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Netherlands v Finland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Oct, 17:00 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Finland pay World Cup Qualifying Europe counterparts Netherlands a visit on Sunday evening, as Lars Friis guides his men into an away clash with Ronald Koeman & co. at the Johan Cruijff Arena. World Cup Qualifying Europe stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Netherlands 56%	-	-
Draw 22%	-	-
Finland 22%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
Netherlands 2-1 10%	-	-
Netherlands 1-0 9%	-	-
Netherlands 2-0 9%	-	-
Netherlands 3-1 6%	-	-
Finland 2-1 6%	-	-
Netherlands 3-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Finland 1-0 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 5%	-	-
Netherlands 3-2 4%	-	-
Netherlands 4-1 3%	-	-
Finland 2-0 3%	-	-
Netherlands 4-0 3%	-	-
Finland 3-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	-	-
BTTS - No 42%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 12%	-	-
Home/draw 78%	-	-
Away/draw 44%	-	-
Home/away 78%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Home DNB 71%	-	-
Away DNB 37%	-	-
Netherlands win to nil 28%	-	-
Finland win to nil 10%	-	-

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Netherlands Finland
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Netherlands	4	3	1	0	11	10	-	l 0-2A
2	Poland	5	3	1	1	4	10	d 1-1F	w 2-1F
3	Finland	5	2	1	2	-2	7	Oct 12	-
4	Lithuania	5	0	3	2	-2	3	Nov 17	Oct 9
5	Malta	5	0	2	3	-11	2	w 8-0F	Nov 14

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 7

Conceded

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

Failed to score

0 / 7

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
Netherlands	2 - 0	Norway
Netherlands	6 - 0	Gibraltar
Netherlands	6 - 1	Turkey
Netherlands	4 - 0	Montenegro
Netherlands	2 - 0	Latvia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 14

Conceded

6 / 14

Clean sheets

8 / 14

Failed to score

0 / 14

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Netherlands	3 - 2	Lithuania
H	Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
H	Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
A	Netherlands	2 - 0	Finland
H	Netherlands	2 - 0	Norway
A	Netherlands	2 - 2	Montenegro
H	Netherlands	6 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Netherlands	1 - 0	Latvia
H	Netherlands	6 - 1	Turkey
H	Netherlands	4 - 0	Montenegro
A	Netherlands	1 - 1	Norway
A	Netherlands	7 - 0	Gibraltar
H	Netherlands	2 - 0	Latvia
A	Netherlands	2 - 4	Turkey

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Conceded

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

Failed to score

1 / 7

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland	3 - 1	Finland
Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
Malta	0 - 1	Finland
Bosnia	1 - 3	Finland
Kazakhstan	0 - 2	Finland
France	2 - 0	Finland
Ukraine	1 - 1	Finland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 13

Conceded

10 / 13

Clean sheets

3 / 13

Failed to score

3 / 13

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Finland	1 - 3	Poland
H	Finland	2 - 1	Poland
H	Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
A	Finland	2 - 2	Lithuania
A	Finland	1 - 0	Malta
H	Finland	0 - 2	France
A	Finland	3 - 1	Bosnia
A	Finland	2 - 0	Kazakhstan
H	Finland	1 - 2	Ukraine
A	Finland	0 - 2	France
H	Finland	1 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Finland	1 - 1	Ukraine
H	Finland	2 - 2	Bosnia

Goal Statistics

Netherlands have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Finland on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Netherlands	Finland
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Netherlands will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 37% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 69% probability that Finland will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
7 home / away league games	=0 Netherlands’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Finland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	4.1 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	0.3 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

35%

better

NED

FIN

view stats

Games scored	18		13
Failed to score	2		7
Scored first	12		8
Goals scored	49		22
Avg. goals scored	2.5		1.1
Avg. shots per game	12		6
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	21		19
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.2
KickOff rating		+35%

36%

better

NED

FIN

view stats

Games conceded	13		18
Clean sheets	7		2
Conceded first	7		12
Goals conceded	21		39
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		2
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.7
KickOff rating		+36%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Netherlands v Finland will show here when available.

Netherlands World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	5	2	1
V Dijk	M Depay	D Dumfries	T Reijnders

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Dijk DEF	4	1		-
M Ven DEF	4	1	1	-
D Dumfries DEF	4	2	2	-
S Vrij DEF	4			-
C Gakpo FWD	4		2	-
W Weghorst FWD	4			-
M Depay FWD	4	5	2	-
T Reijnders MID	3			1 -
X Simons MID	3	1		-
R Gravenberch MID	3			-
F Jong MID	3		2	-
D Malen FWD	3	2	1	-
J Kluivert FWD	3			-
B Verbruggen GLK	2			-
M Flekken GLK	2			-
J Hecke DEF	2			1 -
N Aké DEF	2			-
Q Timber MID	2	1		-
J Frimpong DEF	1			-
J Timber DEF	1			-
J Schouten MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	7	2	5
M Depay	M Depay	D Dumfries	C Gakpo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Depay FWD	5	7	2	1
D Dumfries DEF	2	5	2	2
D Malen FWD	2	3	1	1
V Dijk DEF	1	1		1
M Ven DEF	1	1	1	1
X Simons MID	1	1		1
Q Timber MID	1	1
S Vrij DEF				1
C Gakpo FWD		3	2	5
T Reijnders MID		1		1
F Jong MID		1	2
J Kluivert FWD				1
J Frimpong DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
388	7	22
V Dijk	F Jong	V Dijk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Dijk DEF	388	6	22
F Jong MID	291	7	15
R Gravenberch MID	243	5	12
D Dumfries DEF	202	6	17
S Vrij DEF	180	2	12
J Hecke DEF	159	1	3
M Ven DEF	129	6	13
C Gakpo FWD	129	2	17
M Depay FWD	120	1	6
T Reijnders MID	120	2	3
N Aké DEF	104	2	6
X Simons MID	97	3	11
J Schouten MID	72	2	6
M Flekken GLK	65
D Malen FWD	49	1	7
B Verbruggen GLK	49
J Kluivert FWD	44		1
Q Timber MID	37	3	7
J Frimpong DEF	31		2
J Timber DEF	29		1
W Weghorst FWD	17	1	6

Finland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	1	1
M Tenho	J Pohjanpalo	N Alho	M Peltola

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Peltola DEF	5			1 -
M Tenho DEF	5			1 -
J Uronen DEF	5			-
N Alho DEF	5		1	-
R Ivanov DEF	5			1 -
R Lod MID	5			-
K Kairinen MID	5	1		1 -
O Antman FWD	5	1	1	-
J Pohjanpalo FWD	5	2		-
B Källman FWD	5	2	1	1 -
T Pukki FWD	3			-
A Suhonen MID	2			-
J Joronen GLK	1			-
V Koski DEF	1			-
A Stahl DEF	1			-
S Väänänen MID	1			-
A Markhiyev MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	1	2
J Pohjanpalo	O Antman	N Alho	O Antman

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pohjanpalo FWD	2	3
B Källman FWD	2	5	1
K Kairinen MID	1	1
O Antman FWD	1	5	1	2
M Tenho DEF		1
N Alho DEF		2	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
258	9	22
K Kairinen	M Peltola	M Peltola

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Kairinen MID	258	8	14
R Ivanov DEF	238	5	10
J Uronen DEF	186	5	15
N Alho DEF	170	4	10
M Tenho DEF	166	4	9
M Peltola DEF	141	9	22
R Lod MID	119	9	19
O Antman FWD	101	3	10
J Pohjanpalo FWD	76	1	15
V Koski DEF	71		1
B Källman FWD	34		11
A Markhiyev MID	34	2	2
J Joronen GLK	30		1
A Suhonen MID	22	3	8
A Stahl DEF	16	1	2
S Väänänen MID	10	1	1
T Pukki FWD	6	1	1