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Machida Zelvia v Avispa Fukuoka : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 06:00 BST, Machida Athletic Stadium, Tokyo

Go Kuroda's Machida Zelvia side will have home backing in the J-League on Saturday morning, as Myung Hwi Kim's Avispa Fukuoka arrive at the Machida Athletic Stadium. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is published below. Go between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for every one.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Machida are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.69.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Machida 56%	1.66 3%	1.67
Draw 25%	3.60 3%	3.25
Avispa 19%	5.25 5%	4.60
Machida 1-0 14%	5.50	5.00
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00	6.50
Machida 2-0 11%	6.50 7%	6.50
Machida 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Draw 0-0 9%	7.50 7%	6.50
Avispa 1-0 7%	11.00 10%	9.50
Machida 3-0 6%	12.00 8%	11.00
Machida 3-1 5%	17.00	15.00
Avispa 2-1 5%	19.00 12%	15.00
Draw 2-2 4%	21.00	17.00
Avispa 2-0 3%	26.00 13%	19.00
Machida 4-0 2%	29.00	21.00
Machida 3-2 2%	41.00	23.00
Machida 4-1 2%	34.00 17%	23.00
Avispa 3-1 1%	51.00 24%	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 44%	2.35 2%	2.25
Under 2.5 Goals 56%	1.57 3%	1.53
Home 1st Goal 55%	1.57 3%	1.57
Away 1st Goal 39%	3.00 4%	3.10
No 1st Goal 6%	7.50 7%	6.50
BTTS - Yes 45%	2.25 2%	2.25
BTTS - No 55%	1.57 3%	1.57
BTTS - Home Win 21%	4.75	4.40
BTTS - Draw 16%	5.50	5.25
BTTS - Away Win 8%	13.00 8%	10.00
Home/draw 81%	1.17	1.17
Away/draw 44%	2.10 5%	2.05
Home/away 75%	1.29	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 70%	1.44	1.40
Under 1.5 Goals 30%	2.63	2.50
Over 3.5 Goals 23%	4.50	4.20
Under 3.5 Goals 77%	1.18	1.17
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	11.00	8.00
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1.05	1.04
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	23.00	15.00
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.01	1.00
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1.08 2%	1.07
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	7.50 7%	6.50
Home DNB 73%	1.25 3%	1.25
Away DNB 37%	3.75 7%	3.50
Machida win to nil 35%	2.38 5%	-
Avispa win to nil 11%	8.00 14%	-
Machida / Machida 30%	2.63 4%	2.70
Machida / Avispa 2%	41.00	34.00
Machida / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00
Draw / Machida 19%	4.33	4.20
Draw / Avispa 8%	10.00 5%	9.50
Draw / Draw 17%	4.75	4.50
Avispa / Machida 3%	26.00	21.00
Avispa / Avispa 9%	9.50 12%	7.50
Avispa / Draw 5%	17.00	15.00

Win / draw / win J-League table

Machida have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 6 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Machida have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Machida have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Avispa are in 14th position in the J-League on 40 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Avispa have conceded 30 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Machida Avispa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	33	20	5	8	24	65	w 2-1F	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	d 1-1F
2	Kyoto Sanga	33	17	9	7	22	60	l 1-2F	d 1-1F	d 2-2A	w 0-1F
3	Kashiwa	33	16	12	5	15	60	w 3-0F	Dec 6	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	15	60	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
5	Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	16	58	l 1-2F	l 2-1F	l 1-2A	l 2-1A
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	14	55	-	-	d 2-2A	Oct 18
7	Kawasaki	33	14	11	8	15	53	d 2-2A	l 5-3A	l 1-2F	w 2-5A
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	8	52	l 0-2A	Oct 25	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	-1	50	w 3-1F	w 0-1F	Nov 30	l 2-1A
10	Cerezo	33	11	10	12	1	43	w 3-0F	w 1-2F	l 2-4F	l 2-0A
11	Shimizu	33	10	11	12	-4	41	w 3-0F	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A
12	Fagiano	33	11	8	14	-6	41	w 1-0F	d 2-2A	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
13	Tokyo	33	11	8	14	-10	41	Nov 9	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
14	Avispa	33	10	10	13	-5	40	Oct 18	d 2-2F	-	-
15	Nagoya	33	10	9	14	-8	39	Nov 30	w 1-2F	d 1-1A	Dec 6
16	Tokyo Verdy	33	10	9	14	-14	39	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	Nov 8
17	Yokohama FM	33	8	7	18	-12	31	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	l 2-0A
18	Yokohama	33	8	7	18	-16	31	d 1-1A	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
19	Shonan	33	6	7	20	-29	25	l 0-1A	w 1-2F	Oct 25	d 0-00-0
20	Albirex	33	4	10	19	-25	22	w 1-0F	w 0-4F	w 3-2A	w 0-1F

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Avispa have lost 3 consecutive away league games

Machida have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Machida	1 - 0	Fagiano
Machida	1 - 1	Yokohama
Machida	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Machida	3 - 0	Cerezo
Machida	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Machida	3 - 0	Shimizu
Machida	2 - 1	Kashima
Machida	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
Machida	3 - 0	Kashiwa
Machida	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	0 - 1	Shonan
Machida	0 - 2	Urawa Reds
Machida	2 - 2	Kawasaki
Machida	1 - 0	Albirex
Machida	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
Machida	1 - 2	Hiroshima
Machida	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	3 - 0	Tokyo
Machida	1 - 4	Kawasaki
Machida	0 - 0	Sapporo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Machida	1 - 2	Hiroshima
H	Machida	1 - 0	Fagiano
A	Machida	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Machida	1 - 1	Yokohama
A	Machida	3 - 5	Kawasaki
A	Machida	0 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Machida	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
H	Machida	3 - 0	Cerezo
H	Machida	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Machida	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Machida	3 - 0	Shimizu
A	Machida	4 - 0	Albirex
H	Machida	2 - 1	Kashima
A	Machida	2 - 1	Shonan
H	Machida	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
A	Machida	2 - 2	Fagiano
H	Machida	3 - 0	Kashiwa
A	Machida	2 - 2	Shimizu
H	Machida	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Machida	0 - 1	Kashima

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
Yokohama FM	2 - 0	Avispa
Kashiwa	2 - 1	Avispa
Kashima	1 - 1	Avispa
Kawasaki	2 - 5	Avispa
Urawa Reds	0 - 0	Avispa
Fagiano	0 - 1	Avispa
Cerezo	2 - 0	Avispa
Yokohama	1 - 0	Avispa
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Avispa
Shonan	0 - 0	Avispa
Shimizu	3 - 1	Avispa
Albirex	0 - 1	Avispa
Kyoto Sanga	0 - 1	Avispa
Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Avispa
Gamba Osaka	2 - 1	Avispa
Kawasaki	3 - 1	Avispa
Cerezo	1 - 0	Avispa
Kashima	0 - 0	Avispa
Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Avispa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Avispa	1 - 0	Yokohama
H	Avispa	1 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Avispa	0 - 1	Tokyo
A	Avispa	0 - 2	Yokohama FM
H	Avispa	2 - 4	Cerezo
A	Avispa	1 - 2	Kashiwa
H	Avispa	0 - 0	Shimizu
A	Avispa	1 - 1	Kashima
A	Avispa	5 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Avispa	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
H	Avispa	2 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
H	Avispa	0 - 0	Vissel Kobe
H	Avispa	3 - 2	Albirex
A	Avispa	1 - 0	Fagiano
H	Avispa	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Avispa	0 - 2	Cerezo
H	Avispa	1 - 1	Nagoya
A	Avispa	0 - 1	Yokohama
H	Avispa	0 - 1	Kashima
A	Avispa	1 - 2	Hiroshima

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Avispa have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Machida

Machida

Avispa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

3 / 4

MAC

AVI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Machida
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Avispa
Machida	2 - 1

Avispa

Machida

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

2 / 5

MAC

AVI

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Avispa
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 3	Machida
Avispa	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Machida
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Machida Zelvia have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive J-League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Avispa Fukuoka on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Machida 6th	Avispa 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Machida will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Avispa scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Machida’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-25 Avispa have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

30%

better

MAC

AVI

view stats

Games scored	24		20
Failed to score	7		11
Scored first	20		11
Goals scored	47		30
Avg. goals scored	1.4		0.9
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		10
Conversion rate for	16		10
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+30%

better

MAC

AVI

view stats

Games conceded	20		20
Clean sheets	11		11
Conceded first	10		15
Goals conceded	33		35
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

Machida v Avispa J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Machida J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	9	10	6
G Shoji	Y Soma	Y Soma	Y Soma

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Shoji DEF	33	2	1	3 -
K Tani GLK	32			-
H Shimoda MID	31	1	1	3 -
D Okamura DEF	30	4	2	4 -
K Hayashi DEF	30	4	1	3 -
S Na FWD	30	6	3	3 -
S Fujio FWD	30	2	2	4 -
H Mae MID	29		2	4 -
Y Soma FWD	29	9	10	6 -
I Dresevic DEF	28	1		4 -
Y Nakayama DEF	27	1	3	-
H. Mochizuki DEF	27	1	1	1 -
T Nishimura FWD	27	7	4	3 -
S Oh FWD	26	2	1	5 -
K Sento MID	24	1		-
M Duke FWD	22	2		1 -
R Shirasaki MID	19			1 -
K. Kuwayama FWD	17	1	1	1 -
T Numata FWD	12	1		2 -
R Kikuchi DEF	9	2		-
N Lavi MID	4			-
A Masuyama MID	3			-
T Morita GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	26	10	17
Y Soma	Y Soma	Y Soma	Y Soma

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Soma FWD	9	26	10	17
T Nishimura FWD	7	18	4	6
S Na FWD	6	11	3	6
D Okamura DEF	4	11	2	4
K Hayashi DEF	4	7	1	1
G Shoji DEF	2	5	1	2
S Fujio FWD	2	6	2	2
S Oh FWD	2	13	1	5
M Duke FWD	2	6		2
R Kikuchi DEF	2	3		1
H Shimoda MID	1	5	1	5
I Dresevic DEF	1	4
Y Nakayama DEF	1	8	3	5
H. Mochizuki DEF	1	9	1	2
K Sento MID	1	4		1
K. Kuwayama FWD	1	3	1
T Numata FWD	1	2		1
K Tani GLK		1
H Mae MID		4	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1358	51	201
G Shoji	I Dresevic	D Okamura

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Shoji DEF	1358	47	149
D Okamura DEF	1101	43	201
K Tani GLK	973		20
H Mae MID	957	46	91
I Dresevic DEF	892	51	127
Y Nakayama DEF	877	24	123
H Shimoda MID	796	25	64
H. Mochizuki DEF	688	40	174
K Hayashi DEF	683	50	83
Y Soma FWD	582	20	103
T Nishimura FWD	452	16	91
S Oh FWD	379	11	180
K Sento MID	316	17	40
S Na FWD	298	10	64
R Kikuchi DEF	240	12	47
S Fujio FWD	237	16	70
R Shirasaki MID	213	17	34
M Duke FWD	193	7	79
K. Kuwayama FWD	74	6	26
N Lavi MID	58	7	9
A Masuyama MID	40	3	9
T Morita GLK	32
T Numata FWD	29		5

Avispa J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	5	5	5
T Ando	T Miki	S Nago	Wellington

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Nago MID	33	2	5	2 -
T Ando DEF	32	4		4 -
K Konno FWD	32	3		2 -
D Matsuoka MID	31		1	4 -
Y Iwasaki FWD	31	1	2	-
K Fujimoto FWD	27	1	3	1 -
Wellington FWD	26	2	1	4 1
T Kamijima DEF	24	1		4 1
M Tashiro DEF	24	1	1	4 -
T Miki MID	24	5	1	2 -
T Shichi DEF	22			3 1
Y Maejima DEF	22		1	3 -
Y. Hashimoto DEF	21		3	1 -
M Shigemi MID	21	1	1	-
S Zahedi FWD	21		1	1 -
H Akino MID	19		1	3 -
M Yuzawa DEF	16	1		2 -
Y Obata GLK	15			-
M Murakami GLK	14			-
N Khalifa FWD	13	1		1 -
T Nara DEF	11			1 -
Y Kitajima MID	10	1	2	1 -
S. Usui FWD	6	3		-
I Oda DEF	5			-
T Nagaishi GLK	4			-
S. Sato FWD	4			-
S. Brown Abdel Hanan FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	22	5	11
T Miki	T Miki	S Nago	S Nago

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Miki MID	5	22	1	2
T Ando DEF	4	8		3
K Konno FWD	3	20		4
S. Usui FWD	3	4
S Nago MID	2	17	5	11
Wellington FWD	2	7	1	2
Y Iwasaki FWD	1	4	2	5
K Fujimoto FWD	1	9	3	1
T Kamijima DEF	1	5		1
M Tashiro DEF	1	3	1	1
M Shigemi MID	1	2	1
M Yuzawa DEF	1	1		1
N Khalifa FWD	1	4		1
Y Kitajima MID	1	3	2	3
S. Brown Abdel Hanan FWD	1	1
D Matsuoka MID		10	1	1
T Shichi DEF		2		2
Y Maejima DEF			1	1
Y. Hashimoto DEF		2	3	3
S Zahedi FWD		7	1	3
H Akino MID		2	1	1
I Oda DEF		2
S. Sato FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1360	48	234
T Ando	D Matsuoka	T Ando

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ando DEF	1360	43	234
D Matsuoka MID	1180	48	110
T Miki MID	1002	42	114
M Tashiro DEF	797	14	110
T Kamijima DEF	790	24	124
S Nago MID	719	34	89
T Shichi DEF	670	30	73
K Konno FWD	581	21	74
Y Obata GLK	578		9
T Nara DEF	547	9	40
Y Maejima DEF	495	29	66
H Akino MID	476	9	23
M Shigemi MID	439	23	53
M Murakami GLK	430	1	9
Y. Hashimoto DEF	351	19	63
K Fujimoto FWD	342	20	94
Wellington FWD	313	11	167
Y Iwasaki FWD	306	18	61
Y Kitajima MID	209	7	26
M Yuzawa DEF	208	12	36
S Zahedi FWD	165	7	66
T Nagaishi GLK	154
N Khalifa FWD	112	13	56
S. Usui FWD	54	4	21
I Oda DEF	52	4	13
S. Sato FWD	39	1	3
S. Brown Abdel Hanan FWD	1