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Cerezo Osaka v Albirex Niigata : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 11th Aug, 11:00 BST, KINCHO Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo Osaka and their manager Arthur Thomas Papastamatis will be hoping for victory against Daisuke Sudo and his Albirex Niigata side on Monday morning, as the pair clash at the KINCHO Stadium in the J-League. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of Cerezo and Albirex delivering a minimum of 2 goals in this J-League match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Cerezo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Cerezo 55%	13/20	-
Draw 24%	3/1	-
Albirex 21%	15/4	-
Cerezo 1-0 12%	13/2	-
Draw 1-1 11%	13/2	-
Cerezo 2-0 10%	7/1	-
Cerezo 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 7%	11/1	-
Albirex 1-0 7%	12/1	-
Cerezo 3-0 6%	12/1	-
Cerezo 3-1 5%	12/1	-
Albirex 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1	-
Albirex 2-0 3%	25/1	-
Cerezo 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Cerezo 4-0 2%	22/1	-
Cerezo 4-1 2%	25/1	-
Albirex 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	4/5	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	1/1	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	8/15	-
Away 1st Goal 41%	13/8	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/5	-
BTTS - No 51%	19/20	-
BTTS - Home Win 23%	5/2	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 10%	15/2	-
Home/draw 79%	2/11	-
Away/draw 45%	6/5	-
Home/away 76%	2/9	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1/4	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	2/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	11/1	-
Home DNB 72%	2/7	-
Away DNB 38%	5/2	-
Cerezo win to nil 32%	7/4	-
Albirex win to nil 11%	8/1	-
Cerezo / Cerezo 32%	8/5	-
Cerezo / Albirex 2%	33/1	-
Cerezo / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Cerezo 19%	7/2	-
Draw / Albirex 8%	9/1	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
Albirex / Cerezo 4%	20/1	-
Albirex / Albirex 10%	15/2	-
Albirex / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Cerezo have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Cerezo have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Cerezo have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Albirex are in 20th position in the J-League on 19 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Albirex have conceded 41 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Cerezo Albirex
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	12	46	Aug 23	w 1-3A	Oct 25	w 0-1F
2	Kashima	24	14	2	8	12	44	w 1-0F	Sep 23	Aug 23	l 2-1A
3	Kashiwa	24	12	8	4	10	44	Sep 20	l 2-1F	Nov 30	d 1-1F
4	Kyoto Sanga	24	12	6	6	11	42	Sep 27	w 2-3A	l 1-2F	l 2-1F
5	Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	11	42	Aug 31	l 2-1F	l 0-2A	w 0-1F
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	9	40	l 1-2A	Aug 16	l 0-4A	l 1-0A
7	Kawasaki	24	10	8	6	12	38	Oct 25	l 2-0A	Aug 16	l 3-1A
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	8	38	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	Aug 31
9	Cerezo	24	9	7	8	4	34	-	-	d 2-2F	Aug 11
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	-2	34	l 0-1A	w 2-5F	d 3-3F	Sep 27
11	Avispa	24	8	8	8	-2	32	w 2-0F	Sep 13	l 0-1A	l 3-2F
12	Fagiano	24	8	6	10	-2	30	w 2-1F	Oct 18	Oct 4	l 2-1A
13	Shimizu	24	8	6	10	-3	30	w 4-2A	Nov 8	Sep 13	l 2-0A
14	Tokyo	24	8	5	11	-7	29	d 1-1F	d 2-2A	l 2-3A	Dec 6
15	Nagoya	24	7	7	10	-5	28	d 1-1F	Oct 4	Sep 23	l 3-0A
16	Tokyo Verdy	24	7	7	10	-9	28	w 2-1F	l 1-0A	d 2-2A	Oct 18
17	Shonan	24	6	6	12	-17	24	l 1-2A	d 3-3F	w 2-1A	Nov 8
18	Yokohama FM	24	5	6	13	-9	21	w 1-0F	Nov 30	w 1-0F	d 1-1F
19	Yokohama	24	5	4	15	-16	19	Dec 6	l 2-0A	d 0-00-0	Sep 20
20	Albirex	24	4	7	13	-17	19	Aug 11	d 2-2A	-	-

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Albirex have lost 5 consecutive league games

Albirex have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cerezo	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Cerezo	2 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
Cerezo	4 - 2	Shimizu
Cerezo	2 - 0	Avispa
Cerezo	1 - 0	Yokohama FM
Cerezo	1 - 2	Machida
Cerezo	1 - 1	Tokyo
Cerezo	1 - 0	Kashima
Cerezo	2 - 1	Fagiano
Cerezo	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
Cerezo	1 - 1	Nagoya
Cerezo	1 - 2	Shonan
Cerezo	0 - 2	Kashima
Cerezo	1 - 0	Avispa
Cerezo	1 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
Cerezo	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
Cerezo	0 - 0	Kashiwa
Cerezo	3 - 5	Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo	0 - 0	Machida
Cerezo	1 - 2	Albirex

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Cerezo	3 - 3	Shonan
H	Cerezo	0 - 1	Gamba Osaka
H	Cerezo	2 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
A	Cerezo	2 - 2	Tokyo
H	Cerezo	4 - 2	Shimizu
A	Cerezo	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
H	Cerezo	2 - 0	Avispa
A	Cerezo	0 - 2	Kawasaki
H	Cerezo	1 - 0	Yokohama FM
A	Cerezo	3 - 1	Vissel Kobe
A	Cerezo	3 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Cerezo	1 - 2	Machida
A	Cerezo	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
H	Cerezo	1 - 1	Tokyo
H	Cerezo	1 - 0	Kashima
A	Cerezo	1 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Cerezo	2 - 1	Fagiano
H	Cerezo	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Cerezo	0 - 2	Yokohama
H	Cerezo	1 - 1	Nagoya

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 1	Albirex
Kawasaki	3 - 1	Albirex
Avispa	3 - 2	Albirex
Nagoya	3 - 0	Albirex
Fagiano	2 - 1	Albirex
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Albirex
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Albirex
Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Albirex
Machida	1 - 0	Albirex
Kashima	2 - 1	Albirex
Shimizu	2 - 0	Albirex
Yokohama FM	1 - 1	Albirex
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Albirex
Kashiwa	1 - 1	Albirex
Yokohama FM	0 - 0	Albirex
Kawasaki	5 - 1	Albirex
Nagoya	3 - 0	Albirex
Avispa	0 - 1	Albirex
Cerezo	1 - 2	Albirex
Tokyo	2 - 0	Albirex

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Albirex	0 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Albirex	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	0 - 4	Machida
A	Albirex	1 - 3	Kawasaki
A	Albirex	2 - 3	Avispa
H	Albirex	1 - 0	Yokohama FM
A	Albirex	0 - 3	Nagoya
H	Albirex	2 - 1	Shonan
A	Albirex	1 - 2	Fagiano
H	Albirex	1 - 1	Urawa Reds
H	Albirex	2 - 3	Tokyo
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Hiroshima
A	Albirex	1 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Albirex	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Albirex	0 - 0	Yokohama
A	Albirex	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Albirex	0 - 1	Avispa
H	Albirex	3 - 3	Gamba Osaka
A	Albirex	0 - 1	Machida
H	Albirex	2 - 2	Tokyo Verdy

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Cerezo

Albirex

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

ALB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cerezo
		1 - 2		Albirex
Draw		2 - 2		Draw

Albirex

Cerezo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

CER

ALB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Albirex
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Cerezo
Albirex	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Cerezo Osaka's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday morning, not least because Albirex Niigata have conceded in each of their last 5 J-League outings. A PG of 1.7 for Arthur Thomas Papastamatis's side suggests that run should continue.

	Cerezo 9th	Albirex 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Cerezo will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Albirex scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Cerezo have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-30 Albirex have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

20%

better

CER

ALB

view stats

Games scored	19		17
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	13		11
Goals scored	37		24
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1
Avg. shots per game	10		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		12
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+20%

12%

better

CER

ALB

view stats

Games conceded	20		20
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	10		12
Goals conceded	33		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	14%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+12%

Cerezo v Albirex J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Cerezo J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
21	11	14	3
L Fernandes	R Ratão	L Fernandes	R Ratão

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Fernandes MID	24	4	14	1 -
R Ratão FWD	24	11	3	3 -
R Nishio DEF	23		1	1 -
H Okuda DEF	22			1 -
M Nakajima FWD	22	4	2	-
S Hatanaka DEF	20			-
S Kagawa MID	20	1	3	3 -
T Andrade FWD	20	4	1	3 -
H Kida MID	18		1	1 -
M Shibayama MID	18	2		-
K Fukui GLK	17			2 -
S Tanaka MID	16	2		1 -
R Sakata FWD	16		1	-
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF	15	1		1 -
R Shindo DEF	14	2		2 -
K Noborizato DEF	13			1 -
V Bueno MID	10			-
K Funaki DEF	9			1 -
S Uejo MID	9	1		-
J Kim GLK	8			-
S Homma MID	6			-
K. Furuyama FWD	5	1		1 -
T Nakamura DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	25	14	17
R Ratão	R Ratão	L Fernandes	L Fernandes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Ratão FWD	11	25	3	2
L Fernandes MID	4	14	14	17
T Andrade FWD	4	8	1	3
M Nakajima FWD	4	14	2	1
R Shindo DEF	2	3
M Shibayama MID	2	3		1
S Tanaka MID	2	7		1
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF	1	1
S Kagawa MID	1	1	3	2
S Uejo MID	1	4		1
K. Furuyama FWD	1	2
H Kida MID		4	1	1
S Hatanaka DEF		2		1
H Okuda DEF		4		3
R Sakata FWD		3	1	1
R Nishio DEF		4	1
K Noborizato DEF				1
V Bueno MID		2
S Homma MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1369	41	148
S Hatanaka	L Fernandes	L Fernandes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Hatanaka DEF	1369	18	79
R Nishio DEF	1209	18	57
H Okuda DEF	1158	25	54
S Kagawa MID	917	14	43
R Shindo DEF	890	14	71
S Tanaka MID	876	36	84
L Fernandes MID	730	41	148
H Kida MID	683	34	66
K Fukui GLK	632		13
K Noborizato DEF	577	19	39
M Nakajima FWD	524	23	73
N. Takahashi Cendagorta DEF	515	15	46
R Ratão FWD	383	16	72
K Funaki DEF	320	6	14
T Andrade FWD	289	32	74
J Kim GLK	232		2
M Shibayama MID	219	9	17
R Sakata FWD	196	14	33
V Bueno MID	152	4	17
S Uejo MID	130	5	16
S Homma MID	55	2	7
T Nakamura DEF	34	1	2
K. Furuyama FWD	19	1	7

Albirex J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	6	2	4
M Hasegawa	M Hasegawa	K. Kasai	M Fitzgerald

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Hasegawa MID	24	6	1	1 -
J. Okumura MID	23	2	1	-
S Fujiwara MID	21			2 -
K Yamura FWD	21	4		-
Y Hoshi MID	20		1	-
M Fitzgerald DEF	19	1		4 -
Y Horigome DEF	18		1	1 -
J Geria DEF	17			-
K. Kasai MID	17	1	2	1 -
D Gomes MID	17	3	1	2 -
H Inamura DEF	16	1	1	1 -
Y Komi FWD	16	2	1	-
K Hashimoto DEF	15		2	2 -
H Akiyama MID	15			1
K Taniguchi FWD	15	2	1	-
K Fujita GLK	14			-
T Arai MID	14			2 -
Y Takagi MID	12			-
S Ota FWD	11	1		-
E Miyamoto MID	10		1	1 -
Y Ono FWD	10		1	-
D Yoshimitsu GLK	7			-
F Hayakawa DEF	5			-
Miguel MID	5	1		2 -
R Tashiro GLK	3		1	1 -
K Chiba DEF	3			1 -
Y Wakatsuki FWD	3			-
K Mori DEF	2			-
R Ochiai MID	2			1 -
K Funaki DEF	1			-
T Shimamura MID	1			-
E Shirai MID	1			-
H. Uemura MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	2	4
M Hasegawa	M Hasegawa	K. Kasai	K Hashimoto

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Hasegawa MID	6	14	1	2
K Yamura FWD	4	13
D Gomes MID	3	7	1	2
J. Okumura MID	2	7	1	1
K Taniguchi FWD	2	8	1	3
Y Komi FWD	2	7	1	3
S Ota FWD	1	3
H Inamura DEF	1	4	1	2
M Fitzgerald DEF	1	1		2
K. Kasai MID	1	2	2	1
Miguel MID	1	1
Y Wakatsuki FWD		1
K Chiba DEF		1
T Shimamura MID				1
R Tashiro GLK			1	1
Y Ono FWD		2	1	1
E Miyamoto MID		1	1
H Akiyama MID		2		2
K Hashimoto DEF		6	2	4
J Geria DEF		1
Y Horigome DEF			1	2
Y Hoshi MID		5	1
S Fujiwara MID		3		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1312	57	117
M Fitzgerald	S Fujiwara	S Fujiwara

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Fitzgerald DEF	1312	12	66
H Inamura DEF	1247	17	67
Y Hoshi MID	984	22	50
S Fujiwara MID	957	57	117
H Akiyama MID	878	17	41
J Geria DEF	796	20	70
Y Horigome DEF	725	30	51
K Hashimoto DEF	676	10	30
M Hasegawa MID	624	22	72
K Fujita GLK	597	1	11
T Arai MID	547	25	54
J. Okumura MID	432	17	63
E Miyamoto MID	409	13	32
D Yoshimitsu GLK	308
K Taniguchi FWD	297	7	45
Y Komi FWD	237	11	36
K Chiba DEF	203	5	16
Y Ono FWD	193		24
R Tashiro GLK	179
S Ota FWD	152	9	18
D Gomes MID	152	23	66
K Yamura FWD	126	8	31
K. Kasai MID	116	4	35
Y Takagi MID	110	7	13
F Hayakawa DEF	82	3	10
E Shirai MID	57	3	4
H. Uemura MID	46	1	5
K Mori DEF	34		1
Miguel MID	24	1	2
K Funaki DEF	23	1	4
T Shimamura MID	10		1
Y Wakatsuki FWD	9		3
R Ochiai MID	4	2	2