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Machida Zelvia v Nagoya Grampus Eight : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 05:00 BST, Machida Athletic Stadium, Tokyo

Go Kuroda and Kenta Hasegawa pit their wits in the J-League on Sunday morning, as Machida Zelvia face Nagoya Grampus Eight at the Machida Athletic Stadium. Analysing both sides' last 20 J-League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Machida are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.66.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Machida 53%	4/6 2%	-
Draw 26%	27/10 12%	-
Nagoya 21%	15/4	-
Machida 1-0 15%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1 8%	-
Machida 2-0 11%	13/2	-
Draw 0-0 10%	15/2	-
Machida 2-1 9%	15/2	-
Nagoya 1-0 8%	10/1	-
Machida 3-0 5%	12/1	-
Nagoya 2-1 5%	14/1 12%	-
Machida 3-1 4%	14/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 12%	-
Nagoya 2-0 3%	22/1	-
Machida 4-0 2%	28/1	-
Machida 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	-
Machida 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Nagoya 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	23/20	-
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	4/6	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/7	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	7/4	-
No 1st Goal 7%	15/2	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	21/20 3%	-
BTTS - No 57%	7/10 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	9/1	-
Home/draw 79%	2/11	-
Away/draw 47%	11/10 2%	-
Home/away 74%	2/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	4/11	-
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	2/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	3/1 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	2/9 2%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/16 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	9/1 18%	-
Home DNB 71%	2/7	-
Away DNB 39%	5/2	-
Machida win to nil 34%	13/8	-
Nagoya win to nil 13%	6/1 13%	-
Machida / Machida 30%	7/4	-
Machida / Nagoya 2%	40/1	-
Machida / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Machida 19%	7/2	-
Draw / Nagoya 8%	9/1 5%	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	-
Nagoya / Machida 4%	22/1	-
Nagoya / Nagoya 10%	15/2 6%	-
Nagoya / Draw 5%	16/1	-

Win / draw / win J-League table

Machida have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 8 fixtures. Machida have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 42 goals.

Home League Performance

Machida have played 18 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Nagoya are in 17th position in the J-League on 40 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

30 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 8 and won 7. Nagoya have conceded 47 goals, scored 31, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Machida Nagoya
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	36	21	7	8	25	70	w 2-1F	l 1-0A	l 0-4A	l 1-0A
2	Kashiwa	36	19	12	5	23	69	w 3-0F	Dec 6	l 1-2F	l 1-0A
3	Vissel Kobe	36	18	9	9	15	63	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	l 2-1A
4	Kyoto Sanga	36	17	11	8	19	62	l 1-2F	d 1-1F	l 1-2F	d 1-1A
5	Hiroshima	36	18	8	10	16	62	l 1-2F	l 2-1F	w 2-1F	w 1-2F
6	Kawasaki	36	15	12	9	15	57	d 2-2A	l 5-3A	l 3-4A	l 4-0A
7	Machida	36	16	9	11	13	57	-	-	l 1-2A	Nov 30
8	Gamba Osaka	36	16	6	14	-4	54	w 3-1F	w 0-1F	l 0-2A	l 2-0A
9	Urawa Reds	36	14	11	11	1	53	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	l 2-1A
10	Cerezo	36	14	10	12	7	52	w 3-0F	w 1-2F	w 2-1F	d 1-1A
11	Tokyo	36	13	9	14	-7	48	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	d 1-1F	l 3-1A
12	Avispa	36	11	12	13	-4	45	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	Dec 6	d 1-1F
13	Shimizu	36	11	11	14	-8	44	w 3-0F	d 2-2F	d 1-1F	w 0-3F
14	Tokyo Verdy	36	11	10	15	-14	43	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	l 2-1F
15	Fagiano	36	11	9	16	-9	42	w 1-0F	d 2-2A	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
16	Yokohama FM	36	11	7	18	-2	40	l 0-3A	d 0-00-0	w 2-0F	l 3-0A
17	Nagoya	36	10	10	16	-11	40	Nov 30	w 1-2F	-	-
18	Yokohama	36	8	8	20	-19	32	d 1-1A	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	d 2-2A
19	Shonan	36	7	8	21	-27	29	l 0-1A	w 1-2F	w 3-1F	l 2-1A
20	Albirex	36	4	11	21	-29	23	w 1-0F	w 0-4F	w 3-0F	d 0-00-0

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Machida	0 - 1	Tokyo
Machida	0 - 0	Avispa
Machida	1 - 0	Fagiano
Machida	1 - 1	Seoul
Machida	1 - 1	Yokohama
Machida	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
Machida	3 - 0	Cerezo
Machida	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
Machida	3 - 0	Shimizu
Machida	2 - 1	Kashima
Machida	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
Machida	3 - 0	Kashiwa
Machida	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
Machida	0 - 1	Shonan
Machida	0 - 2	Urawa Reds
Machida	2 - 2	Kawasaki
Machida	1 - 0	Albirex
Machida	0 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
Machida	1 - 2	Hiroshima
Machida	1 - 0	Kyoto Sanga

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Machida	0 - 1	Tokyo
A	Machida	0 - 0	Urawa Reds
A	Machida	2 - 0	Shanghai SIPG
H	Machida	0 - 0	Avispa
A	Machida	1 - 2	Hiroshima
A	Machida	0 - 0	Johor Darul Ta'zim
H	Machida	1 - 0	Fagiano
A	Machida	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
H	Machida	1 - 1	Seoul
H	Machida	1 - 1	Yokohama
A	Machida	3 - 5	Kawasaki
A	Machida	0 - 0	Yokohama FM
H	Machida	3 - 1	Gamba Osaka
H	Machida	3 - 0	Cerezo
H	Machida	2 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Machida	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Machida	3 - 0	Shimizu
A	Machida	4 - 0	Albirex
H	Machida	2 - 1	Kashima
A	Machida	2 - 1	Shonan

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kashiwa	1 - 0	Nagoya
Yokohama	2 - 2	Nagoya
Albirex	0 - 0	Nagoya
Fagiano	0 - 1	Nagoya
Urawa Reds	2 - 1	Nagoya
Yokohama FM	3 - 0	Nagoya
Hiroshima	1 - 2	Nagoya
Vissel Kobe	2 - 1	Nagoya
Avispa	1 - 1	Nagoya
Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Nagoya
Shimizu	0 - 3	Nagoya
Kashima	1 - 0	Nagoya
Gamba Osaka	2 - 0	Nagoya
Shonan	2 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 1	Nagoya
Cerezo	1 - 1	Nagoya
Tokyo	3 - 1	Nagoya
Kawasaki	4 - 0	Nagoya
Yokohama FM	0 - 2	Nagoya
Kashima	0 - 0	Nagoya

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Nagoya	0 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Nagoya	0 - 2	Gamba Osaka
A	Nagoya	2 - 2	Yokohama
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Cerezo
H	Nagoya	0 - 4	Kashima
A	Nagoya	0 - 0	Albirex
H	Nagoya	3 - 1	Shonan
A	Nagoya	1 - 0	Fagiano
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Tokyo
H	Nagoya	3 - 4	Kawasaki
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Urawa Reds
H	Nagoya	1 - 2	Kyoto Sanga
A	Nagoya	0 - 3	Yokohama FM
H	Nagoya	0 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Nagoya	2 - 1	Hiroshima
H	Nagoya	1 - 1	Shimizu
A	Nagoya	1 - 2	Vissel Kobe
H	Nagoya	3 - 0	Albirex
H	Nagoya	2 - 1	Urawa Reds
A	Nagoya	1 - 1	Avispa

Goal Statistics

Machida Zelvia's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because Nagoya Grampus Eight have conceded in each of their last 5 J-League games. A PG of 1.5 for G. Kuroda's side suggests that run should continue.

	Machida 7th	Nagoya 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Machida will score 1 or more goals	0 44% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 80% probability of Nagoya scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Machida’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-15 Nagoya have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

better

MAC

NAG

view stats

Games scored	26		26
Failed to score	10		10
Scored first	22		16
Goals scored	49		42
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	14		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

28%

better

MAC

NAG

view stats

Games conceded	22		29
Clean sheets	14		7
Conceded first	11		17
Goals conceded	36		53
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	1		1.2
KickOff rating		+28%

Machida v Nagoya J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Machida J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	9	10	6
G Shoji	Y Soma	Y Soma	H Mae

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Shoji DEF	36	2	1	3 -
K Tani GLK	35			-
H Shimoda MID	34	1	1	3 -
S Na FWD	33	6	3	4 -
S Fujio FWD	33	2	2	4 -
H Mae MID	32		2	6 -
Y Soma FWD	32	9	10	6 -
K Hayashi DEF	31	4	1	3 -
I Dresevic DEF	31	1		4 -
D Okamura DEF	30	4	2	4 -
Y Nakayama DEF	30	1	3	-
H. Mochizuki DEF	30	1	1	1 -
S Oh FWD	29	2	1	5 -
T Nishimura FWD	28	7	4	3 -
K Sento MID	25	1		-
M Duke FWD	23	2		1 -
K. Kuwayama FWD	20	1	1	1 -
R Shirasaki MID	19			1 -
T Numata FWD	12	1		2 -
R Kikuchi DEF	9	2		-
A Masuyama MID	5			1 -
N Lavi MID	4			-
H Nakamura DEF	3			-
T Morita GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	27	10	17
Y Soma	Y Soma	Y Soma	Y Soma

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Soma FWD	9	27	10	17
T Nishimura FWD	7	19	4	6
S Na FWD	6	11	3	6
K Hayashi DEF	4	7	1	1
D Okamura DEF	4	11	2	4
G Shoji DEF	2	5	1	2
S Fujio FWD	2	6	2	2
S Oh FWD	2	15	1	5
M Duke FWD	2	6		2
R Kikuchi DEF	2	3		1
H Shimoda MID	1	5	1	5
I Dresevic DEF	1	4
Y Nakayama DEF	1	9	3	5
H. Mochizuki DEF	1	10	1	3
K Sento MID	1	4		1
K. Kuwayama FWD	1	3	1
T Numata FWD	1	2		1
K Tani GLK		1		1
H Mae MID		4	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1502	56	210
G Shoji	I Dresevic	S Oh

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
G Shoji DEF	1502	54	165
D Okamura DEF	1101	43	201
K Tani GLK	1095		21
H Mae MID	1065	50	98
Y Nakayama DEF	1055	31	145
I Dresevic DEF	1027	56	141
H Shimoda MID	886	26	67
H. Mochizuki DEF	770	43	192
K Hayashi DEF	724	50	84
Y Soma FWD	649	22	113
T Nishimura FWD	454	16	93
S Oh FWD	448	11	210
K Sento MID	334	18	44
S Na FWD	333	12	72
S Fujio FWD	249	19	74
R Kikuchi DEF	240	12	47
R Shirasaki MID	213	17	34
M Duke FWD	207	9	83
A Masuyama MID	84	7	19
K. Kuwayama FWD	80	6	29
N Lavi MID	58	7	9
H Nakamura DEF	55	3	12
T Morita GLK	32
T Numata FWD	29		5

Nagoya J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
36	9	5	6
S Inagaki	S Inagaki	S Inagaki	Y Sato

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Inagaki MID	36	9	5	3 -
R Izumi MID	35	4		2 -
T Morishima MID	34	1	5	5 -
K Nagai FWD	34	2	2	4 -
K Shiihashi MID	28	2	1	2 -
Y Yamagishi FWD	28	3	5	3 1
T Hara DEF	27	3		2 -
Y Nogami DEF	27	1		3 -
K Nakayama MID	26		2	2 -
Y Sato DEF	25	5		6 -
K Mikuni DEF	25			1 -
Y Asano MID	25		1	1 -
Mateus FWD	25	5	2	3 -
S Tokumoto DEF	24	2		-
A Kawazura DEF	19	1		1 -
T Kikuchi MID	18	1	2	-
A. Pisano GLK	15			1 -
T Uchida MID	15		2	-
Y Takeda GLK	14			1 -
K Junker FWD	14	1		2 1
Y Kimura FWD	12	1		-
S. Mori DEF	10	1	1	1 -
H Fujii DEF	9		1	1 -
G. Kato MID	8			-
D Schmidt GLK	7			-
M Ono MID	7			1 -
R Yamanaka DEF	4			-
S. Sugiura MID	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	5	5
S Inagaki	Mateus	S Inagaki	S Inagaki

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Inagaki MID	9	16	5	5
Y Sato DEF	5	8
Mateus FWD	5	22	2	4
R Izumi MID	4	11		3
Y Yamagishi FWD	3	11	5	4
T Hara DEF	3	5		2
K Nagai FWD	2	15	2	4
K Shiihashi MID	2	5	1	2
S Tokumoto DEF	2	4		4
T Morishima MID	1	4	5	5
Y Nogami DEF	1	2
A Kawazura DEF	1	3		1
T Kikuchi MID	1	3	2
K Junker FWD	1	3
Y Kimura FWD	1	9		1
S. Mori DEF	1	2	1	1
K Nakayama MID		4	2	1
K Mikuni DEF		1
Y Asano MID		6	1	3
T Uchida MID		2	2
H Fujii DEF			1	1
G. Kato MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1454	76	193
S Inagaki	S Inagaki	S Inagaki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Inagaki MID	1454	76	193
Y Sato DEF	1206	39	173
K Mikuni DEF	1148	20	130
K Shiihashi MID	942	30	94
T Hara DEF	902	22	105
R Izumi MID	853	29	115
T Morishima MID	844	30	112
Y Nogami DEF	640	17	97
A Kawazura DEF	578	15	47
S Tokumoto DEF	564	16	44
K Nakayama MID	509	25	82
A. Pisano GLK	484		3
T Uchida MID	410	18	51
H Fujii DEF	397	10	40
Mateus FWD	396	13	71
Y Takeda GLK	395	1	11
Y Yamagishi FWD	347	12	133
K Nagai FWD	326	14	80
Y Asano MID	241	13	34
D Schmidt GLK	224		1
T Kikuchi MID	179	12	22
G. Kato MID	148	6	18
S. Mori DEF	125	7	32
Y Kimura FWD	103	3	47
K Junker FWD	73	6	21
M Ono MID	33	5	7
R Yamanaka DEF	13	4	4
S. Sugiura MID	4		1

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Machida Zelvia v Nagoya Grampus Eight : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Machida have played 36 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Nagoya are in 17th position in the J-League on 40 points having played 36 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Machida v Nagoya J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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