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Calcio Padova v Palermo : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 14:00 BST, Stadio Euganeo, Padova

It's an away trip for Filippo Inzaghi's Palermo side on Saturday afternoon, as they travel to the Stadio Euganeo for a Serie B meeting with Matteo Andreoletti's Calcio Padova. All of the key stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Padova and Palermo will score at least a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. The bookmakers have it at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Palermo coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Padova 27%	15/4	16/5
Draw 26%	13/5	23/10
Palermo 47%	71/100	8/11
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Palermo 1-0 11%	11/2	5/1
Palermo 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Palermo 2-0 8%	7/1	13/2
Padova 1-0 8%	11/1	17/2
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1	7/1
Padova 2-1 7%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	12/1
Palermo 3-1 5%	14/1	11/1
Padova 2-0 4%	22/1	16/1
Palermo 3-0 4%	12/1	11/1
Palermo 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Padova 3-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Padova 3-2 2%	40/1	28/1
Palermo 4-1 2%	33/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	21/20	19/20
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	3/4	7/10
Home 1st Goal 44%	13/8	7/4
Away 1st Goal 52%	4/7	3/5
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	7/1
BTTS - Yes 52%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - No 48%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 13%	17/2	7/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 21%	3/1	29/10
Home/draw 53%	1/1	1/1
Away/draw 73%	2/11	1/5
Home/away 74%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/3	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	9/4	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	11/4	23/10
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1/4	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	7/1	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/12	1/14
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	8/1	13/2
Home DNB 45%	12/5	11/5
Away DNB 65%	3/10	3/10
Padova win to nil 15%	7/1	-
Palermo win to nil 26%	7/4	-
Padova / Padova 11%	7/1	6/1
Padova / Palermo 4%	22/1	20/1
Padova / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw / Padova 9%	17/2	8/1
Draw / Palermo 18%	7/2	18/5
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	19/5
Palermo / Padova 2%	40/1	28/1
Palermo / Palermo 29%	7/4	17/10
Palermo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Padova have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 5. Padova have conceded 26 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Padova have played 15 games at home, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Palermo lay in 4th place on 58 points in the Serie B league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 51 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Palermo have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Palermo have played 15 away games, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Padova Palermo
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Venezia	31	20	7	4	37	67	l 0-2A	l 3-1A	d 0-00-0	May 8
2	Monza	31	19	7	5	24	64	l 1-2F	w 0-1F	l 0-3A	l 3-0A
3	Frosinone	31	17	11	3	28	62	l 0-1A	Apr 5	d 0-00-0	Apr 10
4	Palermo	31	16	10	5	24	58	Mar 21	l 1-0A	-	-
5	Catanzaro	30	14	10	6	13	52	l 1-3A	w 0-1F	May 1	l 1-0A
6	Modena	30	13	8	9	16	47	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
7	Juve Stabia	31	9	15	7	-2	42	d 2-2F	d 3-3A	d 2-2A	l 1-0A
8	Cesena	31	11	7	13	-8	40	d 1-1A	May 8	Apr 18	d 1-1A
9	Avellino	31	10	9	12	-13	39	d 2-2F	l 1-0A	Apr 5	d 2-2A
10	Sudtirol	31	8	14	9	1	38	d 1-1A	l 3-0A	w 3-0F	w 0-2F
11	Carrarese	31	8	12	11	-4	36	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	w 5-0F	w 0-1F
12	Padova	31	8	10	13	-10	34	-	-	w 1-0F	Mar 21
13	Mantova	31	9	7	15	-11	34	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
14	Empoli	31	7	12	12	-6	33	Apr 12	l 3-1A	w 3-2A	w 1-3F
15	Sampdoria	31	7	10	14	-13	31	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	d 3-3F
16	Bari 1908	31	7	10	14	-17	31	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 2-0F	w 0-3F
17	V.Entella	31	7	10	14	-17	31	w 2-1A	Apr 25	w 3-0F	d 1-1A
18	Spezia	31	7	9	15	-13	30	d 2-2A	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	w 1-2F
19	Reggiana	31	7	9	15	-16	30	Apr 19	w 1-2F	w 2-1F	Apr 25
20	Pescara	31	6	11	14	-13	29	May 1	w 0-1F	w 5-0F	l 2-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Padova	1 - 3	Catanzaro
Padova	2 - 2	Spezia
Padova	1 - 1	Bari 1908
Padova	1 - 0	Carrarese
Padova	1 - 2	Monza
Padova	1 - 2	Mantova
Padova	2 - 0	Modena
Padova	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Padova	1 - 1	Cesena
Padova	0 - 2	Venezia
Padova	1 - 1	Sudtirol
Padova	2 - 2	Juve Stabia
Padova	2 - 2	Avellino
Padova	2 - 1	V.Entella
Padova	0 - 1	Frosinone
Padova	1 - 1	Livorno
Padova	2 - 1	Lecce
Padova	0 - 0	Cosenza
Padova	1 - 2	Ascoli
Padova	0 - 1	Perugia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Padova	1 - 3	Venezia
H	Padova	1 - 3	Catanzaro
A	Padova	0 - 1	Avellino
H	Padova	2 - 2	Spezia
A	Padova	2 - 1	Modena
H	Padova	1 - 1	Bari 1908
A	Padova	0 - 1	Sampdoria
H	Padova	1 - 0	Carrarese
A	Padova	3 - 3	Juve Stabia
H	Padova	1 - 2	Monza
A	Padova	0 - 3	Sudtirol
H	Padova	1 - 2	Mantova
H	Padova	2 - 0	Modena
A	Padova	0 - 1	Palermo
H	Padova	1 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Padova	2 - 1	Reggiana
H	Padova	1 - 1	Cesena
A	Padova	1 - 0	Pescara
H	Padova	0 - 2	Venezia
A	Padova	0 - 1	Mantova

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza	3 - 0	Palermo
Carrarese	0 - 1	Palermo
Pescara	2 - 1	Palermo
Sampdoria	3 - 3	Palermo
Bari 1908	0 - 3	Palermo
Modena	0 - 0	Palermo
Mantova	1 - 1	Palermo
Avellino	2 - 2	Palermo
Empoli	1 - 3	Palermo
V.Entella	1 - 1	Palermo
Juve Stabia	1 - 0	Palermo
Catanzaro	1 - 0	Palermo
Spezia	1 - 2	Palermo
Cesena	1 - 1	Palermo
Sudtirol	0 - 2	Palermo
Juve Stabia	1 - 0	Palermo
Cesena	2 - 1	Palermo
Catanzaro	1 - 3	Palermo
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Palermo
Salernitana	1 - 2	Palermo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palermo	2 - 2	Juve Stabia
A	Palermo	0 - 3	Monza
A	Palermo	1 - 0	Carrarese
H	Palermo	2 - 1	Mantova
A	Palermo	1 - 2	Pescara
H	Palermo	3 - 0	Sudtirol
H	Palermo	3 - 0	V.Entella
A	Palermo	3 - 3	Sampdoria
H	Palermo	3 - 2	Empoli
A	Palermo	3 - 0	Bari 1908
A	Palermo	0 - 0	Modena
H	Palermo	1 - 0	Spezia
A	Palermo	1 - 1	Mantova
H	Palermo	1 - 0	Padova
A	Palermo	2 - 2	Avellino
H	Palermo	1 - 0	Sampdoria
A	Palermo	3 - 1	Empoli
H	Palermo	5 - 0	Carrarese
A	Palermo	1 - 1	V.Entella
A	Palermo	0 - 1	Juve Stabia

Goal Statistics

Palermo's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Calcio Padova have conceded in each of their last 6 Serie B matches. A PG of 1.5 for F. Inzaghi's side suggests that run should continue.

	Padova 12th	Palermo 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Padova will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Palermo will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Padova’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+8 Palermo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

PAD

PAL

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	23		24
Failed to score	8		7
Scored first	12		19
Goals scored	32		51
Avg. goals scored	1		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		16
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+22%

PAD

PAL

34%

better

view stats

Games conceded	25		17
Clean sheets	6		14
Conceded first	18		9
Goals conceded	42		27
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		10
Conversion rate against	12%		10%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+34%

Padova v Palermo Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Padova Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	9	5	13
F Sgarbi	M. Bortolussi	A. Capelli	P. Fusi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Marcillo MID	29	2	4	3 -
A. Capelli MID	29	2	5	5 1
F Sgarbi DEF	28	4		3 -
C. Faedo DEF	27	2		4 -
P. Fusi MID	27	1	2	12 1
M. Bortolussi FWD	27	9	1	-
M Perrotta DEF	26	1		10 -
J. Harder MID	25	1		6 -
C Buonaiuto FWD	25	1	3	2 -
A Barreca DEF	23		1	7 -
K Lasagna FWD	23	6	1	-
L. Di Maggio MID	22	1		2 -
L Crisetig MID	20	1	1	4 -
A Sorrentino GLK	18			1 -
F Belli DEF	18			2 -
L Villa DEF	16			3 -
G Favale DEF	15		1	1 -
M. Fortin GLK	13			2 -
P Ghiglione DEF	13			2 -
J. Silva Pertinhes MID	13			-
A Seghetti FWD	13	1		1 -
D Baselli MID	8			3 -
P Gómez FWD	8		1	1 -
C Pastina DEF	4			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	21	5	7
M. Bortolussi	M. Bortolussi	A. Capelli	K Marcillo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M. Bortolussi FWD	9	21	1	3
K Lasagna FWD	6	14	1	2
F Sgarbi DEF	4	4
K Marcillo MID	2	10	4	7
A. Capelli MID	2	9	5	4
C. Faedo DEF	2	6		2
P. Fusi MID	1	8	2	4
M Perrotta DEF	1	3
J. Harder MID	1	4		1
C Buonaiuto FWD	1	12	3	5
L. Di Maggio MID	1	4
L Crisetig MID	1	2	1
A Seghetti FWD	1	2
A Barreca DEF		4	1	3
F Belli DEF				1
G Favale DEF			1	1
J. Silva Pertinhes MID		3
D Baselli MID		1
P Gómez FWD		7	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1343	91	157
M Perrotta	P. Fusi	M. Bortolussi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Perrotta DEF	1343	46	157
F Sgarbi DEF	1244	32	98
P. Fusi MID	978	91	150
C. Faedo DEF	928	52	97
A. Capelli MID	921	49	89
K Marcillo MID	709	35	121
A Barreca DEF	686	23	49
J. Harder MID	631	38	85
L Crisetig MID	599	17	55
M. Bortolussi FWD	538	10	157
A Sorrentino GLK	495		14
F Belli DEF	478	18	53
L Villa DEF	403	25	64
C Buonaiuto FWD	380	20	72
M. Fortin GLK	366		7
L. Di Maggio MID	265	5	38
P Gómez FWD	261	3	28
K Lasagna FWD	245	7	71
P Ghiglione DEF	180	17	27
J. Silva Pertinhes MID	137	12	28
D Baselli MID	137	13	22
G Favale DEF	127	8	27
C Pastina DEF	108	8	19
A Seghetti FWD	60	5	18

Palermo Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	21	10	9
T Augello	J Pohjanpalo	A Palumbo	M Bani

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Augello DEF	31	1	3	3 -
J Segre MID	31	4	3	2 -
J Douaron FWD	31	5	4	3 -
J Pohjanpalo FWD	31	21	5	-
J Joronen GLK	30			2 -
P Ceccaroni DEF	30	3	2	3 1
N Pierozzi DEF	29	5	3	5 -
A Palumbo MID	29	1	10	6 -
P Peda DEF	27			4 -
M Bani DEF	26	2		9 -
F Ranocchia MID	26	4	1	6 1
C Gomes MID	25	1		2 -
A Blin MID	20			2 2
B Bereszynski DEF	18			5 -
E Gyasi MID	17			3 -
A Vasic MID	16		2	2 -
S Diakité DEF	14	1		3 1
S Giovane MID	11			-
M Brunori FWD	11	1	1	3 -
G Corona FWD	11			1 -
D Veroli DEF	9		1	1 -
F Bardi GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
21	32	10	18
J Pohjanpalo	J Pohjanpalo	A Palumbo	A Palumbo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pohjanpalo FWD	21	32	5	5
J Douaron FWD	5	13	4	5
N Pierozzi DEF	5	9	3	5
J Segre MID	4	13	3	1
F Ranocchia MID	4	16	1	5
P Ceccaroni DEF	3	15	2	3
M Bani DEF	2	10
T Augello DEF	1	5	3	9
A Palumbo MID	1	7	10	18
C Gomes MID	1	2
S Diakité DEF	1	4		1
M Brunori FWD	1	3	1	1
P Peda DEF		2
B Bereszynski DEF				1
E Gyasi MID		4		1
A Vasic MID		2	2	4
S Giovane MID		1
G Corona FWD		1		1
D Veroli DEF			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1333	51	178
P Ceccaroni	J Segre	M Bani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Ceccaroni DEF	1333	41	132
T Augello DEF	1319	29	107
F Ranocchia MID	1274	51	129
M Bani DEF	1098	41	178
J Joronen GLK	922	2	13
A Palumbo MID	860	34	75
N Pierozzi DEF	640	47	162
J Segre MID	634	51	126
P Peda DEF	573	26	118
J Pohjanpalo FWD	468	9	89
A Blin MID	328	11	38
B Bereszynski DEF	321	19	45
J Douaron FWD	300	6	111
C Gomes MID	221	10	27
S Diakité DEF	221	13	57
E Gyasi MID	191	11	43
D Veroli DEF	132	3	15
M Brunori FWD	122	3	19
A Vasic MID	116	6	39
S Giovane MID	63	5	15
G Corona FWD	34	5	21
F Bardi GLK	15		1