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Slovenia v Sweden : World Cup Qualifying Europe match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 5th Sep, 19:45 BST, Stozice Stadium, Ljubljana

Matjaž Kek welcomes Jon Dahl Tomasson to the Stozice Stadium on Friday evening, as their Slovenia and Sweden charges clash in the World Cup Qualifying Europe. For every World Cup Qualifying Europe match, KickOff explores the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Slovenia or Sweden are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 76% chance of 2 goals or more.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Slovenia 30%	-	3.25 2%
Draw 25%	-	3.30
Sweden 44%	-	2.20 2%
Draw 1-1 12%	-	6.00
Sweden 1-0 10%	-	6.00 8%
Sweden 2-1 9%	-	8.50
Slovenia 1-0 8%	-	7.50
Sweden 2-0 7%	-	9.00
Slovenia 2-1 7%	-	10.00
Draw 0-0 6%	-	7.50
Draw 2-2 6%	-	13.00
Slovenia 2-0 5%	-	13.00
Sweden 3-1 5%	-	15.00
Sweden 3-0 4%	-	15.00 12%
Slovenia 3-1 3%	-	21.00
Sweden 3-2 3%	-	23.00
Slovenia 3-2 2%	-	29.00
Slovenia 3-0 2%	-	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	-	2.15
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	-	1.62
Home 1st Goal 45%	-	2.30 2%
Away 1st Goal 51%	-	1.83 1%
No 1st Goal 4%	-	7.50
BTTS - Yes 55%	-	1.95
BTTS - No 45%	-	1.75 3%
BTTS - Home Win 15%	-	6.50
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	4.60
BTTS - Away Win 21%	-	4.80
Home/draw 56%	-	1.65 2%
Away/draw 70%	-	1.33 1%
Home/away 75%	-	1.30 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	-	1.40
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	-	2.80
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	-	3.90
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	-	1.22
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	-	8.00
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	-	1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	-	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	-	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	-	1.07
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	-	7.50
Home DNB 48%	-	2.30 5%
Away DNB 62%	-	1.55 3%
Slovenia win to nil 15%	-	-
Sweden win to nil 23%	-	-
Slovenia / Slovenia 15%	-	5.00
Slovenia / Sweden 4%	-	21.00
Slovenia / Draw 6%	-	13.00
Draw / Slovenia 11%	-	7.00 8%
Draw / Sweden 15%	-	5.00 5%
Draw / Draw 17%	-	4.50
Sweden / Slovenia 3%	-	26.00
Sweden / Sweden 23%	-	3.40 3%
Sweden / Draw 6%	-	13.00

Group B table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Slovenia Sweden
Results by League Table

	TEAM	Date	Date
1	Sweden	Sep 5	-
2	Slovenia	-	Nov 18
3	Switzerland	Oct 13	Oct 10
4	Kosovo	Nov 15	Oct 13

Win / draw / win form

Slovenia have drawn 3 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

5 / 5

Conceded

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

Failed to score

0 / 5

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Slovenia	2 - 1	Cyprus
Slovenia	1 - 2	Russia
Slovenia	1 - 0	Malta
Slovenia	1 - 1	Slovakia
Slovenia	1 - 0	Croatia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 10

Conceded

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

Failed to score

2 / 10

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Slovenia	2 - 1	Cyprus
A	Slovenia	2 - 2	Slovakia
H	Slovenia	1 - 2	Russia
A	Slovenia	4 - 0	Malta
A	Slovenia	0 - 3	Croatia
H	Slovenia	1 - 0	Malta
H	Slovenia	1 - 1	Slovakia
A	Slovenia	0 - 1	Cyprus
A	Slovenia	1 - 2	Russia
H	Slovenia	1 - 0	Croatia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

2 / 5

Conceded

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

Failed to score

3 / 5

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland	2 - 0	Sweden
Spain	1 - 0	Sweden
Georgia	2 - 0	Sweden
Greece	2 - 1	Sweden
Kosovo	0 - 3	Sweden

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

6 / 10

Conceded

5 / 10

Clean sheets

5 / 10

Failed to score

4 / 10

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sweden	0 - 2	Poland
H	Sweden	0 - 0	Czech Rep
A	Sweden	0 - 1	Spain
A	Sweden	0 - 2	Georgia
H	Sweden	2 - 0	Greece
H	Sweden	3 - 0	Kosovo
A	Sweden	1 - 2	Greece
H	Sweden	2 - 1	Spain
A	Sweden	3 - 0	Kosovo
H	Sweden	1 - 0	Georgia

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Slovenia of late. It has been 6 World Cup Qualifying Europe matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Sweden.

	Slovenia	Sweden
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Slovenia will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Sweden will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
5 home / away league games	=0 Slovenia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Sweden’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

SVN

SWE

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		16
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	21		42
Avg. goals scored	1.1		2.1
Avg. shots per game	8		12
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		17
Avg. XG for	1.1		3.7
KickOff rating		+21%

26%

better

SVN

SWE

view stats

Games conceded	11		14
Clean sheets	9		6
Conceded first	6		8
Goals conceded	18		27
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		6
Conversion rate against	9%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+26%