ingason	S Ingason	M Ellertsson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ingason DEF	152	5	9
H Haraldsson MID	135	5	9
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	122	4	5
D Grétarsson DEF	100	2	6
V Pálsson DEF	94	1	8
S Thórdarson MID	94		3
M Ellertsson MID	60	4	10
E Ólafsson GLK	52		1
A Gudmundsson FWD	43		4
A Gudjohnsen FWD	41	2	10
J Thorsteinsson FWD	37		5
K Hlynsson MID	29
B Bjarkason MID	25	1	1
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID	22		1
M Anderson MID	21	1	3
D Gudjohnsen FWD	13	2	8
B Willumsson FWD	9		1
S Magnússon FWD	4

Ukraine World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
A Trubin	H Sudakov	O Zubkov	I Kalyuzhnyi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Trubin GLK	2			-
M Matvienko DEF	2			-
Y Konoplia DEF	2			-
I Zabarnyi DEF	2			-
I Kalyuzhnyi MID	2			1 -
Y Yarmoliuk MID	2			-
A Bondarenko MID	2			-
H Sudakov MID	2	1		-
N Voloshyn FWD	2			-
O Zubkov FWD	2		1	-
V Vanat FWD	2			-
A Dovbyk FWD	2			-
B Mykhaylichenko DEF	1			-
M Shaparenko MID	1			1 -
O Hutsuliak FWD	1			-
O Nazarenko FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
H Sudakov	H Sudakov	O Zubkov	I Kalyuzhnyi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Sudakov MID	1	2
I Kalyuzhnyi MID				1
A Bondarenko MID				1
N Voloshyn FWD		1
O Zubkov FWD		2	1	1
V Vanat FWD		1
A Dovbyk FWD		1
M Shaparenko MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
188	7	9
M Matvienko	I Kalyuzhnyi	O Zubkov

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Matvienko DEF	188	1	3
I Zabarnyi DEF	133	1	5
H Sudakov MID	80	1	1
Y Yarmoliuk MID	75	2	4
Y Konoplia DEF	64	3	8
I Kalyuzhnyi MID	55	7	8
O Zubkov FWD	51	3	9
A Trubin GLK	50		1
A Bondarenko MID	30	2	4
O Hutsuliak FWD	20	4	8
A Dovbyk FWD	16		6
M Shaparenko MID	15		2
B Mykhaylichenko DEF	13	1	2
N Voloshyn FWD	12	1	1
V Vanat FWD	12	1	3
O Nazarenko FWD	1