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Lithuania v Malta : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 4th Sep, 17:00 BST, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas,

Emilio Fajardo Maldonado guides his Malta troops to the S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas in the World Cup Qualifying Europe on Thursday evening, with Tomas Oral's Lithuania the opponent. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with World Cup Qualifying Europe performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lithuania are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lithuania 47%	-	11/10
Draw 27%	-	21/10 3%
Malta 26%	-	29/10 3%
Lithuania 1-0 13%	-	4/1 5%
Draw 1-1 13%	-	5/1
Lithuania 2-0 9%	-	13/2 6%
Draw 0-0 9%	-	19/4 5%
Lithuania 2-1 9%	-	8/1
Malta 1-0 9%	-	13/2
Malta 2-1 6%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	-	16/1
Malta 2-0 4%	-	14/1
Lithuania 3-0 4%	-	14/1
Lithuania 3-1 4%	-	16/1
Lithuania 3-2 2%	-	28/1
Malta 3-1 2%	-	28/1
Lithuania 4-0 2%	-	28/1
Lithuania 4-1 2%	-	33/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	-	17/10 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	-	2/5 3%
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	4/5
Away 1st Goal 42%	-	13/8 3%
No 1st Goal 6%	-	19/4 5%
BTTS - Yes 47%	-	11/8 6%
BTTS - No 53%	-	11/20 1%
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	9/2 5%
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4/1 4%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	8/1
Home/draw 74%	-	1/4 2%
Away/draw 53%	-	8/11 2%
Home/away 73%	-	4/11 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	-	4/7 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	-	5/4 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	-	17/4
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	-	2/15 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	-	10/1
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	-	1/33
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	22/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	1/9 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	19/4 5%
Home DNB 66%	-	4/9 3%
Away DNB 45%	-	13/8
Lithuania win to nil 29%	-	-
Malta win to nil 15%	-	-
Lithuania / Lithuania 23%	-	23/10
Lithuania / Malta 2%	-	33/1
Lithuania / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Lithuania 17%	-	18/5
Draw / Malta 10%	-	13/2
Draw / Draw 20%	-	29/10 4%
Malta / Lithuania 3%	-	22/1
Malta / Malta 13%	-	5/1 8%
Malta / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lithuania Malta
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Finland	4	2	1	1	0	7	d 2-2A	l 0-1A
2	Netherlands	2	2	0	0	10	6	Sep 7	Oct 9
3	Poland	3	2	0	1	2	6	Oct 12	Nov 17
4	Lithuania	3	0	2	1	-1	2	-	d 0-00-0
5	Malta	4	0	1	3	-11	1	Sep 4	-

Win / draw / win form

Lithuania have not won in 9 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Conceded

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

Failed to score

2 / 5

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 11

Conceded

10 / 11

Clean sheets

1 / 11

Failed to score

8 / 11

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lithuania	0 - 0	Malta
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Poland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
H	Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Lithuania	0 - 5	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Bulgaria
H	Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Switzerland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

2 / 7

Conceded

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

Failed to score

5 / 7

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
Poland	2 - 0	Malta
Cyprus	2 - 2	Malta
Russia	2 - 0	Malta
Slovenia	1 - 0	Malta
Croatia	3 - 0	Malta
Slovakia	2 - 2	Malta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 14

Conceded

12 / 14

Clean sheets

2 / 14

Failed to score

9 / 14

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Malta	0 - 8	Netherlands
H	Malta	0 - 0	Lithuania
A	Malta	0 - 2	Poland
H	Malta	0 - 1	Finland
H	Malta	0 - 6	Slovakia
H	Malta	1 - 7	Croatia
A	Malta	2 - 2	Cyprus
H	Malta	0 - 4	Slovenia
A	Malta	0 - 2	Russia
A	Malta	0 - 1	Slovenia
H	Malta	3 - 0	Cyprus
A	Malta	0 - 3	Croatia
A	Malta	2 - 2	Slovakia
H	Malta	1 - 3	Russia

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Lithuania of late. It has been 6 World Cup Qualifying Europe games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday evening against Malta.

	Lithuania	Malta
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Lithuania will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Malta scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
5 home / away league games	=0 Lithuania’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Malta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	2.6 conceded	2.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

33%

better

LTU

MLT

view stats

Games scored	12		7
Failed to score	8		13
Scored first	7		5
Goals scored	16		9
Avg. goals scored	0.8		0.5
Avg. shots per game	9		6
Avg. shots per goal	11		14
Conversion rate for	9		7
Avg. XG for	1.2		0.8
KickOff rating		+33%

better

LTU

MLT

view stats

Games conceded	15		13
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	11		12
Goals conceded	27		40
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.7
KickOff rating		+9%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Lithuania v Malta will show here when available.

Lithuania World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	1
E Gertmonas	G Gineitis	A Dolznikov	K Kazukolovas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Gertmonas GLK	3			-
J Lasickas DEF	3			-
K Kazukolovas DEF	3			1 -
E Utkus DEF	3			1 -
F Černych MID	3			-
A Dolznikov MID	3		1	-
P Golubickas MID	3		1	-
G Gineitis MID	3	1		1 -
A Tutyškinas DEF	2			1 -
P Sirvys DEF	2			-
G Matulevičius MID	2			-
T Milasius MID	2			1 -
A Kucys FWD	2	1		-
G Paulauskas FWD	2			-
K Upstas DEF	1			-
E Girdvainis DEF	1			1 -
M Remeikis MID	1			-
M Vareika MID	1			-
D Šešplaukis MID	1			-
G Sirgėdas MID	1			-
M Vorobjovas MID	1			-
D Antanavicius MID	1			-
V Slivka MID	1			-
R Jansonas FWD	1			-
M. Ruzgis FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	4	1	1
G Gineitis	G Gineitis	A Dolznikov	J Lasickas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Gineitis MID	1	4
A Kucys FWD	1	3
J Lasickas DEF				1
E Utkus DEF		1
A Dolznikov MID			1
P Golubickas MID			1
G Matulevičius MID		1
R Jansonas FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
151	7	27
K Kazukolovas	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Kazukolovas DEF	151	5	20
E Utkus DEF	123	7	21
E Gertmonas GLK	95		1
G Gineitis MID	91	5	12
J Lasickas DEF	85	7	27
P Sirvys DEF	81	7	8
A Tutyškinas DEF	79	4	7
E Girdvainis DEF	68		1
T Milasius MID	42	1	5
G Matulevičius MID	36		1
A Dolznikov MID	34		5
D Antanavicius MID	34	1	3
V Slivka MID	34		6
P Golubickas MID	32	2	3
F Černych MID	28		4
A Kucys FWD	25	1	17
K Upstas DEF	21	2	6
M Vorobjovas MID	21		1
G Paulauskas FWD	17		11
G Sirgėdas MID	13		2
D Šešplaukis MID	7		3
M. Ruzgis FWD	6		3
M Remeikis MID	5		2
M Vareika MID	3		1
R Jansonas FWD	2		1

Malta World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	0	0	2
H Bonello			M Guillaumier

Players	Appserances	cards
H Bonello GLK	4	-
R Camenzuli MID	4	1 -
T Teuma MID	4	1 -
M Guillaumier MID	4	2 -
P Mbong FWD	4	1 -
J Mbong FWD	4	-
A Satariano FWD	4	-
B Tuma FWD	4	1 -
E Pepe DEF	3	-
Z Muscat DEF	3	1 -
A Overend DEF	3	-
K Nwoko FWD	3	-
K Shaw DEF	2	1
M Beerman DEF	2	-
J Corbalan FWD	2	-
G Mentz DEF	1	-
C Lonardelli DEF	1	-
J Borg DEF	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	2	0	1
	P Mbong		J Mbong

Players	shots on	big chances
M Guillaumier MID	1
P Mbong FWD	2
J Mbong FWD	1	1
A Satariano FWD	2
B Tuma FWD	1
Z Muscat DEF	1
K Shaw DEF	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
219	14	24
T Teuma	T Teuma	T Teuma

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Teuma MID	219	14	24
M Guillaumier MID	205	12	23
R Camenzuli MID	134	8	12
H Bonello GLK	126		1
A Satariano FWD	108	9	19
E Pepe DEF	106	3	11
J Mbong FWD	92	7	16
Z Muscat DEF	90	3	13
P Mbong FWD	72	2	14
K Shaw DEF	60	1	1
G Mentz DEF	39		1
B Tuma FWD	19	5	11
A Overend DEF	19		2
C Lonardelli DEF	17	2	3
K Nwoko FWD	15		4
J Corbalan FWD	12		1
M Beerman DEF	11
J Borg DEF	1