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Shonan Bellmare v Fagiano Okayama : J-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Jun, 07:00 BST, Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka, Hiratsuka

Satoshi Yamaguchi welcomes Takashi Kiyama to the Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka on Sunday morning, as their Shonan Bellmare and Fagiano Okayama teams clash in the J-League. Stats drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a close-fought game here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Shonan and Fagiano go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Shonan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Shonan
41%
29/20-
Draw
32%
2/1-
Fagiano
27%
21/10-
Shonan 1-0
17%
11/2-
Draw 0-0
16%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Fagiano 1-0
13%
13/2-
Shonan 2-0
9%
10/1-
Shonan 2-1
7%
9/1-
Fagiano 2-1
5%
11/1-
Fagiano 2-0
5%
14/1-
Shonan 3-0
3%
22/1-
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1-
Shonan 3-1
2%
22/1-
Fagiano 3-1
1%
28/1-
Fagiano 3-0
1%
33/1-
Shonan 3-2
1%
40/1-
Shonan 4-0
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
73%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
40%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
12%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
35%
1/1-
BTTS - No
65%
3/4-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
5/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
13/2-
Home/draw
73%
4/11-
Away/draw
59%
8/15-
Home/away
68%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
54%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
46%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
7/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
89%
2/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
4%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
96%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
22/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1/80-
Over 0.5 Goals
84%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
16%
6/1-
Home DNB
64%
4/6-
Away DNB
49%
11/10-
Shonan win to nil
30%
11/4-
Fagiano win to nil
19%
7/2-
Shonan / Shonan
21%
3/1-
Shonan / Fagiano
2%
33/1-
Shonan / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Shonan
15%
9/2-
Draw / Fagiano
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3-
Fagiano / Shonan
3%
28/1-
Fagiano / Fagiano
16%
4/1-
Fagiano / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win J-League table

Shonan have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 5. Shonan have conceded 17 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Shonan have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Fagiano lay in 12th place on 23 points in the J-League league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 5 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fagiano have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Fagiano have played 8 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Shonan
Fagiano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Kashima1812151337 
w
 
1-0F
Sep 13
l
 
1-2F
Jun 28
2
Kashiwa18972734 
l
 
0-1A
Aug 10
Aug 17
l
 
2-0A
3
Hiroshima171025732 
l
 
0-1A
Dec 6
Jul 5
w
 
0-1F
4
Kyoto Sanga19946531 
Oct 18
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Aug 30
5
Urawa Reds19865530 
w
 
2-1F
Jul 23
Nov 30
l
 
1-0A
6
Vissel Kobe17836227 
l
 
1-2A
Jul 5
Jul 20
l
 
2-0A
7
Kawasaki176831026 
Sep 23
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 8
8
Cerezo18747225 
Jul 19
w
 
1-2F
Oct 18
l
 
2-1A
9
Shimizu18747225 
Nov 30
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Dec 6
10
Machida18747225 
Jun 14
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
Sep 27
11
Gamba Osaka18738-324 
Aug 31
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
Aug 10
12
Fagiano Away18657-123 
Jun 1
Aug 23
-
-
13
Tokyo Verdy18657-523 
Oct 3
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
Sep 20
14
Avispa18648-422 
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 25
Jun 15
d
 
1-1A
15
Shonan Home18639-921 
-
-
Aug 23
Jun 1
16
Nagoya18558-520 
w
 
2-1F
Sep 20
Sep 13
d
 
0-00-0
17
Tokyo17548-619 
Aug 16
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Oct 25
18
Yokohama18549-619 
l
 
0-1A
Sep 27
Sep 23
l
 
1-0A
19
Albirex17377-516 
Nov 8
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Oct 4
20
Yokohama FM172510-1111 
Jun 28
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jun 21
Afc Champions League
Afc Champions League Qualifiers
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Shonan have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
3
Fagiano have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
Shonan 14TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Shonan0 - 1Yokohama
Shonan0 - 1Hiroshima
Shonan0 - 0Avispa
Shonan0 - 1Kashiwa
Shonan2 - 1Nagoya
Shonan1 - 2Vissel Kobe
Shonan2 - 1Urawa Reds
Shonan1 - 0Kashima
Shonan2 - 3Yokohama FM
Shonan1 - 1Sapporo
Shonan2 - 1Hiroshima
Shonan3 - 2Kashima
Shonan1 - 2Cerezo
Shonan0 - 1Nagoya
Shonan1 - 2Kashiwa
Shonan1 - 1Avispa
Shonan5 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Shonan0 - 1Kyoto Sanga
Shonan0 - 1Tokyo
Shonan1 - 2Gamba Osaka
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HShonan0 - 1Yokohama
AShonan2 - 0Tokyo Verdy
HShonan0 - 1Hiroshima
AShonan0 - 4Gamba Osaka
HShonan0 - 0Avispa
AShonan1 - 0Machida
HShonan0 - 1Kashiwa
AShonan0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
HShonan2 - 1Nagoya
AShonan0 - 2Kawasaki
AShonan0 - 3Shimizu
HShonan1 - 2Vissel Kobe
AShonan0 - 0Tokyo
AShonan1 - 1Yokohama FM
HShonan2 - 1Urawa Reds
AShonan2 - 1Cerezo
HShonan1 - 0Kashima
AShonan0 - 3Vissel Kobe
HShonan2 - 3Yokohama FM
HShonan1 - 1Sapporo
Fagiano 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kashiwa2 - 0Fagiano
Nagoya0 - 0Fagiano
Vissel Kobe2 - 0Fagiano
Avispa1 - 1Fagiano
Hiroshima0 - 1Fagiano
Cerezo2 - 1Fagiano
Urawa Reds1 - 0Fagiano
Yokohama1 - 0Fagiano
Montedio0 - 3Fagiano
Kagoshima0 - 0Fagiano
Yokohama2 - 4Fagiano
Ventforet3 - 1Fagiano
Mito0 - 0Fagiano
Renofa0 - 2Fagiano
Tokushima1 - 1Fagiano
Tochigi1 - 1Fagiano
Shimizu3 - 1Fagiano
Roasso0 - 1Fagiano
JEF United2 - 1Fagiano
Vegalta1 - 4Fagiano
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFagiano2 - 1Albirex
AFagiano0 - 2Kashiwa
AFagiano0 - 0Nagoya
AFagiano0 - 2Vissel Kobe
HFagiano0 - 1Tokyo Verdy
AFagiano1 - 1Avispa
HFagiano1 - 2Kashima
AFagiano1 - 0Hiroshima
HFagiano1 - 0Tokyo
AFagiano1 - 2Cerezo
HFagiano1 - 0Yokohama FM
HFagiano0 - 0Kawasaki
AFagiano0 - 1Urawa Reds
HFagiano1 - 1Shimizu
HFagiano2 - 0Gamba Osaka
AFagiano0 - 1Yokohama
HFagiano2 - 0Kyoto Sanga
HFagiano2 - 0Vegalta
AFagiano3 - 0Montedio
AFagiano0 - 0Kagoshima
Goal Statistics
Shonan 14th Fagiano 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Shonan will score no more than 1 goal
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Fagiano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Shonan have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Fagiano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289814/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Shonan
PG (predicted goals)
Fagiano
1
0.8
Attack rating
SHO
FAG
8%
better
view stats
Games scored8
10
Failed to score9
7
Scored first6
7
Goals scored12
13
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal10
11
Conversion rate for10
9
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
SHO
FAG
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+23%

Shonan v Fagiano J-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Shonan J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17323
N KamifukumotoA SuzukiS. FukudaM Kim
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Kamifukumoto GLK17
-
Y Suzuki DEF1711
1
-
T Fujii MID17
2
-
T Hata MID171
1
-
J Suzuki MID17
1
-
A Suzuki FWD1731
2
-
K Okuno MID1511
-
S. Fukuda FWD1532
1
-
M Kim DEF14
3
-
K Onose MID142
1
-
A Barada MID13
1
-
M Ikeda MID111
-
T Hiraoka MID9
1
-
L Phellype FWD81
-
K Ono DEF7
-
R Nemoto FWD7
-
N Takahashi DEF6
-
H Ishii FWD61
-
K Oiwa DEF5
1
-
S Matsumura DEF5
-
Lukian FWD51
-
K Tachi DEF3
1
-
S. Tamura MID2
-
Fagiano J-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17322
S BrodersenR SatoH KatoL Lucão
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brodersen GLK17
-
A Esaka MID1711
-
T Kimura MID172
1
-
L Lucão FWD172
2
-
H Kato MID162
-
I Fujita MID16
2
-
Y Kamiya MID16
1
-
Y Tatsuta DEF15
1
-
K Ichimi FWD152
-
K Kudo DEF13
2
-
H Iwabuchi MID13
1
-
R Tabei MID1312
1
-
R Sato MID123
1
-
D Tagami DEF111
-
K Abe DEF10
-
N Browne MID8
-
K. Fujii MID6
1
-
R Takeuchi MID6
-
Y Suzuki DEF5
-
T Yanagi DEF512
1
-
Y Yanagi DEF4
-
G. Garcia de Oliveira FWD3
1
-
R Saga MID2
-
Y Wakasa MID1
-
R. Ota FWD1
-
K Saito FWD1
-