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Kazakhstan v Wales : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 4th Sep, 15:00 BST, Astana Arena, Astana

Kazakhstan are in World Cup Qualifying Europe action on Thursday afternoon, as Stanislav Cherchesov attempts to outsmart Craig Bellamy and his Wales side at the Astana Arena. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

Best Tip: Wales to win

This is a fixture that really only looks like going one way and, unfortunately for the home team, that way is Wales's. We predict Thursday's visitors to Astana Arena will claim victory, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely final result, and give a best price of 1.55.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 61% chance of Wales coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kazakhstan 17%	-	475
Draw 22%	-	320
Wales 61%	-	-182
Wales 1-0 11%	-	425
Wales 2-0 11%	-	500
Draw 1-1 10%	-	650
Wales 2-1 10%	-	700
Wales 3-0 7%	-	850
Wales 3-1 6%	-	1100
Draw 0-0 6%	-	750
Kazakhstan 1-0 5%	-	1000
Kazakhstan 2-1 5%	-	1400
Draw 2-2 4%	-	1600
Wales 4-0 3%	-	1600
Wales 4-1 3%	-	2000
Wales 3-2 3%	-	2200
Kazakhstan 2-0 2%	-	2000
Kazakhstan 3-1 1%	-	3300
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	-	105
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	-	-143
Home 1st Goal 40%	-	225
Away 1st Goal 57%	-	-227
No 1st Goal 3%	-	750
BTTS - Yes 51%	-	120
BTTS - No 49%	-	-161
BTTS - Home Win 8%	-	1000
BTTS - Draw 16%	-	475
BTTS - Away Win 27%	-	280
Home/draw 39%	-	140
Away/draw 83%	-	-769
Home/away 78%	-	-455
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	-	-286
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	-	200
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	-	260
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	-	-400
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	-	600
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	-	-1250
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	-	1400
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	-	-5000
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	-1667
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	750
Home DNB 32%	-	320
Away DNB 76%	-	-500
Kazakhstan win to nil 9%	-	-
Wales win to nil 34%	-	-
Kazakhstan / Kazakhstan 9%	-	750
Kazakhstan / Wales 4%	-	1800
Kazakhstan / Draw 5%	-	1400
Draw / Kazakhstan 7%	-	1000
Draw / Wales 20%	-	300
Draw / Draw 14%	-	450
Wales / Kazakhstan 2%	-	3300
Wales / Wales 33%	-	138
Wales / Draw 5%	-	1400

Group J table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kazakhstan Wales
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Macedonia	4	2	2	0	4	8	l 0-1A	Nov 18
2	Wales	4	2	1	1	4	7	Sep 4	-
3	Belgium	2	1	1	0	1	4	Nov 15	Oct 13
4	Kazakhstan	3	1	0	2	-1	3	-	w 3-1F
5	Liechtenstein	3	0	0	3	-8	0	Oct 10	w 3-0F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

1 / 5

Conceded

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

Failed to score

4 / 5

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kazakhstan	0 - 1	Macedonia
Kazakhstan	0 - 2	Finland
Kazakhstan	0 - 2	Bosnia
Kazakhstan	2 - 2	Ukraine
Kazakhstan	0 - 2	France

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 11

Conceded

10 / 11

Clean sheets

1 / 11

Failed to score

6 / 11

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Kazakhstan	0 - 1	Macedonia
A	Kazakhstan	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Kazakhstan	1 - 3	Wales
A	Kazakhstan	0 - 8	France
H	Kazakhstan	0 - 2	Finland
H	Kazakhstan	0 - 2	Bosnia
A	Kazakhstan	2 - 2	Bosnia
A	Kazakhstan	0 - 1	Finland
H	Kazakhstan	2 - 2	Ukraine
A	Kazakhstan	1 - 1	Ukraine
H	Kazakhstan	0 - 2	France

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium	4 - 3	Wales
Macedonia	1 - 1	Wales
Estonia	0 - 1	Wales
Czech Rep	2 - 2	Wales
Belarus	2 - 3	Wales
Belgium	3 - 1	Wales

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 14

Conceded

9 / 14

Clean sheets

5 / 14

Failed to score

1 / 14

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Wales	3 - 4	Belgium
H	Wales	3 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Wales	1 - 1	Macedonia
H	Wales	3 - 1	Kazakhstan
H	Wales	1 - 0	Ukraine
H	Wales	2 - 1	Austria
H	Wales	1 - 1	Belgium
H	Wales	5 - 1	Belarus
A	Wales	1 - 0	Estonia
A	Wales	2 - 2	Czech Rep
H	Wales	0 - 0	Estonia
A	Wales	3 - 2	Belarus
H	Wales	1 - 0	Czech Rep
A	Wales	1 - 3	Belgium

Goal Statistics

	Kazakhstan	Wales
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Kazakhstan scoring 1 goal or less	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Wales will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
5 home / away league games	=0 Kazakhstan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Wales’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.4 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

KAZ

WAL

30%

better

view stats

Games scored	10		14
Failed to score	8		6
Scored first	5		10
Goals scored	16		33
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.7
Avg. shots per game	5		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	0.6		1.6
KickOff rating		+30%

KAZ

WAL

43%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		11
Clean sheets	3		9
Conceded first	12		5
Goals conceded	38		18
Avg. goals conceded	1.9		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		8
Conversion rate against	19%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.5
KickOff rating		+43%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Kazakhstan v Wales will show here when available.

Kazakhstan World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	1
Y Vorogovskiy	A Tagybergen	M Bystrov	I Chesnokov

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Vorogovskiy DEF	3			-
M Bystrov DEF	3		1	-
N Alip DEF	3			-
Ğ. Kenjebek MID	3			-
A Tagybergen MID	3	1		-
I Chesnokov MID	3			1 -
D. Satpaev FWD	3			-
M Samorodov FWD	3	1	1	1 -
M Seisen GLK	2			-
A Marochkin DEF	2	1		-
S Astanov DEF	2			-
G Zhukov MID	2			-
A Zhaksylykov FWD	2			-
A Zarutskiy GLK	1			-
S Maliy DEF	1			1 -
E Tapalov DEF	1			-
I Kuat MID	1			1 -
N. Zhagorov MID	1			-
S Muzhikov MID	1			-
R Orazov MID	1			1 -
A Zuev MID	1			-
A. Mukhamed FWD	1			-
A Aymbetov FWD	1			-
E Astanov FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	3
A Tagybergen	N Alip	M Bystrov	M Samorodov

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Tagybergen MID	1	2
M Samorodov FWD	1	2	1	3
A Marochkin DEF	1	1
M Bystrov DEF			1	1
N Alip DEF		2		1
Ğ. Kenjebek MID		1
I Chesnokov MID				1
A Zhaksylykov FWD		1
E Tapalov DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
204	8	20
N Alip	M Bystrov	N Alip

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Alip DEF	204	7	20
M Bystrov DEF	175	8	19
Y Vorogovskiy DEF	127	7	12
S Astanov DEF	104	4	9
A Tagybergen MID	98	4	7
A Marochkin DEF	91	3	5
G Zhukov MID	67	3	7
S Maliy DEF	65	1	8
I Chesnokov MID	49	5	17
M Samorodov FWD	44	2	11
R Orazov MID	33	3	4
D. Satpaev FWD	28	1	4
Ğ. Kenjebek MID	26	1	2
M Seisen GLK	25
I Kuat MID	24	2	4
E Tapalov DEF	22	1	1
S Muzhikov MID	21		2
A Zarutskiy GLK	18
A Zhaksylykov FWD	15	2	4
N. Zhagorov MID	10		2
E Astanov FWD	7
A. Mukhamed FWD	4		3
A Aymbetov FWD	4	1	2
A Zuev MID	3

Wales World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	2	4	1
K Darlow	H Wilson	S Thomas	J Rodon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Darlow GLK	4			-
J Rodon DEF	4	1		1 -
B Davies DEF	4	1	1	-
D Brooks MID	4	1		-
S Thomas MID	4	1	4	-
J James MID	4			1 -
B Johnson FWD	4	1		-
N Williams DEF	3			-
C Roberts DEF	3			-
R Matondo MID	3	1		-
J Sheehan MID	3			1 -
L Cullen FWD	3			-
E Ampadu DEF	2			1 -
C Mepham DEF	2			1 -
D James MID	2	1		-
M Harris FWD	2			-
K Moore FWD	2	1		-
H Wilson FWD	2	2	1	1 -
J Dasilva DEF	1		1	-
J Allen MID	1			-
N Broadhead FWD	1			-
L. Koumas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	4	4	5
H Wilson	D Brooks	S Thomas	S Thomas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Wilson FWD	2	2	1	1
J Rodon DEF	1	2
B Davies DEF	1	2	1
D Brooks MID	1	4
S Thomas MID	1	2	4	5
B Johnson FWD	1	3		1
R Matondo MID	1	1
D James MID	1	1
K Moore FWD	1	3
J James MID		4		1
N Williams DEF		2
J Sheehan MID		1
L Cullen FWD		2		1
E Ampadu DEF		1
C Mepham DEF		1
M Harris FWD		1
J Dasilva DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
443	11	19
J Rodon	N Williams	J Rodon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Rodon DEF	443	4	19
B Davies DEF	405	3	10
C Roberts DEF	203	6	15
N Williams DEF	180	11	19
C Mepham DEF	168	6	16
J Sheehan MID	129	2	4
S Thomas MID	114	5	16
E Ampadu DEF	100	6	7
J Dasilva DEF	93	1	3
B Johnson FWD	86	2	9
J James MID	83	1	12
K Darlow GLK	77		1
L Cullen FWD	67	3	9
H Wilson FWD	66	1	3
D James MID	59	4	9
D Brooks MID	40		7
N Broadhead FWD	30		3
K Moore FWD	23		6
L. Koumas FWD	14	1	4
M Harris FWD	8	1	2
J Allen MID	4
R Matondo MID	3