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Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Tokyo : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Oct, 11:00 BST, EDION Stadium, Hiroshima

the EDION Stadium crowd welcome Tokyo's supporters on Friday morning, as Michael Skibbe's Sanfrecce Hiroshima go head to head with Rikizo Matsuhashi's charges in the J-League. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hiroshima are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Hiroshima 47%	1.51 1%	1.53
Draw 26%	4.20 2%	3.75
Tokyo 27%	5.75	5.00
Draw 1-1 12%	8.00 7%	7.00
Hiroshima 1-0 11%	7.50 15%	6.50 8%
Hiroshima 2-1 9%	8.50	7.50
Hiroshima 2-0 9%	7.50 7%	7.00 8%
Tokyo 1-0 8%	15.00 15%	12.00
Draw 0-0 8%	13.00 18%	10.00 11%
Tokyo 2-1 7%	17.00	13.00 13%
Draw 2-2 5%	17.00 11%	13.00 13%
Hiroshima 3-1 5%	12.00 8%	11.00
Tokyo 2-0 4%	29.00	19.00 10%
Hiroshima 3-0 4%	11.00	10.00 5%
Hiroshima 3-2 3%	23.00 21%	19.00 10%
Tokyo 3-1 2%	41.00	29.00
Tokyo 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Hiroshima 4-1 2%	23.00 12%	17.00 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	1.73 9%	1.73 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	2.08 9%	1.91 4%
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.50	1.48
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.75 5%	3.00 3%
No 1st Goal 5%	13.00 18%	10.00 11%
BTTS - Yes 51%	1.80 8%	1.85 5%
BTTS - No 49%	1.95 8%	1.85 6%
BTTS - Home Win 21%	3.25 10%	3.30 6%
BTTS - Draw 18%	5.50	5.00 5%
BTTS - Away Win 13%	10.00 9%	9.00 5%
Home/draw 73%	1.14	1.14
Away/draw 53%	2.38 3%	2.30
Home/away 74%	1.22	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1.22 5%	1.22 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	4.00 14%	3.50 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	2.75 15%	2.80 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	1.40 5%	1.35 4%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	5.50 15%	5.00 9%
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1.14 3%	1.12 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	11.00 27%	9.50 5%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.05 2%	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.04 1%	1.03
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	13.00 18%	9.00 6%
Home DNB 65%	1.20	1.20
Away DNB 45%	4.33	4.00
Hiroshima win to nil 26%	2.63 5%	-
Tokyo win to nil 15%	10.00	-
Hiroshima / Hiroshima 34%	2.38 1%	2.40 1%
Hiroshima / Tokyo 2%	41.00	34.00
Hiroshima / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00 13%
Draw / Hiroshima 19%	4.33	4.20
Draw / Tokyo 7%	12.00	10.00
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50 8%	5.50
Tokyo / Hiroshima 4%	21.00	17.00 11%
Tokyo / Tokyo 9%	9.50 5%	8.00 6%
Tokyo / Draw 5%	17.00	15.00

Win / draw / win J-League table

Hiroshima have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the J-League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Hiroshima have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 36 goals.

Home League Performance

Hiroshima have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Tokyo are in 13th position in the J-League on 41 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Tokyo have conceded 33 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Hiroshima Tokyo
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Kashima	33	20	5	8	24	65	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
2	Kyoto Sanga	33	17	9	7	22	60	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	l 0-4A	l 3-0A
3	Kashiwa	33	16	12	5	15	60	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	l 1-0A
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	15	60	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Nov 30
5	Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	16	58	-	-	l 0-3A	Oct 17
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	14	55	w 2-1A	w 1-2A	l 0-1A	Nov 9
7	Kawasaki	33	14	11	8	15	53	l 1-2A	Nov 30	l 0-3A	w 0-1F
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	8	52	Nov 9	l 1-0A	w 3-2F	l 3-2F
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	-1	50	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	w 3-0F	l 2-0A
10	Cerezo	33	11	10	12	1	43	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	d 1-1A
11	Shimizu	33	10	11	12	-4	41	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	l 0-2A	d 1-1A
12	Fagiano	33	11	8	14	-6	41	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	Oct 25	l 1-0A
13	Tokyo	33	11	8	14	-10	41	Oct 17	w 0-3F	-	-
14	Avispa	33	10	10	13	-5	40	w 2-1F	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
15	Nagoya	33	10	9	14	-8	39	l 1-2A	l 2-1A	w 3-1F	d 1-1A
16	Tokyo Verdy	33	10	9	14	-14	39	w 2-1A	w 0-3F	w 1-0F	d 2-2A
17	Yokohama FM	33	8	7	18	-12	31	w 1-0F	Oct 25	l 2-3A	w 0-3F
18	Yokohama	33	8	7	18	-16	31	w 1-0F	w 0-4F	w 2-1A	w 0-1F
19	Shonan	33	6	7	20	-29	25	Dec 6	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F
20	Albirex	33	4	10	19	-25	22	l 0-1A	w 0-2F	Dec 6	w 2-3F

	Afc Champions League
	Afc Champions League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Hiroshima have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Machida
Hiroshima	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
Hiroshima	0 - 0	Shimizu
Hiroshima	1 - 2	Nagoya
Hiroshima	1 - 2	Kawasaki
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Avispa
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Albirex
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Fagiano
Hiroshima	2 - 1	Cerezo
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Kashima
Hiroshima	1 - 1	Kashiwa
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Yokohama
Hiroshima	1 - 0	Yokohama FM
Hiroshima	5 - 1	Sapporo
Hiroshima	0 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
Hiroshima	2 - 0	Machida
Hiroshima	6 - 2	Yokohama FM

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Hiroshima	2 - 1	Machida
A	Hiroshima	2 - 1	Avispa
A	Hiroshima	0 - 0	Kashiwa
H	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Kyoto Sanga
A	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Cerezo
A	Hiroshima	3 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
H	Hiroshima	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
H	Hiroshima	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
H	Hiroshima	0 - 0	Shimizu
A	Hiroshima	2 - 0	Albirex
A	Hiroshima	1 - 0	Fagiano
A	Hiroshima	0 - 1	Vissel Kobe
H	Hiroshima	1 - 2	Nagoya
A	Hiroshima	4 - 0	Yokohama
A	Hiroshima	1 - 1	Kashima
H	Hiroshima	1 - 2	Kawasaki
A	Hiroshima	3 - 0	Tokyo
H	Hiroshima	2 - 1	Tokyo Verdy
A	Hiroshima	1 - 0	Gamba Osaka
A	Hiroshima	1 - 0	Shonan

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shimizu	1 - 1	Tokyo
Kawasaki	0 - 1	Tokyo
Nagoya	1 - 1	Tokyo
Shonan	2 - 2	Tokyo
Kashiwa	1 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama FM	0 - 3	Tokyo
Gamba Osaka	2 - 0	Tokyo
Kyoto Sanga	3 - 0	Tokyo
Urawa Reds	3 - 2	Tokyo
Albirex	2 - 3	Tokyo
Cerezo	1 - 1	Tokyo
Fagiano	1 - 0	Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 2	Tokyo
Avispa	1 - 0	Tokyo
Kashima	2 - 0	Tokyo
Yokohama	0 - 1	Tokyo
Jubilo Iwata	2 - 1	Tokyo
Machida	3 - 0	Tokyo
Vissel Kobe	0 - 2	Tokyo
Yokohama FM	1 - 3	Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Shimizu
H	Tokyo	2 - 3	Yokohama FM
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Avispa
A	Tokyo	1 - 0	Kawasaki
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Tokyo Verdy
A	Tokyo	1 - 1	Nagoya
H	Tokyo	0 - 4	Kyoto Sanga
A	Tokyo	2 - 2	Shonan
H	Tokyo	0 - 1	Kashima
H	Tokyo	3 - 2	Urawa Reds
A	Tokyo	0 - 1	Kashiwa
H	Tokyo	2 - 1	Yokohama
A	Tokyo	3 - 0	Yokohama FM
A	Tokyo	0 - 2	Gamba Osaka
H	Tokyo	2 - 2	Cerezo
A	Tokyo	0 - 3	Kyoto Sanga
H	Tokyo	0 - 3	Hiroshima
A	Tokyo	2 - 3	Urawa Reds
H	Tokyo	1 - 0	Vissel Kobe
A	Tokyo	3 - 2	Albirex

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Hiroshima

Tokyo

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

7 / 7

Clean sheets

0 / 7

1 / 7

HIR

TOK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hiroshima
Hiroshima	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Tokyo
	1 - 2	Tokyo
	1 - 2	Tokyo
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	0 - 1	Tokyo
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Tokyo

Hiroshima

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

3 / 8

HIR

TOK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tokyo
	0 - 3	Hiroshima
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Hiroshima
Tokyo	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Tokyo	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Hiroshima
Tokyo	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive record is to be admired, Michael Skibbe's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive J-League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Tokyo makes sense in this context.

	Hiroshima 5th	Tokyo 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Hiroshima will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Tokyo will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Hiroshima’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-4 Tokyo’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season

12%

better

HIR

TOK

view stats

Games scored	23		18
Failed to score	8		13
Scored first	15		14
Goals scored	35		33
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+12%

29%

better

HIR

TOK

view stats

Games conceded	18		23
Clean sheets	13		8
Conceded first	14		16
Goals conceded	21		42
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		14%
Avg. XG against	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+29%

Hiroshima v Tokyo J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Hiroshima J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
33	5	6	4
K Osako	S. Nakamura	S. Nakamura	S Sasaki

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Osako GLK	33			-
S Higashi MID	33	3		2 -
S Nakano DEF	32	1		3 -
H Araki DEF	32	3	2	-
S Sasaki DEF	32	1		3 1
H Kawabe MID	32	2	1	3 -
T Shiotani DEF	31	2	1	2 -
R Germain FWD	31	4	3	4 -
M Kato FWD	30	2	2	1 -
S. Nakamura FWD	27	5	6	1 -
N Arai DEF	25	4	2	-
N Maeda FWD	25	1		2 -
S Tanaka MID	24	1		-
V Germain FWD	20	2	1	-
D Suga MID	19	1	1	2 -
S Koshimichi MID	17		1	-
Y Nakajima MID	16			2 -
K Kinoshita FWD	15	4	2	1 -
K Ju-Sung DEF	6	1	1	1 -
T Arslan MID	6	2		3 -
T Yamasaki DEF	4			-
M Júnior MID	4			-
Y Chajima MID	1			-
A. Inoue FWD	1			-
S. Kobayashi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	19	6	14
S. Nakamura	R Germain	S. Nakamura	S. Nakamura

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. Nakamura FWD	5	9	6	14
R Germain FWD	4	19	3	9
N Arai DEF	4	7	2	3
K Kinoshita FWD	4	14	2	2
S Higashi MID	3	6		11
H Araki DEF	3	9	2
H Kawabe MID	2	8	1	5
T Shiotani DEF	2	5	1	1
M Kato FWD	2	13	2	3
V Germain FWD	2	8	1	2
T Arslan MID	2	3		1
S Nakano DEF	1	6		8
S Sasaki DEF	1	7		4
N Maeda FWD	1	11		6
S Tanaka MID	1	4		2
D Suga MID	1	3	1	4
K Ju-Sung DEF	1	3	1	1
S Koshimichi MID		3	1	1
Y Nakajima MID		2		3
T Yamasaki DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1730	69	270
S Sasaki	S Tanaka	H Araki

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Sasaki DEF	1730	57	216
H Araki DEF	1500	42	270
T Shiotani DEF	1460	32	103
H Kawabe MID	1214	57	118
S Nakano DEF	983	40	172
S Higashi MID	936	30	72
S Tanaka MID	931	69	130
K Osako GLK	903	1	10
M Kato FWD	628	24	104
R Germain FWD	620	28	157
N Arai DEF	575	24	68
S. Nakamura FWD	533	29	80
Y Nakajima MID	382	21	50
D Suga MID	308	12	31
N Maeda FWD	280	6	26
K Ju-Sung DEF	253	12	37
V Germain FWD	207	9	43
K Kinoshita FWD	166	2	57
T Arslan MID	95	5	20
T Yamasaki DEF	89	4	13
S Koshimichi MID	79	5	24
M Júnior MID	20	1	2
Y Chajima MID	10
A. Inoue FWD	3
S. Kobayashi FWD	2

Tokyo J-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	3	5
T Ko	M Ryan	K Tawaratsumida	K Hashimoto

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Tawaratsumida MID	32	1	3	-
K. Sato FWD	31	5	3	1 -
T Ko MID	28	2	3	-
K Hashimoto MID	28		2	5 -
M Ryan FWD	28	8	1	4 -
T Nakagawa FWD	28	2		1 -
S Anzai MID	25	1	3	2 -
K Koizumi MID	25	1	1	5 -
Y Nagatomo DEF	22		2	5 -
K Doi DEF	21		1	2 -
T. Oka DEF	20			3 -
L Nozawa FWD	20	1	1	-
K Shirai DEF	19	1	1	-
K Endo FWD	19	4		2 -
M Morishige DEF	18	1		1 -
K Higashi MID	17		1	3 -
S Muroya DEF	12		1	1 -
S Kim GLK	11			1 -
A Scholz DEF	11	2		1 -
H Trevisan DEF	10	1	1	2 -
K Yamashita FWD	10	1		2 -
M Nagakura FWD	10	4	1	1 -
K Bangnagande DEF	8			-
M Guilherme MID	7			1 -
M. Kitahara MID	7			-
K. Tokiwa MID	7			-
E Galdino FWD	6			1 -
G Hatano GLK	5			-
T Ogashiwa FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	25	3	4
M Ryan	M Ryan	K Tawaratsumida	K Tawaratsumida

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Ryan FWD	8	25	1	2
K. Sato FWD	5	15	3	3
K Endo FWD	4	10		2
M Nagakura FWD	4	14	1	3
T Ko MID	2	8	3	4
T Nakagawa FWD	2	9		3
A Scholz DEF	2	4
K Tawaratsumida MID	1	12	3	4
S Anzai MID	1	8	3	4
K Koizumi MID	1	5	1	1
L Nozawa FWD	1	3	1	2
K Shirai DEF	1	3	1	3
M Morishige DEF	1	1
H Trevisan DEF	1	1	1	1
K Yamashita FWD	1	4
K Hashimoto MID		4	2	1
Y Nagatomo DEF		1	2	2
K Doi DEF			1	1
T. Oka DEF		1
K Higashi MID		1	1	2
S Muroya DEF		2	1	1
K Bangnagande DEF				2
M Guilherme MID		2
M. Kitahara MID		1
K. Tokiwa MID		1		1
E Galdino FWD		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1398	60	120
T Ko	T Ko	K Hashimoto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T Ko MID	1398	60	117
K Hashimoto MID	1045	53	120
K Doi DEF	984	28	83
M Morishige DEF	982	14	88
T. Oka DEF	830	20	84
A Scholz DEF	775	12	71
K Koizumi MID	617	19	65
S Anzai MID	607	21	81
K Tawaratsumida MID	541	23	82
K. Sato FWD	520	29	111
Y Nagatomo DEF	455	18	36
K Endo FWD	430	16	56
S Kim GLK	428	1	3
K Shirai DEF	422	29	61
K Higashi MID	407	16	33
H Trevisan DEF	397	14	64
S Muroya DEF	391	20	47
T Nakagawa FWD	342	20	60
M Ryan FWD	265	11	112
M Nagakura FWD	239	16	59
K Bangnagande DEF	223	10	28
L Nozawa FWD	194	3	29
G Hatano GLK	194		3
M Guilherme MID	131	6	13
K. Tokiwa MID	83	1	9
E Galdino FWD	77		6
M. Kitahara MID	69	4	13
K Yamashita FWD	66	4	30
T Ogashiwa FWD	20		1