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Modena v Mantova : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Mar, 18:30 BST, Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena

Modena and their manager Andrea Sottil will be looking to get one over on Davide Possanzini and his Mantova side on Saturday evening, as the pair meet at the Stadio Alberto Braglia in the Serie B. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Serie B clash.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Modena and Mantova have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Modena are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Modena 48%	4/6	4/6
Draw 26%	13/5	5/2
Mantova 25%	4/1	10/3
Modena 1-0 13%	6/1	5/1
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Modena 2-0 9%	7/1	6/1
Modena 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 9%	9/1	8/1
Mantova 1-0 9%	12/1	10/1
Mantova 2-1 6%	16/1	12/1
Modena 3-0 5%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	12/1
Modena 3-1 4%	12/1	11/1
Mantova 2-0 4%	25/1	16/1
Modena 3-2 2%	25/1	20/1
Mantova 3-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Modena 4-0 2%	25/1	18/1
Modena 4-1 2%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	19/20	17/20
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	17/20	4/5
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/7	11/20
Away 1st Goal 42%	7/4	9/5
No 1st Goal 5%	9/1	8/1
BTTS - Yes 48%	10/11	10/11
BTTS - No 52%	10/11	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 19%	11/4	27/10
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 11%	9/1	15/2
Home/draw 75%	1/6	2/11
Away/draw 52%	11/10	11/10
Home/away 74%	2/7	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	2/7	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	5/2	11/5
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	9/4	21/10
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1/3	2/7
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	11/2	19/4
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/9	1/11
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	14/1	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/33	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/16	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	9/1	15/2
Home DNB 67%	1/4	2/7
Away DNB 44%	11/4	12/5
Modena win to nil 29%	7/4	-
Mantova win to nil 14%	8/1	-
Modena / Modena 31%	13/8	6/4
Modena / Mantova 2%	40/1	28/1
Modena / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Modena 18%	7/2	18/5
Draw / Mantova 8%	9/1	17/2
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	17/4
Mantova / Modena 4%	20/1	18/1
Mantova / Mantova 10%	15/2	6/1
Mantova / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

Modena have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie B league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Modena have outscored their opponents by 40 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

Modena have played 16 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Mantova are in 13th position in the Serie B on 34 points having played 31 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Mantova have conceded 33 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Modena Mantova
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Venezia	31	20	7	4	37	67	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	l 2-5A	l 3-0A
2	Monza	31	19	7	5	24	64	l 1-2F	Apr 24	May 1	l 1-0A
3	Frosinone	31	17	11	3	28	62	Apr 18	d 2-2A	l 1-5A	May 8
4	Palermo	31	16	10	5	24	58	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 1-1A	l 2-1A
5	Catanzaro	30	14	10	6	13	52	l 1-2F	-	l 1-3F	l 2-0A
6	Modena	30	13	8	9	16	47	-	-	l 1-3A	Mar 21
7	Juve Stabia	31	9	15	7	-2	42	w 3-0F	w 1-2F	w 2-0F	l 2-1A
8	Cesena	31	11	7	13	-8	40	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	w 3-0F	l 3-2F
9	Avellino	31	10	9	12	-13	39	d 1-1A	May 8	Apr 18	d 0-00-0
10	Sudtirol	31	8	14	9	1	38	d 0-00-0	Apr 11	d 1-1A	Apr 25
11	Carrarese	31	8	12	11	-4	36	w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0
12	Padova	31	8	10	13	-10	34	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	w 1-2F
13	Mantova	31	9	7	15	-11	34	Mar 21	w 1-3F	-	-
14	Empoli	31	7	12	12	-6	33	w 2-1A	d 0-00-0	l 0-1A	d 2-2F
15	Sampdoria	31	7	10	14	-13	31	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	w 2-1A	w 0-1F
16	Bari 1908	31	7	10	14	-17	31	w 3-0F	Apr 6	w 2-1F	l 1-0A
17	V.Entella	31	7	10	14	-17	31	w 2-0F	l 2-1F	Apr 6	l 1-0A
18	Spezia	31	7	9	15	-13	30	w 3-0F	w 0-2F	w 4-1A	Apr 12
19	Reggiana	31	7	9	15	-16	30	May 1	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
20	Pescara	31	6	11	14	-13	29	w 2-1A	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	d 2-2F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Mantova have not won in 5 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Modena	3 - 0	Spezia
Modena	0 - 0	Cesena
Modena	1 - 2	Padova
Modena	2 - 0	Carrarese
Modena	1 - 2	Sampdoria
Modena	0 - 0	Palermo
Modena	1 - 2	Monza
Modena	1 - 2	Venezia
Modena	1 - 2	Catanzaro
Modena	0 - 0	Sudtirol
Modena	3 - 0	Juve Stabia
Modena	2 - 1	Empoli
Modena	2 - 0	V.Entella
Modena	2 - 1	Pescara
Modena	3 - 0	Bari 1908
Modena	1 - 1	Avellino
Modena	0 - 1	Cesena
Modena	2 - 2	Brescia
Modena	2 - 3	Reggiana
Modena	1 - 3	Sassuolo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Modena	3 - 0	Spezia
H	Modena	0 - 0	Cesena
A	Modena	1 - 2	V.Entella
H	Modena	1 - 2	Padova
A	Modena	2 - 1	Juve Stabia
H	Modena	2 - 0	Carrarese
A	Modena	2 - 0	Venezia
H	Modena	1 - 2	Sampdoria
A	Modena	0 - 0	Empoli
H	Modena	0 - 0	Palermo
A	Modena	2 - 0	Pescara
A	Modena	0 - 2	Padova
H	Modena	1 - 2	Monza
H	Modena	1 - 2	Venezia
A	Modena	2 - 0	Spezia
H	Modena	1 - 2	Catanzaro
A	Modena	0 - 1	Cesena
H	Modena	0 - 0	Sudtirol
A	Modena	2 - 2	Frosinone
H	Modena	3 - 0	Juve Stabia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Empoli	2 - 2	Mantova
Palermo	2 - 1	Mantova
Catanzaro	2 - 0	Mantova
Reggiana	1 - 0	Mantova
Pescara	2 - 2	Mantova
Padova	1 - 2	Mantova
Carrarese	0 - 0	Mantova
Cesena	3 - 2	Mantova
Venezia	3 - 0	Mantova
Sampdoria	0 - 1	Mantova
Bari 1908	1 - 0	Mantova
Avellino	0 - 0	Mantova
Juve Stabia	2 - 1	Mantova
V.Entella	1 - 0	Mantova
Monza	1 - 0	Mantova
Salernitana	2 - 0	Mantova
Cremonese	4 - 2	Mantova
Brescia	1 - 2	Mantova
Pisa	3 - 1	Mantova
Frosinone	2 - 1	Mantova

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mantova	3 - 0	Cesena
A	Mantova	2 - 2	Empoli
H	Mantova	2 - 0	Juve Stabia
A	Mantova	1 - 2	Palermo
H	Mantova	1 - 1	Carrarese
H	Mantova	2 - 1	Sampdoria
A	Mantova	0 - 2	Catanzaro
A	Mantova	0 - 1	Reggiana
H	Mantova	2 - 1	Bari 1908
A	Mantova	2 - 2	Pescara
H	Mantova	2 - 5	Venezia
A	Mantova	2 - 1	Padova
H	Mantova	1 - 1	Palermo
A	Mantova	0 - 0	Carrarese
H	Mantova	0 - 1	Empoli
A	Mantova	2 - 3	Cesena
H	Mantova	0 - 1	Reggiana
A	Mantova	0 - 3	Venezia
H	Mantova	4 - 1	Spezia
H	Mantova	1 - 0	Padova

Goal Statistics

	Modena 6th	Mantova 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Modena will score 1 or more goals	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of Mantova scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Modena’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Mantova have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

10%

better

MOD

view stats

Games scored	22		21
Failed to score	8		10
Scored first	14		12
Goals scored	40		35
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.1
Avg. shots per game	12		10
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+10%

34%

better

MOD

view stats

Games conceded	16		25
Clean sheets	14		6
Conceded first	11		17
Goals conceded	24		46
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	12%		15%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+34%

Modena v Mantova Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Modena Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	11	5	8
L Chichizola	E Gliozzi	S Santoro	D. Tonoli

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Chichizola GLK	30			1 -
S Santoro MID	30	1	5	3 -
E Gliozzi FWD	30	11	1	-
F Zampano MID	29	3	1	6 -
L Zanimacchia FWD	29	3		3 -
D. Tonoli DEF	28	4		7 1
F Gerli MID	27			4 -
B Nieling DEF	26	2	2	5 -
P Mendes FWD	25	3	1	-
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF	24	1		4 -
D Adorni DEF	24		1	2 -
G Defrel FWD	23	2	3	2 -
Y Massolin MID	22	2	2	2 -
N Pyyhtiä MID	22			2 -
A. Sersanti MID	20	1		1 -
F Mariano FWD	17	1	2	4 -
L Magnino MID	16		3	3 -
A. Dellavalle DEF	11			2 -
S Nador DEF	8			3 1
M Cotali DEF	6		1	2 -
C Cauz DEF	3			1 -
G Caso MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	5	10
E Gliozzi	E Gliozzi	S Santoro	L Zanimacchia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gliozzi FWD	11	26	1	2
D. Tonoli DEF	4	9		1
F Zampano MID	3	8	1	5
L Zanimacchia FWD	3	11		10
P Mendes FWD	3	14	1
B Nieling DEF	2	5	2	1
G Defrel FWD	2	4	3	4
Y Massolin MID	2	8	2	2
S Santoro MID	1	12	5	3
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF	1	4
A. Sersanti MID	1	10		2
F Mariano FWD	1	6	2	8
F Gerli MID		7		3
D Adorni DEF		1	1
N Pyyhtiä MID		4		6
L Magnino MID		1	3	3
A. Dellavalle DEF		1
S Nador DEF		4
M Cotali DEF		1	1
G Caso MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1386	68	193
F Gerli	D. Tonoli	D. Tonoli

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Gerli MID	1386	24	66
S Santoro MID	1195	52	171
D. Tonoli DEF	1135	68	193
B Nieling DEF	1135	45	93
L Chichizola GLK	1122		22
D Adorni DEF	870	30	94
F Zampano MID	774	41	117
L Zanimacchia FWD	694	33	82
Y Massolin MID	430	17	89
A. Dellavalle DEF	376	28	60
G. Beyuku Bowutankoyi DEF	315	26	78
N Pyyhtiä MID	307	15	48
E Gliozzi FWD	302	7	99
A. Sersanti MID	251	24	120
F Mariano FWD	241	9	44
G Defrel FWD	239	12	46
P Mendes FWD	215	2	62
L Magnino MID	196	11	26
S Nador DEF	191	13	28
M Cotali DEF	52	2	8
C Cauz DEF	43	2	8
G Caso MID	6		1

Mantova Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	7	4	10
S Trimboli	L Mancuso	S Trimboli	N. Radaelli

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Trimboli MID	30		4	9 -
A. Castellini DEF	29		1	4 -
L Mancuso FWD	28	7		1 -
S Cella DEF	27	2		5 -
D Mensah FWD	27	3	1	3 -
T Maggioni DEF	23			-
N. Radaelli DEF	23		4	9 1
T. Marras FWD	23	5		-
D Wieser MID	22		1	3 -
F Paoletti MID	21			4 -
F. Ruocco MID	19	7	1	4 -
M Festa GLK	18			-
D Bragantini FWD	18	5	1	2 -
C Bani DEF	17			7 -
M. Caprini FWD	15			2 -
C Falletti MID	14		2	1 -
F Artioli MID	13	1	1	2 -
N Bonfanti FWD	12			1 -
A. Fiori FWD	10	2		1 -
F Galuppini MID	8			1 -
V Mantovani DEF	7			1 -
Z Majer MID	7			1 -
G. Fedel MID	4			-
S Mullen DEF	2			-
T. Pittino DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	18	4	5
L Mancuso	L Mancuso	S Trimboli	S Trimboli

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Mancuso FWD	7	18
F. Ruocco MID	7	10	1	1
T. Marras FWD	5	15		2
D Bragantini FWD	5	9	1	3
D Mensah FWD	3	5	1	1
S Cella DEF	2	5		1
A. Fiori FWD	2	7
F Artioli MID	1	6	1	2
S Trimboli MID		10	4	5
A. Castellini DEF		8	1	4
T Maggioni DEF		1		1
N. Radaelli DEF		10	4	5
D Wieser MID		1	1	2
F Paoletti MID		7		2
C Bani DEF		1		1
M. Caprini FWD		4		1
C Falletti MID		1	2	3
N Bonfanti FWD		9		2
F Galuppini MID		6		1
V Mantovani DEF		1		2
Z Majer MID		1
G. Fedel MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1777	60	160
A. Castellini	A. Castellini	S Trimboli

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A. Castellini DEF	1777	60	156
S Cella DEF	1624	20	108
S Trimboli MID	1511	34	160
C Bani DEF	982	34	66
N. Radaelli DEF	736	41	85
F Artioli MID	699	10	59
D Wieser MID	568	18	43
T Maggioni DEF	566	15	47
M Festa GLK	523		5
F. Ruocco MID	493	13	72
F Paoletti MID	439	14	43
D Bragantini FWD	381	9	48
V Mantovani DEF	330	3	20
T. Marras FWD	329	14	51
C Falletti MID	275	6	23
L Mancuso FWD	267	8	62
D Mensah FWD	228	8	78
Z Majer MID	194	8	13
F Galuppini MID	188	5	27
M. Caprini FWD	175	11	54
A. Fiori FWD	162	5	23
N Bonfanti FWD	122	4	33
G. Fedel MID	106	4	11
S Mullen DEF	49	2	3
T. Pittino DEF	8	2	3