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Italy v Estonia : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 5th Sep, 19:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Friday evening sees Giacomo Gattuso’s Italy and Jurgen Henn’s Estonia go head to head in a World Cup Qualifying Europe clash at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. In this preview you'll find odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

Best Tip: Italy to win

A World Cup Qualifying Europe victory in front of their own fans for Giacomo Gattuso's Italy side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Italy win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Italy 90%	-	1/12
Draw 7%	-	11/1
Estonia 3%	-	28/1 12%
Italy 3-0 12%	-	19/4
Italy 4-0 11%	-	11/2 7%
Italy 2-0 10%	-	5/1
Italy 5-0 8%	-	8/1 5%
Italy 3-1 7%	-	10/1
Italy 4-1 6%	-	12/1
Italy 2-1 6%	-	10/1
Italy 1-0 6%	-	15/2 6%
Italy 6-0 5%	-	12/1 13%
Italy 5-1 4%	-	16/1
Draw 1-1 3%	-	18/1 12%
Italy 6-1 3%	-	25/1
Italy 7-0 2%	-	20/1 9%
Italy 3-2 2%	-	28/1
Italy 4-2 2%	-	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 78%	-	1/3
Under 2.5 Goals 22%	-	11/5 7%
Home 1st Goal 68%	-	1/9
Away 1st Goal 31%	-	6/1 8%
No 1st Goal 1%	-	20/1
BTTS - Yes 43%	-	13/8
BTTS - No 57%	-	4/9
BTTS - Home Win 36%	-	21/10
BTTS - Draw 5%	-	12/1
BTTS - Away Win 2%	-	33/1 17%
Home/draw 97%	-	1/1000
Away/draw 10%	-	7/1 7%
Home/away 93%	-	1/25
Over 1.5 Goals 92%	-	1/11 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 8%	-	11/2
Over 3.5 Goals 59%	-	4/5 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 40%	-	10/11 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%	-	7/4 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 60%	-	2/5 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 24%	-	7/2 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 76%	-	2/11 3%
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	-	1/1000
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	-	20/1
Home DNB 95%	-	1/500
Away DNB 8%	-	20/1 11%
Italy win to nil 54%	-	-
Estonia win to nil 1%	-	-
Italy / Italy 59%	-	4/11 3%
Italy / Estonia 1%	-	70/1 6%
Italy / Draw 3%	-	28/1
Draw / Italy 19%	-	16/5
Draw / Estonia 2%	-	33/1 17%
Draw / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Estonia / Italy 4%	-	20/1
Estonia / Estonia 3%	-	28/1 12%
Estonia / Draw 3%	-	28/1

Group I table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Italy Estonia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Norway	4	4	0	11	12	Nov 16	l 0-1A
2	Israel	3	2	1	1	6	Oct 14	l 1-3F
3	Italy	2	1	1	-1	3	-	Oct 11
4	Estonia	4	1	3	-3	3	Sep 5	-
5	Moldova	3	0	3	-8	0	w 2-0F	Oct 14

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 6

Conceded

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

Failed to score

1 / 6

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 11

Conceded

4 / 11

Clean sheets

7 / 11

Failed to score

4 / 11

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Italy	0 - 3	Norway
H	Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
A	Italy	0 - 0	N Ireland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
H	Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	0 - 0	Switzerland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Italy	2 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	2 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

2 / 6

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moldova	2 - 3	Estonia
Israel	2 - 1	Estonia
Czech Rep	2 - 0	Estonia
Belgium	3 - 1	Estonia
Wales	0 - 0	Estonia
Belarus	4 - 2	Estonia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 12

Conceded

10 / 12

Clean sheets

2 / 12

Failed to score

4 / 12

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
H	Estonia	1 - 3	Israel
A	Estonia	3 - 2	Moldova
A	Estonia	1 - 2	Israel
A	Estonia	0 - 2	Czech Rep
A	Estonia	1 - 3	Belgium
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Wales
H	Estonia	2 - 0	Belarus
A	Estonia	0 - 0	Wales
H	Estonia	2 - 5	Belgium
A	Estonia	2 - 4	Belarus
H	Estonia	2 - 6	Czech Rep

Goal Statistics

	Italy	Estonia
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	3.6 goals	0.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 2 18% 3 21% 4 19% 5+ 31% There is a 32% probability that Italy will score 5 or more goals in this match	0 56% 1 33% 2 3 4+ There is a 56% probability that Estonia will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Estonia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

46%

better

ITA

EST

view stats

Games scored	15		8
Failed to score	5		12
Scored first	10		6
Goals scored	32		12
Avg. goals scored	1.6		0.6
Avg. shots per game	10		5
Avg. shots per goal	6		9
Conversion rate for	17		12
Avg. XG for	1.4		0.7
KickOff rating		+46%

38%

better

ITA

EST

view stats

Games conceded	14		19
Clean sheets	6		1
Conceded first	8		13
Goals conceded	24		47
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.2		2.5
KickOff rating		+38%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Italy v Estonia will show here when available.

Italy World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
G Donnarumma	G Raspadori	D Frattesi	D Frattesi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Donnarumma GLK	2			-
G Lorenzo DEF	2			-
F Dimarco DEF	2			-
A Bastoni DEF	2			-
D Frattesi MID	2		1	1 -
S Ricci MID	2			-
N Barella MID	2			-
S Tonali MID	2			-
G Raspadori FWD	2	1		-
L Lucca FWD	2			-
R Orsolini FWD	2			-
M Retegui FWD	2			-
A Cambiaso DEF	1	1		-
D Udogie DEF	1			-
D Maldini MID	1			-
N Rovella MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	2
G Raspadori	D Frattesi	D Frattesi	A Bastoni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Raspadori FWD	1	1
A Cambiaso DEF	1	1
A Bastoni DEF				2
D Frattesi MID		2	1
S Tonali MID		1
L Lucca FWD		1
R Orsolini FWD		1
M Retegui FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
172	3	8
A Bastoni	S Tonali	A Bastoni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bastoni DEF	172	2	8
G Lorenzo DEF	139		2
N Barella MID	122	2	5
S Tonali MID	110	3	6
S Ricci MID	79	1	4
G Raspadori FWD	75		4
F Dimarco DEF	54
G Donnarumma GLK	43		1
N Rovella MID	43	1	3
A Cambiaso DEF	42	1	4
D Frattesi MID	28	2	4
M Retegui FWD	27	1	7
D Udogie DEF	27	2	5
R Orsolini FWD	19	2	8
L Lucca FWD	8	2	3
D Maldini MID	6	1	2

Estonia World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	1	2
M Kuusk	M Käit	M Schjönning-Larsen	R Peetson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Kuusk DEF	4			-
V Sinyavskiy DEF	4			-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	4		1	-
M Paskotsi DEF	4	1		-
M Käit MID	4	2		1 -
A Tamm FWD	4			-
K Hein GLK	3			1 -
J Saliste DEF	3			-
R Saarma MID	3			-
I Yakovlev FWD	3		1	-
H Anier FWD	3			1 -
M Igonen GLK	2			-
R Peetson DEF	2	1		2 -
K Palumets MID	2		1	1 1
P Kristal MID	2			-
M Ainsalu MID	2			1 -
M Soomets MID	2			1 1
M Miller MID	2			-
R Shein MID	2			-
M Poom MID	2			-
R Sappinen FWD	2	1		1 -
K Hussar DEF	1			-
J Tamm DEF	1			-
D. Jepihhin FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	1	1
M Käit	M Käit	M Schjönning-Larsen	M Kuusk

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Käit MID	2	3
M Paskotsi DEF	1	1
R Peetson DEF	1	2
R Sappinen FWD	1	3
M Kuusk DEF				1
V Sinyavskiy DEF		1
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF		1	1	1
A Tamm FWD		1
I Yakovlev FWD		1	1
K Palumets MID			1	1
M Ainsalu MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
179	8	21
M Kuusk	J Saliste	M Kuusk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Kuusk DEF	179	6	21
M Paskotsi DEF	176	3	11
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	133	4	12
K Hein GLK	114
M Käit MID	108	7	19
V Sinyavskiy DEF	92	3	11
R Shein MID	86	2	9
J Saliste DEF	77	8	12
K Palumets MID	67	4	8
M Igonen GLK	44		1
M Ainsalu MID	43	1	2
M Soomets MID	43	3	5
I Yakovlev FWD	37	4	9
R Peetson DEF	29	6	12
A Tamm FWD	28	2	12
R Sappinen FWD	25	1	8
P Kristal MID	24	1	7
M Poom MID	23	3	3
R Saarma MID	9
M Miller MID	9	2	3
H Anier FWD	8		2
J Tamm DEF	6		2
D. Jepihhin FWD	5
K Hussar DEF	3