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AC Monza v Carrarese : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 14:00 BST, Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Antonio Calabro guides his Carrarese team to the Stadio Brianteo in the Serie B on Saturday afternoon, with Paolo Bianco's AC Monza their challengers. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Monza and Carrarese a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Serie B match according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monza are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Monza 55%	14/25 2%	4/7 1%
Draw 24%	27/10 1%	27/10 3%
Carrarese 20%	19/4 4%	19/5 9%
Monza 1-0 13%	5/1	19/4
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1 7%	6/1
Monza 2-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Monza 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 8%	17/2	15/2
Carrarese 1-0 7%	12/1	10/1
Monza 3-0 6%	11/1 9%	9/1 5%
Monza 3-1 5%	14/1 15%	11/1
Carrarese 2-1 5%	18/1	12/1 13%
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Carrarese 2-0 3%	28/1	18/1 10%
Monza 4-0 2%	22/1 10%	16/1
Monza 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Monza 4-1 2%	28/1 12%	20/1 11%
Carrarese 3-1 2%	40/1 20%	28/1 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	1/1	10/11 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	4/5	8/11
Home 1st Goal 55%	1/2	1/2 1%
Away 1st Goal 40%	15/8 4%	2/1 6%
No 1st Goal 5%	17/2	15/2
BTTS - Yes 48%	1/1 2%	1/1 2%
BTTS - No 52%	3/4 3%	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 22%	3/1 7%	11/4
BTTS - Draw 17%	9/2	17/4
BTTS - Away Win 9%	11/1 8%	17/2 5%
Home/draw 80%	1/7 1%	2/13 2%
Away/draw 45%	13/10	5/4 2%
Home/away 76%	2/7 3%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	3/10	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	12/5	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	5/2	23/10
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	2/7	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/10	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	17/2	7/1 7%
Home DNB 72%	2/9 2%	2/9 2%
Away DNB 37%	3/1 8%	14/5 10%
Monza win to nil 33%	6/4 5%	-
Carrarese win to nil 11%	8/1 10%	-
Monza / Monza 33%	6/4 4%	29/20 2%
Monza / Carrarese 2%	40/1	33/1
Monza / Draw 5%	14/1	14/1
Draw / Monza 19%	10/3	16/5
Draw / Carrarese 8%	10/1 8%	9/1
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Carrarese / Monza 4%	22/1	18/1
Carrarese / Carrarese 9%	17/2 5%	7/1 6%
Carrarese / Draw 5%	16/1	14/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Monza have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 23 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Monza have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Carrarese are in 13th position in the Serie B on 19 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Carrarese have conceded 18 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Monza Carrarese
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Frosinone	16	10	4	2	17	34	Jan 17	w 0-1F	l 0-2A	Apr 25
2	Monza	16	9	4	3	9	31	-	-	Feb 21	Dec 20
3	Cesena	16	9	3	4	7	30	w 1-0F	Mar 3	May 1	l 2-1A
4	Venezia	16	8	5	3	15	29	Mar 21	l 2-0A	w 3-2A	Jan 31
5	Palermo	16	8	5	3	14	29	Mar 14	w 0-3F	Mar 7	l 5-0A
6	Modena	16	8	5	3	13	29	Apr 25	Dec 26	d 0-00-0	Feb 14
7	Catanzaro	16	6	7	3	4	25	w 2-1A	Apr 6	Mar 3	d 1-1A
8	Juve Stabia	16	5	7	4	-2	22	Feb 14	d 2-2F	w 3-0F	Mar 14
9	Padova	16	5	6	5	-2	21	l 0-1A	Jan 31	d 0-00-0	Feb 10
10	Empoli	16	5	5	6	0	20	May 9	d 1-1F	Jan 23	d 2-2F
11	Reggiana	16	5	5	6	-1	20	w 3-1F	Mar 17	d 0-00-0	Apr 11
12	Avellino	16	5	5	6	-9	20	Feb 7	l 2-1A	l 3-4F	Jan 17
13	Carrarese	16	4	7	5	-2	19	Dec 20	Feb 21	-	-
14	Bari 1908	16	3	7	6	-11	16	Apr 11	d 1-1F	Jan 10	Mar 21
15	Sudtirol	16	2	9	5	-4	15	d 1-1F	Feb 10	Feb 7	d 1-1F
16	V.Entella	16	3	6	7	-9	15	Feb 28	Jan 10	w 3-1F	May 9
17	Spezia	16	3	5	8	-8	14	w 1-0F	Mar 7	Apr 6	w 0-2F
18	Mantova	16	4	2	10	-11	14	w 1-0F	May 1	Dec 27	Feb 28
19	Sampdoria	16	3	4	9	-8	13	w 1-0F	Apr 18	Mar 17	l 3-2F
20	Pescara	16	1	7	8	-12	10	Jan 24	w 0-2F	Apr 18	d 2-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Monza have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games

Carrarese have not won in 7 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza	1 - 1	Sudtirol
Monza	1 - 0	Cesena
Monza	1 - 0	Spezia
Monza	3 - 1	Reggiana
Monza	2 - 1	Catanzaro
Monza	0 - 1	Padova
Monza	1 - 0	Sampdoria
Monza	1 - 0	Mantova
Monza	1 - 3	Empoli
Monza	0 - 4	Atalanta
Monza	0 - 1	Napoli
Monza	1 - 3	Como 1907
Monza	1 - 1	Parma
Monza	0 - 2	Torino
Monza	0 - 0	Lecce
Monza	0 - 1	Verona
Monza	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Monza	1 - 2	Cagliari
Monza	1 - 2	Juventus
Monza	1 - 2	Udinese

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Monza	0 - 2	Venezia
H	Monza	1 - 1	Sudtirol
A	Monza	2 - 2	Juve Stabia
H	Monza	1 - 0	Cesena
A	Monza	2 - 0	Pescara
H	Monza	1 - 0	Spezia
A	Monza	3 - 0	Palermo
H	Monza	3 - 1	Reggiana
A	Monza	1 - 0	Frosinone
H	Monza	2 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Monza	1 - 1	Empoli
H	Monza	0 - 1	Padova
H	Monza	1 - 0	Sampdoria
A	Monza	1 - 2	Avellino
A	Monza	1 - 1	Bari 1908
H	Monza	1 - 0	Mantova
A	Monza	0 - 2	Milan
H	Monza	1 - 3	Empoli
A	Monza	2 - 1	Udinese
H	Monza	0 - 4	Atalanta

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sampdoria	3 - 2	Carrarese
Palermo	5 - 0	Carrarese
Sudtirol	1 - 1	Carrarese
Cesena	2 - 1	Carrarese
Pescara	2 - 2	Carrarese
Empoli	2 - 2	Carrarese
Catanzaro	1 - 1	Carrarese
Spezia	0 - 2	Carrarese
Palermo	1 - 1	Carrarese
Mantova	2 - 1	Carrarese
Sassuolo	2 - 0	Carrarese
Cittadella	0 - 0	Carrarese
Sudtirol	2 - 2	Carrarese
Reggiana	2 - 2	Carrarese
Cosenza	1 - 0	Carrarese
Juve Stabia	2 - 1	Carrarese
Pisa	2 - 1	Carrarese
Sampdoria	1 - 1	Carrarese
Brescia	0 - 0	Carrarese
Salernitana	4 - 1	Carrarese

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Carrarese	3 - 1	V.Entella
A	Carrarese	2 - 3	Sampdoria
A	Carrarese	0 - 5	Palermo
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Reggiana
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Sudtirol
H	Carrarese	0 - 2	Frosinone
A	Carrarese	1 - 2	Cesena
H	Carrarese	3 - 2	Venezia
A	Carrarese	2 - 2	Pescara
H	Carrarese	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Modena
A	Carrarese	2 - 2	Empoli
H	Carrarese	3 - 4	Avellino
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Catanzaro
H	Carrarese	0 - 0	Padova
A	Carrarese	2 - 0	Spezia
A	Carrarese	1 - 1	Palermo
A	Carrarese	1 - 2	Mantova
H	Carrarese	2 - 1	Modena
A	Carrarese	0 - 2	Sassuolo

Goal Statistics

AC Monza have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Serie B outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Carrarese on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Monza 2nd	Carrarese 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Monza will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Carrarese scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Monza have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	-1 Carrarese’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.9 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

13%

better

MON

view stats

Games scored	14		11
Failed to score	2		5
Scored first	12		8
Goals scored	21		23
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	14		16
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+13%

31%

better

MON

view stats

Games conceded	9		11
Clean sheets	7		5
Conceded first	4		5
Goals conceded	12		25
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		6
Conversion rate against	10%		16%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+31%

Monza v Carrarese Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	4	2	6
D Thiam	D Mota	P Azzi	A Izzo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thiam GLK	16			1 -
P Obiang MID	16	1	1	2 -
P Azzi MID	16	1	2	1 -
S Birindelli DEF	15	2	1	5 -
L Ravanelli DEF	13	1	2	4 -
F Carri DEF	13			1 -
A Carboni DEF	13	1	1	1 -
A Izzo DEF	13	3	2	5 1
K Baldé FWD	13	2	1	5 -
L. Lucchesi DEF	12			-
P Ciurria MID	12		1	3 1
D Mota FWD	12	4	2	-
M Marić FWD	12	1		-
M Pessina MID	11			-
N Galazzi MID	11			-
L Colombo MID	10			3 -
A Colpani MID	10	1	1	-
A Álvarez FWD	10	3		-
A Petagna FWD	8	1		1 -
G Caprari FWD	8		1	1 -
A Brorsson DEF	5			-
K. Zeroli MID	5			2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	2	7
D Mota	P Azzi	P Azzi	K Baldé

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Mota FWD	4	6	2	2
A Izzo DEF	3	4	2	3
A Álvarez FWD	3	4
S Birindelli DEF	2	5	1	2
K Baldé FWD	2	6	1	7
P Obiang MID	1	4	1	1
P Azzi MID	1	7	2	1
L Ravanelli DEF	1	3	2	1
A Carboni DEF	1	4	1	1
M Marić FWD	1	4		1
A Colpani MID	1	3	1	5
A Petagna FWD	1	3		1
F Carri DEF				1
L. Lucchesi DEF		2
P Ciurria MID		1	1	1
M Pessina MID		2		1
N Galazzi MID		2		2
L Colombo MID		2
G Caprari FWD		1	1
A Brorsson DEF				2
K. Zeroli MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
759	35	77
P Obiang	P Obiang	P Obiang

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Obiang MID	759	35	77
A Izzo DEF	667	20	60
L Ravanelli DEF	619	16	58
M Pessina MID	608	19	49
A Carboni DEF	601	24	66
D Thiam GLK	556		9
P Azzi MID	468	34	71
S Birindelli DEF	407	13	42
F Carri DEF	378	17	40
L. Lucchesi DEF	310	9	34
L Colombo MID	260	7	21
A Colpani MID	251	10	31
K Baldé FWD	228	5	40
P Ciurria MID	226	7	18
D Mota FWD	216	5	67
N Galazzi MID	167	2	22
A Álvarez FWD	133	2	35
M Marić FWD	133	3	35
G Caprari FWD	129	7	19
K. Zeroli MID	72	3	10
A Brorsson DEF	59	3	7
A Petagna FWD	47	3	14

Carrarese Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
16	6	4	8
M Bleve	N. Schiavi	M Finotto	J Illanes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Bleve GLK	16			-
S Zanon DEF	16	2	3	-
E Zuelli MID	16	1	2	3 -
M Cicconi MID	16	1		1 -
M Finotto FWD	16	2	4	2 -
M Imperiale DEF	15			2 -
F Abiuso FWD	15	5	3	1 -
N. Schiavi MID	14	6		4 -
J Illanes DEF	13	1		8 -
D Bouah MID	13			1 -
K Bozhanaj MID	12			3 -
F Ruggeri DEF	11	1		3 -
L. Hasa MID	10	2	2	2 -
N Sekulov MID	10		1	2 -
E Torregrossa FWD	10			1 -
T. Rubino MID	8	1		1 -
F Melegoni MID	8		1	1 -
F Oliana DEF	7			-
N. Belloni FWD	7			-
N. Calabrese DEF	6			1 -
G. Parlanti MID	5			1 -
A Arena FWD	3			1 -
F Accornero FWD	2			-
B Salamon DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	10	4	5
N. Schiavi	M Finotto	M Finotto	S Zanon

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N. Schiavi MID	6	10		1
F Abiuso FWD	5	8	3	3
S Zanon DEF	2	3	3	5
M Finotto FWD	2	10	4	5
L. Hasa MID	2	6	2	1
E Zuelli MID	1	8	2	5
M Cicconi MID	1	4		3
J Illanes DEF	1	1
F Ruggeri DEF	1	1
T. Rubino MID	1	3
D Bouah MID		1
K Bozhanaj MID		3		2
N Sekulov MID		3	1	1
E Torregrossa FWD				1
F Melegoni MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
717	33	89
M Imperiale	N. Schiavi	S Zanon

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Imperiale DEF	717	17	51
E Zuelli MID	691	15	44
N. Schiavi MID	563	33	83
M Bleve GLK	525	1	9
J Illanes DEF	523	8	66
M Cicconi MID	486	16	79
F Ruggeri DEF	442	17	54
S Zanon DEF	404	30	89
L. Hasa MID	253	6	41
F Abiuso FWD	231	18	78
N. Calabrese DEF	225	11	21
F Oliana DEF	204	11	19
F Melegoni MID	202	7	16
M Finotto FWD	188	3	26
K Bozhanaj MID	126	7	37
N. Belloni FWD	121	7	13
D Bouah MID	120	4	34
N Sekulov MID	87	7	27
T. Rubino MID	80	5	22
E Torregrossa FWD	60	6	20
A Arena FWD	36		5
B Salamon DEF	28		1
G. Parlanti MID	24	2	3
F Accornero FWD	13	1	2