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Calcio Padova v Sampdoria : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 20th Dec, 14:00 BST, Stadio Euganeo, Padova

Matteo Andreoletti welcomes Angelo Adamo Gregucci to the Stadio Euganeo on Saturday afternoon, as their Calcio Padova and Sampdoria teams go head to head in the Serie B. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Padova and Sampdoria 3 goals or less combined during this Serie B match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.17.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Padova are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Padova 43%	2.80 2%	2.70 4%
Draw 27%	2.95 3%	2.90 4%
Sampdoria 30%	2.60 2%	2.50 5%
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00	5.75
Padova 1-0 12%	7.50	6.50
Sampdoria 1-0 10%	7.00	6.50 7%
Draw 0-0 9%	7.00	6.50
Padova 2-1 9%	11.00	9.50 6%
Padova 2-0 8%	13.00	11.00
Sampdoria 2-1 7%	11.00	9.00 5%
Sampdoria 2-0 5%	12.00	10.00 9%
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00	13.00
Padova 3-1 4%	26.00	21.00 11%
Padova 3-0 4%	29.00	21.00
Sampdoria 3-1 3%	23.00	17.00 11%
Padova 3-2 2%	41.00	26.00
Sampdoria 3-0 2%	26.00	19.00 10%
Sampdoria 3-2 2%	41.00	23.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	2.40	2.25
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.53	1.50 2%
Home 1st Goal 50%	2.10	2.15 5%
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.05 3%	2.05 2%
No 1st Goal 5%	7.00	6.50
BTTS - Yes 49%	2.00	2.00
BTTS - No 51%	1.75	1.73 1%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	7.00	6.00 4%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50	4.40 2%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	6.50	5.50 4%
Home/draw 70%	1.44 4%	1.48 3%
Away/draw 57%	1.40	1.40 3%
Home/away 73%	1.36 3%	1.36
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.44	1.44
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	2.63	2.50
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	4.50	4.20
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.18	1.17
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	11.00	8.00
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.05	1.04
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	23.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.10	1.08
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7.00	6.00
Home DNB 62%	1.91	1.91 4%
Away DNB 49%	1.80	1.80 3%
Padova win to nil 25%	4.33	-
Sampdoria win to nil 17%	4.00	-
Padova / Padova 17%	4.75	4.50 7%
Padova / Sampdoria 3%	34.00	26.00
Padova / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00 8%
Draw / Padova 13%	6.00	6.00
Draw / Sampdoria 14%	6.00	5.75 4%
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	4.00
Sampdoria / Padova 3%	34.00	23.00
Sampdoria / Sampdoria 19%	4.33	4.00 8%
Sampdoria / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Padova have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Padova have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Padova have played 7 games at home winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Sampdoria are in 19th position in the Serie B on 13 points having played 16 matches so far this season. Sampdoria are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Sampdoria have conceded 22 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Padova Sampdoria
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Frosinone	16	10	4	2	17	34	l 0-1A	Apr 6	d 1-1A	Mar 7
2	Monza	16	9	4	3	9	31	Jan 31	w 0-1F	Apr 18	l 1-0A
3	Cesena	16	9	3	4	7	30	d 1-1A	May 9	l 1-2A	Apr 25
4	Venezia	16	8	5	3	15	29	l 0-2A	Mar 17	Mar 14	l 3-1A
5	Palermo	16	8	5	3	14	29	Mar 21	Dec 27	Feb 10	l 1-0A
6	Modena	16	8	5	3	13	29	Jan 11	Feb 28	l 0-2A	Feb 7
7	Catanzaro	16	6	7	3	4	25	Mar 14	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	Jan 25
8	Juve Stabia	16	5	7	4	-2	22	d 2-2F	Feb 7	w 1-0F	Mar 3
9	Padova	16	5	6	5	-2	21	-	-	Feb 14	Dec 20
10	Empoli	16	5	5	6	0	20	Apr 11	l 3-1A	Apr 6	d 1-1A
11	Reggiana	16	5	5	6	-1	20	Apr 18	w 1-2F	Dec 27	May 9
12	Avellino	16	5	5	6	-9	20	d 2-2F	Mar 7	Mar 21	Jan 10
13	Carrarese	16	4	7	5	-2	19	Feb 10	d 0-00-0	w 3-2A	Mar 17
14	Bari 1908	16	3	7	6	-11	16	Feb 21	l 2-1F	Feb 28	d 1-1F
15	Sudtirol	16	2	9	5	-4	15	d 1-1A	Jan 25	May 1	l 3-1A
16	V.Entella	16	3	6	7	-9	15	w 2-1A	Apr 25	Jan 16	l 3-1A
17	Spezia	16	3	5	8	-8	14	Mar 3	d 1-1A	Jan 31	l 1-0A
18	Mantova	16	4	2	10	-11	14	Jan 17	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	Feb 21
19	Sampdoria	16	3	4	9	-8	13	Dec 20	Feb 14	-	-
20	Pescara	16	1	7	8	-12	10	May 1	w 0-1F	w 4-1A	Apr 11

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Sampdoria have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Padova have not won in 5 consecutive home league games

Sampdoria have not won in 22 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Padova	1 - 1	Cesena
Padova	0 - 2	Venezia
Padova	1 - 1	Sudtirol
Padova	2 - 2	Juve Stabia
Padova	2 - 2	Avellino
Padova	2 - 1	V.Entella
Padova	0 - 1	Frosinone
Padova	1 - 1	Livorno
Padova	2 - 1	Lecce
Padova	0 - 0	Cosenza
Padova	1 - 2	Ascoli
Padova	0 - 1	Perugia
Padova	0 - 0	Crotone
Padova	1 - 1	Brescia
Padova	1 - 1	Foggia
Padova	0 - 0	Salernitana
Padova	3 - 0	Verona
Padova	0 - 1	Benevento
Padova	1 - 3	Palermo
Padova	0 - 1	Carpi

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Padova	2 - 1	Reggiana
H	Padova	1 - 1	Cesena
A	Padova	1 - 0	Pescara
H	Padova	0 - 2	Venezia
A	Padova	0 - 1	Mantova
H	Padova	1 - 1	Sudtirol
A	Padova	1 - 1	Spezia
H	Padova	2 - 2	Juve Stabia
A	Padova	1 - 0	Catanzaro
A	Padova	1 - 2	Bari 1908
H	Padova	2 - 2	Avellino
A	Padova	1 - 0	Monza
H	Padova	2 - 1	V.Entella
H	Padova	0 - 1	Frosinone
A	Padova	0 - 0	Carrarese
A	Padova	1 - 3	Empoli
H	Padova	1 - 1	Livorno
A	Padova	3 - 3	Benevento
H	Padova	2 - 1	Lecce
A	Padova	1 - 1	Palermo

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Palermo	1 - 0	Sampdoria
Spezia	1 - 0	Sampdoria
Venezia	3 - 1	Sampdoria
Empoli	1 - 1	Sampdoria
V.Entella	3 - 1	Sampdoria
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Monza	1 - 0	Sampdoria
Sudtirol	3 - 1	Sampdoria
Juve Stabia	0 - 0	Sampdoria
Catanzaro	2 - 2	Sampdoria
Carrarese	1 - 0	Sampdoria
Spezia	2 - 0	Sampdoria
Reggiana	2 - 2	Sampdoria
Bari 1908	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Sudtirol	2 - 1	Sampdoria
Mantova	2 - 2	Sampdoria
Brescia	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Cremonese	1 - 1	Sampdoria
Sassuolo	5 - 1	Sampdoria
Palermo	1 - 1	Sampdoria

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sampdoria	0 - 1	Palermo
H	Sampdoria	3 - 2	Carrarese
A	Sampdoria	0 - 1	Spezia
H	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Juve Stabia
A	Sampdoria	1 - 3	Venezia
H	Sampdoria	0 - 1	Mantova
A	Sampdoria	1 - 1	Empoli
H	Sampdoria	1 - 1	Frosinone
A	Sampdoria	1 - 3	V.Entella
H	Sampdoria	4 - 1	Pescara
H	Sampdoria	0 - 0	Catanzaro
A	Sampdoria	1 - 1	Bari 1908
A	Sampdoria	0 - 1	Monza
H	Sampdoria	1 - 2	Cesena
A	Sampdoria	1 - 3	Sudtirol
H	Sampdoria	0 - 2	Modena
H	Sampdoria	2 - 0	Salernitana
A	Sampdoria	0 - 0	Juve Stabia
H	Sampdoria	1 - 0	Salernitana
A	Sampdoria	2 - 2	Catanzaro

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Calcio Padova of late. It has been 6 Serie B games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Sampdoria.

	Padova 9th	Sampdoria 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Padova will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Sampdoria will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Padova’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-24 Sampdoria have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.9 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

21%

better

PAD

SAM

view stats

Games scored	12		10
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	7		2
Goals scored	16		15
Avg. goals scored	1		0.9
Avg. shots per game	8		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		10
Conversion rate for	13		10
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+21%

25%

better

PAD

SAM

view stats

Games conceded	12		14
Clean sheets	4		2
Conceded first	8		13
Goals conceded	18		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		6
Conversion rate against	11%		17%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+25%

Padova v Sampdoria Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Padova Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
15	6	3	7
M. Bortolussi	M. Bortolussi	A. Capelli	P. Fusi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C. Faedo DEF	16	1		3 -
J. Harder MID	16	1		5 -
M. Bortolussi FWD	16	6		-
A Barreca DEF	15		1	6 -
F Sgarbi DEF	15	2		1 -
A. Capelli MID	15		3	3 1
M Perrotta DEF	14	1		4 -
L Crisetig MID	14	1	1	4 -
K Marcillo MID	14	2	2	1 -
P. Fusi MID	14		1	6 1
C Buonaiuto FWD	13	1		1 -
M. Fortin GLK	12			1 -
G Favale DEF	12		1	1 -
K Lasagna FWD	11	1		-
L. Di Maggio MID	10			2 -
P Ghiglione DEF	9			1 -
F Belli DEF	6			1 -
L Villa DEF	6			-
A Seghetti FWD	6	1		1 -
D Baselli MID	5			3 -
A Sorrentino GLK	4			-
J. Silva Pertinhes MID	3			-
P Gómez FWD	3		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	15	3	3
M. Bortolussi	M. Bortolussi	A. Capelli	A. Capelli

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M. Bortolussi FWD	6	15		1
F Sgarbi DEF	2	2
K Marcillo MID	2	6	2	1
C. Faedo DEF	1	4		1
J. Harder MID	1	3		1
M Perrotta DEF	1	3
L Crisetig MID	1	2	1
C Buonaiuto FWD	1	7
K Lasagna FWD	1	6
A Seghetti FWD	1	2
A Barreca DEF		3	1	2
A. Capelli MID		5	3	3
P. Fusi MID		3	1	3
G Favale DEF			1	1
L. Di Maggio MID		1
D Baselli MID		1
J. Silva Pertinhes MID		1
P Gómez FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
756	44	98
M Perrotta	P. Fusi	M. Bortolussi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Perrotta DEF	756	25	86
F Sgarbi DEF	736	20	60
C. Faedo DEF	634	36	71
P. Fusi MID	481	44	67
A. Capelli MID	468	26	49
L Crisetig MID	460	9	41
A Barreca DEF	441	18	33
M. Fortin GLK	336		5
K Marcillo MID	331	14	61
M. Bortolussi FWD	320	7	98
J. Harder MID	312	19	46
C Buonaiuto FWD	194	11	36
L Villa DEF	183	10	25
L. Di Maggio MID	137	2	17
A Sorrentino GLK	123		5
P Ghiglione DEF	120	9	16
K Lasagna FWD	105	3	40
G Favale DEF	98	5	21
D Baselli MID	97	8	13
F Belli DEF	94	7	15
P Gómez FWD	84		9
A Seghetti FWD	27	3	10
J. Silva Pertinhes MID	22	2	4

Sampdoria Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
14	7	3	6
S Ghidotti	M Coda	M Coda	L Henderson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Coda FWD	16	7	3	1 -
L Henderson MID	15	2		6 -
S Ghidotti GLK	14			-
N Ioannou DEF	14	2	1	3 -
L Venuti DEF	14			-
A Barak MID	14		1	-
L Cherubini FWD	14			1 1
D Hadzikadunic DEF	13			-
F Depaoli DEF	13	2		6 -
A Riccio DEF	13			2 -
L Benedetti MID	12			4 -
M Cuni FWD	12	1	1	1 -
S Vulikic DEF	11			4 -
S Pafundi MID	11	1	3	2 -
O Abildgaard MID	11		2	1 -
S Giordano DEF	9			1 -
A Bellemo MID	9			-
F. Conti MID	8			-
A Ferrari DEF	6			1 -
M Ricci MID	6			-
Estanis FWD	6			1 -
J Ferri MID	5			1 1
V Narro FWD	4			-
G Coucke GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	3	4
M Coda	M Coda	M Coda	L Cherubini

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Coda FWD	7	17	3	2
L Henderson MID	2	5		2
N Ioannou DEF	2	3	1	2
F Depaoli DEF	2	3
M Cuni FWD	1	7	1
S Pafundi MID	1	8	3	2
L Venuti DEF				1
A Barak MID		2	1	2
L Cherubini FWD		2		4
D Hadzikadunic DEF		2
L Benedetti MID		4		1
O Abildgaard MID		2	2	1
A Bellemo MID		1		2
A Ferrari DEF		1
M Ricci MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
544	32	98
D Hadzikadunic	L Cherubini	O Abildgaard

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Hadzikadunic DEF	544	18	66
L Henderson MID	500	25	51
S Vulikic DEF	463	16	48
A Riccio DEF	457	14	36
L Venuti DEF	454	10	40
O Abildgaard MID	397	11	98
S Ghidotti GLK	365		2
L Cherubini FWD	302	32	83
N Ioannou DEF	292	20	46
M Coda FWD	260	6	54
A Barak MID	250	7	34
A Ferrari DEF	243	11	30
S Giordano DEF	215	10	35
L Benedetti MID	198	15	42
A Bellemo MID	194	15	28
S Pafundi MID	183	5	33
F Depaoli DEF	160	15	64
M Ricci MID	145	1	5
M Cuni FWD	131	8	72
F. Conti MID	123	5	17
J Ferri MID	107	7	8
Estanis FWD	52	1	21
G Coucke GLK	40
V Narro FWD	14	2	4