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Bari 1908 v Calcio Padova : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 14:00 BST, Stadio Comunale San Nicola, Bari

Calcio Padova are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Matteo Cecchetti takes his team to visit Bari 1908 and Fabio Pecchia at the Stadio Comunale San Nicola in the Serie B. We have custom-designed statistics for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Bari 1908 and Padova have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bari 1908 are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bari 1908 44%	11/10	23/20
Draw 27%	11/5	2/1
Padova 29%	5/2	21/10
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Bari 1908 1-0 12%	11/2	5/1
Padova 1-0 9%	8/1	13/2
Draw 0-0 9%	7/1	6/1
Bari 1908 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2
Bari 1908 2-0 8%	17/2	8/1
Padova 2-1 7%	12/1	9/1
Padova 2-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Bari 1908 3-1 4%	18/1	14/1
Bari 1908 3-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Padova 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Bari 1908 3-2 2%	33/1	22/1
Padova 3-0 2%	40/1	25/1
Padova 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	5/4	6/5
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	8/13	11/20
Home 1st Goal 50%	4/5	4/5
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/8	11/8
No 1st Goal 6%	7/1	6/1
BTTS - Yes 48%	19/20	19/20
BTTS - No 52%	4/5	3/4
BTTS - Home Win 18%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1	11/2
Home/draw 71%	2/7	3/10
Away/draw 56%	7/10	13/20
Home/away 73%	4/11	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	2/5	2/5
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	7/4	13/8
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	10/3	29/10
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1/5	1/5
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	9/1	13/2
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/16	1/20
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	20/1	14/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/66	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/16
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7/1	11/2
Home DNB 63%	1/2	11/20
Away DNB 48%	6/4	13/10
Bari 1908 win to nil 26%	12/5	-
Padova win to nil 17%	9/2	-
Bari 1908 / Bari 1908 23%	5/2	5/2
Bari 1908 / Padova 3%	33/1	25/1
Bari 1908 / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Bari 1908 16%	4/1	4/1
Draw / Padova 11%	13/2	6/1
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	10/3
Padova / Bari 1908 3%	28/1	22/1
Padova / Padova 14%	5/1	17/4
Padova / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bari 1908 Padova
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Frosinone	6	4	2	0	9	14	Nov 22	Mar 17	l 0-1A	Apr 6
2	Modena	6	4	2	0	8	14	Apr 6	l 3-0A	Jan 10	Feb 28
3	Palermo	6	3	3	0	5	12	Jan 31	l 2-0A	Mar 21	Dec 27
4	Avellino	6	3	2	1	2	11	Dec 27	Apr 25	d 2-2F	Mar 7
5	Cesena	6	3	2	1	2	11	Nov 2	Jan 24	Dec 8	May 9
6	Juve Stabia	6	2	4	0	3	10	Jan 17	Oct 29	Oct 26	Feb 7
7	Sudtirol	6	2	3	1	2	9	Feb 14	Dec 13	Nov 1	Jan 24
8	Venezia	6	2	3	1	2	9	Apr 18	l 2-1A	Nov 22	Mar 17
9	Monza	6	2	2	2	0	8	d 1-1A	Apr 11	Jan 31	w 0-1F
10	Padova	6	2	2	2	-1	8	Oct 4	Feb 21	-	-
11	Carrarese	6	1	4	1	1	7	Mar 21	Jan 10	Feb 10	d 0-00-0
12	Catanzaro	6	0	6	0	0	6	Dec 20	May 9	Mar 14	Oct 19
13	Reggiana	6	1	3	2	-1	6	Mar 14	Oct 18	Apr 18	Dec 13
14	V.Entella	6	1	3	2	-2	6	May 1	d 2-2F	w 2-1A	Apr 25
15	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6	Mar 3	Nov 29	Apr 11	l 3-1A
16	Pescara	6	1	2	3	0	5	Dec 8	Mar 7	May 1	Nov 29
17	Bari 1908	6	0	3	3	-6	3	-	-	Feb 21	Oct 4
18	Spezia	6	0	3	3	-6	3	Feb 10	Nov 7	Mar 3	Oct 29
19	Mantova	6	1	0	5	-8	3	Oct 26	Feb 7	Jan 17	Nov 8
20	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-6	2	d 1-1A	Feb 28	Dec 20	Feb 14

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Bari 1908 have not won in 8 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Monza
Bari 1908	1 - 0	Pisa
Bari 1908	1 - 2	Modena
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Palermo
Bari 1908	0 - 0	Salernitana
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Cremonese
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Frosinone
Bari 1908	2 - 2	Brescia
Bari 1908	2 - 0	Spezia
Bari 1908	0 - 1	Sudtirol
Bari 1908	1 - 0	Cesena
Bari 1908	3 - 2	Cittadella
Bari 1908	2 - 2	Reggiana
Bari 1908	0 - 0	Carrarese
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Catanzaro
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Cosenza
Bari 1908	2 - 0	Mantova
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sassuolo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bari 1908	2 - 2	V.Entella
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Bari 1908	0 - 2	Palermo
A	Bari 1908	0 - 3	Modena
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Monza
A	Bari 1908	1 - 2	Venezia
A	Bari 1908	0 - 0	Sudtirol
A	Bari 1908	1 - 3	Cittadella
H	Bari 1908	1 - 0	Pisa
A	Bari 1908	0 - 1	Cosenza
H	Bari 1908	1 - 2	Modena
H	Bari 1908	2 - 1	Palermo
A	Bari 1908	3 - 3	Catanzaro
A	Bari 1908	1 - 2	Carrarese
H	Bari 1908	0 - 0	Salernitana
A	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sassuolo
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Bari 1908	1 - 0	Mantova
H	Bari 1908	1 - 1	Cremonese
A	Bari 1908	1 - 3	Juve Stabia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza	0 - 1	Padova
Carrarese	0 - 0	Padova
Empoli	3 - 1	Padova
Benevento	3 - 3	Padova
Palermo	1 - 1	Padova
Carpi	2 - 1	Padova
Cittadella	1 - 1	Padova
Spezia	0 - 2	Padova
Pescara	2 - 0	Padova
Cremonese	0 - 0	Padova
Venezia	2 - 1	Padova
Livorno	1 - 1	Padova
Lecce	3 - 2	Padova
Cosenza	2 - 1	Padova
Ascoli	2 - 3	Padova
Perugia	3 - 2	Padova
Crotone	2 - 1	Padova
Brescia	4 - 1	Padova
Foggia	2 - 1	Padova
Salernitana	3 - 0	Padova

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Padova	2 - 2	Avellino
A	Padova	1 - 0	Monza
H	Padova	2 - 1	V.Entella
H	Padova	0 - 1	Frosinone
A	Padova	0 - 0	Carrarese
A	Padova	1 - 3	Empoli
H	Padova	1 - 1	Livorno
A	Padova	3 - 3	Benevento
H	Padova	2 - 1	Lecce
A	Padova	1 - 1	Palermo
H	Padova	0 - 0	Cosenza
A	Padova	1 - 2	Carpi
H	Padova	1 - 2	Ascoli
A	Padova	1 - 1	Cittadella
H	Padova	0 - 1	Perugia
A	Padova	2 - 0	Spezia
H	Padova	0 - 0	Crotone
H	Padova	1 - 1	Brescia
A	Padova	0 - 2	Pescara
H	Padova	1 - 1	Foggia

Goal Statistics

	Bari 1908 17th	Padova 10th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Bari 1908 will score no more than 1 goal	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Padova will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Bari 1908’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Padova’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

PAD

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	2		2
Failed to score	2		2
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	2		3
Avg. goals scored	0.3		0.5
Avg. shots per game	5		5
Avg. shots per goal	16		10
Conversion rate for	6		10
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+16%

PAD

37%

better

view stats

Games conceded	4		3
Clean sheets	0		1
Conceded first	4		3
Goals conceded	8		5
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		12%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+37%

Bari 1908 v Padova Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Bari 1908 Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	1	1
M Cerofolini	G Moncini	L Dickmann	M Dorval

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Cerofolini GLK	6			-
M Dorval DEF	6	1		1 -
D Nikolaou DEF	6			1 -
L Dickmann DEF	6		1	1 -
M Verreth MID	6	1		1 -
G Castrovilli MID	6			1 -
G Moncini FWD	6	2		-
F Vicari DEF	5			-
M Braunöder MID	5		1	1 -
G Sibilli MID	5			1 -
R. Pagano MID	5		1	-
E Rao FWD	5			1 -
A Partipilo FWD	4			1 -
E Darboe MID	3			1 -
M Antonucci MID	3			-
C Gytkjaer FWD	3	1		-
R Burgio DEF	2			-
R Pucino DEF	2			-
N Bellomo MID	2			-
G Maggiore MID	2			-
L. Cerri FWD	2			-
A Meroni DEF	1			-
S. Kassama DEF	1			1 -
G Pereiro MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	1	3
G Moncini	M Dorval	L Dickmann	L Dickmann

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Moncini FWD	2	3		1
M Dorval DEF	1	3
M Verreth MID	1	2
C Gytkjaer FWD	1	2
L Dickmann DEF			1	3
G Castrovilli MID				2
M Braunöder MID			1	1
G Sibilli MID		1		1
R. Pagano MID		3	1
E Rao FWD		1
R Pucino DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
356	10	27
D Nikolaou	M Braunöder	L Dickmann

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Nikolaou DEF	356	7	22
M Verreth MID	292	5	13
F Vicari DEF	198	7	17
L Dickmann DEF	195	7	27
M Cerofolini GLK	192		2
M Dorval DEF	159	7	26
M Braunöder MID	158	10	22
G Sibilli MID	125	1	18
G Castrovilli MID	105	7	23
R. Pagano MID	105	6	14
R Pucino DEF	99	3	8
G Moncini FWD	82		15
R Burgio DEF	62	1	3
A Meroni DEF	54	1	5
A Partipilo FWD	49	5	22
E Darboe MID	47	1	4
G Maggiore MID	42		6
C Gytkjaer FWD	31	1	5
E Rao FWD	29	2	13
M Antonucci MID	16		4
N Bellomo MID	9	1	1
L. Cerri FWD	4		2
S. Kassama DEF	4		1
G Pereiro MID	1

Padova Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	2	2	3
M. Fortin	M. Bortolussi	K Marcillo	A Barreca

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M. Fortin GLK	6			-
A Barreca DEF	6			3 -
C. Faedo DEF	6			-
M Perrotta DEF	6			1 -
A. Capelli MID	6		1	1 -
J. Harder MID	6	1		-
K Marcillo MID	6	1	2	-
K Lasagna FWD	6			-
M. Bortolussi FWD	6	2		-
F Sgarbi DEF	5	1		-
G Favale DEF	5		1	1 -
L. Di Maggio MID	5			1 -
L Crisetig MID	5			1 -
P. Fusi MID	5			1 1
C Buonaiuto FWD	4	1		-
J. Silva Pertinhes MID	3			-
L Villa DEF	2			-
D Baselli MID	2			1 -
F Belli DEF	1			-
P Ghiglione DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	5	2	2
M. Bortolussi	M. Bortolussi	K Marcillo	P. Fusi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M. Bortolussi FWD	2	5		1
J. Harder MID	1	1
K Marcillo MID	1	4	2	1
F Sgarbi DEF	1	1
C Buonaiuto FWD	1	3
A Barreca DEF		1		1
C. Faedo DEF		1
M Perrotta DEF		1
A. Capelli MID		1	1	1
K Lasagna FWD		1
G Favale DEF			1
L. Di Maggio MID		1
L Crisetig MID		1
P. Fusi MID				2
J. Silva Pertinhes MID		1
D Baselli MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
310	17	50
M Perrotta	C. Faedo	M. Bortolussi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Perrotta DEF	310	11	32
F Sgarbi DEF	263	7	20
C. Faedo DEF	253	17	32
A. Capelli MID	183	6	14
K Marcillo MID	169	6	31
M. Fortin GLK	164		2
P. Fusi MID	159	17	25
A Barreca DEF	145	4	13
M. Bortolussi FWD	133	3	50
L Crisetig MID	112	1	10
J. Harder MID	96	7	17
L. Di Maggio MID	84		9
D Baselli MID	81	7	11
L Villa DEF	60	4	9
K Lasagna FWD	53	2	27
C Buonaiuto FWD	51	4	10
G Favale DEF	36	2	9
J. Silva Pertinhes MID	22	2	4
F Belli DEF	15	2	5
P Ghiglione DEF	5	2	3