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Gamba Osaka v Fagiano Okayama : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th Aug, 11:00 BST, Nishigaoka National Stadium, Tokyo

Takashi Kiyama is aiming for a crucial away win in the J-League on Sunday morning, as he takes his Fagiano Okayama side to the Nishigaoka National Stadium to visit Gamba Osaka and Daniel Poyatos Algaba. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Daniel Poyatos Algaba and Takashi Kiyama to got all-out defensive here, but we certainly don't expect to see a deluge of goals as Gamba Osaka and Fagiano go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think that's a good shout here. With best odds of 1.48 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Gamba Osaka are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Gamba Osaka
51%
17/20-
Draw
28%
5/2-
Fagiano
21%
31/10-
Gamba Osaka 1-0
16%
11/2-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
12%
8/1-
Gamba Osaka 2-0
11%
7/1-
Fagiano 1-0
9%
9/1-
Gamba Osaka 2-1
8%
8/1-
Gamba Osaka 3-0
5%
14/1-
Fagiano 2-1
5%
14/1-
Gamba Osaka 3-1
4%
16/1-
Fagiano 2-0
3%
20/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1-
Gamba Osaka 4-0
2%
33/1-
Gamba Osaka 3-2
1%
28/1-
Gamba Osaka 4-1
1%
33/1-
Fagiano 3-1
1%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
11/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
7/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
38%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
9%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
39%
19/20-
BTTS - No
61%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
10/3-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
15/2-
Home/draw
79%
2/9-
Away/draw
49%
10/11-
Home/away
72%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
2/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/50-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
8/1-
Home DNB
71%
4/11-
Away DNB
40%
2/1-
Gamba Osaka win to nil
35%
2/1-
Fagiano win to nil
14%
11/2-
Gamba Osaka / Gamba Osaka
28%
2/1-
Gamba Osaka / Fagiano
2%
33/1-
Gamba Osaka / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Gamba Osaka
17%
15/4-
Draw / Fagiano
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Fagiano / Gamba Osaka
3%
25/1-
Fagiano / Fagiano
12%
6/1-
Fagiano / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win J-League table

Gamba Osaka have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Gamba Osaka have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Gamba Osaka have played 11 games at home winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Fagiano are in 12th position in the J-League on 30 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 11 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Fagiano have conceded 17 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Vissel Kobe2414461246 
Nov 8
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Kashima2414281244 
l
 
0-1A
Oct 4
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
3
Kashiwa2412841044 
Oct 18
l
 
1-0A
Aug 17
l
 
2-0A
4
Kyoto Sanga2412661142 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
Aug 30
5
Hiroshima2413381142 
l
 
0-1A
Aug 16
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
6
Machida241248940 
l
 
0-1A
Aug 20
d
 
2-2F
Sep 27
7
Kawasaki2410861238 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 8
8
Urawa Reds241086838 
Sep 13
w
 
0-1F
Nov 30
l
 
1-0A
9
Cerezo24978434 
l
 
2-5A
w
 
0-1F
Oct 18
l
 
2-1A
10
Gamba Osaka2410410-234 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Aug 10
11
Avispa24888-232 
w
 
2-1F
Nov 30
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
12
Fagiano248610-230 
Aug 10
l
 
2-0A
-
-
13
Shimizu248610-330 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
Dec 6
14
Tokyo248511-729 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
Oct 25
15
Nagoya247710-528 
w
 
2-0F
Oct 25
Sep 13
d
 
0-00-0
16
Tokyo Verdy247710-928 
Dec 6
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Sep 20
17
Shonan246612-1724 
w
 
4-0F
Aug 31
Aug 23
d
 
1-1F
18
Yokohama FM245613-921 
Sep 23
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
19
Yokohama245415-1619 
Aug 23
d
 
1-1A
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
20
Albirex244713-1719 
Sep 27
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-1F
Oct 4
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Gamba Osaka 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Fagiano 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goal Statistics
Gamba Osaka 10th Fagiano 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Gamba Osaka will score no more than 1 goal
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Fagiano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Gamba Osaka have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Fagiano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
Gamba Osaka
PG (predicted goals)
Fagiano
1.4
0.8
Attack rating
13%
better
GAM
FAG
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score8
9
Scored first9
10
Goals scored29
20
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
GAM
FAG
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first14
12
Goals conceded31
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate against13%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%

Gamba Osaka v Fagiano J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Gamba Osaka J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24565
J IchimoriR YamashitaJ AlanoT Suzuki
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Ichimori GLK241
1
-
K Kurokawa DEF2422
-
R Handa DEF2412
1
-
S Kurata MID224
2
-
T Suzuki MID22
4
1
S Nakatani DEF211
3
-
S Fukuoka DEF21
-
M Mitsuta MID21
1
-
R Yamashita FWD215
3
-
T Usami FWD2042
1
-
J Alano MID196
1
-
N Lavi MID1812
1
-
T Kishimoto DEF173
1
-
D Hümmet FWD1731
2
-
I Jebali FWD1752
3
-
R. Mito MID12
-
H Minamino FWD9
-
S Nakano DEF7
-
Welton FWD71
1
-
S Sasaki DEF6
-
S Toyama FWD5
-
S Abe MID4
1
-
R Meshino FWD41
-
G. Nawata FWD3
-
G Miura DEF2
-
K Okunuki FWD11
-
Fagiano J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24342
S BrodersenT KimuraR TabeiL Lucão
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brodersen GLK24
-
T Kimura MID243
1
-
A Esaka MID2432
1
-
L Lucão FWD2431
2
-
I Fujita MID23
2
-
Y Tatsuta DEF22
2
-
Y Kamiya MID2211
2
-
K Ichimi FWD203
-
H Kato MID192
-
R Sato MID1931
2
-
K Kudo DEF181
2
-
D Tagami DEF181
-
M Matsumoto MID18
2
-
H Iwabuchi MID18
1
-
R Tabei MID1514
1
-
N Browne MID11
-
K Abe DEF10
-
T Yanagi DEF1012
2
-
R Takeuchi MID10
1
-
Y Suzuki DEF7
-
K. Fujii MID6
1
-
H Motoyama DEF4
1
-
Y Yanagi DEF4
-
Popó FWD4
1
-
G. Garcia de Oliveira FWD3
1
-
R Saga MID2
-
R Sueyoshi MID2
-
Y Wakasa MID1
-
E Miyamoto MID1
-
K Saito FWD1
-
R. Ota FWD1
-