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Lithuania v Poland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Oct, 19:45 BST, S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas

Sunday evening sees Edgaras Jankauskas’s Lithuania and Jan Urban’s Poland go head to head in a World Cup Qualifying Europe clash at the S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas. This preview has odds for seventeen different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lithuania 31%	-	-
Draw 23%	-	-
Poland 46%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
Poland 2-1 9%	-	-
Lithuania 2-1 7%	-	-
Poland 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 7%	-	-
Poland 2-0 6%	-	-
Lithuania 1-0 6%	-	-
Poland 3-1 6%	-	-
Lithuania 2-0 4%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	-	-
Poland 3-2 4%	-	-
Poland 3-0 4%	-	-
Lithuania 3-1 3%	-	-
Lithuania 3-2 3%	-	-
Poland 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	-	-
No 1st Goal 2%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 63%	-	-
BTTS - No 37%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 26%	-	-
Home/draw 54%	-	-
Away/draw 69%	-	-
Home/away 77%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Home DNB 47%	-	-
Away DNB 63%	-	-
Lithuania win to nil 13%	-	-
Poland win to nil 20%	-	-

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lithuania Poland
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Netherlands	4	3	1	0	11	10	l 2-3A	Nov 14
2	Poland	5	3	1	1	4	10	Oct 12	-
3	Finland	5	2	1	2	-2	7	d 2-2A	w 3-1F
4	Lithuania	5	0	3	2	-2	3	-	w 1-0F
5	Malta	5	0	2	3	-11	2	d 1-1A	w 2-0F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Conceded

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

Failed to score

2 / 7

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 13

Conceded

12 / 13

Clean sheets

1 / 13

Failed to score

8 / 13

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
H	Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
A	Lithuania	0 - 0	Malta
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Poland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
H	Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Lithuania	0 - 5	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Bulgaria
H	Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Switzerland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 7

Conceded

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

Failed to score

0 / 7

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
Finland	2 - 1	Poland
Andorra	1 - 4	Poland
Albania	0 - 1	Poland
San Marino	1 - 7	Poland
England	2 - 1	Poland
Hungary	3 - 3	Poland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 16

Conceded

10 / 16

Clean sheets

6 / 16

Failed to score

0 / 16

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Poland	3 - 1	Finland
A	Poland	1 - 1	Netherlands
A	Poland	1 - 2	Finland
H	Poland	2 - 0	Malta
H	Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
H	Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
H	Poland	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Poland	4 - 1	Andorra
A	Poland	1 - 0	Albania
H	Poland	5 - 0	San Marino
H	Poland	1 - 1	England
A	Poland	7 - 1	San Marino
H	Poland	4 - 1	Albania
A	Poland	1 - 2	England
H	Poland	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Poland	3 - 3	Hungary

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Lithuania of late. It has been 6 World Cup Qualifying Europe games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Poland.

Poland have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe games. Their PG of 1.8 against Lithuania on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Lithuania	Poland
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Lithuania will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Poland will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
7 home / away league games	=0 Lithuania’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Poland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	2.6 average goals scored
	2.4 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

LTU

POL

39%

better

view stats

Games scored	13		18
Failed to score	7		2
Scored first	6		11
Goals scored	18		33
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.7
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	10		7
Conversion rate for	10		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+39%

LTU

POL

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		16
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	13		8
Goals conceded	30		30
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.7
KickOff rating		+7%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Lithuania v Poland will show here when available.

Lithuania World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	1	3
E Gertmonas	G Gineitis	J Lasickas	E Utkus

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Gertmonas GLK	5			-
J Lasickas DEF	5		1	1 -
P Golubickas MID	5		1	1 -
G Gineitis MID	5	3	1	1 -
A Dolznikov FWD	5		1	1 -
E Utkus DEF	4			2 1
G Paulauskas FWD	4			-
K Upstas DEF	3			-
A Tutyškinas DEF	3			2 -
E Girdvainis DEF	3	1		1 -
G Sirgėdas MID	3			-
M Vorobjovas MID	3			1 -
F Černych FWD	3			-
P Sirvys DEF	2			-
D Antanavicius MID	2			-
V Armalas DEF	1			-
M Beneta DEF	1			-
R Lekiatas DEF	1			-
V Slivka MID	1			-
E Jankauskas FWD	1			-
T Kalinauskas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	1	3
G Gineitis	G Gineitis	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Gineitis MID	3	8	1
E Girdvainis DEF	1	1
J Lasickas DEF			1	3
P Golubickas MID			1
A Dolznikov FWD		1	1
E Utkus DEF		1
G Paulauskas FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
161	13	40
E Utkus	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Utkus DEF	161	7	26
J Lasickas DEF	144	13	40
G Gineitis MID	138	7	19
E Gertmonas GLK	138		3
E Girdvainis DEF	123		4
A Tutyškinas DEF	109	5	17
P Sirvys DEF	81	7	8
M Vorobjovas MID	60	2	4
P Golubickas MID	54	2	7
K Upstas DEF	51	4	12
A Dolznikov FWD	50	4	12
G Paulauskas FWD	44	1	31
G Sirgėdas MID	43	2	6
D Antanavicius MID	41	1	3
V Slivka MID	34		6
R Lekiatas DEF	32	3	6
F Černych FWD	28		4
V Armalas DEF	19	5	6
M Beneta DEF	16		1
E Jankauskas FWD	11	2	7
T Kalinauskas FWD	4		1

Poland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	2	1
L Skorupski	M Cash	J Kaminski	J Bednarek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Skorupski GLK	5			-
M Cash DEF	5	2		-
J Kiwior DEF	5	1		-
J Bednarek DEF	5			1 -
S Szymanski MID	5			-
K Swiderski FWD	5	2		-
J Kaminski FWD	5	1	2	-
B Slisz MID	4			1 -
R Lewandowski FWD	4	2	1	-
N Zalewski MID	3			1 -
A Buksa FWD	3			-
P Wszolek DEF	2			-
P Wisniewski DEF	2			1 -
P Frankowski DEF	2			1 -
B Kapustka MID	2			-
P Zielinski MID	2		1	-
J Piotrowski MID	2			-
K Grosicki FWD	2			-
T Kedziora DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	7	2	3
M Cash	M Cash	J Kaminski	S Szymanski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Cash DEF	2	7
K Swiderski FWD	2	6		2
R Lewandowski FWD	2	3	1	1
J Kiwior DEF	1	2
J Kaminski FWD	1	3	2	1
J Bednarek DEF		2
S Szymanski MID		3		3
N Zalewski MID				2
P Wisniewski DEF		1
P Frankowski DEF		1		1
P Zielinski MID			1	1
J Piotrowski MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
269	14	33
J Kiwior	J Kiwior	J Kiwior

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kiwior DEF	269	14	33
J Bednarek DEF	217	6	27
S Szymanski MID	134	12	22
B Slisz MID	132	5	9
L Skorupski GLK	129	1	4
M Cash DEF	102	7	19
J Kaminski FWD	98	3	19
P Frankowski DEF	92	5	9
N Zalewski MID	83	1	18
P Wisniewski DEF	77	3	6
K Swiderski FWD	74	1	16
P Zielinski MID	70	2	7
R Lewandowski FWD	52	4	11
J Piotrowski MID	47		7
P Wszolek DEF	21	2	8
A Buksa FWD	13	2	3
B Kapustka MID	12	2	3
K Grosicki FWD	11	1	1
T Kedziora DEF	1