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Northern Ireland v Slovakia : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 10th Oct, 19:45 BST, Windsor Park, Belfast

Home advantage is often beneficial in the World Cup Qualifying Europe, and Michael O'Neill’s Northern Ireland will have the blessing of it on Friday evening. Francesco Baldini’s Slovakia are their visitors to the Windsor Park. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this World Cup Qualifying Europe clash.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that N Ireland and Slovakia will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Michael O'Neill or Francesco Baldini has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.48 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think N Ireland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
N Ireland 41%	-	29/20 6%
Draw 26%	-	21/10 6%
Slovakia 33%	-	21/10 18%
Draw 1-1 12%	-	19/4 4%
N Ireland 1-0 10%	-	5/1 8%
Slovakia 1-0 9%	-	6/1
N Ireland 2-1 9%	-	8/1
Slovakia 2-1 8%	-	9/1 5%
Draw 0-0 7%	-	11/2 13%
N Ireland 2-0 7%	-	17/2 5%
Slovakia 2-0 5%	-	11/1 20%
Draw 2-2 5%	-	14/1 15%
N Ireland 3-1 4%	-	16/1 11%
N Ireland 3-0 3%	-	18/1
Slovakia 3-1 3%	-	20/1 11%
N Ireland 3-2 2%	-	25/1
Slovakia 3-0 2%	-	22/1 10%
Slovakia 3-2 2%	-	28/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	-	7/5 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	-	8/15 6%
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	19/20 5%
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	5/4 10%
No 1st Goal 5%	-	11/2 13%
BTTS - Yes 53%	-	21/20 5%
BTTS - No 47%	-	7/10 3%
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	9/2
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	-	11/2 18%
Home/draw 67%	-	4/11 8%
Away/draw 59%	-	8/15 3%
Home/away 74%	-	7/20 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	-	10/21 6%
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	-	6/4 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	-	7/2 13%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	-	2/11 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	-	17/2 19%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	-	1/20 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	-	18/1 12%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	-	1/200 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	1/11 2%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	11/2 13%
Home DNB 59%	-	4/6 9%
Away DNB 51%	-	11/10 14%
N Ireland win to nil 22%	-	-
Slovakia win to nil 17%	-	-
N Ireland / N Ireland 20%	-	14/5 5%
N Ireland / Slovakia 3%	-	25/1 13%
N Ireland / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / N Ireland 15%	-	17/4 9%
Draw / Slovakia 12%	-	11/2 13%
Draw / Draw 18%	-	16/5 7%
Slovakia / N Ireland 3%	-	22/1
Slovakia / Slovakia 16%	-	19/5 14%
Slovakia / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Group A table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	N Ireland Slovakia
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Slovakia	2	2	0	3	6	Oct 10	-
2	Germany	2	1	1	0	3	Oct 13	w 2-0F
3	N Ireland	2	1	1	0	3	-	Nov 14
4	Luxembourg	2	0	2	-3	0	Nov 17	Oct 13

Win / draw / win form

Slovakia have not lost in 5 consecutive games

Slovakia have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

1 / 4

Conceded

0 / 4

Clean sheets

4 / 4

Failed to score

3 / 4

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
N Ireland	0 - 0	Italy
N Ireland	1 - 0	Lithuania
N Ireland	0 - 0	Switzerland
N Ireland	0 - 0	Bulgaria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 10

Conceded

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

Failed to score

5 / 10

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	N Ireland	1 - 3	Germany
A	N Ireland	3 - 1	Luxembourg
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Italy
H	N Ireland	1 - 0	Lithuania
A	N Ireland	1 - 2	Bulgaria
A	N Ireland	0 - 2	Switzerland
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Switzerland
A	N Ireland	4 - 1	Lithuania
H	N Ireland	0 - 0	Bulgaria
A	N Ireland	0 - 2	Italy

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

4 / 6

Conceded

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

Failed to score

2 / 6

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
Malta	0 - 6	Slovakia
Croatia	2 - 2	Slovakia
Russia	1 - 0	Slovakia
Slovenia	1 - 1	Slovakia
Cyprus	0 - 0	Slovakia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 12

Conceded

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

Failed to score

3 / 12

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Germany
A	Slovakia	6 - 0	Malta
H	Slovakia	2 - 2	Slovenia
A	Slovakia	2 - 2	Croatia
A	Slovakia	0 - 1	Russia
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Cyprus
H	Slovakia	0 - 1	Croatia
A	Slovakia	1 - 1	Slovenia
H	Slovakia	2 - 1	Russia
H	Slovakia	2 - 2	Malta
A	Slovakia	0 - 0	Cyprus

Goal Statistics

Slovakia's defensive record is to be admired, Francesco Baldini's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Northern Ireland makes sense in this context.

	N Ireland 2nd	Slovakia 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that N Ireland will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Slovakia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
4 home / away league games	=0 N Ireland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Slovakia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.3 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.0 conceded	0.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

NIR

SVK

better

view stats

Games scored	15		17
Failed to score	5		3
Scored first	12		12
Goals scored	29		32
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	18		15
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+9%

NIR

SVK

26%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		10
Clean sheets	8		10
Conceded first	7		7
Goals conceded	29		15
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		11
Conversion rate against	22%		9%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+26%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between N Ireland v Slovakia will show here when available.

N Ireland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
B Peacock-Farrell	I Price	J Devenny	C Bradley

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	2			-
E Toal DEF	2			-
P McNair DEF	2			-
C Bradley DEF	2			1 -
R. McConville DEF	2			-
T Hume DEF	2			-
E Galbraith MID	2			1 -
A McCann MID	2			1 -
I Price MID	2	1		-
S Charles MID	2	1		-
G Saville MID	2			1 -
J Devenny MID	2	1	1	1 -
C Marshall FWD	2			-
J Reid FWD	2	1		-
D Charles FWD	2			-
J. McDonnell MID	1			-
J. Donley MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	1
I Price	I Price	J Devenny	C Bradley

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Price MID	1	2
S Charles MID	1	1
J Devenny MID	1	1	1	1
J Reid FWD	1	1
E Toal DEF		1
C Bradley DEF				1
A McCann MID		1
C Marshall FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
80	10	17
T Hume	C Bradley	C Bradley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Hume DEF	80	4	10
P McNair DEF	71	3	5
S Charles MID	57		7
C Bradley DEF	54	10	17
B Peacock-Farrell GLK	53		1
E Toal DEF	52		3
E Galbraith MID	50	2	5
A McCann MID	48	5	8
J Devenny MID	44	9	10
I Price MID	35	2	5
G Saville MID	14
R. McConville DEF	13		1
J Reid FWD	8		9
C Marshall FWD	8	4	5
J. Donley MID	7
D Charles FWD	3	1	3
J. McDonnell MID	1

Slovakia World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
M Dúbravka	D Hancko	N Gyomber	L Satka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Dúbravka GLK	2			-
L Satka DEF	2			1 -
M Skriniar DEF	2			1 -
N Gyomber DEF	2		1	-
D Hancko DEF	2	1		-
O Duda MID	2			1 -
M Bero MID	2			-
T Rigo MID	2	1		-
L Bénes MID	2			1 -
S Lobotka MID	2			-
R Bozenik FWD	2			-
D Duris FWD	2			-
Ľubomír Tupta FWD	2		1	-
L. Sauer FWD	2			-
D Strelec FWD	2	1	1	-
A Obert DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	1	2
D Hancko	L. Sauer	N Gyomber	O Duda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Hancko DEF	1	1
T Rigo MID	1	1
D Strelec FWD	1	2	1	2
N Gyomber DEF			1
O Duda MID				2
Ľubomír Tupta FWD		1	1
L. Sauer FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
123	6	12
M Skriniar	D Hancko	M Skriniar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Skriniar DEF	123	5	12
S Lobotka MID	86	1	2
L Satka DEF	83	1	3
D Hancko DEF	73	6	10
O Duda MID	59	3	11
M Bero MID	57	3	9
M Dúbravka GLK	55		3
N Gyomber DEF	50	3	8
A Obert DEF	43		3
L. Sauer FWD	30	2	12
D Strelec FWD	21		4
T Rigo MID	19	3	3
D Duris FWD	19
R Bozenik FWD	6	1	1
L Bénes MID	5	1	2
Ľubomír Tupta FWD	5	1	3