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Netherlands v Poland : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 4th Sep, 19:45 BST, De Kuip, Rotterdam

Thursday evening sees Ronald Koeman’s Netherlands and Robert Klauss’s Poland go up against one another in a World Cup Qualifying Europe battle at the De Kuip. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.

Best Tip: Netherlands to win

We are predicting Netherlands will be victorious come the end of the 90 mins on Thursday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when that final whistle blows at De Kuip.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Netherlands are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 76% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Netherlands 76%	-	2/7 1%
Draw 15%	-	5/1 14%
Poland 9%	-	9/1 9%
Netherlands 2-0 11%	-	19/4
Netherlands 3-0 10%	-	6/1 7%
Netherlands 2-1 9%	-	7/1
Netherlands 1-0 9%	-	11/2 8%
Netherlands 3-1 8%	-	9/1
Draw 1-1 7%	-	9/1 11%
Netherlands 4-0 6%	-	9/1 9%
Netherlands 4-1 5%	-	14/1
Draw 2-2 4%	-	20/1 11%
Netherlands 5-0 3%	-	16/1 11%
Draw 0-0 3%	-	12/1 18%
Netherlands 3-2 3%	-	22/1
Poland 2-1 3%	-	22/1
Netherlands 5-1 3%	-	22/1 12%
Poland 1-0 3%	-	16/1
Over 2.5 Goals 66%	-	8/13 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%	-	23/20 5%
Home 1st Goal 62%	-	1/4 3%
Away 1st Goal 36%	-	16/5
No 1st Goal 2%	-	11/1 20%
BTTS - Yes 51%	-	6/5
BTTS - No 49%	-	8/13
BTTS - Home Win 34%	-	21/10 3%
BTTS - Draw 11%	-	13/2 15%
BTTS - Away Win 5%	-	14/1
Home/draw 91%	-	1/20
Away/draw 24%	-	27/10 9%
Home/away 85%	-	1/8 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	-	1/5 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	-	16/5 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%	-	8/5 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 56%	-	4/9 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%	-	7/2 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 74%	-	2/11 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 13%	-	15/2 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 87%	-	1/18 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	-	1/40 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	-	12/1 18%
Home DNB 87%	-	1/18
Away DNB 19%	-	13/2
Netherlands win to nil 42%	-	-
Poland win to nil 4%	-	-
Netherlands / Netherlands 44%	-	4/5 3%
Netherlands / Poland 2%	-	45/1
Netherlands / Draw 4%	-	18/1 12%
Draw / Netherlands 21%	-	14/5
Draw / Poland 5%	-	16/1
Draw / Draw 10%	-	13/2 15%
Poland / Netherlands 5%	-	16/1 11%
Poland / Poland 6%	-	12/1 13%
Poland / Draw 4%	-	18/1

Group G table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Netherlands Poland
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Finland	4	2	1	1	0	7	Oct 12	Sep 7
2	Netherlands	2	2	0	0	10	6	-	Nov 14
3	Poland	3	2	0	1	2	6	Sep 4	-
4	Lithuania	3	0	2	1	-1	2	Nov 17	w 1-0F
5	Malta	4	0	1	3	-11	1	w 8-0F	w 2-0F

Win / draw / win form

Netherlands have not lost in 6 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

1 / 6

Clean sheets

5 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
Netherlands	2 - 0	Norway
Netherlands	6 - 0	Gibraltar
Netherlands	6 - 1	Turkey
Netherlands	4 - 0	Montenegro
Netherlands	2 - 0	Latvia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 12

Conceded

4 / 12

Clean sheets

8 / 12

Failed to score

0 / 12

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
A	Netherlands	2 - 0	Finland
H	Netherlands	2 - 0	Norway
A	Netherlands	2 - 2	Montenegro
H	Netherlands	6 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Netherlands	1 - 0	Latvia
H	Netherlands	6 - 1	Turkey
H	Netherlands	4 - 0	Montenegro
A	Netherlands	1 - 1	Norway
A	Netherlands	7 - 0	Gibraltar
H	Netherlands	2 - 0	Latvia
A	Netherlands	2 - 4	Turkey

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Finland	2 - 1	Poland
Andorra	1 - 4	Poland
Albania	0 - 1	Poland
San Marino	1 - 7	Poland
England	2 - 1	Poland
Hungary	3 - 3	Poland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 14

Conceded

8 / 14

Clean sheets

6 / 14

Failed to score

0 / 14

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Poland	1 - 2	Finland
H	Poland	2 - 0	Malta
H	Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
H	Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
H	Poland	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Poland	4 - 1	Andorra
A	Poland	1 - 0	Albania
H	Poland	5 - 0	San Marino
H	Poland	1 - 1	England
A	Poland	7 - 1	San Marino
H	Poland	4 - 1	Albania
A	Poland	1 - 2	England
H	Poland	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Poland	3 - 3	Hungary

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Netherlands

Poland

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

1 / 2

Clean sheets

1 / 2

0 / 2

NED

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Netherlands
Draw		2 - 2		Draw
Netherlands		1 - 0

Poland

Netherlands

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

3 / 3

Clean sheets

0 / 3

1 / 3

NED

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Poland
		1 - 2		Netherlands
		0 - 2		Netherlands
		1 - 2		Netherlands

Goal Statistics

Netherlands's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe matches. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Thursday evening.

	Netherlands	Poland
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.6 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 19% 2 25% 3 22% 4 14% 5+ 20% There is a 81% probability that Netherlands will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Poland scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Netherlands’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Poland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	4.7 average goals scored	2.8 average goals scored
	0.2 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

15%

better

NED

POL

view stats

Games scored	18		18
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	12		11
Goals scored	50		32
Avg. goals scored	2.5		1.6
Avg. shots per game	12		12
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	21		14
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+15%

20%

better

NED

POL

view stats

Games conceded	12		15
Clean sheets	8		5
Conceded first	7		8
Goals conceded	20		29
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.9
KickOff rating		+20%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Netherlands v Poland will show here when available.

Netherlands World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	3	2	1
M Flekken	M Depay	F Jong	J Hecke

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Flekken GLK	2			-
V Dijk DEF	2	1		-
M Ven DEF	2	1	1	-
D Dumfries DEF	2	1	1	-
S Vrij DEF	2			-
J Kluivert MID	2			-
X Simons MID	2	1		-
F Jong MID	2		2	-
R Gravenberch MID	2			-
C Gakpo FWD	2		1	-
W Weghorst FWD	2			-
M Depay FWD	2	3	1	-
J Hecke DEF	1			1 -
L Geertruida DEF	1			-
J Frimpong DEF	1			-
N Aké DEF	1			-
T Reijnders MID	1			1 -
M Wieffer MID	1			-
N Lang FWD	1	1		1 -
D Malen FWD	1	2	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	2	3
M Depay	M Depay	F Jong	C Gakpo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Depay FWD	3	4	1
D Malen FWD	2	2	1	1
V Dijk DEF	1	1		1
M Ven DEF	1	1	1	1
D Dumfries DEF	1	2	1
X Simons MID	1	1		1
N Lang FWD	1	1
S Vrij DEF				1
F Jong MID		1	2
C Gakpo FWD			1	3
J Frimpong DEF		2
T Reijnders MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
199	5	12
F Jong	F Jong	V Dijk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Jong MID	199	5	9
V Dijk DEF	164	3	12
R Gravenberch MID	135	3	8
D Dumfries DEF	90	4	7
S Vrij DEF	86	1	7
M Flekken GLK	65
M Ven DEF	61	3	7
J Hecke DEF	59	1	1
M Depay FWD	58		2
X Simons MID	56	1	7
C Gakpo FWD	56	1	5
N Aké DEF	55		3
J Kluivert MID	44		1
T Reijnders MID	43	1	2
M Wieffer MID	34	1	5
J Frimpong DEF	31		2
N Lang FWD	25	1	3
W Weghorst FWD	11	1	3
D Malen FWD	8		1
L Geertruida DEF	5	1	1

Poland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	2	1	1
L Skorupski	K Swiderski	J Moder	J Bednarek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Skorupski GLK	3			-
M Cash DEF	3			-
J Kiwior DEF	3	1		-
J Bednarek DEF	3			1 -
S Szymanski MID	3			-
J Moder MID	3		1	-
J Kaminski MID	3		1	-
K Piatek FWD	3		1	-
K Swiderski FWD	3	2		-
M Wieteska DEF	2			-
K Piatkowski DEF	2			1 -
J Piotrowski MID	2			-
P Frankowski MID	2			1 -
B Slisz MID	2			1 -
M Bogusz MID	2			-
R Lewandowski FWD	2	1		-
A Buksa FWD	2			-
B Bereszynski DEF	1			-
M Skrzypczak DEF	1			-
N Zalewski MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	1	2
K Swiderski	K Swiderski	J Moder	S Szymanski

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Swiderski FWD	2	6		2
J Kiwior DEF	1	2
R Lewandowski FWD	1	1		1
M Cash DEF		5
J Bednarek DEF		2
S Szymanski MID		2		2
J Moder MID		2	1
J Kaminski MID		1	1
K Piatek FWD		3	1	1
J Piotrowski MID		2
P Frankowski MID		1		1
M Bogusz MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
199	8	22
J Kiwior	S Szymanski	J Kiwior

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kiwior DEF	199	7	22
J Moder MID	181	4	13
J Bednarek DEF	141	4	16
K Piatkowski DEF	129	4	7
S Szymanski MID	99	8	12
P Frankowski MID	92	5	9
B Slisz MID	82	1	3
L Skorupski GLK	71	1	3
J Kaminski MID	66	1	12
K Swiderski FWD	64	1	14
M Cash DEF	61	1	11
M Skrzypczak DEF	54	1	2
M Wieteska DEF	49		7
J Piotrowski MID	47		7
N Zalewski MID	41	1	8
R Lewandowski FWD	29	2	3
M Bogusz MID	28	1	5
K Piatek FWD	23		10
A Buksa FWD	7		1