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Spezia v Palermo : Serie B match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Oct, 16:15 BST, Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Spezia and their boss Luca D'Angelo will be looking to get one over on Simone Inzaghi and his Palermo side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Dino Manuzzi in the Serie B. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Spezia and Palermo 3 goals or less combined during this Serie B game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spezia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Spezia 34%	9/5	17/10
Draw 28%	2/1	15/8
Palermo 37%	31/20	29/20
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	19/4
Palermo 1-0 12%	11/2	5/1
Spezia 1-0 11%	6/1	11/2
Draw 0-0 10%	11/2	11/2
Palermo 2-1 8%	10/1	17/2
Spezia 2-1 7%	10/1	9/1
Palermo 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Spezia 2-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Palermo 3-1 3%	25/1	18/1
Palermo 3-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Spezia 3-1 3%	28/1	18/1
Spezia 3-0 2%	28/1	20/1
Palermo 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Spezia 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	6/4	11/8
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	1/2	10/21
Home 1st Goal 46%	11/10	23/20
Away 1st Goal 48%	1/1	21/20
No 1st Goal 7%	11/2	11/2
BTTS - Yes 46%	21/20	21/20
BTTS - No 54%	7/10	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 13%	6/1	5/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 15%	11/2	19/4
Home/draw 63%	1/2	10/21
Away/draw 66%	2/5	2/5
Home/away 72%	4/11	4/11
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	1/2	4/9
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	6/4	7/5
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	4/1	10/3
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1/6	2/13
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1	15/2
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20	1/33
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	25/1	16/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	1/200
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10	1/12
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6/1	5/1
Home DNB 54%	10/11	19/20
Away DNB 57%	4/5	3/4
Spezia win to nil 21%	10/3	-
Palermo win to nil 23%	11/4	-
Spezia / Spezia 17%	15/4	7/2
Spezia / Palermo 3%	33/1	25/1
Spezia / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Spezia 13%	5/1	5/1
Draw / Palermo 14%	5/1	9/2
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3	3/1
Palermo / Spezia 3%	33/1	25/1
Palermo / Palermo 19%	10/3	3/1
Palermo / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Serie B table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Spezia Palermo
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Frosinone	6	4	2	0	9	14	Feb 14	Dec 20	d 0-00-0	Apr 11
2	Modena	6	4	2	0	8	14	Dec 13	Mar 14	Oct 19	Jan 24
3	Palermo	6	3	3	0	5	12	Oct 4	Jan 17	-	-
4	Avellino	6	3	2	1	2	11	Jan 24	Oct 25	Apr 6	Dec 20
5	Cesena	6	3	2	1	2	11	Oct 18	Feb 21	Apr 18	d 1-1A
6	Juve Stabia	6	2	4	0	3	10	l 1-3A	Mar 21	Mar 17	Nov 8
7	Sudtirol	6	2	3	1	2	9	Apr 18	Jan 10	Feb 21	w 0-2F
8	Venezia	6	2	3	1	2	9	May 1	l 2-0A	d 0-00-0	May 9
9	Monza	6	2	2	2	0	8	Mar 7	Nov 2	Oct 28	Mar 14
10	Padova	6	2	2	2	-1	8	Oct 29	Mar 3	Dec 27	Mar 21
11	Carrarese	6	1	4	1	1	7	l 0-2A	Apr 6	Nov 29	Mar 7
12	Catanzaro	6	0	6	0	0	6	d 0-00-0	Apr 25	May 1	Oct 25
13	Reggiana	6	1	3	2	-1	6	Feb 28	d 1-1F	w 2-1F	Apr 25
14	V.Entella	6	1	3	2	-2	6	Feb 7	Dec 8	Feb 14	Nov 22
15	Empoli	6	1	3	2	-4	6	Mar 17	d 1-1F	Feb 7	Dec 8
16	Pescara	6	1	2	3	0	5	Dec 27	May 9	Nov 1	Feb 28
17	Bari 1908	6	0	3	3	-6	3	Nov 7	Feb 10	w 2-0F	Jan 31
18	Spezia	6	0	3	3	-6	3	-	-	Jan 17	Oct 4
19	Mantova	6	1	0	5	-8	3	Apr 11	Nov 22	Mar 3	Jan 10
20	Sampdoria	6	0	2	4	-6	2	Nov 29	Jan 31	Dec 13	Feb 10

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Spezia have not won in 8 consecutive league games

Palermo have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spezia	1 - 3	Juve Stabia
Spezia	0 - 0	Catanzaro
Spezia	0 - 2	Carrarese
Spezia	2 - 3	Cremonese
Spezia	2 - 1	Catanzaro
Spezia	3 - 1	Cosenza
Spezia	2 - 3	Cremonese
Spezia	2 - 0	Salernitana
Spezia	2 - 0	Sampdoria
Spezia	0 - 1	Brescia
Spezia	3 - 2	Pisa
Spezia	0 - 1	Catanzaro
Spezia	2 - 2	Palermo
Spezia	2 - 1	Sassuolo
Spezia	1 - 1	Juve Stabia
Spezia	1 - 1	Mantova
Spezia	5 - 0	Cittadella
Spezia	3 - 0	Sudtirol
Spezia	1 - 0	Modena
Spezia	0 - 0	Bari 1908

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Reggiana
A	Spezia	0 - 2	Venezia
H	Spezia	1 - 3	Juve Stabia
A	Spezia	1 - 1	Empoli
H	Spezia	0 - 0	Catanzaro
H	Spezia	0 - 2	Carrarese
H	Spezia	2 - 3	Cremonese
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Cremonese
H	Spezia	2 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Spezia	2 - 0	Catanzaro
H	Spezia	3 - 1	Cosenza
H	Spezia	2 - 3	Cremonese
A	Spezia	1 - 2	Reggiana
H	Spezia	2 - 0	Salernitana
A	Spezia	2 - 2	Frosinone
A	Spezia	2 - 2	Mantova
H	Spezia	2 - 0	Sampdoria
H	Spezia	0 - 1	Brescia
A	Spezia	0 - 0	Cesena
H	Spezia	3 - 2	Pisa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cesena	1 - 1	Palermo
Sudtirol	0 - 2	Palermo
Juve Stabia	1 - 0	Palermo
Cesena	2 - 1	Palermo
Catanzaro	1 - 3	Palermo
Bari 1908	2 - 1	Palermo
Salernitana	1 - 2	Palermo
Sampdoria	1 - 1	Palermo
Cosenza	0 - 3	Palermo
Spezia	2 - 2	Palermo
Reggiana	2 - 1	Palermo
Cittadella	2 - 1	Palermo
Sassuolo	2 - 1	Palermo
Carrarese	1 - 0	Palermo
Frosinone	1 - 1	Palermo
Mantova	0 - 0	Palermo
Modena	2 - 2	Palermo
Sudtirol	1 - 3	Palermo
Juve Stabia	1 - 3	Palermo
Cremonese	0 - 1	Palermo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Palermo	0 - 0	Venezia
A	Palermo	1 - 1	Cesena
H	Palermo	2 - 0	Bari 1908
A	Palermo	2 - 0	Sudtirol
H	Palermo	0 - 0	Frosinone
H	Palermo	2 - 1	Reggiana
A	Palermo	0 - 1	Juve Stabia
H	Palermo	1 - 1	Carrarese
H	Palermo	2 - 0	Frosinone
A	Palermo	1 - 2	Cesena
H	Palermo	1 - 2	Sudtirol
A	Palermo	3 - 1	Catanzaro
A	Palermo	1 - 2	Bari 1908
H	Palermo	5 - 3	Sassuolo
A	Palermo	2 - 1	Salernitana
H	Palermo	2 - 3	Cremonese
A	Palermo	1 - 1	Sampdoria
H	Palermo	1 - 0	Brescia
A	Palermo	3 - 0	Cosenza
H	Palermo	2 - 2	Mantova

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Spezia

Palermo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

SPE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spezia
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Spezia	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Palermo

Spezia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

0 / 4

PAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Palermo
Palermo	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Palermo	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Spezia of late. It has been 6 Serie B matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Palermo.

	Spezia 18th	Palermo 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Spezia will score no more than 1 goal	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Palermo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Spezia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+21 Palermo have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie B - 2025/2026 season

SPE

PAL

48%

better

view stats

Games scored	2		3
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	1		3
Goals scored	2		6
Avg. goals scored	0.3		1
Avg. shots per game	5		9
Avg. shots per goal	14		9
Conversion rate for	7		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+48%

SPE

PAL

69%

better

view stats

Games conceded	3		1
Clean sheets	1		3
Conceded first	2		0
Goals conceded	6		1
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		5
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		29
Conversion rate against	19%		3%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+69%

Spezia v Palermo Serie B lLine ups will show here when available.

Spezia Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	1	1	3
A Candela	S Esposito	S Esposito	P Hristov

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Candela DEF	6			-
P Hristov DEF	6			2 1
P Wisniewski DEF	6			-
A Mateju DEF	6			2 -
F Cassata MID	6			2 -
S Esposito MID	6	1	1	2 -
G Serio FWD	6			1 -
E Soleri FWD	6	1		-
D. Mascardi GLK	5			-
P Beruatto DEF	5			-
Ádám Nagy MID	5			1 -
G Artistico FWD	5			-
A Cistana DEF	4			1 -
R. Kouda MID	4		1	1
C. Comotto MID	4			1 -
G Aurelio DEF	3			-
V Vlahovic FWD	3			-
G Lapadula FWD	3	1		-
P Candelari MID	2			1 -
M Sarr GLK	1			-
L Vignali DEF	1			1
S Zurkowski MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	4	1	2
S Esposito	S Esposito	S Esposito	S Esposito

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Esposito MID	1	4	1	2
E Soleri FWD	1	2
G Lapadula FWD	1	1
A Candela DEF				1
P Wisniewski DEF		1		1
A Mateju DEF		1
G Serio FWD		2		1
P Beruatto DEF		2
G Artistico FWD		1
R. Kouda MID		1	1	1
C. Comotto MID		1
V Vlahovic FWD		1
S Zurkowski MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
320	12	41
S Esposito	P Wisniewski	S Esposito

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Esposito MID	320	11	41
P Wisniewski DEF	268	12	35
P Hristov DEF	244	11	34
A Mateju DEF	238	8	38
D. Mascardi GLK	185		1
Ádám Nagy MID	145	7	11
A Candela DEF	118	5	15
A Cistana DEF	81	1	7
R. Kouda MID	77	1	11
E Soleri FWD	65	1	20
P Beruatto DEF	65	5	10
G Serio FWD	55	5	33
G Aurelio DEF	40	1	7
F Cassata MID	37	3	11
M Sarr GLK	37		1
G Artistico FWD	26		18
C. Comotto MID	23	3	5
P Candelari MID	23		3
G Lapadula FWD	20		3
V Vlahovic FWD	15		5
S Zurkowski MID	7

Palermo Serie B squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
6	3	1	3
N Pierozzi	J Pohjanpalo	N Pierozzi	M Bani

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Pierozzi DEF	6	1	1	1 -
T Augello DEF	6		1	2 -
P Ceccaroni DEF	6			1 1
M Bani DEF	6	1		3 -
J Segre MID	6		1	-
E Gyasi MID	6			-
J Douaron FWD	6	1		-
J Pohjanpalo FWD	6	3	1	-
J Joronen GLK	5			-
P Peda DEF	5			1 -
S Diakité DEF	5			1 -
A Blin MID	5			1 -
C Gomes MID	5	1		-
A Palumbo MID	5		1	-
M Brunori FWD	5			-
F Ranocchia MID	4			-
S Giovane MID	3			-
G Corona FWD	2			-
F Bardi GLK	1			-
B Bereszynski DEF	1			-
D Veroli DEF	1			-
A Vasic MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	1	4
J Pohjanpalo	J Douaron	N Pierozzi	A Palumbo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Pohjanpalo FWD	3	5	1
N Pierozzi DEF	1	1	1	3
M Bani DEF	1	3
J Douaron FWD	1	5
C Gomes MID	1	1
T Augello DEF			1	2
P Ceccaroni DEF		2
J Segre MID		3	1
E Gyasi MID		2		1
P Peda DEF		1
S Diakité DEF		1
A Palumbo MID		1	1	4
M Brunori FWD		2
F Ranocchia MID		5		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
277	15	46
P Ceccaroni	P Ceccaroni	M Bani

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Ceccaroni DEF	277	15	35
M Bani DEF	257	9	46
T Augello DEF	214	7	16
F Ranocchia MID	175	8	21
J Joronen GLK	152		1
N Pierozzi DEF	147	14	35
J Segre MID	133	6	29
E Gyasi MID	104	6	20
S Diakité DEF	90	8	17
A Blin MID	90	5	16
J Pohjanpalo FWD	88	2	22
A Palumbo MID	70	1	6
M Brunori FWD	65	1	10
C Gomes MID	62	1	8
P Peda DEF	59	2	9
J Douaron FWD	57		22
S Giovane MID	32	2	8
F Bardi GLK	15		1
D Veroli DEF	4		1
B Bereszynski DEF	2
G Corona FWD	1	1	2