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Scotland v Greece : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 9th Oct, 19:45 BST, Hampden Park, Glasgow

Home advantage can be vital in the World Cup Qualifying Europe, and Steve Bruce’s Scotland will have the blessing of it on Thursday evening. Ivan Jovanovic’s Greece are their opponents at the Hampden Park. Recent form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed , but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Scotland and Greece will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Steve Bruce or Ivan Jovanovic has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.40 equating to roughly a 76% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Scotland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Scotland 37%	-	2.70 8%
Draw 26%	-	3.20 3%
Greece 37%	-	2.70 2%
Draw 1-1 12%	-	6.00
Greece 1-0 9%	-	6.50 7%
Scotland 1-0 9%	-	6.50
Greece 2-1 8%	-	9.50
Scotland 2-1 8%	-	9.50 6%
Draw 0-0 7%	-	7.00 7%
Greece 2-0 6%	-	11.00
Scotland 2-0 6%	-	11.00 10%
Draw 2-2 6%	-	13.00
Greece 3-1 4%	-	19.00
Scotland 3-1 4%	-	19.00 12%
Greece 3-0 3%	-	21.00
Scotland 3-0 3%	-	21.00 11%
Greece 3-2 2%	-	26.00
Scotland 3-2 2%	-	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	-	2.25 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	-	1.57 3%
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	2.05 3%
Away 1st Goal 48%	-	2.05 2%
No 1st Goal 4%	-	7.00 7%
BTTS - Yes 55%	-	2.00 3%
BTTS - No 45%	-	1.75
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	5.75 10%
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	4.50 2%
BTTS - Away Win 18%	-	5.75
Home/draw 63%	-	1.44
Away/draw 63%	-	1.44 4%
Home/away 74%	-	1.33 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	-	1.44 3%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	-	2.70 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	-	4.20 5%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	-	1.20 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	-	8.50 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	-	1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	17.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	1.00 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	-	1.08 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	-	7.00 7%
Home DNB 55%	-	1.85 3%
Away DNB 55%	-	1.85 3%
Scotland win to nil 19%	-	-
Greece win to nil 19%	-	-
Scotland / Scotland 18%	-	4.20 8%
Scotland / Greece 3%	-	23.00
Scotland / Draw 6%	-	13.00
Draw / Scotland 13%	-	5.75
Draw / Greece 13%	-	5.75 4%
Draw / Draw 18%	-	4.20 7%
Greece / Scotland 3%	-	23.00
Greece / Greece 18%	-	4.20
Greece / Draw 6%	-	13.00

Group C table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Scotland Greece
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	Date	Date
1	Denmark	2	1	1	0	3	4	Nov 18	l 0-3A
2	Scotland	2	1	1	0	2	4	-	Nov 15
3	Greece	2	1	0	1	1	3	Oct 9	-
4	Belarus	2	0	0	2	-6	0	Oct 12	w 5-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Conceded

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

Failed to score

0 / 6

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Scotland	1 - 3	Ukraine
Scotland	2 - 0	Denmark
Scotland	3 - 2	Israel
Scotland	1 - 0	Moldova
Scotland	4 - 0	Faroes
Scotland	2 - 2	Austria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 13

Conceded

5 / 13

Clean sheets

8 / 13

Failed to score

2 / 13

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Scotland	2 - 0	Belarus
A	Scotland	0 - 0	Denmark
H	Scotland	1 - 3	Ukraine
H	Scotland	2 - 0	Denmark
A	Scotland	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Scotland	1 - 0	Faroes
H	Scotland	3 - 2	Israel
A	Scotland	1 - 0	Austria
H	Scotland	1 - 0	Moldova
A	Scotland	0 - 2	Denmark
H	Scotland	4 - 0	Faroes
A	Scotland	1 - 1	Israel
H	Scotland	2 - 2	Austria

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Conceded

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

Failed to score

1 / 4

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sweden	2 - 0	Greece
Georgia	0 - 2	Greece
Kosovo	1 - 1	Greece
Spain	1 - 1	Greece

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 10

Conceded

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

Failed to score

3 / 10

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Greece	0 - 3	Denmark
H	Greece	5 - 1	Belarus
H	Greece	1 - 1	Kosovo
H	Greece	0 - 1	Spain
A	Greece	0 - 2	Sweden
A	Greece	2 - 0	Georgia
H	Greece	2 - 1	Sweden
A	Greece	1 - 1	Kosovo
H	Greece	1 - 1	Georgia
A	Greece	1 - 1	Spain

Goal Statistics

Greece's defensive record is to be admired, Ivan Jovanovic's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive World Cup Qualifying Europe games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Scotland makes sense in this context.

	Scotland	Greece
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Scotland will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Greece will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games	=0 Scotland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Greece’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

SCO

GRE

18%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		14
Failed to score	6		6
Scored first	10		13
Goals scored	22		38
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.9
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1		1.5
KickOff rating		+18%

SCO

GRE

37%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		9
Clean sheets	6		11
Conceded first	8		6
Goals conceded	34		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		10
Conversion rate against	17%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1
KickOff rating		+37%

The line-ups for the World Cup Qualifying Europe match between Scotland v Greece will show here when available.

Scotland World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	1	1
A Gunn	C Adams	S McTominay	A Hickey

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Gunn GLK	2			-
A Hickey DEF	2			1 -
M Johnston DEF	2			1 -
A Robertson DEF	2			-
J Souttar DEF	2			-
L Ferguson MID	2			1 -
J McGinn MID	2			-
S McTominay MID	2		1	-
R Christie MID	2			1 -
K McLean MID	2			-
C Adams FWD	2	1		1 -
L Dykes FWD	2			-
B Doak FWD	2			1 -
S McKenna DEF	1			-
G Hanley DEF	1			-
B Gilmour MID	1			-
L Miller MID	1			-
G Hirst FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	4	1	1
C Adams	C Adams	S McTominay	A Hickey

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Adams FWD	1	4		1
A Hickey DEF				1
A Robertson DEF				1
J McGinn MID		1		1
S McTominay MID		2	1	1
B Gilmour MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
162	3	14
A Robertson	B Doak	S McTominay

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Robertson DEF	162	1	3
L Ferguson MID	128	1	6
J Souttar DEF	115	2	12
S McKenna DEF	90	1	8
B Gilmour MID	83	1	7
J McGinn MID	73	1	6
A Gunn GLK	59		3
S McTominay MID	58	2	14
R Christie MID	36		2
M Johnston DEF	34	1	1
B Doak FWD	29	3	9
C Adams FWD	26	1	7
L Dykes FWD	23	1	11
A Hickey DEF	22	2	8
G Hanley DEF	12	1	5
K McLean MID	9		2
L Miller MID	5	1	1
G Hirst FWD	1		2

Greece World Cup Qualifying Europe squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
2	1	2	1
K Tzolakis	A Bakasetas	V Pavlidis	K Koulierakis

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tzolakis GLK	2			-
K Koulierakis DEF	2			1 -
K Mavropanos DEF	2			1 -
G Vagiannidis DEF	2		1	-
K Tsimikas DEF	2			-
A Bakasetas MID	2	1	1	-
G Konstantelias MID	2			-
D Kourbelis MID	2	1		-
C Zafeiris MID	2			-
K. Karetsas MID	2	1	1	-
V Pavlidis FWD	2	1	2	-
F Ioannidis FWD	2			-
C Tzolis FWD	2	1		-
C. Mouzakitis MID	1			-
M Siopis MID	1			-
P Mantalos MID	1			-
G Masouras FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	5	2	3
A Bakasetas	C Tzolis	V Pavlidis	V Pavlidis

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Bakasetas MID	1	1	1	1
D Kourbelis MID	1	1
K. Karetsas MID	1	1	1	1
V Pavlidis FWD	1	1	2	3
C Tzolis FWD	1	5
K Mavropanos DEF		4
G Vagiannidis DEF			1
K Tsimikas DEF		1
G Konstantelias MID				1
C Zafeiris MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
121	5	13
G Vagiannidis	K Koulierakis	K Koulierakis

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Vagiannidis DEF	121	4	8
K Mavropanos DEF	120	4	12
K Koulierakis DEF	119	5	13
C Zafeiris MID	87	5	10
D Kourbelis MID	85	3	12
K Tsimikas DEF	71	3	4
A Bakasetas MID	67	2	7
C Tzolis FWD	56	3	10
K. Karetsas MID	55	3	9
K Tzolakis GLK	48		2
V Pavlidis FWD	34		6
G Konstantelias MID	18		1
M Siopis MID	16		2
F Ioannidis FWD	13	2	4
P Mantalos MID	12		1
G Masouras FWD	12	1	1
C. Mouzakitis MID	10