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Italy v Northern Ireland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 26th Mar, 19:45 BST, ,

You'll find stats supporting our top of Italy to win below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with World Cup Qualifying Europe performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Italy to win

We're predicting Italy will come out on top after 90 minutes on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when the game draws to a close at .

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Italy are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Italy 73%	-	1.33
Draw 17%	-	5.00
N Ireland 10%	-	9.50
Italy 2-0 12%	-	5.50
Italy 1-0 10%	-	5.75
Italy 3-0 10%	-	7.00
Italy 2-1 9%	-	8.00
Draw 1-1 8%	-	8.50
Italy 3-1 7%	-	11.00
Italy 4-0 6%	-	12.00
Draw 0-0 4%	-	10.00
Italy 4-1 4%	-	17.00
Draw 2-2 4%	-	19.00
N Ireland 1-0 3%	-	15.00
N Ireland 2-1 3%	-	21.00
Italy 3-2 3%	-	23.00
Italy 5-0 3%	-	19.00
Italy 5-1 2%	-	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	-	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	-	1.95
Home 1st Goal 61%	-	1.30
Away 1st Goal 36%	-	4.20
No 1st Goal 3%	-	10.00
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	2.30
BTTS - No 52%	-	1.57
BTTS - Home Win 31%	-	3.50
BTTS - Draw 12%	-	6.50
BTTS - Away Win 5%	-	15.00
Home/draw 90%	-	1.06
Away/draw 27%	-	3.25
Home/away 83%	-	1.17
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	1.25
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	-	3.60
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	-	2.90
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	-	1.36
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	-	5.25
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	-	1.13
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	-	10.00
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	-	1.04
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	1.04
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	10.00
Home DNB 85%	-	1.08
Away DNB 22%	-	7.00
Italy win to nil 42%	-	-
N Ireland win to nil 5%	-	-
Italy / Italy 41%	-	1.91
Italy / N Ireland 2%	-	46.00
Italy / Draw 5%	-	17.00
Draw / Italy 20%	-	3.90
Draw / N Ireland 5%	-	15.00
Draw / Draw 12%	-	6.50
N Ireland / Italy 4%	-	19.00
N Ireland / N Ireland 6%	-	13.00
N Ireland / Draw 5%	-	17.00

Win / draw / win World Cup Qualifying Europe table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Italy N Ireland
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	England	8	8	0	0	22	24	-	-	-	-
2	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	23	20	-	-	-	-
3	Austria	8	6	1	1	18	19	-	-	-	-
4	Croatia	8	7	1	0	22	22	-	-	-	-
5	Spain	6	5	1	0	19	16	-	-	-	-
6	Belgium	8	5	3	0	22	18	-	-	-	-
7	Portugal	6	4	1	1	13	13	-	-	-	-
8	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	12	14	-	-	-	-
9	Germany	6	5	0	1	13	15	-	-	-	-
10	Scotland	6	4	1	1	6	13	-	-	-	-
11	Norway	8	8	0	0	32	24	-	-	-	-
12	France	6	5	1	0	12	16	-	-	-	-
13	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	1	11	-	-	-	-
14	Czech Rep	8	5	1	2	10	16	-	-	-	-
15	Turkey	6	4	1	1	5	13	-	-	-	-
16	Albania	8	4	2	2	2	14	-	-	-	-
17	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	-1	10	-	-	-	-
18	Slovakia	6	4	0	2	-2	12	-	-	-	-
19	Ireland	6	3	1	2	2	10	-	-	-	-
20	Bosnia	8	5	2	1	10	17	-	-	-	-
21	Denmark	6	3	2	1	9	11	-	-	-	-
22	Italy	8	6	0	2	9	18	-	-	-	Mar 26
23	Wales	8	5	1	2	10	16	-	-	-	-
24	Poland	8	5	2	1	7	17	-	-	-	-
25	Israel	8	4	0	4	-1	12	-	-	-	-
26	Faroes	8	4	0	4	2	12	-	-	-	-
27	Hungary	6	2	2	2	1	8	-	-	-	-
28	N Ireland	6	3	0	3	1	9	Mar 26	-	-	-
29	Serbia	8	4	1	3	-1	13	-	-	-	-
30	Iceland	6	2	1	3	2	7	-	-	-	-
31	Greece	6	2	1	3	-2	7	-	-	-	-
32	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	-5	4	-	-	-	-
33	Romania	8	4	1	3	9	13	-	-	-	-
34	Finland	8	3	1	4	-6	10	-	-	-	-
35	Macedonia	8	3	4	1	3	13	-	-	-	-
36	Georgia	6	1	0	5	-8	3	-	-	-	-
37	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	-9	9	-	-	-	-
38	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	-4	8	-	-	-	-
39	Malta	8	1	2	5	-15	5	-	-	-	-
40	Belarus	6	0	2	4	-13	2	-	-	-	-
41	Luxembourg	6	0	0	6	-12	0	-	-	-	-
42	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	-13	1	-	-	-	-
43	Sweden	6	0	2	4	-8	2	-	-	-	-
44	Armenia	6	1	0	5	-16	3	-	-	-	-
45	Estonia	8	1	1	6	-13	4	-	-	-	-
46	Latvia	8	1	2	5	-10	5	-	-	-	-
47	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	-16	3	-	-	-	-
48	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	-	-	-
49	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	-31	0	-	-	-	-
50	Andorra	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
51	San Marino	8	0	0	8	-37	0	-	-	-	-
52	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	-9	3	-	-	-	-
53	Moldova	8	0	1	7	-27	1	-	-	-	-
54	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	-25	0	-	-	-	-

	Final Tournament
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 9

Conceded

4 / 9

Clean sheets

5 / 9

Failed to score

1 / 9

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy	1 - 4	Norway
Italy	3 - 0	Israel
Italy	5 - 0	Estonia
Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 17

Conceded

7 / 17

Clean sheets

10 / 17

Failed to score

4 / 17

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Italy	1 - 4	Norway
A	Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
H	Italy	3 - 0	Israel
A	Italy	3 - 1	Estonia
A	Italy	5 - 4	Israel
H	Italy	5 - 0	Estonia
H	Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Italy	0 - 3	Norway
H	Italy	0 - 1	Macedonia
A	Italy	0 - 0	N Ireland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Switzerland
H	Italy	5 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	0 - 0	Switzerland
H	Italy	1 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Italy	2 - 0	Lithuania
A	Italy	2 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

4 / 7

Conceded

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

Failed to score

3 / 7

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Slovakia	1 - 0	N Ireland
Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
Luxembourg	1 - 3	N Ireland
Bulgaria	2 - 1	N Ireland
Switzerland	2 - 0	N Ireland
Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
Italy	2 - 0	N Ireland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 14

Conceded

8 / 14

Clean sheets

6 / 14

Failed to score

7 / 14

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	N Ireland	1 - 0	Luxembourg
A	N Ireland	0 - 1	Slovakia
H	N Ireland	0 - 1	Germany
H	N Ireland	2 - 0	Slovakia
A	N Ireland	1 - 3	Germany
A	N Ireland	3 - 1	Luxembourg
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Italy
H	N Ireland	1 - 0	Lithuania
A	N Ireland	1 - 2	Bulgaria
A	N Ireland	0 - 2	Switzerland
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Switzerland
A	N Ireland	4 - 1	Lithuania
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Bulgaria
A	N Ireland	0 - 2	Italy

Goal Statistics

Italy's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe outings. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Thursday evening.

	Italy 2nd	N Ireland 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 22% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 21% There is a 69% probability that Italy will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 46% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 82% probability of N Ireland scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
9 home / away league games	=0 Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 N Ireland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
World Cup Qualifying Europe - 2025/2025 season

13%

better

ITA

NIR

view stats

Games scored	17		16
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	11		14
Goals scored	41		27
Avg. goals scored	2.1		1.4
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	19		18
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.2
KickOff rating		+13%

ITA

NIR

25%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		11
Clean sheets	5		9
Conceded first	9		5
Goals conceded	30		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	19%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.1		0.8
KickOff rating		+25%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Italy v N Ireland will show here when available.

Italy World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	5	4	3
M Retegui	M Retegui	F Dimarco	N Barella

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Dimarco DEF	8		4	-
M Retegui FWD	8	5	4	-
G Donnarumma GLK	7			-
G Lorenzo DEF	7			-
N Barella MID	7			3 -
S Tonali MID	7	1		1 -
G Raspadori FWD	7	3	2	-
A Bastoni DEF	6	1		3 -
D Frattesi MID	6		2	1 -
A Cambiaso MID	6	1	2	1 -
R Orsolini FWD	6		1	-
F. Esposito FWD	5	3		1 -
G Mancini DEF	4	2		-
M Locatelli MID	4			-
B Cristante MID	4			-
M Politano FWD	4	1	2	-
R Calafiori DEF	3			-
S Ricci MID	3			-
M Zaccagni FWD	3			-
M Kean FWD	3	4		-
L Spinazzola DEF	2		1	-
D Coppola DEF	2			-
A Buongiorno DEF	2			-
D Maldini MID	2			-
L Lucca FWD	2			-
G Scamacca FWD	2			-
G Vicario GLK	1			-
D Udogie DEF	1			-
L Ranieri DEF	1			-
D Zappacosta MID	1			-
N Rovella MID	1			-
R Bellanova MID	1			-
N Cambiaghi FWD	1			-
R Piccoli FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	10	4	6
M Retegui	M Retegui	F Dimarco	M Retegui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Retegui FWD	5	10	4	6
M Kean FWD	4	6
G Raspadori FWD	3	7	2	1
F. Esposito FWD	3	7
G Mancini DEF	2	2		1
S Tonali MID	1	6
A Bastoni DEF	1	1		2
A Cambiaso MID	1	2	2	2
M Politano FWD	1	1	2	2
F Dimarco DEF		5	4	5
D Frattesi MID		2	2	1
R Orsolini FWD		1	1	1
M Locatelli MID		1
B Cristante MID		1
R Calafiori DEF		1
M Zaccagni FWD		2		1
L Spinazzola DEF			1
L Lucca FWD		1
G Scamacca FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
466	14	32
A Bastoni	N Barella	M Retegui

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Bastoni DEF	466	8	27
G Lorenzo DEF	436	7	20
N Barella MID	423	14	25
S Tonali MID	407	10	28
F Dimarco DEF	293	3	10
G Mancini DEF	269	1	16
R Calafiori DEF	249	3	17
M Locatelli MID	203	6	9
A Cambiaso MID	196	4	13
G Donnarumma GLK	171		2
G Raspadori FWD	160		12
B Cristante MID	160	2	5
M Politano FWD	124		6
M Retegui FWD	115	6	32
D Coppola DEF	91	2	5
R Orsolini FWD	90	2	18
A Buongiorno DEF	84	1	3
S Ricci MID	80	1	4
L Ranieri DEF	75	1	4
M Zaccagni FWD	72	1	10
R Bellanova MID	70	1	5
F. Esposito FWD	56	2	16
D Frattesi MID	49	3	7
N Rovella MID	43	1	3
D Zappacosta MID	39	2	2
G Vicario GLK	30
D Udogie DEF	27	2	5
M Kean FWD	24	2	13
G Scamacca FWD	12		1
L Spinazzola DEF	11	1	1
D Maldini MID	8	1	2
L Lucca FWD	8	2	3

N Ireland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	3
P McNair	I Price	J Devenny	D Ballard

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P McNair DEF	6			1 -
I Price MID	6	1		-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	5			-
C Bradley DEF	5			2 -
T Hume DEF	5	1		1 -
E Galbraith MID	5			2 -
J Devenny MID	5	1	1	1 -
J Reid FWD	5	1		1 -
R. McConville DEF	4			1 -
A McCann MID	4			1 -
S Charles MID	4	1		1 -
J Magennis FWD	4			1 -
C Marshall FWD	4			-
D Charles FWD	4			-
D Ballard DEF	3			2 1
J. Donley MID	3	1		-
G Saville MID	3			2 -
B Spencer DEF	2			-
C Brown DEF	2			-
E Toal DEF	2			-
B Lyons MID	2			-
J. McDonnell MID	2			-
P Smyth FWD	2			-
C Hazard GLK	1			1 -
J Lewis DEF	1			-
T Devlin DEF	1			-
P Kelly MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	1	2
I Price	I Price	J Devenny	J Devenny

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Price MID	1	5
T Hume DEF	1	1
J Devenny MID	1	3	1	2
J Reid FWD	1	1
S Charles MID	1	2
J. Donley MID	1	1
C Bradley DEF				1
E Galbraith MID		1
R. McConville DEF				1
A McCann MID		1
C Marshall FWD		1
D Charles FWD		1
B Spencer DEF		1
E Toal DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
175	21	44
T Hume	J Devenny	C Bradley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Hume DEF	175	8	23
P McNair DEF	162	5	13
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	148		2
E Galbraith MID	142	8	18
I Price MID	133	6	24
C Bradley DEF	131	17	44
J Devenny MID	123	21	31
S Charles MID	119	9	27
A McCann MID	90	7	14
R. McConville DEF	87	5	14
D Ballard DEF	75	4	24
E Toal DEF	52		3
B Lyons MID	48	5	11
G Saville MID	43	1	2
C Hazard GLK	34		1
C Brown DEF	32		6
J. Donley MID	26	2	6
J Magennis FWD	25		6
B Spencer DEF	25	1	7
J. McDonnell MID	22		2
J Reid FWD	21	1	17
C Marshall FWD	18	6	8
J Lewis DEF	17	2	2
T Devlin DEF	12	3	3
D Charles FWD	9	2	7
P Smyth FWD	9	1	5
P Kelly MID	4		1

International World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting previews, predictions and odds

Italy v Northern Ireland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Italy v N Ireland will show here when available.

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